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Tracking "Number of Innings in which a Run is Scored In" SYSTEM
Yea man deff dont apologize.
Your the one helping us out.
If anyone beaks you dont listen
because your doing an awesome job keep it up=)
Comment
JerseyShop101
Restricted User
09-04-08
2704
#72
Thanks guys.
WE KICK AZZ TODAY!!!!!!
Comment
JerseyShop101
Restricted User
09-04-08
2704
#73
DAY 11 June 20th PLAYS:
CWS/CINN UNDER 8 -120
OAK/SD UNDER 8.5 -120
TB/NYM OVER 7.5 -105 BEST BET
ATL/BOS OVER 8.5 +100
NYY/FLA OVER 8 -110
LAA/LOS OVER 8.5 -115
TOR -125
MINN -200
COL -163 BEST BET
LAA -170 BEST BET
After yesterdays loss, I'm only playing 9% and higher plays, staying away from the 6% games unless I have a really good reason.
Guys, I'm really confident in these plays today, although some really heavy juice, the stats support it. Also, I was asked to list my 3 BEST BETS and the reasons why. Here they are:
TB/NYM OVER 7.5 -105
Since 1 June:
TAM 47 140 0.34
NYM 39 145 0.27
0.61
Last 12 Days:
TAM 33 95 0.35
NYM 26 91 0.29
0.64
I love these numbers, with an average of 5.4 scoring innings, with the lower 7.5 Total. And I know, you will say SHIELDS vs. SANTANA, 2 of the best pitchers in the game? True, but Shields higher road ERA, of 4.15, and the fact that he gave up 4 runs to Wash in 6 innings in his last outing sounds good for the over when combined with Santana's last outing, in which he only lasted 3 innings versus the Mets- giving up 9 runs! And his previous game before that he gave up 5 runs in 7 innings against the Phils., This is an easy Over guys!!!
COLORADO -163
Since 1 June:
PIT 37 157 0.24
COL 48 129 0.37 0.13
0.61
Last 12 Days:
PIT 23 103 0.22
COL 34 93 0.37 0.15
0.59
Just looking at these stats, Colorado is still tearing it up. They are the leader in the Since 1 June stats and in 2nd place in the Last 12 weeks stats. Pittsburgh is in 27th and 28th place. Two teams going in different directions. Add in that Pitt is starting a rookie, he actually pitched 1 inning and got hurt, but could be batting practice for the Rockies today. Col starts Hammel who has won 4 in a row. In his last 3 starts he's only given up 5 runs in 18 innings. Hammel gets win number 5 easily.
LAA -170
Since 1 June:
LOS 35 147 0.24
LAA 49 140 0.35 0.09
0.59
Last 12 Days:
LOS 23 80 0.29
LAA 34 86 0.40 0.11
0.69
LAA with the hot bat just like COL. LAA ranks 2nd since 1 June, and is in 1st for the Last 12 Days. The Weaver brothers go against each other in this matchup, both are good but LAA's Jered Weaver, 7-2 2.08 ERA is better. Combine this with the fact that the Dodgers offense without Manny Ramirez absolutely sucks. The Dodgers are only averaging a little over three runs per game in their last 20 games. Angels win easily.
LETS KICK SOME AZZ TODAY GUYS!!!
Comment
JerseyShop101
Restricted User
09-04-08
2704
#74
HEY Guys, in case you don't know, Bookmaker has a $200 BLACKJACK Freeroll coming up this afternoon at 3:10pm
Its totally free to enter, I've won several times, its a lot of fun, and more importantly its free :>)
If you have an account your good to go, if not sign up and use promo code APLUS, this is listed in the SBR promotions.
TOTALLY FREE CONTEST!
TURN $0 INTO REAL CASH!
SIGN UP NOW AT (I took link out but its bookmaker.com)
USE PROMOTION CODE "APLUS"
RESERVE YOUR SEAT NOW!!!!
FREEROLL IS 3:00pm SATURDAY -
$200 BANKROLLER SATURDAY
Absolutely FREE to Enter! NO DEPOSIT REQUIRED!
Once signed up:
Log In
Click on "Multi-Player Blackjack" button
Click on Green "Lobby" button (Blackjack Tourney Window opens)
Make up a Screen name to use
Click on "Multi-Tournaments"
Click on "$200 Bankroller Saturday"
Click "Register" and YOUR IN!!
