Modified Chase System (Covers, +RL)

**AceofSP2107** · 08-23-09, 11:21 AM

billdp when u mean Hedged -1 RL does that mean the team wins by 1 run or they have to win by 2 i just dont understand that section ?

**billdo75** · 08-23-09, 11:41 AM

Play for 8/23/2009:

C - Los Angeles Dodgers -1½ +120 (-175 ML / 3rd), 2.81 to win 3.37 unit

Other qualifying games on record:
Tampa Bay Devil Rays +135 / -165
Atlanta Braves +155 / -160

Non-qualifying games on record:
Chicago White Sox -120 / -240
Philadelphia Phillies -105 / -185
St Louis Cardinals -115 / -170
Seattle Mariners +100 / -150

Parlays:
4 - 3x 2 teams, 1x 3 teams using LAD/TBD/ATL, 1.00 to win 6.49 units overall.

**billdo75** · 08-23-09, 11:46 AM

Originally posted by AceofSP2107

billdp when u mean Hedged -1 RL does that mean the team wins by 1 run or they have to win by 2 i just dont understand that section ?

A hedged -1 RL is where you make a money line bet to cover any potential loss on the standard -1½ run line. There was some explanation of how to do that a few posts back. It causes a push on a 1 run win, rather than a loss, but at an inflated price. For example, on all the +RL plays, the average true price for a -1 RL is -120. The -RL plays I list have an average true price of -168. You eliminate those 1 run losses, but the straight-up losses hurt more.

**ZBOIZ** · 08-23-09, 02:04 PM

Since Tampa Bay and Atlanta is looking bad that mean the Dodgers must be a solid play today. I'm just scared of the sweep factor. Even though I know the Cubs are terrible on the road.

**BlueJays** · 08-23-09, 06:43 PM

Looks like this is the third loss in a row! It's getting hot in here!

**kimbluntzz** · 08-23-09, 09:10 PM

i think bet D tomorrow is COL, i kinda like boston tomorrow as a D but i will follow the leader

**billdo75** · 08-23-09, 10:11 PM

Dodgers lose 1-3. Parlays went 0-4 for -1.00 unit. Updated records:

I. Standard -1½ RL with no cap:
A plays: 21-17 L1, +6.36 units
B plays: 9-8 L3, +4.61 units
C plays: 3-5 L5, -3.72 units
D plays: 3-1 W3, +14.53 units
E plays: 0-1 L1, -9.57 units
F plays: 1-0 W1, +19.62 units
Chase record: 37-0, +31.83 units **Chasing**
Results: BBACCBAACBABABAAAFAABBDBAAAAADAADAAAA

II. Standard -1½ RL with chase capped at C bets:
A plays: 24-18 L1, +8.53 units
B plays: 9-9 L3, +2.87 units
C plays: 4-5 L4, -0.16 units
Chase record: 37-5, +11.24 units
Results: BBACCBAACBABABAAAXCAABBXABAAAAAXAAAXAAAA AX

III. Hedged -1 RL with no cap:
A plays: 24-14-4 L1, +11.94 units
B plays: 7-7-1 L3, +2.48 units
C plays: 2-4-0 L4, -4.29 units
D plays: 4-0-2 W4, +24.58 units
Chase record: 37-0, +34.71 units **Chasing**
Results: BBACABAACBAAAAAAADAABBDBAAAAADAADAAAA

IV. Hedged -1 RL with chase capped at C bets:
A plays: 28-14-6 L1, +15.94 units
B plays: 7-7-1 L3, +2.48 units
C plays: 2-4-0 L4, -4.29 units
Chase record: 37-4, +14.13 units **Chasing**
Results: BBACABAACBAAAAAAAXAAABBXABAAAAAXAAAXAAAA A

All filtered plays at -1½: 94-104, +8.91 units, +5.42% ROI
All filtered plays at -1: 94-72-32 +7.74 units, +3.26% ROI
All unfiltered plays at -1½: 49-44, -2.50 units, -2.26% ROI
All unfiltered plays at -1: 49-34-10, -7.81 units, -5.03% ROI

Parlays: 15-102, -13.40 units

The C bets have now lost 5 straight after starting 3-0. On the other hand, the D bets have won the last 3 after dropping the first one. We'll see if that pattern continues tomorrow. Luckily, my other picks have been doing pretty good and they've been helping to take some of the sting out of this chase. Hope we end it tomorrow!

