Modified Chase System (Covers, +RL)

**billdo75** · 08-29-09, 02:06 AM

Cardinals lose 3-2. Parlays went 1-3 for +0.29 unit. Updated records:

I. Standard -1½ RL with no cap:
A plays: 21-19 L3, +4.66 units
B plays: 10-9 L1, +4.89 units
C plays: 3-5 L5, -3.72 units
D plays: 4-1 W4, +20.71 units
E plays: 0-1 L1, -9.57 units
F plays: 1-0 W1, +19.62 units
Chase record: 39-0, +36.59 units **Chasing**
Results: BBACCBAACBABABAAAFAABBDBAAAAADAADAAAADB

II. Standard -1½ RL with chase capped at C bets:
A plays: 25-20 L2, +7.83 units
B plays: 10-10 L1, +3.15 units
C plays: 4-5 L4, -0.16 units
Chase record: 39-5, +10.82 units **Chasing**
Results: BBACCBAACBABABAAAXCAABBXABAAAAAXAAAXAAAA AXAB

III. Hedged -1 RL with no cap:
A plays: 25-15-5 L1, +12.11 units
B plays: 7-7-2 L3, +2.48 units
C plays: 3-4-0 W1, -0.99 units
D plays: 4-0-2 W4, +24.58 units
Chase record: 39-0, +38.18 units **Chasing**
Results: BBACABAACBAAAAAAADAABBDBAAAAADAADAAAACA

IV. Hedged -1 RL with chase capped at C bets:
A plays: 29-15-7 L1, +16.11 units
B plays: 7-7-2 L3, +2.48 units
C plays: 3-4-0 W1, -0.99 units
Chase record: 39-4, +17.60 units **Chasing**
Results: BBACABAACBAAAAAAAXAAABBXABAAAAAXAAAXAAAA ACA

All filtered plays at -1½: 100-113, +7.61 units, +4.31% ROI
All filtered plays at -1: 100-78-35 +8.62 units, +3.38% ROI
All unfiltered plays at -1½: 60-59, -8.75 units, -6.16% ROI
All unfiltered plays at -1: 60-47-12, -17.81 units, -8.82% ROI

Parlays: 16-114, -15.61 units

**billdo75** · 08-29-09, 11:50 AM

Play for 8/29/2009:

C - Philadelphia Phillies -1½ +110 (-200 ML / 5th), 3.11 to win 3.42 unit

Other qualifying games on record:
St Louis Cardinals +120 / -175
Boston Red Sox +115 / -170

Non-qualifying games on record:
Los Angeles Angels -110 / -260
Chicago Cubs -125 / -240
Milwaukee Brewers -125 / -230
Florida Marlins -125 / -210
Los Angeles Dodgers -125 / -160

Parlays:
4 - 3x 2 teams, 1x 3 teams using PHI/STL/BOS, 1.00 to win 4.95 units overall.

**VegasPlayer** · 08-29-09, 10:18 PM

Got a push on the Phillies RL & 1 of the parlays. Game was called before 9 full innings.

**billdo75** · 08-30-09, 11:17 AM

Do-over. Phillies game was ruled NO ACTION after 8. Updated records:

I. Standard -1½ RL with no cap:
A plays: 21-19 L3, +4.66 units
B plays: 10-9 L1, +4.89 units
C plays: 3-5 L5, -3.72 units
D plays: 4-1 W4, +20.71 units
E plays: 0-1 L1, -9.57 units
F plays: 1-0 W1, +19.62 units
Chase record: 39-0, +36.59 units **Chasing**
Results: BBACCBAACBABABAAAFAABBDBAAAAADAADAAAADB

II. Standard -1½ RL with chase capped at C bets:
A plays: 25-20 L2, +7.83 units
B plays: 10-10 L1, +3.15 units
C plays: 4-5 L4, -0.16 units
Chase record: 39-5, +10.82 units **Chasing**
Results: BBACCBAACBABABAAAXCAABBXABAAAAAXAAAXAAAA AXAB

