Hotcross MLB 2019 Thread

[hotcross]

just updating this game, pulled Margevicius with 1 out in bottom of 2nd after allowing 8 runs on 11 hits

He is responsible for the 2 baserunners if they score

And its the rookie Colorado pitcher Lambert who gets his second hit and RBI to drive one of those runners in

Long way to go in the game, but this is comical almost

[sosawestbrook]

SDP-COL series has been insane. might clear 30 runs this game. sheesh

[hotcross]

14-13 Padres win with 4 runs in the top 9th. First some clutch hitting as Greg Garcia tripled off Wade Davis with two outs to tie the game. Then one of the stranger things you'll see - 2x intentional walks to the 7th and 8th place hitters to load the bases and what happens next, pinch hitter draws a walk to force in the go-ahead run. Somewhat fishy, I guess moreso for anyone who bet the Rockies.

[hotcross]

Results: June 16 = -4.19 units (3-5 W/L)
OVERALL: -12.11 units (61-69-4 W/L/D)


3-5 W/L today playing underdogs in 8 of the games. Lost both of the big bets today (-4 units x 2 right there).

Toronto would have been a better contributor to positive units today had I played the +200 ML instead of the Team Total vs. Houston. Surprise type of game there with Toronto winning 12-0 score.

Anyway, not too disappointed as it was probably too many picks, with about 18 units at risk. Honestly, I was fooled on a couple picks - Philly got blown out (-1 unit), and San Fran (-4 units) too big of a risk amount on that team trying to sweep Milwaukee - Giants did have baserunners a few times but couldn't do any damage.

[hotcross]

Monday June 17

UNDER 11 -111 LAA@TOR // 2.22 units to win 2


still working on the later games....Lots of rainy weather in the forecasts today, and for the week it seems

[hotcross]

adding ::

UNDER 5.5 -137 CLE@TEX first five innings *buy 0.5 runs // 1 unit to win 0.73

UNDER 6 -110 BOS@MINN first five innings // 1.10 units to win 1

BOSTON +140 first five innings moneyline // 2 units to win 2.80
*push if tied end five inn.

BOSTON +133 ML (full game) // 2 units to win 2.66

UNDER 8 +100 MIAM@STL // 1 unit to win 1


still looking at the West coast games....

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adding ::

MIAMI +1.5 +105 runline // 1 unit to win 1.05

MIAMI +210 ML // 1 unit to win 2.10


I couldn't resist, the Marlins beat Mikolas and the Cardinals just a few days ago 9-0

[hotcross]

Let me do this again and just post my leans on the late games, decided not to bet any of these:

Not official plays:
MILW +107
BALT +215
KC -105 first five
LAD -1.5 -135

[hotcross]

Results: June 17 = +2.24 units (4-4 W/L)
OVERALL: -9.87 units (65-73-4 W/L/D)


Wasted 2 units by adding the Marlins, but did not waste any units on my late night leans, which all lost again!

[hotcross]

Tuesday June 18

PITTSBURGH -160 ML // 8.05 units to win 5


Pay the big juice on this interleague matchup of two bad teams Detroit at Pittsburgh

[hotcross]

throwing error on a bunt by the rookie pitcher gives Detroit 2 unearned runs, ugh

they might have charged Jung Ho Kang with the error on the catch at 3rd base

3 errors in by Pirates so far in the game, only top 4th

[hotcross]

actually Pirates committed both errors on two consecutive plays

Not an error-prone team, I look at that, Pirates rank in the middle

[hotcross]

game update: Pirates tie it up in the bottom 7th after the relief pitcher for the Tigers paid back with a throwing error of his own, allowing Kang to reach first then second base. Score 4-4 but Pirates did strand runners at 2nd and 3rd base right there when Starling Marte struck out on a full count chasing a changeup in the dirt. Marte is 0-4 with two strikeouts in this game.

Sweating this garbage and still don't like the looks of it

[hotcross]

Results: June 18 = -8.05 units (0-1 W/L)
OVERALL: -17.92 units (65-74-4 W/L/D)

Put all my eggs in the wrong basket with tonight's pick. -161 ML was actually the price I paid.

[hotcross]

Thursday June 20

HOUSTON +122 ML // 5 units to win 6.10

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Bad couple of picks in a row. I'll play a few tonight... first the early games....

Friday June 21

SAN DIEGO -0.5 +129 first five innings (alt.line) // 1 unit to win 1.29

SAN DIEGO +100 ML (full game) // 2 units to win 2

PARLAY 2-TEAMS @ + 185
>NY YANKEES -155 ML
>TEXAS -136 ML
Risk 2 units to win 3.70

[hotcross]

adding ::

UNDER 11.5 -115 CHW@TEX // 2.30 units to win 2


still checking some things on the West coast games....