**FreeFall** · 08-23-09, 11:36 PM

Billdo how far down do you chase it?

**billdo75** · 08-24-09, 12:20 AM

I will chase it as far as I can. Losing an F bet would probably put me in a bad position to catch up, but I'm hoping it won't come to that...

**billdo75** · 08-24-09, 11:27 AM

Play for 8/24/2009:

D - Colorado Rockies -1½ +115 (-175 ML / 5th), 5.37 to win 6.18 unit

Other qualifying games on record:
None

Non-qualifying games on record:
Philadelphia Phillies -165 / -300
Minnesota Twins +100 / -235
Milwaukee Brewers -115 / -185
Boston Red Sox -110 / -180

Parlays:
None

**EXhoosier10** · 08-24-09, 11:39 AM

what exactly are you chasing? You bet on Atlanta a few days ago and the lost as a B bet i think. So obviously you aren't chasing the team itself after it is the highest ML with a +RL.

Do you just keep playing the highest ML team with +RL until the system itself wins and then restart with an A bet after that win?

So it's more of a chase of the ML with good RL than chasing a team, correct?

**ankh4all2** · 08-24-09, 11:50 AM

Correct

**jj28** · 08-25-09, 12:40 AM

so is tommorrow the yankees?
they at -180 / +110

**AceofSP2107** · 08-25-09, 12:41 AM

unrealllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllll llllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllll lllllllllllllllllllllll

wow im so happy i stood up all this time

**AceofSP2107** · 08-25-09, 12:42 AM

i think iv just had a flash in my vison i cant belive iv just seen this happen goood hit everone good job

**brandon m** · 08-25-09, 12:52 AM

Wow walk off grandslam, doesn't get any better than that!

**mikeveli20** · 08-25-09, 12:53 AM

Congrats to everyone who had the Rockies. I had the Red Sox so I cashed on that play earlier, but I had the Rockies on another bet and couldn't believe it either. How does SF walk a pitcher with the bases loaded???

**jj28** · 08-25-09, 01:16 AM

holy shoot!!!!!!!!!!

i thought we lost so i already pounded on the yanks tomorrow b/c i thought we were having a bet E. hahahaha. Unreal. That was insane. Pitcher has to bat b/c no pinch hitters left, gets walked bases loaded, grand slam for the 2 point win. hahaha. hope my book lets me cancel the yanks bet. lol. Wow. That was the only way we can win, and we won. MUHAHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHHA.

**jj28** · 08-25-09, 01:17 AM

my goodness. imagine all the people that bet on SF. They probably went to sleep thinhking they won. wow. what a rude awakening tommorow morning.

**AceofSP2107** · 08-25-09, 01:20 AM

yeah who ever took sf probly will look at the score and have like the worst day like thats the worst feeling when you wake up and see that terrible final for the oppiste end of your bet

**SKiLLsSoLoN** · 08-25-09, 02:28 AM

Originally posted by billdo75

Play for 8/24/2009:

D - Colorado Rockies -1½ +115 (-175 ML / 5th), 5.37 to win 6.18 unit

Other qualifying games on record:
None

Non-qualifying games on record:
Philadelphia Phillies -165 / -300
Minnesota Twins +100 / -235
Milwaukee Brewers -115 / -185
Boston Red Sox -110 / -180

Parlays:
None

I took them today and what a crazy @$$ day!

