Winning at Baseball

[kingdom]

throwing in chase elliot +350 and top 3 -130

stopped cause of rain. chase wins. lucky but it still counts. yay.

[kingdom]

its been a good wknd, especially in ufc where i hit some good dogs last night. everything i'm playing today is small as series are ending and i haven't checked schedules. i was leaning giants rl and royals, but gonna leave both alone. rangers 11-5 at home lately vs. stros but i'm still playing hou for .5, playing cards and padres 1st 5 same way as yesterday except sd -1 and tie +400. cards as pk +105 and tie +525. A's have been berry berry good to me so i'm riding that train again. gl fellas.

got the tie in both games which was great and chase winning the race to easily cover my silly faith in the astros and pirates. rockies were good to me all wknd. stros get swept and got the dodgers and padres coming in. they better start banging on trash cans again. haven't looked at anything today. really don't want to. but i probably will. if i find anything good i'll post it.

[kingdom]

at first glance the A's jumped out to me. don't think the price is terrible. looked for stat analysis to back it. oak 13-6 vs lefties. 15-6 against losing teams. sea 10-20 at night giving up .5 runs more than avg. A's 117-53 as a home fav. sea 2-11 last 13 on road and lost 6 of 7 overall.
pretty sure i'm gonna be playing first 5 the way i have been. gotta look at price. just wanted to jot stats while it still on my mind.

https://killersports.com/mlb/query?sdql=%28t%3Ateam%3DAthletics%20and%20H%20and%20F%20and%20date%3E%3D20170704%29%20as%20%22The%20Athletics%20are%20117-53%20ON%20since%20Jul%2004%2C%202017%20as%20a%20home%20favorite.%22

[kingdom]

not bad. got oak on 3 way -110 and tie +475.

3-Way Moneyline - 5 Inning Line

• [*=center]
  Seattle Mariners - 1H
  +165
  [*=center]
  Tie - 1H
  +475
  [*=center]
  Oakland Athletics - 1H
  -110

[kingdom]

lot of interesting trends in phils/fish. mia 49-21 as home fav since may '17..phil as road dog 58-108 over same time frame. mia 16-9 at home vs. phi since start of '18 season. over is 14-10; and 11 of 16 have gone over since '19 season with 1 push included. phi is 6-13 against teams with a losing record.

https://killersports.com/mlb/query?su=1&ou=1&sdql=t%3Ateam%3DPhillies+and+A+and+D+and+date%3E%3D20170615&submit=++S+D+Q+L+%21++

[kingdom]

couldn't get a 3 way line or 6.5 total. so here's how i'm playing it for 1.5u with .5 on each. as long as it's in range i win something:

Marlins by 1 run (+360)
Marlins by 2 runs (+825)
Marlins by 3 - 4 Runs (+500)

[kingdom]

I rode the rockies all wknd but i'm off that train. they are 28-73 as a road dog just over last 2 seasons. 2-17 on the road this season. 6-21 against winning teams. and the mets bullpen is a sick 1.66 era at home. might be lower than deGrom's. not touching that low total.

https://killersports.com/mlb/query?sdql=%28t%3Ateam%3DRockies%20and%20A%20and%20D%20and%20date%3E%3D20190515%29%20as%20%22The%20Rockies%20are%2028-73%20AGAINST%20since%20May%2015%2C%202019%20as%20a%20road%20dog.%22

[kingdom]

i believe the mets will have a lead by 6th inning so i'm playing em -.5 +105 1st 5 and tie 1st 5 +400 on 3 way line.

[kingdom]

Brewers can be sporadic but woodruff isn't. he is smoking right now. snell is 0-4 on road but not all his fault as they are all 1 run losses. woodruff era is 1.23 last 3 starts giving up avg of 3 hits and is 0-2 with a ND. i expect both guys to battle. but i'm riding with woodruff.

brewers 1st 5 +120 and back it up with tie +400
(+120 is on 3 way line)

[kingdom]

i don't bet against the cards often. they have always rewarded me over the years. they are going into a tough place to win. wsox are 28-8 as a home fav and 23-13 against rl in those games (41% roi). been some cupcakes mixed in there, but they are still 30-12 home over same timespan. both pitchers have been good last 3 starts with lynn having a 1.12 era. on the road cards have gone 1-5 as a dog at least +125. wsox are 9-3 vs. lefties and are 15-5 after a loss despite the nyy sweep. i'm sticking with my 3 way 1st 5 on this. gets the juice down and you get 2 chances to win.

https://killersports.com/mlb/query?sdql=%28t%3Ateam%3DWhite%20Sox%20and%20H%20and%20F%20and%20date%3E%3D20200816%29%20as%20%22The%20White%20Sox%20are%2028-8%20ON%20since%20Aug%2016%2C%202020%20as%20a%20home%20favorite.%22

cws -130 1st 5 and tie +525 1st 5. gl tonight fellas.

[kingdom]

shout out to TB. these guys are good. i'm always doubting them while losing with the damn pirates lol. i live in florida and usually watch the marlins or mets. they seem boring but all tampa does is win with a minimum payroll. let snell go. no problem. gotta start giving these guys respect and win some cash with them.

just had to reiterate this even though i didn't play them again. all these dudes do is winX3 no matter what....

