JT - MLB picks

jasont · 07-01-09, 05:55 PM

Early plays cubs -145 to win 2 units. Cleveland -125 to win 2 units. Bmaker lines suck, thinking about switching.

jasont · 07-09-09, 06:01 AM

YTD
39-22 + 50.87 units
Parlays
3-7 -3.67 units

Early play for tomorrow, David Price and the Rays +120. I'm fully expecting DP to pitch a gem and the Rays bats to score enough to win this game. Was looking closely at under, but seem some value in this line. GL.

jasont · 07-09-09, 06:03 AM

Official play: Rays risk 3 units +120

Biff Webster · 07-09-09, 09:04 AM

I have yet to go against Halladay, but the line movement suggests Tampa is the play.

jasont · 07-09-09, 11:51 AM

I'm 0-3 when betting on Halladay, hence the change in sides. Good thing is he has 46 pitches through 2 innings, bad thing is he can throw upto 120 pitches.

Going with line movements on another play coming up...Twins -110 to win 3 units.

Foghorn · 07-09-09, 05:08 PM

Originally posted by jasont

I'm 0-3 when betting on Halladay, hence the change in sides. Good thing is he has 46 pitches through 2 innings, bad thing is he can throw upto 120 pitches.

Going with line movements on another play coming up...Twins -110 to win 3 units.

Good Call on Tampa, thanks for sharing your information.............

jasont · 07-09-09, 08:53 PM

np foghorn, glad I can help.

That Rays game was read to the fullest, should've parlayed it with under. As for the other game, Liriano screwed me over. As for tonight, I will ignore my line movements and go with sheer value in Texas. Vegas thoroughly believes Seattle will win this game, but I will be counting on the Mariners bullpen to implode. Texas risk 2 units +155 (This is not one of my stronger plays, so follow with caution)

jasont · 07-10-09, 12:04 AM

1-2 today -1.7 units. Horrible loss with Texas.

YTD
40-24 + 49.17 units
Parlays
3-7 -3.67 units

Early play tomorrow - Chicago Cubs +115. Similar situation like Price today (pitching wise), only the Cubs offense is nowhere near as productive as the Rays. Harden coming off an embarrassing loss, should pitch MUCH better. I'm counting on Aramis to produce tomorrow. CHC Risk 3 units +115

jasont · 07-10-09, 05:07 PM

cubs lose. 0-1 -3 units

Parlay - Blue Jays and Reds Risk 3 units to win 8.22

jasont · 07-11-09, 01:44 PM

BAM! Winner.

YTD
40-25 + 46.17 units
Parlays
4-7 +4.55 units

As for todays plays, there isn't much out there. I like the home teams, but the grand salami is -255 on the home teams. Not playing anything yet.

jasont · 07-11-09, 02:29 PM

Angels -104 to win 5 units. This play is based solely on my strong dislike for Andy Petiitte's 1.51 whip. Something tells me Weaver won't have as good of a game as normal, but the 10 line suggests the Angels offense will come to play once again.

The_Beast_Capper · 07-11-09, 05:09 PM

Originally posted by jasont

Angels -104 to win 5 units. This play is based solely on my strong dislike for Andy Petiitte's 1.51 whip. Something tells me Weaver won't have as good of a game as normal, but the 10 line suggests the Angels offense will come to play once again.

how do you know this stuff?

jasont · 07-11-09, 05:58 PM

Its instincts Beast_Capper

Adding Cleveland +110, risking 4 units. This play is based heavily upon the Great Line movements in Cleveland's favor. Both pitchers have pitched relatively well lately, but something about Armando's control tells me he might be in a few tough situations tonight.

The_Beast_Capper · 07-11-09, 06:32 PM

Angels just pouring it on, have mercy fellas.

woodman663 · 07-11-09, 11:10 PM

Nice instincts.

jasont · 07-12-09, 12:02 AM

Thanks Woodman
Added around 9 units in baseball today. However, I gave up much of it in the WNBA.

