Hotcross MLB 2019 Thread

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Results: Oct.4 = +1.10 units (1-0 W/L)
PLAYOFFS: +3.30 units (2-0 W/L)


This won by 1-0 score, but I won't be betting on the Braves anymore. Totally outclassed in the series, and Acuna acting like a complete clown, only matter of time before he really costs them in a crucial spot. Management should have made sure to get his attitude corrected, and its obvious they weren't able to, which tells me about them, too. Beyond his baloney in game 1, Acuna was lollygagging a bloop hit today, not that he was ever gonna catch it, but didn't play it cleanly.....figure he'll miss one when its important. Not the type of guy I'd want on my team. More than just Acuna, Braves don't deserve to win and aren't equipped to handle any adversity.

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Sunday Oct.6

SERIES WASHINGTON +155 (odds: tied 1-1 games) // 2 units to win 3.10


if this goes to game 5 back in Los Angeles, doubt WSH will be this big of a dog in that game

if they never go back to LA, that means Washington has won of course

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game notes: by the way, Acuna did it AGAIN in the Braves at Cardnals game, think it was his second plate appearance hit a deep fly out to centerfield that initially looked like it might go, and there Acuna was holding the bat, not running out of the box.

What if the catch wasn't made?

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another game note from Sunday's game Braves at Cardinals: this was well-documented on the TBS network postgame show....

Another clown identified in this series, Carlos Martinez, the St.Louis "closer" (former starting pitcher, but has been in the closer role much of this season because he's apparently the best the Cardinals can put in there).

This began in game 1 on Thursday, Oct.3 in which the Cardinals scored 4 runs in the top of the 9th to break the 3-3 tie score and take a 7-3 lead. Martinez walks the leadoff hitter Billy Hamilton, about the worst thing he could do, Hamilton is a below-average hitter but has excellent speed on the bases. Next hitter, gives up a homerun to Acuna. Gets the next out, but then gives up another homerun, solo-shot for Freeman, before getting the final two batters to get the Cardinals victory by 7-6 score. Starts to yell some trash-talk towards the Braves dugout before his catcher Yadier Molina comes out and forcefully pulls him away with a celebratory hug.

Fast-forward to Sunday, Oct.6 when Martinez is brought in for the top of the 9th. His mind not focused when he came in to protect the Cardinals 1-0 lead. Allows a leadoff double to Josh Donaldson, but then strikes out the next two Braves hitters, looking good. Now the bench makes the decision to intentionally walk Brian McCann, to give the possibility of a force-out at any base. But Martinez foils that plan by giving up another double, this time to Dansby Swanson, batting in the 8 spot in the Braves lineup. Then a backbreaker single to the pinch-hitter in the 9 spot Adam Duvall, which gives the Braves a 3-1 lead. Brings up Acuna, he works a full-count before Martinez throws 99 mph up-and-in to walk him, with undertones of it being a "message" pitch for the previous game 1 homerun.

So the headcase players on each team have developed bad-blood towards each other. Go figure.

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Monday Oct.7

WASHINGTON -120 ML // 2.40 units to win 2

pending:: SERIES WASHINGTON +155 (odds: tied 1-1 games) // 2 units to win 3.10


I just don't want to believe Washington fails to win a home game in this series. Side note, Alexander Ovechkin from the Capitals hockey team will throw out the ceremonial first pitch at tonight's game.

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Results: Oct.6,7,9 = +5.10 units (2-0 W/L)
PLAYOFFS: +8.40 units (4-0 W/L)


Washington won game 4 on Monday Oct.7 and game 5 on Wed. Oct.9 to take the series.


next pick locked in this overnight line for Rays at Astros >>


Thursday Oct.10

TAMPA BAY +1.5 +105 runline // 5 units to win 5.25


Risking 5 units of my playoff winnings on the Tampa +1.5 runline.

I might add a unit or two of Tampa moneyline before gametime tomorrow. Currently +231 odds available on the moneyline. Kinda want to see how it moves, although it could lose some value.

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Results: Oct.10 = -5.00 units (0-1 W/L)
PLAYOFFS: +3.40 units (4-1 W/L)

That was a bad mistake going with Tampa in game 5, thought I saw something that wasn't there

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Saturday Oct.12 - ALCS game 1


HOUSTON -1 -112 runline *buy 0.5 run // 4.48 units to win 4


Game about to start.

Reason here is Houston lost the last 4 games of the ALCS last year to Boston (including all 3 home games), and will be at home ready to avenge those losses. Greinke needs a playoff win, I think he will do what he normally does which is go deep and allow a run or two, which should be good enough.

[hotcross]

Results: Oct.12 = -4.48 units (0-1 W/L)
PLAYOFFS: -1.08 units (4-2 W/L)


Sunday Oct.13 - ALCS game 2

HOUSTON -0.5 -120 first five innings spread // 1.80 units to win 1.50

Listed pitchers = James Paxton at Justin Verlander

I've lost out the past 2 games involving Houston. Taking a different approach tonight with a smaller wager on the first five innings spread. For reference, Houston first five moneyline is around -200

If Houston gets behind early and doesn't cover this first five innings, I'll be firing one unit LIVE at the full-game moneyline at improved odds than what they are pre-game around -168

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not really any chance to get a great Live number on the Astros, until the Yankees get a runner on base with the score tied 2-2 late, in which case it wouldn't make much sense

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Results: Oct.13 = -1.80 units (0-1 W/L)
PLAYOFFS: -2.88 units (4-3 W/L)


Keep finding ways to lose now.