[kingdom]

couldn't get a 3 way line or 6.5 total. so here's how i'm playing it for 1.5u with .5 on each. as long as it's in range i win something:

Marlins by 1 run (+360)
Marlins by 2 runs (+825)
Marlins by 3 - 4 Runs (+500)

just bought phi live at +140 while they are up 1-0. just to decrease risk at a good price and still have a chance to win.

[kingdom]

not sure if this is a great idea. just live bet mets for .5 at +230. col bullpen is 1-5 away. mets pen 5-0 home. 1.66 era. kinda need the mets offense to wake up just a bit.

[kingdom]

not sure if this is a great idea. just live bet mets for .5 at +230. col bullpen is 1-5 away. mets pen 5-0 home. 1.66 era. kinda need the mets offense to wake up just a bit.

imagine that. if i waited one more minute i could of got them at +500 lol. hopefully keep this guy on third. this freaking gomber goober out there pitching like cy young for the rockies.

[kingdom]

added .25u at +550 so if mets lose i'm out 2.5u; and if they win, i win. brewers look good. need the fish to help out here and win by 2.

[kingdom]

LET'S GO METS!!!! I feel like a kid again. i watched these guys come back so many times. i hope they can pull this one off. goober is over 100 pitches. let's get him

[kingdom]

Pen did their job. bats didn't....again...

[kingdom]

Phillies doing what they do late. get close and lose. 1 more run and i'm happy

[kingdom]

because of the wsox, brewers, and marlins i'm still up on the day with the A's hopefully close it out strong with another tie. i was worried about getting screwed with all my marlins props, but they made me a winner hitting the +500. and the wsox tie was perfect. even for .5 a +525 can really lift you up. only game i lost on was the mets and i dug a little hole but still had a shot.

[kingdom]

i realized i am also up because i followed conqueror's play in pimike's thread. i will have to thank him. wnba ny liberty -1.5

[pimike]

i realized i am also up because i followed conqueror's play in pimike's thread. i will have to thank him. wnba ny liberty -1.5

Good stuff!!!

[kingdom]

Good stuff!!!

F*ck Oakland A's. until tomorrow lol. they screwed me 2 days in a row. but they haven't countless times. A's are good money. ususally.

[kingdom]

Good stuff!!!

no doubt. i blindly tailed.kid is on fire. got it in right after 7 pm and got my live bet in. and the sox hit! it's a good night...

[pimike]

no doubt. i blindly tailed.kid is on fire. got it in right after 7 pm and got my live bet in. and the sox hit! it's a good night...

Fun when we win.

Nice to have solid posters that are about helping instead of looking to only troll.

[kingdom]

playing all games first 5 and backing up with tie first 5 on 3 way line. cws, stl, oak, and sea. no capping today. just gut feeling. gl

[kingdom]

great night with the clean sweep. 2 ties for +475 and +550 and 2 wins. maybe this capping stuff is overrated lol.
maybe coulda been better with full games, but they were pretty stress free wins.

[kingdom]

I don't feel great about any games. feel good about wsox. playing my 3 way lines 5 inning. going mostly plus money teams. angels +160, tie +475. marlins +130, tie +550. cleve +210, tie +400. wsox -1 -115, tie +425. cards +120, tie +600. i already have a bunch of games but probly gonna add late nl games also.

[kingdom]

i played marlins on 1st 5 +130 separate from 3 way line. just the tie on 3 way.

[kingdom]

Twins seem to be coming along. i like them over the royals. took em on the 5 inn. 3 way at -125 and tie +575. i studied the stros game the most. strange situational pitching with both guys getting healthy. i just took hou +120 3 way and tie +500. i feel like i'm playing alot of games. funny when you don't love any games you can find alot that you like lol.

[kingdom]

I don't feel great about any games. feel good about wsox. playing my 3 way lines 5 inning. going mostly plus money teams. angels +160, tie +475. marlins +130, tie +550. cleve +210, tie +400. wsox -1 -115, tie +425. cards +120, tie +600. i already have a bunch of games but probly gonna add late nl games also.

added A's to angels bet. didn't feel comfortable. if oak wins i would have lost 2 bets. now if they win i only lose the .5 and a winner with other 2 outcomes.

[kingdom]

Last 5 starts against the dodgers, AD is 0-5 losing by a combined 30-6 giving up 24 ER. he's probably scared of that blue right now. Beuhler has a stat of 9-0 last 3 years in home start after the pen gave up 3 runs or more the previous day. the rl is 7-2 so apparently he gives them good innings and the pen tightens up. his o/u at home is 9-27-3. i got lad -130 3 way and +475 tie

https://killersports.com/mlb/query?sdql=starter%3DWalker%20Buehler%20and%20H%20and%20p%3ABPRA%3E%3D3%20and%20rest%3D0%20and%20date%3E%3D20180608

[kingdom]

saved by the westcoast. dodgers fighting back to tie in the 5th and the A's getting the draw. marlins were so close and cards had my back as always. the only game i liked wsox didn't even play. minny shitt the bed. had a great number on cleveland, but that rook wasn't ready.

[kingdom]

rockies 5 inning live +210/tie +350.

[kingdom]

Phi 5 inning +135/425 tie. TB full game -120

[kingdom]

surprised cubs are -115. taking them 5 inning +120 and full game. wsox expensive so played them to score first -135. added 5 inning tie +575. nats 5 inning +130/tie +425. if you can get pinny lines the cubs +141 on 5 inning 3 way. i can't unfortunately.