Winning at Baseball

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  • kingdom
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 07-25-10
    • 10099

    #1
    Winning at Baseball
    Got some freebies. i havn't lost a season in baseball in 4 seasons using these plays. Some say accuracy isn't 100 pct as lines may change from posted. you just have to be smart and play avg's and what you are comfortable with. these plays have worked for me so i'll share some with those interested. Be smart and remember probabilities are not guarantees. gl.

    I'm gonna start with the rockies. they are awful after a game in which they did not homer. the roi is positive su/rl, and the under. since aug' 17 they are 55-88 su, 59-84 rl, and 54-82 under. this should be played each time.

  • kingdom
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 07-25-10
    • 10099

    #2
    CWS have been a hot fave for some time. they quietly have some of best covers in baseball as a fav. Since aug '18 they are 73-34 as fav and 59-47 rl (avg +129) for an roi of +26.2



    they are more lethal as a road fav going 28-11 su and 26-13 rl (roi 47.6%)

    Comment
    • kingdom
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 07-25-10
      • 10099

      #3
      WP< 54 and F and pp:AF and pp:SII>=4 and date>=20190407

      This has been one of more consistent plays over last few seasons. Favs winning less than 54% of games and off a game as road fav where starter went more than 4 innings 65-25 (72%) with an 18.7% roi. rl roi is positive as well.

      Comment
      • kingdom
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 07-25-10
        • 10099

        #4
        WP<50 and F and o:WP>50 and date>=20170604

        this last one i really like because there are daily plays. teams winning less than 50% of games as fav vs. team winning over 50% are 377-231 with and roi of 9.5%. Gotten off to a red hot start this season and been plays nearly everyday.

        Comment
        • kingdom
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 07-25-10
          • 10099

          #5
          team = Yankees and p:HR = 0 and p:L and date >= 20170819

          This one isn't common, but it is great. after they yanks don't hit a homer and lose, they are 44-22 on the rl for 21% roi.



          I have quite a few of these. some are team relative and some are mlb in general. i'll drop some here from time to time.
          Comment
          • acehole
            SBR Sharp
            • 09-21-12
            • 426

            #6
            thanks man
            Comment
            • kingdom
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 07-25-10
              • 10099

              #7
              t:team=Rockies and A and date>=20190621

              Just horrendous on the road. expensive, but the rl has a better roi for a much better price.


              https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...the%20road.%22
              Comment
              • kingdom
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 07-25-10
                • 10099

                #8
                Originally posted by acehole
                thanks man
                np. gl to you.
                Comment
                • kingdom
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 07-25-10
                  • 10099

                  #9
                  t:team=Phillies and H and date>=20200814

                  great thing about this is lines still at avg of only -119. not sure how long that will last.

                  https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...0at%20home.%22
                  Comment
                  • kingdom
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 07-25-10
                    • 10099

                    #10
                    t:team=Padres and H and F and date>=20200909

                    the unders are on a roll. i never put too much on a streak though. unless chasing which i probably will


                    https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...0at%20home.%22
                    Comment
                    • kingdom
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 07-25-10
                      • 10099

                      #11
                      t:team=Cubs and A and D and date>=20180902

                      Cubs 36-17 over (21-35 su as well) on road giving up 5.57 on avg.

                      https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...road%20dog.%22
                      Comment
                      • kingdom
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 07-25-10
                        • 10099

                        #12
                        in line with what i played yesterday, i'm fading cubs, royals and rockies today.
                        Comment
                        • kingdom
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 07-25-10
                          • 10099

                          #13
                          F and pp:FL and p:F and p:SII>=4 and date>=20190407

                          as far as winning percentage, this is one of strongest at 73% su and 52% on the rl

                          https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
                          Comment
                          • kingdom
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 07-25-10
                            • 10099

                            #14
                            My favorite plays today are system plays as well. Phillies have lost 2 in a row at home. i expect a bounce back. oakland a strong home team at not a bad price. and seattle. i am parlaying these 3 as well. i like the rockies already and they fit a play as well today.

                            Comment
                            • kingdom
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 07-25-10
                              • 10099

                              #15
                              A's are a great home fav. rare you can get them at this price.

                              https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...20favorite.%22
                              Comment
                              • kingdom
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 07-25-10
                                • 10099

                                #16
                                phils are 31-16 over since last aug as a fav. i'm gonna be watching this trend closely.

                                https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...20favorite.%22
                                Comment
                                • kingdom
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 07-25-10
                                  • 10099

                                  #17
                                  brew crew on a long road stretch. they hit unders alot on the road.