**billdo75** · 08-25-09, 08:43 AM

Rockies win 6-4 in dramatic fashion

Updated records:

I. Standard -1½ RL with no cap:
A plays: 21-17 L1, +6.36 units
B plays: 9-8 L3, +4.61 units
C plays: 3-5 L5, -3.72 units
D plays: 4-1 W4, +20.71 units
E plays: 0-1 L1, -9.57 units
F plays: 1-0 W1, +19.62 units
Chase record: 38-0, +38.01 units
Results: BBACCBAACBABABAAAFAABBDBAAAAADAADAAAAD

II. Standard -1½ RL with chase capped at C bets:
A plays: 25-18 W1, +9.53 units
B plays: 9-9 L3, +2.87 units
C plays: 4-5 L4, -0.16 units
Chase record: 38-5, +12.24 units
Results: BBACCBAACBABABAAAXCAABBXABAAAAAXAAAXAAAA AXA

III. Hedged -1 RL with no cap:
A plays: 24-14-4 L1, +11.94 units
B plays: 7-7-1 L3, +2.48 units
C plays: 3-4-0 W1, -0.99 units
D plays: 4-0-2 W4, +24.58 units
Chase record: 38-0, +38.01 units
Results: BBACABAACBAAAAAAADAABBDBAAAAADAADAAAAC

IV. Hedged -1 RL with chase capped at C bets:
A plays: 28-14-6 L1, +15.94 units
B plays: 7-7-1 L3, +2.48 units
C plays: 3-4-0 W1, -0.99 units
Chase record: 38-4, +17.43 units
Results: BBACABAACBAAAAAAAXAAABBXABAAAAAXAAAXAAAA AC

All filtered plays at -1½: 95-104, +9.91 units, +6.00% ROI
All filtered plays at -1: 95-72-32 +8.74 units, +3.67% ROI
All unfiltered plays at -1½: 52-45, -0.50 units, -0.43% ROI
All unfiltered plays at -1: 52-34-11, -4.98 units, -3.06% ROI

Parlays: 15-102, -13.40 units

**billdo75** · 08-25-09, 10:58 AM

Play for 8/25/2009:

A - Minnesota Twins -1½ +115 (-180 ML / 4th), 0.87 to win 1.00 unit

Other qualifying games on record:
Los Angeles Angels +115 / -175
St Louis Cardinals +120 / -170
Kansas City Royals +130 / -165
Tampa Bay Devil Rays +115 / -155

Non-qualifying games on record:
Boston Red Sox -155 / -325
Atlanta Braves -125 / -255
Chicago Cubs -125 / -255
New York Yankees -105 / -185
Philadelphia Phillies -115 / -185

Parlays:
4 - 3x 2 teams, 1x 4 teams using MIN/LAA/STL, 1.00 to win 5.06 units overall.

**jj28** · 08-25-09, 02:39 PM

Bildo, would yankess be a play as well. they were at -180 / +110

**FreeFall** · 08-25-09, 05:40 PM

When are you stopping this? I just dropped my unit by a half b/c of last nights scare to my BR, but is there a final date?

**DaChosen1FoSho** · 08-25-09, 06:16 PM

Subscribed for when I'm in Vegas next week.

**billdo75** · 08-26-09, 09:50 AM

Originally posted by FreeFall

When are you stopping this? I just dropped my unit by a half b/c of last nights scare to my BR, but is there a final date?

I don't have any plans to stop it. I'm going to roll with it right up until the playoffs. We'll see how it goes...

**billdo75** · 08-26-09, 09:57 AM

Twins lose 7-6. Parlays went 0-4 for -1.00 unit. Updated records:

I. Standard -1½ RL with no cap:
A plays: 21-18 L2, +5.49 units
B plays: 9-8 L3, +4.61 units
C plays: 3-5 L5, -3.72 units
D plays: 4-1 W4, +20.71 units
E plays: 0-1 L1, -9.57 units
F plays: 1-0 W1, +19.62 units
Chase record: 38-0, +37.14 units **Chasing**
Results: BBACCBAACBABABAAAFAABBDBAAAAADAADAAAAD