Put in a Futures wager on Washington at the best price I found to win the World Series. Although they could certainly lose today against Flaherty and the Cardinals, so I'd probably add another unit at better odds if that happens.


WORLD SERIES CHAMPIONS = WASHINGTON +225 // 1 unit to win 2.25

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Tuesday Oct.15 - NLCS game 4

ST.LOUIS +150 ML // 1 unit to win 1.50

UNDER 7.5 -105 // 1.05 units to win 1

In my way of thinking, there's a lot of reasons why St.Louis can win a tight game 4 in Washington tonight. The main obvious problem is their hitters have been ice-cold, although they showed a little bit of a pulse the third time through the lineup Monday night against Strasburg, which isn't a huge bright spot, but some life signs.

Not gonna spend time on a big writeup for this. I think the game will be tight in the early innings. Might add another unit LIVE on St.Louis depending on the game flow and odds available.

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Tuesday Oct.15 - ALCS game 3

HOUSTON -146 ML // 2.92 units to win 2


Astros should view this as a must-win game, which they are expected to win, Gerrit Cole starting the game and I think they will be able to score in the late innings.

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Results: Oct.15 = -0.05 units (1-2 W/L)
PLAYOFFS: -2.93 units (5-5 W/L)

Saturday Oct.19 - ALCS game 6


HOUSTON -126 ML // 6.30 units to win 5
*action regardless of starting pitchers


Going with my read that this series would not see a game 7



Pending: WORLD SERIES CHAMPIONS = WASHINGTON +225 // 1 unit to win 2.25

[hotcross]

Results: Oct.19 = +5.00 units (1-0 W/L)
PLAYOFFS: +2.07 units (6-5 W/L)


Playoff record up-to-date. Will be working on potential picks for the World Series games.

Pending: WORLD SERIES CHAMPIONS = WASHINGTON +225 // 1 unit to win 2.25

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Wed. Oct.23 - World Series game 2

HOUSTON -177 ML // 8.85 units to win 5

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Results: Oct.23 = -8.85 units (0-1 W/L)
PLAYOFFS: -6.78 units (6-6 W/L)


That hurt Game 2 in Houston was tight until the Astros pitching and defense fell apart in the top of the 7th inning.


Friday Oct.25 - World Series game 3


UNDER 8.5 -107 HOU@WSH // 3.21 units to win 3

PARLAY 2-LEGS @ +2.25:
> HOUSTON -147 ML
> UNDER 8.5 -107
Risk 2 units to win 4.50



There are 2 bets here. Straight bet on the Under, and a Parlay of Houston winning with the Under.


Pending: WORLD SERIES CHAMPIONS = WASHINGTON +225 // 1 unit to win 2.25

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Results: Oct.25 = +7.50 units (2-0 W/L)
PLAYOFFS: +0.72 units (8-6 W/L)


Back in the win column, nailed this game.

They are saying Houston will go with a "Bullpen game 4" on Saturday, against Washington starter Patrick Corbin. But who knows which of the pitchers who are the known starters could be used in the game.


Pending: WORLD SERIES CHAMPIONS = WASHINGTON +225 // 1 unit to win 2.25

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Sat. Oct.26

UNDER 4.5 -110 HOU@WSH first five innings // 1.32 units to win 1.20

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adding ::

HOUSTON -105 ML // 2.10 units to win 2


these two picks both for Game 4 of the World Series.
Odds offered on the moneyline must be so tight because it still looks like a "must win" for the Astros. Looks really strange when you have Astros throwing a bullpen game, vs. Washington starter Patrick Corbin.

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Results: Oct.26 = +3.20 units (2-0 W/L)
PLAYOFFS: +3.92 units (10-6 W/L)


Bullseye again in game 4.

I'm probably gonna stay away from Game 5 on Sunday Night. Common sense says Washington gets a win at home. But then I started thinking, does the road team win every game in this series somehow. I'll give it some more thought today.


Pending: WORLD SERIES CHAMPIONS = WASHINGTON +225 // 1 unit to win 2.25

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Tuesday Oct.29

UNDER 7.5 -120 WSH@HOU // 6 units to win 5

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adding ::

EXTRA INNINGS YES PROP +800 WSH@HOU // 1 unit to win 8

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Wed. Oct.30

LIVE WASHINGTON +457 ML (score: 0-2 going to top 7th inning) // 1 unit to win 4.57

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Results: Oct.29,30 = -0.18 units (2-2 W/L) includes Futures bet Washington
PLAYOFFS: +3.74 units (12-8 W/L)
REGULAR SEASON: +9.24 units (179-214-15 W/L/D = .455 pct)

https://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/baseball-betting/3534767-hotcross-mlb-2019-thread-p10.html#post28933016

OVERALL: +12.98 units (191-222-15 W/L/D = .462 pct)



That's a wrap on the 2019 MLB season

Washington Nationals win the 115th World Series Championship