JT - MLB picks

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  • jasont
    SBR MVP
    • 02-24-08
    • 1227

    #106
    3 runs on 1 hit for the Dodgers, CWS always find a way to help the opponent out.
    Comment
    • jasont
      SBR MVP
      • 02-24-08
      • 1227

      #107
      Called the Wolf creaming so far- over might have been a better strategy, we'll see.
      1 play for tonight, LAA -144, I hate the juice I had to pay (waited too long to pull the trigger). I like the line movements and the lineup the Angels are throwing out tonight. Based upon the lines it should be a high scoring game (both ways). This will be one of of my smaller plays as I don't like any of the games today. LAA to win 1.5 units -144. Again, Tail with caution. GL!
      Comment
      • jasont
        SBR MVP
        • 02-24-08
        • 1227

        #108
        Wow...insane pre-game jump in this line. A lot of money coming in on the Angels, don't know what to make of it, as the line has changed accordingly.
        Comment
        • jasont
          SBR MVP
          • 02-24-08
          • 1227

          #109
          Wow, Marquis isn't looking good early. If it weren't for Tori Hunter, this couldve been REALLY REALLY ugly.
          Comment
          • The_Beast_Capper
            SBR Rookie
            • 06-04-09
            • 16

            #110
            Young Mula BABEEEE!!!!!

            Thanks to you I'm big on the Angels So far so good
            Comment
            • jasont
              SBR MVP
              • 02-24-08
              • 1227

              #111
              Yo TBC, where have you been kid, Ash missed you this past weekend.

              As far as the plays, THIS SHIT IS TOO EASY. I'm like fkin Robin Hood, steal from the rich (books) and give to the poor (I donate and write it off), its what I do.
              Comment
              • Wilforth
                Restricted User
                • 05-10-08
                • 16309

                #112
                Originally posted by jasont
                This play is solely based upon the Reverse Line Movement, I feel Wolf will have one of his worse days. Anyways, tail with caution. GL!
                Why didn't I read this in good time? I took the Under in the Dodgers/CWS game as the 3rd leg of a 3-teamer. The others (Mets RL +190, Tigers -115) sailed through. Poor me.
                Comment
                • jasont
                  SBR MVP
                  • 02-24-08
                  • 1227

                  #113
                  Sorry man, I try to post every play I make, just wasnt home until right before the game. Get em' next time champ.
                  Comment
                  • jasont
                    SBR MVP
                    • 02-24-08
                    • 1227

                    #114
                    2-0 on the day +3.5 units

                    YTD
                    34-15 + 53.43 units
                    Parlays
                    1-5 -5.88 units

                    One early play, I'll take the Cubs -127 to win 1.5 units. I think Lilly offers value here as the Cubs offense is starting to get runners on (only a matter of time before they get runners in). Detroit went through its entire bullpen today, could be something to look for late in tomorrow's game. Only thing that scares me is the total of 9, line suggests it might go over, hopefully not another blowup of the Cubs bullpen late in the game. Anyways, its one of my smaller plays for tomorrow. The only reason I'm playing it now is because I expect money to come in on the Cubs pushing the line higher. Once again, tail with caution. GL.
                    Comment
                    • jasont
                      SBR MVP
                      • 02-24-08
                      • 1227

                      #115
                      PS: The play above is based solely on research of matchups as I won't have time in the afternoon to check line movements. Hence its a relatively small play.
                      Comment
                      • The_Beast_Capper
                        SBR Rookie
                        • 06-04-09
                        • 16

                        #116
                        Cubs up 3-0 in the 2nd, cant believe i missed this.
                        Comment
                        • jasont
                          SBR MVP
                          • 02-24-08
                          • 1227

                          #117
                          Twins to win 1.5 units -145
                          Comment
                          • jasont
                            SBR MVP
                            • 02-24-08
                            • 1227

                            #118
                            This play is based solely on incredible line movement in favor of the Twins.
                            Comment
                            • Wilforth
                              Restricted User
                              • 05-10-08
                              • 16309

                              #119
                              I'm doing Twins -0.5 FF +100.
                              Comment
                              • jasont
                                SBR MVP
                                • 02-24-08
                                • 1227

                                #120
                                what book has that line? GL btw.
                                Comment
                                • jasont
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 02-24-08
                                  • 1227

                                  #121
                                  Originally posted by The_Beast_Capper
                                  Cubs up 3-0 in the 2nd, cant believe i missed this.


                                  I'll try tailing some people, Brazil -1.5
                                  Comment
                                  • Wilforth
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 05-10-08
                                    • 16309

                                    #122
                                    Originally posted by jasont
                                    what book has that line? GL btw.
                                    Bookmaker.
                                    Comment
                                    • jasont
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 02-24-08
                                      • 1227

                                      #123
                                      Yesterday 1-1 -.41 units
                                      Cubs game was a bad call now that I look at it, as the line movements were not in my favor. I hit a parlay later in the day, forgot to post.

                                      As for the afternoon play today, I see a lot of people on the CWS, I'll stray away from the line as it doesn't offer enough value versus Wells. I will be a waiting for a certain number to hit on the total and I'll post a play if it hits.