III. Hedged -1 RL with no cap:
A plays: 25-15-5 L1, +12.11 units
B plays: 7-7-2 L3, +2.48 units
C plays: 3-4-0 W1, -0.99 units
D plays: 4-0-2 W4, +24.58 units
Chase record: 39-0, +38.18 units **Chasing**
Results: BBACABAACBAAAAAAADAABBDBAAAAADAADAAAACA

IV. Hedged -1 RL with chase capped at C bets:
A plays: 29-15-7 L1, +16.11 units
B plays: 7-7-2 L3, +2.48 units
C plays: 3-4-0 W1, -0.99 units
Chase record: 39-4, +17.60 units **Chasing**
Results: BBACABAACBAAAAAAAXAAABBXABAAAAAXAAAXAAAA ACA

All filtered plays at -1½: 101-114, +7.74 units, +4.34% ROI
All filtered plays at -1: 101-78-36 +9.62 units, +3.74% ROI
All unfiltered plays at -1½: 63-61, -8.10 units, -5.47% ROI
All unfiltered plays at -1: 63-49-12, -18.41 units, -8.74% ROI

Parlays: 17-117, -15.43 units

**billdo75** · 08-30-09, 11:43 AM

"

**billdo75** · 08-30-09, 11:19 PM

Angels win 9-1. Parlays went 1-3 for +0.15 unit. Updated records:

I. Standard -1½ RL with no cap:
A plays: 21-19 L3, +4.66 units
B plays: 10-9 L1, +4.89 units
C plays: 4-5 W1, -0.30 units
D plays: 4-1 W4, +20.71 units
E plays: 0-1 L1, -9.57 units
F plays: 1-0 W1, +19.62 units
Chase record: 40-0, +40.01 units
Results: BBACCBAACBABABAAAFAABBDBAAAAADAADAAAADBC

II. Standard -1½ RL with chase capped at C bets:
A plays: 25-20 L2, +7.83 units
B plays: 10-10 L1, +3.15 units
C plays: 5-5 W1, +3.26 units
Chase record: 40-5, +14.24 units
Results: BBACCBAACBABABAAAXCAABBXABAAAAAXAAAXAAAA AXABC

III. Hedged -1 RL with no cap:
A plays: 25-15-5 L1, +12.11 units
B plays: 8-7-2 W1, +4.31 units
C plays: 3-4-0 W1, -0.99 units
D plays: 4-0-2 W4, +24.58 units
Chase record: 40-0, +40.01 units
Results: BBACABAACBAAAAAAADAABBDBAAAAADAADAAAACAB

IV. Hedged -1 RL with chase capped at C bets:
A plays: 29-15-7 L1, +16.11 units
B plays: 8-7-2 W1, +4.31 units
C plays: 3-4-0 W1, -0.99 units
Chase record: 40-4, +19.43 units
Results: BBACABAACBAAAAAAAXAAABBXABAAAAAXAAAXAAAA ACAB

All filtered plays at -1½: 103-115, +8.97 units, +4.96% ROI
All filtered plays at -1: 103-78-37 +11.62 units, +4.45% ROI
All unfiltered plays at -1½: 64-64, -11.10 units, -7.24% ROI
All unfiltered plays at -1: 64-50-14, -19.53 units, -8.93% ROI

Parlays: 18-120, -15.28 units

**russwlms** · 08-31-09, 07:42 AM

nice!

**billdo75** · 08-31-09, 10:44 AM

Play for 8/31/2009:

A - Los Angeles Dodgers -1½ +110 (-180 ML / 2nd), 0.91 to win 1.00 unit

Other qualifying games on record:
Texas Rangers +110 / -170
Florida Marlins +135 / -165
Chicago Cubs +140 / -160

Non-qualifying games on record:
New York Yankees -110 / -185

Parlays:
4 - 3x 2 teams, 1x 3 teams using LAD/TEX/FLO, 1.00 to win 5.16 units overall.

**ankh4all2** · 08-31-09, 11:12 AM

Great work.. keep it up! And thank again!!!!

