JT - MLB picks

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  • jasont
    SBR MVP
    • 02-24-08
    • 1227

    #71
    Originally posted by The_Beast_Capper
    Where you at Jason???? Tailing some of these other guys is killing me.
    Had a series of arduous projects, plus I don't get time to post here before game time. I know a lot of people are obsessed with time stamps.

    I'll try to post more often, stay tuned.
    Comment
    • jasont
      SBR MVP
      • 02-24-08
      • 1227

      #72
      1 small play for 7et game

      Parlay- 2 teams
      Cleveland -120, Blue Jays -230
      Risk 2 units to win 3.26 units

      Joel P. has recently had great difficulty getting hitters out, Cleveland hitters have been as patient as any in the league, especially in the past few days. Hafner is back and the Cleveland offense is clicking, I believe they score just enough runs to win this game over the relatively hot Stl. Offense. The Blue Jays line has dropped significantly, with people looking for value on Nolasco. I'm playing this the other way because EVEN WITH A -230 line, there is some decent value with Halladay. This is just a small play, might post other plays later. Tail with caution.
      Comment
      • jasont
        SBR MVP
        • 02-24-08
        • 1227

        #73
        Way to screw with my parlay Halladay, the last 3 times I've laid fkin chalk on this guy, he has lost. This injury is pretty intriguing, especially since the line dropped so drastically in favor of the Marlins. Oh well, guess we'll never know. Anyways down 2 units today in baseball, made it back in WNBA.

        I'll go back to straight wagers for a while. Looking at tomorrow, there is some good money to be made. The O/U on some games look too easy, stay tuned. Feel free to post any ideas/plays and I'll let you know if I like them.

        Straight MLB YTD
        26-9-1 +46.03

        Parlays
        0-1 - 2units


        PS: To the skeptics, I really am capping 70+% on posted plays (check the time stamps), so quit sending junk messages.
        Comment
        • jasont
          SBR MVP
          • 02-24-08
          • 1227

          #74
          1 ET PLAY

          BlueJays -144 - To win 3 units.

          Although I hate the chalk, its the right play here with the line movements. The matchups might suggest otherwise, but one can easily get trapped by the numbers. A lot of people on this site on the Marlins...just be careful.
          Comment
          • rake922
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 12-23-07
            • 11692

            #75
            damn .....26-9
            Comment
            • jasont
              SBR MVP
              • 02-24-08
              • 1227

              #76
              Originally posted by rake922
              damn .....26-9
              A lot of good fortune.
              Comment
              • jasont
                SBR MVP
                • 02-24-08
                • 1227

                #77
                Blue Jays look like shit. According to the tracker, they have a 5% chance at winning this game.

                2 small adds
                Parlay Risking 1.5 units to win 3.77 Stl -109 & O10.5 on the same game

                Straight- Mets ML +170
                Risking 1.5 units to win 2.55 units
                Comment
                • rake922
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 12-23-07
                  • 11692

                  #78
                  Originally posted by jasont
                  According to the tracker, they have a 5% chance at winning this game.
                  where can I find this tracker you speak of

                  thanks
                  Comment
                  • jasont
                    SBR MVP
                    • 02-24-08
                    • 1227

                    #79
                    Rake922, ESPN when you open MLB gamecast.


                    2 units risking on
                    Nationals +148
                    Red Sox +120
                    Comment
                    • jasont
                      SBR MVP
                      • 02-24-08
                      • 1227

                      #80
                      Today
                      parlay
                      u9 balt/atl -120 pitt -134
                      Comment
                      • jasont
                        SBR MVP
                        • 02-24-08
                        • 1227

                        #81
                        Risk 2 units to win 4.28 on the parlay.

                        As for yesterdays plays
                        Straight 2-2 -1.37 units

                        Parlay 0-1 -1.5 units


                        YTD
                        Straight
                        28- 11 +44.06 unists
                        Parlays 0-2 -3.5 units
                        Comment
                        • jasont
                          SBR MVP
                          • 02-24-08
                          • 1227

                          #82
                          Sorry for the late add, game starts in 10 min, been busy.

                          U8.5 -115 LA/SF to win 3 units
                          Comment
                          • jasont
                            SBR MVP
                            • 02-24-08
                            • 1227

                            #83
                            Originally posted by jasont
                            Risk 2 units to win 4.28 on the parlay.

                            As for yesterdays plays
                            Straight 2-2 -1.37 units

                            Parlay 0-1 -1.5 units


                            YTD
                            Straight
                            28- 11 +44.06 unists
                            Parlays 0-2 -3.5 units

                            The parlay lost so

                            YTD
                            Straight
                            28- 11 +44.06 units
                            Parlays 0-3 -5.5 units
                            Comment
                            • jasont
                              SBR MVP
                              • 02-24-08
                              • 1227

                              #84
                              YTD
                              Straight 28-12 +40.61 units
                              Parlays 0-3 -5.5 units

                              Today
                              2 Parlays
                              1) Risk 2.5 units to win 4.4 units Yankees -400, Phillies -185, ASU -230
                              Its a lot of chalk, but I'm confident in the wins, especially the first and last.
                              Comment
                              • jasont
                                SBR MVP
                                • 02-24-08
                                • 1227

                                #85
                                2) Risking only 1 unit to win 4.91

                                Mets +111, Braves -125, Red Sox -175
                                Comment
                                • jasont
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 02-24-08
                                  • 1227

                                  #86
                                  Damn, my parlays keep getting shafted by a pick.