                                      YTD
                                      35-16 + 53.02 units
                                      Parlays
                                      1-5 -5.88 units
                                      Comment
                                      • Iwinagain1
                                        SBR Rookie
                                        • 06-23-09
                                        • 13

                                        #124
                                        jt, whitesox or cubbies?
                                        Comment
                                        • jasont
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 02-24-08
                                          • 1227

                                          #125
                                          I'm not playing either. I'll try the over 9.5, was wishing it came down to 9, but its strong at 9.5. Line movements and matchups both suggest a pretty high scoring game. I'll play O 9.5 -105 to win 2 units.
                                          Comment
                                          • jasont
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 02-24-08
                                            • 1227

                                            #126
                                            f*cking double play, that .5 run better not come back to haunt me.
                                            Comment
                                            • jasont
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 02-24-08
                                              • 1227

                                              #127
                                              The over loses on bs plays, moving on.

                                              Cleveland Ind -106 To win 4 units. I see much of the public on Cinci tonight, I'll be looking for Cleveland to put up a lot of runs tonight at home, so much that their bullpen can't blow it.
                                              Comment
                                              • jasont
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 02-24-08
                                                • 1227

                                                #128
                                                Hopefully the Indians bullpen doesn't ruin this flawless capping. 7 runs SHOULD be enough to hold. For later I'm looking at the DBACKS. Need to research it more before I make it a play and dipset for the night.
                                                Comment
                                                • jasont
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 02-24-08
                                                  • 1227

                                                  #129
                                                  Friday 1-1 +1.9 units

                                                  YTD
                                                  36-17 + 54.92 units
                                                  Parlays
                                                  1-5 -5.88 units

                                                  I got some requests to play more dogs because people don't like paying juice after a certain amount. I'll try to incorporate some more "dogs" in the picks, but I won't force anything for the sake of getting paid with higher risk. However, this is fitting because tonight I'll put risking 2 units on both dogs. SD +127 risk 2 units. NYM +141 risk 2 units. Lets see how it goes, as I'm confident both teams will not lose tonight, guaranteeing some sort of profit. If they both lose, I'm still above 50 units, so I could care less. GL to all! Tail with caution.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • jasont
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 02-24-08
                                                    • 1227

                                                    #130
                                                    Add SD O 5 runs -125 to win 1 unit. I absolutely hate the Texas pitcher on the mound, I will be looking for Adrian Gonzalez to personally cover this.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • jasont
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 02-24-08
                                                      • 1227

                                                      #131
                                                      SD won the game with a 1 hitter...who knew.

                                                      As far as the Mets, they better score quick, otherwise Mariano will get his 500th tonight. The Mets don't swing at ANYTHING, they expect to score on consecutive walks... joke.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • jasont
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 02-24-08
                                                        • 1227

                                                        #132
                                                        3 team parlay to mix up the action a bit.

                                                        Fla Marlins -1.5 +105, NYM +113, Cleveland Ind -104
                                                        Risk 1 unit to win 7.41
                                                        Comment
                                                        • jasont
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 02-24-08
                                                          • 1227

                                                          #133
                                                          Yesterday 1-2 -.71 units

                                                          YTD
                                                          37-19 + 54.21 units
                                                          Parlays
                                                          1-5 -5.88 units
                                                          Comment
                                                          • jasont
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 02-24-08
                                                            • 1227

                                                            #134
                                                            2 more parlays

                                                            Oak, Lad 1 to win 2.45
                                                            Oak, Hou 1 to win 2.76
                                                            Comment
                                                            • jasont
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 02-24-08
                                                              • 1227

                                                              #135
                                                              About fkin time I hit some parlays
                                                              Today: 2-1 on parlays +4.21 units

                                                              YTD
                                                              37-19 + 54.21 units
                                                              Parlays
                                                              3-6 -1.67 units


                                                              Lets get this shit to a +100 units quick.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • The_Beast_Capper
                                                                SBR Rookie
                                                                • 06-04-09
                                                                • 16

                                                                #136
                                                                Props on hitting a few of those last night. As for tonight I know you'll have a fieldday with these matchups
                                                                Comment
                                                                • jasont
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 02-24-08
                                                                  • 1227

                                                                  #137
                                                                  Wow, these lines are juicy tonight. I will line up on the side of the books tonight and go with what THEY expect to happen. Pitt +114 and Washington +132 both risking 2 units. I would risk much more on the Nationals, if they weren't the Nationals. One thing among many I like about these picks is the incredible RLM's. As long as the Joes don't get lucky tonight, I expect some type of profit from these picks.

                                                                  I'll play these for the 7est (maybe Cinci as well), then decide on later games.

                                                                  Again, tail with Caution and best of luck!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • jasont
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 02-24-08
                                                                    • 1227

                                                                    #138
                                                                    Adding a parlay. Cleveland and NYY risking 2 units to win 2.35 units. I like the -ev payout of this parlay. Only thing that worries me is the Indians bullpen, but it may not get there with the Indians pounding the lefty Richards.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • jasont
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 02-24-08
                                                                      • 1227

                                                                      #139
                                                                      FK, the Nationals are horrendous...4 errors. Why they are still a franchise is beyond me.

                                                                      Late Play: Oak -104 to win 3 units
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • jasont
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 02-24-08
                                                                        • 1227

                                                                        #140
                                                                        Yesterday
                                                                        1-2 on Straight -2.84 units
                                                                        Parlay 0-1 -2 units

                                                                        YTD
                                                                        38-21 + 51.37 units
                                                                        Parlays
                                                                        3-7 -3.67 units


                                                                        The plays were on the side of Vegas and the books. If I lost, so did they.
                                                                        Comment
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