New Record
YTD
42-25 + 55.57 units
Parlays
4-7 +4.55 units

Its the highest total baseball profit I've had so far this year. Next goal is 75 units, then move on from there.

jasont · 07-12-09, 11:59 AM

Reds -105 to win 4 units. Much of the public on the Mets = autofade for me. I dislike the line movements, but favor the matchups.

jasont · 07-12-09, 12:55 PM

Nationals -109 to win 5 units. Playing the scorching bats (Yes, 1 game for the Nationals is considered scorching).

BamaBill67 · 07-12-09, 01:55 PM

I put some on the Reds also........not looking good right now.

woodman663 · 07-12-09, 02:08 PM

Yeah, they cut the deficit to 3-7 but the Reds arent exactly a team that hits very well.

jasont · 07-12-09, 02:32 PM

Angels heavy -risk 7.5 units +121

jasont · 07-12-09, 02:33 PM

I expected Harang to pitch much better than he did. Mets bullpen is a liability though, but the Reds need to get to them quick to have any shot.

jasont · 07-12-09, 02:57 PM

Bases loaded 1 out...nothing. Nationals offense has reverted back to the mean.

Parlay - SD and SEA Risk 5 units to win 12.91.

jasont · 07-12-09, 03:20 PM

Again, Reds and Nationals both bases loaded and not enough. Middle of the Nationals order is killing me...clowns.

woodman663 · 07-12-09, 03:46 PM

SD is up by 6 runs though, maybe you'll hit the parlay!

jasont · 07-12-09, 04:23 PM

Originally posted by woodman663

SD is up by 6 runs though, maybe you'll hit the parlay!

I need to, the early plays were to fuel the action junkie in me. Hopefully the Angels hit along with the parlay, it would make for a nice positive day. Did you play much today?

jasont · 07-12-09, 04:27 PM

As for the units...they are increasing because the "baseball bankroll" has increased substantially from the beginning of the year. I'm debating between increasing the denomination of each unit or playing larger amount of units. To keep continuity for tracking purposes, I'll leave it as such. For whoever follows always play according to your own bankroll as I might not have many 1-2 unit plays anymore. The more confident plays may be in the 6-9 unit range. This will all continue to change with the bankroll.

woodman663 · 07-12-09, 04:38 PM

Originally posted by jasont

I need to, the early plays were to fuel the action junkie in me. Hopefully the Angels hit along with the parlay, it would make for a nice positive day. Did you play much today?

I played a DET+PHI parlay, BOS/KC Under, Cubs, CWS, CIN and SD. If the last one cashes it'll be a 4-2 day, but I didn't put much units into it today. Still trying out tailing people. CWS was basically my own pick, but I didn't see any standouts personally so I mostly tailed Milehighmonsters.

jasont · 07-12-09, 06:08 PM

Today 1-2 -.58 units on straight wagers
Parlays 1-0 + 12.91 units

Another big day, checking out the late night game. I was leaning towards STL, but the Cubs lineup looks strong tonight (This one is up in the air, unless I get further info to lean one way or the other)

jasont · 07-12-09, 06:10 PM

Congrats Woodman. That SD play was definitely the strongest one on the entire board today.
Now that you mention it, I'll definitely check milehighmonsters out.

woodman663 · 07-12-09, 06:21 PM

Actually the SD play was courtesy of TodaysAction.

jasont · 07-12-09, 07:03 PM

All signs point to a STL win tonight. That late line movement in favor of STL is ominous for Cubs bettors. Even with that against me, I'm making a late play on the Cubs -101. This is just a small play- an action junkie play. Risk 2.5 units Cubs -101. GL All.

jasont · 07-12-09, 07:08 PM

Adding to Cubs play right before Gametime - the official wager is Cubs to win 4 units @ -101. Scratch the one above- I added a bit to it. Again- I wouldn't tail this coin flip.

jasont · 07-13-09, 07:58 PM

New Record
YTD
43-28 + 50.95 units
Parlays
4-7 +4.55 units

Played Pena over Inge first round -150, sorry I wasn't here to post it. Allstar game I'm leaning NL, but we'll see.

jellobiafra · 07-13-09, 09:45 PM

Hey.... you do have a thread! How come I never noticed this before. Nice job man. Keep it up!