See you at the tables!
I'm registered as Topsterman, in case anyone is at the same table with me. Just take it easy on me.
Comment
JerseyShop101
Restricted User
09-04-08
2704
#75
I need those Cleveland relievers in this TB/Mets game!
Comment
peterpan19
Restricted User
11-02-08
3377
#76
2-8...lets rebound today...
Comment
JerseyShop101
Restricted User
09-04-08
2704
#77
No excuses, absolutely azz raped the last 2 days. Back to the drawing board.
June 20th PLAYS:
CWS/CINN UNDER 8 -120 LOST
OAK/SD UNDER 8.5 -120 LOST
TB/NYM OVER 7.5 -105 BEST BET LOST
ATL/BOS OVER 8.5 +100 LOST
NYY/FLA OVER 8 -110 LOST
LAA/LOS OVER 8.5 -115 WINNER
TOR -125 LOST
MINN -200 LOST
COL -163 BEST BET WINNER
LAA -170 BEST BET LOST
8 days of in the plus, followed by 3 down days. We all know there are always streaks in gambling, but damn- it just sucks.
Hope to get back on track today.
Comment
therber2
Restricted User
12-22-08
3715
#78
Originally posted by JerseyShop101
HEY Guys, in case you don't know, Bookmaker has a $200 BLACKJACK Freeroll coming up this afternoon at 3:10pm
Its totally free to enter, I've won several times, its a lot of fun, and more importantly its free :>)
If you have an account your good to go, if not sign up and use promo code APLUS, this is listed in the SBR promotions.
TOTALLY FREE CONTEST!
TURN $0 INTO REAL CASH!
SIGN UP NOW AT (I took link out but its bookmaker.com)
USE PROMOTION CODE "APLUS"
RESERVE YOUR SEAT NOW!!!!
FREEROLL IS 3:00pm SATURDAY -
$200 BANKROLLER SATURDAY
Absolutely FREE to Enter! NO DEPOSIT REQUIRED!
Once signed up:
Log In
Click on "Multi-Player Blackjack" button
Click on Green "Lobby" button (Blackjack Tourney Window opens)
Make up a Screen name to use
Click on "Multi-Tournaments"
Click on "$200 Bankroller Saturday"
Click "Register" and YOUR IN!!
See you at the tables!
I'm registered as Topsterman, in case anyone is at the same table with me. Just take it easy on me.
This probably isn't a good thing to post around here, but keep on truckin with the system you've got goin JS.
Comment
JerseyShop101
Restricted User
09-04-08
2704
#79
DAY 12 June 21st PLAYS:
CWS/CINN UNDER 8 -120
TX/SF UNDER 8 -115
MILW/DET OVER 8 EV BEST BET
STL/KC OV 8.5 EV
ARIZ SEA OV 7.5 -105
TB/NYM OV 8.5 -125
COL -139 BEST BET
TB -117
BOS -123 BEST BET
TOR -140 BEST BET
MINN -125
CLE +144
LAA -157
Comment
peterpan19
Restricted User
11-02-08
3377
#80
...one thing i say right here and right now... even if it is early... the Cin Under is toast... cws are hot today and harang is crap today...watching that game...what an idiot he is...
Comment
JerseyShop101
Restricted User
09-04-08
2704
#81
Originally posted by peterpan19
...one thing i say right here and right now... even if it is early... the Cin Under is toast... cws are hot today and harang is crap today...watching that game...what an idiot he is...
2 runs 5 hits already, is he pitching underhanded?
Comment
peterpan19
Restricted User
11-02-08
3377
#82
man was he lucky in the 2nd...
Comment
abc
SBR High Roller
09-30-08
240
#83
I didn't know you were an SBR frequenter also, Jersey. Sorry I've been MIA for a couple days.
Comment
JerseyShop101
Restricted User
09-04-08
2704
#84
Originally posted by abc
I didn't know you were an SBR frequenter also, Jersey. Sorry I've been MIA for a couple days.
Yeah I see we signed up about the same time, long time lurker though.
Comment
peterpan19
Restricted User
11-02-08
3377
#85
tb/nym over cashed...but I need 1 more run...got it at 9...so lets go TB...hehe yes
and stl/ kc too...
and det but not the over...3-1 so far...good start
Comment
JerseyShop101
Restricted User
09-04-08
2704
#86
Originally posted by peterpan19
tb/nym over cashed...but I need 1 more run...got it at 9...so lets go TB...hehe yes
and stl/ kc too...
and det but not the over...3-1 so far...good start
Ask and you shall receive,
Nice one!