                                  https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...the%20road.%22
                                  Comment
                                  • kingdom
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 07-25-10
                                    • 10099

                                    #18
                                    i skipped the nhl this season. checking some stuff today. this is a great dog fade:

                                    https://killersports.com/nhl/query?s...0%3E%3D2016%22
                                    Comment
                                    • kingdom
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 07-25-10
                                      • 10099

                                      #19
                                      Jays on a long road stretch. they are on a 35-48 under road run. not sure if i will chase it, but will be paying attention.

                                      https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...the%20road.%22
                                      Comment
                                      • kingdom
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 07-25-10
                                        • 10099

                                        #20
                                        Cards are on an under home stretch. i like the opponents for unders also this week. avg under 7.5 runs

                                        https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...0at%20home.%22
                                        Comment
                                        • kingdom
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 07-25-10
                                          • 10099

                                          #21
                                          Cubs with dodgers and pirates coming in should continue with home unders. been a good home under.

                                          https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
                                          Comment
                                          • kingdom
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 07-25-10
                                            • 10099

                                            #22
                                            i don't know of kc can be this year version of the white sox, but when they are a fav they win. surprised the times they are fav they are 37-14.
                                            i'm not playing them this series. but i will be watching for more opportunities.

                                            https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...20favorite.%22
                                            Comment
                                            • kingdom
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 07-25-10
                                              • 10099

                                              #23
                                              i know this is mlb thread, but i skipped some nba hot trends that both won last night. hawks at home and knicks ats. tonight there are 2 teams that have quit for the season. the cavs and thunder have mailed it in. cavs next 4 are against playoff teams

                                              https://killersports.com/nba/query?s...%2C%202021.%22

                                              https://killersports.com/nba/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
                                              Comment
                                              • kingdom
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 07-25-10
                                                • 10099

                                                #24
                                                not much in baseball today. all i got is oak home trend and padres under. thinking about chasing sea but not sure yet. one more nba trend. this is one of best play and chase opps i have seen. 112-58 over and multiple plays weekly.

                                                https://killersports.com/nba/query?s...0line%3E-15%22
                                                Comment
                                                • DiggityDaggityDo
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 11-30-08
                                                  • 81463

                                                  #25
                                                  Good stuff
                                                  Comment
                                                  • 007D
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 11-04-14
                                                    • 768

                                                    #26
                                                    SO what are the N.B.A. teams to play for this??
                                                    Comment
                                                    • kingdom
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 07-25-10
                                                      • 10099

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by 007D
                                                      SO what are the N.B.A. teams to play for this??
                                                      fade the cavs and thunder. and fade them both again if you lose.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • k310
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 10-11-11
                                                        • 111

                                                        #28
                                                        Fade IND and HOU at home. ATS: 16-48-0

                                                        https://sportsdatabase.com/nba/query...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
                                                        Comment
                                                        • 007D
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 11-04-14
                                                          • 768

                                                          #29
                                                          Thanks for letting me know what that was for the N.B.A. Kingdom..
                                                          Comment
                                                          • 007D
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 11-04-14
                                                            • 768

                                                            #30
                                                            I was looking at those 2 Games. Good to know" Thinking about taking Sacramento Kings + 6 I would try to get if it wasn't too much.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • kingdom
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 07-25-10
                                                              • 10099

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by 007D
                                                              Thanks for letting me know what that was for the N.B.A. Kingdom..
                                                              had a crazy day. great weed. no time to cap anything. i should be back tomoroow,,,,but i am getting the same weed but no guarantees. but some good fades and unders for series i posted yesterday.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • kingdom
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 07-25-10
                                                                • 10099

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by k310
                                                                Fade IND and HOU at home. ATS: 16-48-0

                                                                https://sportsdatabase.com/nba/query...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
                                                                definitely 2 of the 1,2,3 cancun teams still out there. great stuff. thanks bro
                                                                Comment
                                                                • masr
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 10-20-07
                                                                  • 4770

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by kingdom
                                                                  had a crazy day. great weed. no time to cap anything. i should be back tomoroow,,,,but i am getting the same weed but no guarantees. but some good fades and unders for series i posted yesterday.
                                                                  Enjoy!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • 007D
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 11-04-14
                                                                    • 768

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Nice! I Live in Colorado. We were the First State to Go Legal..Pretty Much 60% of the State Smoked Weed and Everyone knew it.. Some Super Hydro up Here..
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • kingdom
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 07-25-10
                                                                      • 10099

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by 007D
                                                                      Nice! I Live in Colorado. We were the First State to Go Legal..Pretty Much 60% of the State Smoked Weed and Everyone knew it.. Some Super Hydro up Here..

                                                                      i am almost jealous. but florida legalized gambling this week so weed is coming soon at a beach near me. there are cbd and smoke shops on every corner now. the anticipation is sky high literally.
                                                                      Comment
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