**billdo75** · 09-01-09, 10:49 AM

Play for 9/1/2009:

B - St Louis Cardinals -1½ +110 (-200 ML / T-3rd), 1.74 to win 1.91 unit

Other qualifying games on record:
Chicago Cubs +105 / -185
Philadelphia Phillies +105 / -185
Texas Rangers +135 / -170

Non-qualifying games on record:
Colorado Rockies -120 / -235
Detroit Tigers +100 / -210
Los Angeles Dodgers +100 / -200
New York Yankees -120 / -185
Boston Red Sox -110 / -175

Parlays:
4 - 3x 2 teams, 1x 3 teams using STL/CHC/PHI, 1.00 to win 4.41 units overall.

**mikey360** · 09-01-09, 10:00 PM

St Louis somehow managed to win again by 1 run

**AceofSP2107** · 09-01-09, 10:47 PM

that was ugly

**BlueJays** · 09-02-09, 05:41 AM

Yesterday 7 games were won/lost by one point, so this Rl system becomes really risky. I lost on STL and PHI and I don't think it's smart to chase them.

**Josu** · 09-02-09, 07:32 AM

Just my luck, up by three with one inning to go, and Cardinals let them have 2 runs, yay.

**russwlms** · 09-02-09, 08:06 AM

**billdo75** · 09-02-09, 09:39 AM

Cardinals lose 7-6. Parlays went 0-4 for -1.00 unit. Updated records:

I. Standard -1½ RL with no cap:
A plays: 21-20 L4, +3.75 units
B plays: 10-10 L2, +3.15 units
C plays: 4-5 W1, -0.30 units
D plays: 4-1 W4, +20.71 units
E plays: 0-1 L1, -9.57 units
F plays: 1-0 W1, +19.62 units
Chase record: 40-0, +37.36 units **Chasing**
Results: BBACCBAACBABABAAAFAABBDBAAAAADAADAAAADBC

II. Standard -1½ RL with chase capped at C bets:
A plays: 25-21 L3, +6.92 units
B plays: 10-11 L2, +1.41 units
C plays: 5-5 W1, +3.26 units
Chase record: 40-5, +11.59 units **Chasing**
Results: BBACCBAACBABABAAAXCAABBXABAAAAAXAAAXAAAA AXABC

III. Hedged -1 RL with no cap:
A plays: 25-16-5 L2, +11.20 units
B plays: 8-7-3 W1, +4.31 units
C plays: 3-4-0 W1, -0.99 units
D plays: 4-0-2 W4, +24.58 units
Chase record: 40-0, +39.10 units **Chasing**
Results: BBACABAACBAAAAAAADAABBDBAAAAADAADAAAACAB

IV. Hedged -1 RL with chase capped at C bets:
A plays: 29-16-7 L2, +15.20 units
B plays: 8-7-3 W1, +4.31 units
C plays: 3-4-0 W1, -0.99 units
Chase record: 40-4, +18.52 units **Chasing**
Results: BBACABAACBAAAAAAAXAAABBXABAAAAAXAAAXAAAA ACAB

All filtered plays at -1½: 105-121, +5.83 units, +3.11% ROI
All filtered plays at -1: 105-82-39 +8.79 units, +3.24% ROI
All unfiltered plays at -1½: 69-65, -7.10 units, -4.44% ROI
All unfiltered plays at -1: 69-50-15, -14.53 units, -6.37% ROI

Parlays: 18-124, -16.28 units

**billdo75** · 09-02-09, 11:03 AM

Play for 9/2/2009:

C - Texas Rangers -1½ +105 (-200 ML / 4th), 3.48 to win 3.65 unit

Other qualifying games on record:
Los Angeles Dodgers +125 / -180
Oakland Athletics +125 / -160
Atlanta Braves +105 / -160
Detroit Tigers +125 / -150

Non-qualifying games on record:
Colorado Rockies -135 / -290
St Louis Cardinals -135 / -290
New York Yankees -145 / -260
Chicago Cubs -105 / -215
Philadelphia Phillies -105 / -215

**ankh4all2** · 09-02-09, 11:15 AM

Thnx Billdo75

**AceofSP2107** · 09-02-09, 01:21 PM

billdo cards won last night 7-6 but were you quoting to the system?

**JamboDB** · 09-02-09, 02:47 PM

Nice thread, gonna start to night. Thank you for your great work.