[hotcross]

adding ::

ARIZONA -140 ML // 7 units to win 5

BALTIMORE +172 ML // 2 units to win 3.42

[hotcross]

Results: June 20, 21 = -8.05 units (1-6 W/L)
OVERALL: -34.92 units (66-80-4 W/L/D)

Took a big haircut this week. Back down to season low. Will post through the day as I go, starting with the early games.


Saturday June 22

UNDER 8.5 +100 NYM@CHC // 1 unit to win 1

NY METS -1.5 +190 alternative runline // 1 unit to win 1.90

[hotcross]

LA ANGELS +105 first five innings moneyline // 4 units to win 4.20
*push if tied end five inn.


now onto the 4pm eastern starting games....

[hotcross]

OVER 9 -115 TB@OAK // 4.60 units to win 4

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LIVE - LA ANGELS +1.5 +120 runline (score 0-2 end 5th inn.) // 2 units to win 2.40

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WASHINGTON -106 ML // 2.12 units to win 2

UNDER 5.5 +100 ATL@WSH first five innings // 2.25 units to win 2.25

COLORADO +1.5 +115 runline // 2 units to win 2.30

UNDER 10 +100 HOU@NYY // 2 units to win 2

[hotcross]

CHW WHITE SOX +0.5 +130 first five innings // 4 units to win 5.20

CHW WHITE SOX +170 ML (full game) // 1 unit to win 1.70

[hotcross]

ARIZONA -123 ML // 6.15 units to win 5

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UNDER 10 -110 SF@ARIZ // 2.20 units to win 2


let's see if I can't lose every Total pick today!!!

[hotcross]

Looking at this play-by-play of the top of the 3rd inning in Arizona makes me sick.

I'll be on a break for awhile after today. Too much chasing

[hotcross]

Results: June 22 = -17.19 units (3-10 W/L)
OVERALL: -52.11 units (69-90-4 W/L/D)

Really gotta try hard to be this bad.

13 plays and could only pick 3 good ones today. Totals picks went 0-5 for -12.05 units.

[hotcross]

Monday July 1

OVER 10 -110 MILW@CIN // 1.10 units to win 1

CINCINNATI +100 ML // 1 unit to win 1

BALTIMORE +244 ML // 1 unit to win 2.44

PITTSBURGH +114 ML // 1.50 units to win 1.71

PITTSBURGH -1.5 +210 alternative runline // 1 unit to win 2.10

SAN FRANCISCO +152 ML // 1 unit to win 1.52

SAN FRANCISCO -1.5 +240 alternative runline // 1 unit to win 2.40


coming back in with a lot of volume on the underdogs for tonight's short card

[hotcross]

Results: July 1 = +6.73 units (5-2 W/L)
OVERALL: -45.38 units (74-92-4 W/L/D)

Teams are just beyond the halfway point of the regular season, with the All-Star Game coming up next week.

My picks had much better results today. Although it might have looked like I was just dart-throwing a bunch of underdogs, there were actual reasons for the picks.....
You know, the same way I had reasons for losing the first -52 units.

But now as July arrives, and the 2nd half of the season, could mark the turn around of my results.
18-picks below .500 on the win/loss, just like the Miami Marlins right now.

[hotcross]

Tuesday July 2

BALTIMORE +283 ML // 1 unit to win 2.83

NY METS +127 ML // 2 units to win 2.54

CINCINNATI -101 ML // 1.01 units to win 1


Baltimore and Cincy are both just chases for a unit each like yesterday.

I'm gonna have to return with any later game picks......

[hotcross]

adding ::

OVER 10.5 -115 LAA@TEX // 4.60 units to win 4

UNDER 13 -110 HOU@COL // 1.10 unit to win 1

[hotcross]

Results: July 2 = +5.44 units (3-2 W/L)
OVERALL: -39.94 units (77-94-4 W/L/D)

Wed. July 3

BALTIMORE +193 ML // 1 unit to win 1.93

CINCINNATI -1.5 +140 runline // 1 unit to win 1.40



Seems like weather is favorable for Overs in most of the 7pm eastern starts early games especially, but my methods indicate Unders would be played if not considering weather. So its a pass on totals for me.

Will be back with any later games here shortly.

[hotcross]

adding ::

KANSAS CITY +142 ML // 1 unit to win 1.42

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adding ::

MINNESOTA +101 ML // 2 units to win 2.02