Comment
peterpan19
Restricted User
11-02-08
3377
#87
oh hell no...a delay in the NYm game...
Comment
peterpan19
Restricted User
11-02-08
3377
#88
8-5...nice bounce back day...
Comment
JerseyShop101
Restricted User
09-04-08
2704
#89
Thanks peterpan19,
DAY 12 June 21st RESULTS:
CWS/CINN UNDER 8 -120 WINNER
TX/SF UNDER 8 -115 WINNER
MILW/DET OVER 8 EV BEST BET LOST
STL/KC OV 8.5 EV WINNER
ARIZ SEA OV 7.5 -105 LOST
TB/NYM OV 8.5 -125 WINNER
COL -139 BEST BET WINNER
TB -117 WINNER
BOS -123 BEST BET WINNER
TOR -140 BEST BET WINNER
MINN -125 LOST
CLE +144 LOST
LAA -157 LOST
8-5 +2.13
YTD (12 DAYS)
UNDERS 25-11-1 69% +12.70
OVERS where line is 9 or less 15-9-1 63% +5.20
OVERS where line is 9.5 or higher 2-8-1 20% -6.55
OVERS where the line is 9.5 or higher FADE PLAY 0-2 0% -2.05
9% and Up Plays 21-10 68% +8.21
6% and Up Plays 28-20 58% +2.89
Overall 70-50-3 58% +12.19
RYAN DEMPSTER - ERA WHIP
All Starts 3.92
Road Starts 3.76
Last 3 Starts 1.89
JAVIER VAZQUEZ - ERA WHIP
All Starts 3.41 1.007
Home Starts 3.66 0.921
Last 3 Starts 2.86 0.545
Although the Line of 7.5 is low, the below average scoring inning stats by both teams combined with the starting pitcher stats, make the UNDER the play here. It will be fun keeping track of the strikeouts in this game - around 15 maybe .
TODD WELLEMEYER
All Starts 5.36 1.587
Road Starts 5.16 1.517
Last 3 Starts 6.38 1.528
TIM REDDING
All Starts 6.27 1.606
Home Starts 8.18 1.455
Last 3 Starts 3.93 1.364
STL is 3-0 against the Mets this season. Looking at their last 12 games, especially and along with the pitching matchup, I see another STL win in a high scoring matchup.
STL -118
STL/Mets OVER 9.5 -105
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
SFO 44 168 0.26 0.03
OAK 41 180 0.23 0.49
SFO 25 96 0.26 0.04
OAK UN 8 22 100 0.22 0.48
JONATHAN SANCHEZ
All Games 5.43 1.729
Road Starts 6.60 1.833
Last 3 Starts 7.71 2.141
TREVOR CAHILL
All Starts 3.89 1.398
Home Starts 3.67 1.184
Last 3 Starts 2.45 1.255
Even with the high ERA in SF's Sanchez, I think this is a low scoring matchup, as both teams are scoring under average. Also Oakland has only scored 4 runs against SF in their last 5 games against them.
OAK/SF UNDER 8 EV
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
COL 56 146 0.38 0.04
LAA 54 158 0.34 0.73
COL OV 9 37 92 0.40 0.02
LAA 36 95 0.38 0.78
AARON COOK -
All Games 4.23 1.386
Road Starts 4.40 1.311
Last 3 Starts 2.14 1.048
MATT PALMER
All Games 4.13 1.270
Home Starts 3.24 1.140
Last 3 Starts 2.79 1.293
Number 1 Versus Number 2 in Both Charts. Couldn't of placed it any better. The problem is that both starting pitchers are performing absolutely great in their last 3 starts. But with the combined 73% and 78% combined for both charts, I just cannot resist not taking the OVER.
COL/LAA OVER 9 -120
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TODAY"S PLAYS:
CUBS/ATLANTA UNDER 7 -120
STL -118 BEST BET
STL/Mets OVER 9.5 -105
OAK/SF UNDER 8 EV
COL/LAA OVER 9 -120 BEST BET
Comment
sweetjones55
SBR Hall of Famer
04-07-09
5257
#93
I'm on that Col/LAA over. Let's cash this.