**Blargh** · 09-02-09, 03:12 PM

Using SBR openers and Pinnacle RLs.
I have the Cubs today at +103 for an A game.
Looking to end a streak of four straight B chases.
Got the Rockies yesterday at +105.

I have been playing this modified verison and the verision it was based on.
Since July 9, the original RL chase is 32-18 (biggest fav on +1.5 RL)
Since July 12 the modified verision (using SBR opener and Pinnacle RLs) is 34-15

This system has a better record while laying less chalk at the same time.

**mikeveli20** · 09-02-09, 07:52 PM

Originally posted by Blargh

Using SBR openers and Pinnacle RLs.
I have the Cubs today at +103 for an A game.
Looking to end a streak of four straight B chases.
Got the Rockies yesterday at +105.

I have been playing this modified verison and the verision it was based on.
Since July 9, the original RL chase is 32-18 (biggest fav on +1.5 RL)
Since July 12 the modified verision (using SBR opener and Pinnacle RLs) is 34-15

This system has a better record while laying less chalk at the same time.

This is the exact way I play it.

**jasDace** · 09-03-09, 12:25 AM

bildo, great system and thanks. started using it 3 days ago and have been 3-0. glad you won the C bet today. My line is different than yours and so I have been lucky. keep up the good work

**billdo75** · 09-03-09, 09:34 AM

Rangers won 6-4. Updated records:

I. Standard -1½ RL with no cap:
A plays: 21-20 L4, +3.75 units
B plays: 10-10 L2, +3.15 units
C plays: 5-5 W2, +3.35 units
D plays: 4-1 W4, +20.71 units
E plays: 0-1 L1, -9.57 units
F plays: 1-0 W1, +19.62 units
Chase record: 41-0, +41.01 units
Results: BBACCBAACBABABAAAFAABBDBAAAAADAADAAAADBC C

II. Standard -1½ RL with chase capped at C bets:
A plays: 25-21 L3, +6.92 units
B plays: 10-11 L2, +1.41 units
C plays: 6-5 W2, +6.91 units
Chase record: 41-5, +15.24 units
Results: BBACCBAACBABABAAAXCAABBXABAAAAAXAAAXAAAA AXABCC

III. Hedged -1 RL with no cap:
A plays: 25-16-5 L2, +11.20 units
B plays: 9-7-3 W2, +6.22 units
C plays: 3-4-0 W1, -0.99 units
D plays: 4-0-2 W4, +24.58 units
Chase record: 41-0, +41.01 units
Results: BBACABAACBAAAAAAADAABBDBAAAAADAADAAAACAB B

IV. Hedged -1 RL with chase capped at C bets:
A plays: 29-16-7 L2, +15.20 units
B plays: 9-7-3 W2, +6.22 units
C plays: 3-4-0 W1, -0.99 units
Chase record: 41-4, +20.43 units
Results: BBACABAACBAAAAAAAXAAABBXABAAAAAXAAAXAAAA ACABB

All filtered plays at -1½: 108-123, +7.08 units, +3.69% ROI
All filtered plays at -1: 108-84-39 +9.28 units, +3.34% ROI
All unfiltered plays at -1½: 73-66, -4.15 units, -2.50% ROI
All unfiltered plays at -1: 73-51-15, -12.15 units, -5.10% ROI

Parlays: 18-124, -16.28 units

**billdo75** · 09-03-09, 10:55 AM

Play for 9/3/2009:

A - St Louis Cardinals -1½ +110 (-200 ML / 3rd), 0.91 to win 1.00 unit

Other qualifying games on record:
Chicago Cubs +110 / -185

Non-qualifying games on record:
Colorado Rockies -130 / -265
Los Angeles Dodgers -110 / -210

**billdo75** · 09-04-09, 10:37 AM

Cardinals lose 3-4. Updated records:

I. Standard -1½ RL with no cap:
A plays: 21-21 L5, +2.84 units
B plays: 10-10 L2, +3.15 units
C plays: 5-5 W2, +3.35 units
D plays: 4-1 W4, +20.71 units
E plays: 0-1 L1, -9.57 units
F plays: 1-0 W1, +19.62 units
Chase record: 41-0, +40.10 units **Chasing**
Results: BBACCBAACBABABAAAFAABBDBAAAAADAADAAAADBC C