                                  YTD
                                  Straight - 28-12 +40.61 units
                                  Parlays - 0-5 -9 units


                                  Plays so far today

                                  +136 Chicago White Sox- although matchup wise I favor the Cubs, the reverse line movement in favor of the CWS is hard to ignore. With 60% of the bettors on the Cubs side, the line moved from -155 to -145 at many books. I will be taking the CWS risking 3.25 units. Its about time I snap this losing streak. With this being said, there are many strong plays tonight, that I like much more than this game.
                                  Comment
                                  • jasont
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 02-24-08
                                    • 1227

                                    #87
                                    Added plays

                                    Braves -158 risk 2 units
                                    Comment
                                    • jasont
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 02-24-08
                                      • 1227

                                      #88
                                      Parlay -
                                      Orioles -151 and Red Sox -180 Risk 2 units to win 3.12
                                      Comment
                                      • jasont
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 02-24-08
                                        • 1227

                                        #89
                                        Taking Colorado -113 To win 2.5 units. 82% of the public on the Rays, more than enough for me to fade.
                                        Comment
                                        • jasont
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 02-24-08
                                          • 1227

                                          #90
                                          Finally back on track. Braves loss was BS, but sometimes it works out like that.

                                          Straight- 2-1 +4.92 units
                                          Parlay 1-0 +3.12 units

                                          YTD
                                          straight- 30-13 +45.53 units
                                          parlays- 1-5 -5.88 units
                                          Comment
                                          • jasont
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 02-24-08
                                            • 1227

                                            #91
                                            Early play for tomorrow

                                            Phillies -162 to win 2 units
                                            Comment
                                            • jasont
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 02-24-08
                                              • 1227

                                              #92
                                              Rays -118 to win 2 units
                                              Comment
                                              • jasont
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 02-24-08
                                                • 1227

                                                #93
                                                I'm done paying all this juice, especially on the Phillies. New standard, no more than -150, UNLESS its a solid read on the game.

                                                YTD
                                                30-15 +39.93 units

                                                Parlays
                                                1-5 -5.88 units

                                                Will post plays for tonight, after I see some lineups. Some key players will not be playing tonight, esp on the Mets/Stl "ESPN TRAP GAME".
                                                Comment
                                                • jasont
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 02-24-08
                                                  • 1227

                                                  #94
                                                  Decided not to play any sides today. Doing something different and going U35 TOTAL RUNS (ALL GAMES) TO WIN 5 UNITS -110
                                                  Comment
                                                  • jasont
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 02-24-08
                                                    • 1227

                                                    #95
                                                    A VERY BRIEF writeup

                                                    RLM on the cubs/braves. Line opened at 8, 69% on the over, line drops to 7.5.
                                                    STL/NYM- combined starting ERA of over 11, bullpens have been horrid...no problem. I expect some holes in these lineup cards today, and Redding to pitch relatively well.
                                                    SF/ OAK- Sanchez pitches well versus OAK (who don't perform as well versus LH pitchers anyways), Cahill has never faced the weak Giants offense, shouldn't have much trouble tonight.
                                                    LAA/ COL- this was the one game that has a great shot at going over, but I'll ride Aaron Cook's hot streak, and Palmers ability to get out of jams, which he should be in a few tonight.

                                                    ...sorry for the brief write-up, I don't like to post the full. Again...don't follow blindly.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • jasont
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 02-24-08
                                                      • 1227

                                                      #96
                                                      Nice to hit the largest play I've made on this thread, shouldve played some moneylines (too easy). Some solid plays for tomorrow, post later.

                                                      YTD
                                                      31-15 +44.93 units

                                                      Parlays
                                                      1-5 -5.88 units
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Iwinagain1
                                                        SBR Rookie
                                                        • 06-23-09
                                                        • 13

                                                        #97
                                                        Whats the word for tonight? I need to get me some units.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Iwinagain1
                                                          SBR Rookie
                                                          • 06-23-09
                                                          • 13

                                                          #98
                                                          Btw, solid writeup. You should do it more often for the sake of degenerates everywhere.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Wilforth
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 05-10-08
                                                            • 16309

                                                            #99
                                                            JT,

                                                            Bring something out for tonight.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • jasont
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 02-24-08
                                                              • 1227

                                                              #100
                                                              I'm going to try the grand salami again. I like many of the away teams tonight, hence I'm playing the pick'em -110 Away to win tonight (TOTAL RUNS) to win 5 units again.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • jasont
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 02-24-08
                                                                • 1227

                                                                #101
                                                                Particular away teams I will be counting on include St. Louis/ Baltimore/ Colorado/ Cleveland. If these fail, Boston/NYY/SF(Lincecum)/KC (Greinke)/Texas offer good value. The right play is the Away teams tonight, as this is the closest thing to being a favorite I have seen on away runs. I like Grand Salami's when I won't be home to watch individual games, GL ALL!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • jasont
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 02-24-08
                                                                  • 1227

                                                                  #102
                                                                  Small parlay as well (I will not count it as part of the baseball plays as it includes WNBA). 2 units to win 5 - LSU (-145) + Silver Stars -2 (-110).
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • jasont
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 02-24-08
                                                                    • 1227

                                                                    #103
                                                                    Parlay went to shit after looking promising, fk LSU switching pitchers.

                                                                    Anyways, the one LARGE play hit. Again, another obvious win. Got some unexpected assistance from the Phillies, but the play won by a large margin nonetheless.

                                                                    YTD
                                                                    32-15 + 49.93

                                                                    Parlays
                                                                    1-5 -5.88 units
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • jasont
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 02-24-08
                                                                      • 1227

                                                                      #104
                                                                      Sorry for the late add, just got home. Game starts in 10 min
                                                                      I'm taking CWS -127 to win 2 units
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • jasont
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 02-24-08
                                                                        • 1227

                                                                        #105
                                                                        This play is solely based upon the Reverse Line Movement, I feel Wolf will have one of his worse days. Anyways, tail with caution. GL!
                                                                        Comment
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