II. Standard -1½ RL with chase capped at C bets:
A plays: 25-19 L1, +8.66 units
B plays: 9-9 L3, +2.87 units
C plays: 4-5 L4, -0.16 units
Chase record: 38-5, +11.37 units **Chasing**
Results: BBACCBAACBABABAAAXCAABBXABAAAAAXAAAXAAAA AXA

III. Hedged -1 RL with no cap:
A plays: 24-14-5 L1, +11.94 units
B plays: 7-7-1 L3, +2.48 units
C plays: 3-4-0 W1, -0.99 units
D plays: 4-0-2 W4, +24.58 units
Chase record: 38-0, +38.01 units
Results: BBACABAACBAAAAAAADAABBDBAAAAADAADAAAAC

IV. Hedged -1 RL with chase capped at C bets:
A plays: 28-14-7 L1, +15.94 units
B plays: 7-7-1 L3, +2.48 units
C plays: 3-4-0 W1, -0.99 units
Chase record: 38-4, +17.43 units
Results: BBACABAACBAAAAAAAXAAABBXABAAAAAXAAAXAAAA AC

All filtered plays at -1½: 97-107, +9.34 units, +5.51% ROI
All filtered plays at -1: 97-73-34 +9.47 units, +3.87% ROI
All unfiltered plays at -1½: 53-49, -4.20 units, -3.44% ROI
All unfiltered plays at -1: 53-38-11, -11.11 units, -6.46% ROI

Parlays: 15-106, -14.40 units

**billdo75** · 08-26-09, 10:42 AM

Play for 8/26/2009:

B - New York Yankees -1½ +105 (-201 ML / 4th), 1.78 to win 1.87 unit

Other qualifying games on record:
Minnesota Twins +120 / -155

Non-qualifying games on record:
Chicago Cubs -140 / -280
Florida Marlins -125 / -240
Atlanta Braves -110 / -210
Milwaukee Brewers -110 / -180
Philadelphia Phillies -110 / -170

Parlays:
1 - 1x 2 teams using NYY/MIN, 0.50 to win 1.76 units overall.

**Blargh** · 08-26-09, 04:28 PM

Disclaimer: Before today and after tonight Yankees Suck!

**AceofSP2107** · 08-26-09, 06:01 PM

Originally posted by Blargh

Disclaimer: Before today and after tonight Yankees Suck!

hereee we goooooooooooo

**billdo75** · 08-27-09, 09:08 AM

Yankees win 9-2. Parlay went 0-1 for -0.50 unit. Updated records:

I. Standard -1½ RL with no cap:
A plays: 21-18 L2, +5.49 units
B plays: 10-8 W1, +6.48 units
C plays: 3-5 L5, -3.72 units
D plays: 4-1 W4, +20.71 units
E plays: 0-1 L1, -9.57 units
F plays: 1-0 W1, +19.62 units
Chase record: 39-0, +39.01 units
Results: BBACCBAACBABABAAAFAABBDBAAAAADAADAAAADB

II. Standard -1½ RL with chase capped at C bets:
A plays: 25-19 L1, +8.66 units
B plays: 10-9 W1, +4.74 units
C plays: 4-5 L4, -0.16 units
Chase record: 39-5, +13.24 units
Results: BBACCBAACBABABAAAXCAABBXABAAAAAXAAAXAAAA AXAB

III. Hedged -1 RL with no cap:
A plays: 25-14-5 W1, +12.94 units
B plays: 7-7-1 L3, +2.48 units
C plays: 3-4-0 W1, -0.99 units
D plays: 4-0-2 W4, +24.58 units
Chase record: 39-0, +39.01 units
Results: BBACABAACBAAAAAAADAABBDBAAAAADAADAAAACA

IV. Hedged -1 RL with chase capped at C bets:
A plays: 29-14-7 W1, +16.94 units
B plays: 7-7-1 L3, +2.48 units
C plays: 3-4-0 W1, -0.99 units
Chase record: 39-4, +18.43 units
Results: BBACABAACBAAAAAAAXAAABBXABAAAAAXAAAXAAAA ACA

