JT - MLB picks

[Bogart45]

I just found this thread, good job here. I think what people (like me) want to know is what info do you look at most on these sites? For me, I'm trying to figure out how to do this on my own and there's a lot of info on these sites. Would you be willing to share this? Thanks.

I've recently gotten some messages regarding my picks and how they are derived. Let me say, I'm in no position to post write-ups because it is a certain system I use with a variety of factors. In addition, picking +70% requires a lot of luck. For those of you who are new, thespread.com and vegasinsider are 2 great places to do research and readup on matchups. In addition, I see many people posting a plethora of picks daily, its best to filter out games based on criteria and try to have around 3-4 picks a day (subject to change based upon matchups). If you ever have a question/concern I'll be more than happy to assist, and best of luck to all in the future.

Games I'm looking at for tonight include:
Atl/ Pitt -early lean towards ATL
Min/ Oak- early lean towards Oak, no play yet on either.

[jasont]

AL RL +150 - Risking 3 units - Going with the better lineup - top to bottom.

[jasont]

Thanks Jello and Bogart. As far as things I look for- I don't want to mention many of the details of the system- as it is unprofitable once the secrets out. But certain info that I look for on these sites amongst others is :

For batters: OBP- this is the one of heaviest aspects of my decisions. I not only look at them the entire year, but over the past 7 games especially. This may be considered common knowledge but the pitcher batter career numbers is HUGE as well.

For pitchers- the number one thing I look at is the WHIP AND the difference between the ER and R allowed by the pitcher. That difference generally shows the poise and mental toughness a pitcher may have. I especially zone in on the last 3 starts of the pitcher and Road/Home numbers These stats mixed with line movements should make for a good year if one has the time to research. GL.

[jasont]

Also adding to win 3 units AL ML -103

[Bogart45]

Interesting, thanks jason.

[jasont]

1 play so far today: Nationals (as much as I hate them) to beat the Cubs. I can't back an inconsistent Harden and go against the RLM in favor of the Nationals. Nationals Risk 3 units +112. GL.

[jasont]

Nationals remind me once again why I hate them.

Parlay- SD + LAA - 3 units to win 10.59.

- out of the 2 plays I like SD more...again my more confident plays are in the 4-6+ range.

[jasont]

Lost 6 units yesterday.

As for today 2 parlays:

1) Reds + Marlins 3.4 units to win 8.75
2) cubs, braves, toronto, U151.5 dream/fever 1.5 units to win 11.56

[jasont]

Fk the Marlins, walking Bako for Werth...morons.

New Record
YTD
43-29 + 47.95 units
Parlays
4-10 -3.35 units

[jasont]

Braves to win 4 units -115.

[jasont]

Parlay- RISK 3 UNITS TO WIN 9.27 Cle + Washington - lining up with the books and two bad teams, but they should get it done today. As far as the open wager, Braves should be winning the game by 2+ runs, still a lot of time left with the mets bullpen.

[jasont]

FKIN JOKE...bases loaded AGAIN and these clowns can't bring anyone in. Hate when my perfect reads don't pan out.

[jasont]

YTD
43-30 +43.35 UNITS

PARLAYS
4-11
-6.35 UNITS


Back for more...
RAYS- -147 to win 6 units

[jasont]

YTD
44-30
+49.35 units

PARLAYS
4-11
-6.35 UNITS


A ton of risky games tomorrow, time to stand right next to the books.

[jasont]

Cubs -112
Brewers -115
CWS -150

All value plays as I think they should be favored by much more. Each to win 3 units.

[1st and Ten]

I give you a lot of credit to play Bookmakers numbers for MLB. Excellent Thread...Good Luck in 2010!

[jasont]

Thanks man...I kept up with the thread as long as possible. GL to you as well!