II. Standard -1½ RL with chase capped at C bets:
A plays: 25-22 L4, +6.01 units
B plays: 10-11 L2, +1.41 units
C plays: 6-5 W2, +6.91 units
Chase record: 41-5, +14.33 units **Chasing**
Results: BBACCBAACBABABAAAXCAABBXABAAAAAXAAAXAAAA AXABCC

III. Hedged -1 RL with no cap:
A plays: 25-17-5 L3, +10.29 units
B plays: 9-7-3 W2, +6.22 units
C plays: 3-4-0 W1, -0.99 units
D plays: 4-0-2 W4, +24.58 units
Chase record: 41-0, +40.10 units **Chasing**
Results: BBACABAACBAAAAAAADAABBDBAAAAADAADAAAACAB B

IV. Hedged -1 RL with chase capped at C bets:
A plays: 29-17-7 L3, +14.29 units
B plays: 9-7-3 W2, +6.22 units
C plays: 3-4-0 W1, -0.99 units
Chase record: 41-4, +19.52 units **Chasing**
Results: BBACABAACBAAAAAAAXAAABBXABAAAAAXAAAXAAAA ACABB

All filtered plays at -1½: 108-125, +5.26 units, +2.72% ROI
All filtered plays at -1: 108-86-39 +6.50 units, +2.32% ROI
All unfiltered plays at -1½: 74-67, -4.45 units, -2.64% ROI
All unfiltered plays at -1: 74-52-15, -13.21 units, -5.47% ROI

Parlays: 18-124, -16.28 units

**billdo75** · 09-04-09, 10:52 AM

Play for 9/4/2009:

B - Atlanta Braves -1½ +110 (-185 ML / T-3rd), 1.74 to win 1.91 unit

Other qualifying games on record:
Texas Rangers +120 / -150
Philadelphia Phillies +130 / -150

Non-qualifying games on record:
Los Angeles Dodgers -145 / -275
St Louis Cardinals -155 / -250
Chicago Cubs -110 / -185
Los Angeles Angels -110 / -165

**billdo75** · 09-05-09, 12:31 AM

Braves lose 1-3. Updated records:

I. Standard -1½ RL with no cap:
A plays: 21-21 L5, +2.84 units
B plays: 10-11 L3, +1.41 units
C plays: 5-5 W2, +3.35 units
D plays: 4-1 W4, +20.71 units
E plays: 0-1 L1, -9.57 units
F plays: 1-0 W1, +19.62 units
Chase record: 41-0, +38.36 units **Chasing**
Results: BBACCBAACBABABAAAFAABBDBAAAAADAADAAAADBC C

II. Standard -1½ RL with chase capped at C bets:
A plays: 25-22 L4, +6.01 units
B plays: 10-12 L3, -0.33 units
C plays: 6-5 W2, +6.91 units
Chase record: 41-5, +12.59 units **Chasing**
Results: BBACCBAACBABABAAAXCAABBXABAAAAAXAAAXAAAA AXABCC

III. Hedged -1 RL with no cap:
A plays: 25-17-5 L3, +10.29 units
B plays: 9-8-3 L1, +4.48 units
C plays: 3-4-0 W1, -0.99 units
D plays: 4-0-2 W4, +24.58 units
Chase record: 41-0, +38.36 units **Chasing**
Results: BBACABAACBAAAAAAADAABBDBAAAAADAADAAAACAB B

IV. Hedged -1 RL with chase capped at C bets:
A plays: 29-17-7 L3, +14.29 units
B plays: 9-8-3 L1, +4.48 units
C plays: 3-4-0 W1, -0.99 units
Chase record: 41-4, +17.78 units **Chasing**
Results: BBACABAACBAAAAAAAXAAABBXABAAAAAXAAAXAAAA ACABB

All filtered plays at -1½: 109-127, +4.58 units, +2.34% ROI
All filtered plays at -1: 109-88-39 +5.05 units, +1.78% ROI
All unfiltered plays at -1½: 75-70, -7.10 units, -4.09% ROI
All unfiltered plays at -1: 75-54-16, -15.92 units, -6.40% ROI