All filtered plays at -1½: 98-108, +9.51 units, +5.55% ROI
All filtered plays at -1: 98-74-34 +9.20 units, +3.72% ROI
All unfiltered plays at -1½: 56-51, -3.40 units, -2.66% ROI
All unfiltered plays at -1: 56-40-11, -11.52 units, -6.38% ROI

Parlays: 15-107, -14.90 units

**billdo75** · 08-27-09, 10:48 AM

Play for 8/27/2009:

A - Milwaukee Brewers -1½ +120 (-148 ML / 8th), 0.83 to win 1.00 unit

Other qualifying games on record:
Seattle Mariners +130 / -145
Colorado Rockies +140 / -143

Non-qualifying games on record:
St Louis Cardinals -125 / -310
Atlanta Braves -120 / -250
Chicago Cubs -110 / -228
New York Yankees -120 / -220
Florida Marlins -125 / -200
Philadelphia Phillies -115 / -191
Los Angeles Angels -105 / -168

Parlays:
4 - 3x 2 teams, 1x 3 teams using MIL/SEA/COL, 1.00 to win 6.00 units overall.

**billdo75** · 08-28-09, 10:52 AM

Brewers lose 5-8. Parlays went 0-4 for -1.00 unit. Updated records:

I. Standard -1½ RL with no cap:
A plays: 21-19 L3, +4.66 units
B plays: 10-8 W1, +6.48 units
C plays: 3-5 L5, -3.72 units
D plays: 4-1 W4, +20.71 units
E plays: 0-1 L1, -9.57 units
F plays: 1-0 W1, +19.62 units
Chase record: 39-0, +38.18 units **Chasing**
Results: BBACCBAACBABABAAAFAABBDBAAAAADAADAAAADB

II. Standard -1½ RL with chase capped at C bets:
A plays: 25-20 L2, +7.83 units
B plays: 10-9 W1, +4.74 units
C plays: 4-5 L4, -0.16 units
Chase record: 39-5, +12.41 units **Chasing**
Results: BBACCBAACBABABAAAXCAABBXABAAAAAXAAAXAAAA AXAB

III. Hedged -1 RL with no cap:
A plays: 25-15-5 L1, +12.11 units
B plays: 7-7-1 L3, +2.48 units
C plays: 3-4-0 W1, -0.99 units
D plays: 4-0-2 W4, +24.58 units
Chase record: 39-0, +38.18 units **Chasing**
Results: BBACABAACBAAAAAAADAABBDBAAAAADAADAAAACA

IV. Hedged -1 RL with chase capped at C bets:
A plays: 29-15-7 L1, +16.11 units
B plays: 7-7-1 L3, +2.48 units
C plays: 3-4-0 W1, -0.99 units
Chase record: 39-4, +17.60 units **Chasing**
Results: BBACABAACBAAAAAAAXAAABBXABAAAAAXAAAXAAAA ACA

All filtered plays at -1½: 98-111, +7.19 units, +4.14% ROI
All filtered plays at -1: 98-77-34 +7.67 units, +3.06% ROI
All unfiltered plays at -1½: 57-57, -9.40 units, -6.91% ROI
All unfiltered plays at -1: 57-46-11, -19.20 units, -9.95% ROI

Parlays: 15-111, -15.90 units

**billdo75** · 08-28-09, 11:05 AM

Play for 8/28/2009:

B - St Louis Cardinals -1½ +115 (-185 ML / 5th), 1.59 to win 1.83 unit

Other qualifying games on record:
Arizona Diamondbacks +130 / -160
Los Angeles Angels +125 / -150
Florida Marlins +140 / -150

Non-qualifying games on record:
Chicago Cubs -125 / -260
Seattle Mariners -115 / -240
New York Yankees -110 / -235
Boston Red Sox -120 / -235
Los Angeles Dodgers -115 / -200

Parlays:
4 - 3x 2 teams, 1x 3 teams using STL/ARI/LAA, 1.00 to win 5.52 units overall.