Scared money don't make money
182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
Comment
sweetjones55
SBR Hall of Famer
04-07-09
5257
#94
The Col/LAA over just jumped from -120 to -125. Makes me like my bet even better.
Scared money don't make money
182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
Comment
JerseyShop101
Restricted User
09-04-08
2704
#95
Originally posted by sweetjones55
I'm on that Col/LAA over. 57% on the public. I am going to side with my man jersey and the books. Let's cash this.
Hell yeah.
I fell asleep for that Fathers Day Blackjack Tourney, so I was too late to play, but I got to see you kicking azz, you had a huge chip lead. Did you make it to the final table?
Wish there was a prop for strikeouts in that ATL/CHI matchup, there at 9 already, I guessed 15.
Comment
sweetjones55
SBR Hall of Famer
04-07-09
5257
#96
LOL I thought that the tournament was accumulated chips so in the 1st table I kept going all in and winning. I won 9 out of the 10 hands and played 500-1000, which was the max, each time. I ended up with like 9500 after 1 round but it didn't matter because the chips didn't carry over. I did end up getting to the final round. Everyone at the final talbe was playing really cautious so I just said screw it I am going to go for the win, it was only a $42 top dollar prize. I ended up getting 5th place out of 200. Did you deactivate ur PM's because I pm'd you last night and it didn't go through?
Scared money don't make money
182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
Comment
rpbrownie
SBR Hustler
04-14-09
64
#97
Jeresey same thing happened with the tourney I signed up dosed off and was 7 mins late. BOL tonight
Comment
JerseyShop101
Restricted User
09-04-08
2704
#98
Originally posted by sweetjones55
LOL I thought that the tournament was accumulated chips so in the 1st table I kept going all in and winning. I won 9 out of the 10 hands and played 500-1000, which was the max, each time. I ended up with like 9500 after 1 round but it didn't matter because the chips didn't carry over. I did end up getting to the final round. Everyone at the final talbe was playing really cautious so I just said screw it I am going to go for the win, it was only a $42 top dollar prize. I ended up getting 5th place out of 200. Did you deactivate ur PM's because I pm'd you last night and it didn't go through?
I got an infraction for sending out those Pms so my PMs are disabled, Sorry SBR.
I'm not sure when I will get the PM feature back. Hopefully soon.
I also post across the street if you cant get a hold of me here.
Comment
peterpan19
Restricted User
11-02-08
3377
#99
2-1 start...lets go at least 2-0 in the late slot
GL
Comment
JerseyShop101
Restricted User
09-04-08
2704
#100
I called 15 strikeouts for that ATL/Cuns game. It landed exactly on 15, wish there was a prop for that :>)
Definitely peterpan19!
Comment
sweetjones55
SBR Hall of Famer
04-07-09
5257
#101
Originally posted by sweetjones55
I'm on that Col/LAA over. Let's cash this.
Thanks for the picks tonight. I cashed this over nicely and also parlayed the over with Col. I also tailed that Braves under. 3-0 for the night
Scared money don't make money
182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
Comment
peterpan19
Restricted User
11-02-08
3377
#102
4-1 day... looks like the loosing days are behind us... now on to a full day of action... guess we will have a ton of plays again today...
GL
Comment
JerseyShop101
Restricted User
09-04-08
2704
#103
Great stuff, thanks guys, will post plays a little later. peterpan19- currently looking at a max of 11 possibilities, but have to review some more stats- special thanks to CURIOUS for some very helpful info!
Here's the balance sheet >
Comment
JerseyShop101
Restricted User
09-04-08
2704
#104
DAY 13 - June 22nd Results
CUBS/ATLANTA UNDER 7 -120 WINNER
STL -118 (11%) BEST BET LOST
STL/Mets OVER 9.5 -105 WINNER
OAK/SF UNDER 8 EV WINNER
COL/LAA OVER 9 -120 BEST BET WINNER
4-1 +2.82
YTD (13 DAYS)
UNDERS 27-11-1 71% +14.70
OVERS where line is 9 or less 16-9-1 64% +6.20
OVERS where line is 9.5 or higher 3-8-1 27% -5.55
OVERS where the line is 9.5 or higher FADE PLAY 0-2 0% -2.05
9% and Up Plays 21-11 66% +7.03
6% and Up Plays 28-21 57% +1.71
Overall 74-51-3 59% +15.01