Parlays: 18-124, -16.28 units

**billdo75** · 09-05-09, 10:57 AM

Play for 9/5/2009:

C - Texas Rangers -1½ +115 (-160 ML / 6th), 3.17 to win 3.65 unit

Other qualifying games on record:
Oakland Athletics +135 / -150

Non-qualifying games on record:
Atlanta Braves -150 / -260
Los Angeles Dodgers -120 / -230
Chicago Cubs -115 / -185
New York Yankees -125 / -180
Tampa Bay Devil Rays +100 / -175
Florida Marlins -125 / -175

**ankh4all2** · 09-05-09, 01:35 PM

Looks Good

**billdo75** · 09-06-09, 01:23 AM

Rangers lose 4-5. Updated records:

I. Standard -1½ RL with no cap:
A plays: 21-21 L5, +2.84 units
B plays: 10-11 L3, +1.41 units
C plays: 5-6 L1, +0.18 units
D plays: 4-1 W4, +20.71 units
E plays: 0-1 L1, -9.57 units
F plays: 1-0 W1, +19.62 units
Chase record: 41-0, +35.19 units **Chasing**
Results: BBACCBAACBABABAAAFAABBDBAAAAADAADAAAADBC C

II. Standard -1½ RL with chase capped at C bets:
A plays: 25-22 L4, +6.01 units
B plays: 10-12 L3, -0.33 units
C plays: 6-6 L1, +3.74 units
Chase record: 41-6, +9.42 units
Results: BBACCBAACBABABAAAXCAABBXABAAAAAXAAAXAAAA AXABCCX

III. Hedged -1 RL with no cap:
A plays: 25-17-5 L3, +10.29 units
B plays: 9-8-3 L1, +4.48 units
C plays: 3-5-0 L1, -4.16 units
D plays: 4-0-2 W4, +24.58 units
Chase record: 41-0, +35.19 units **Chasing**
Results: BBACABAACBAAAAAAADAABBDBAAAAADAADAAAACAB B

IV. Hedged -1 RL with chase capped at C bets:
A plays: 29-17-7 L3, +14.29 units
B plays: 9-8-3 L1, +4.48 units
C plays: 3-5-0 L1, -4.16 units
Chase record: 41-5, +14.61 units
Results: BBACABAACBAAAAAAAXAAABBXABAAAAAXAAAXAAAA ACABBX

All filtered plays at -1½: 110-128, +4.71 units, +2.38% ROI
All filtered plays at -1: 110-89-39 +4.84 units, +1.69% ROI
All unfiltered plays at -1½: 79-72, -5.60 units, -3.09% ROI
All unfiltered plays at -1: 79-56-16, -15.46 units, -5.97% ROI

Parlays: 18-124, -16.28 units

**billdo75** · 09-06-09, 11:13 AM

Play for 9/5/2009:

D - Atlanta Braves -1½ +105 (-185 ML / 3rd), 6.50 to win 6.82 unit

Other qualifying games on record:
Chicago Cubs +105 / -160
New York Yankees +105 / -155

Non-qualifying games on record:
Colorado Rockies -120 / -230
Los Angeles Dodgers +100 / -210
Philadelphia Phillies -130 / -180
St Louis Cardinals -120 / -180
Los Angeles Angels -110 / -175

**ankh4all2** · 09-06-09, 11:49 AM

GL

**EXhoosier10** · 09-06-09, 04:14 PM

Looks like we'll be playing to win 13 and some change tomorrow barring some kind of walk off HR

**mikey360** · 09-06-09, 08:13 PM

Originally posted by EXhoosier10

Looks like we'll be playing to win 13 and some change tomorrow barring some kind of walk off HR

The strike rate has been quite bad the last two weeks, I read someone mentioned that favs in these latter stages of the season tend to be higher juice, im just wondering if effectively games that used to be +105 to +115 are now in the -105 to -115 range and the favs we take on this are not quite so good anymore, might be something or nothing, hopefully things balance out soon.