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  • FUqer
    SBR MVP
    • 01-22-15
    • 3968

    #141
    Originally Posted by FUqer
    Saturday Plays 5/6

    --> Royals +110
    --> Phillies -105
    --> Cardinals +104

    --> Indians/Royals Under 8 -105
    --> Blue Jays Rays Over 8 -105
    --> Cardinals/Braves Over 8 -120
    --> White Sox/Orioles Under 9 +100
    --> Tigers/Athletics Over 8 -120
    --> D-Backs/Rockies Under 11.5 -110
    --> Marlins/Mets Over 9 -105
    _______________________________

    Added: Marlins/Mets Over
    Comment
    • FUqer
      SBR MVP
      • 01-22-15
      • 3968

      #142
      Sunday Plays 5/7

      --> White Sox +114
      --> Phillies +120
      --> Twins +161
      --> Tigers +100
      --> Giants -108
      --> D-Backs +108
      --> Pirates -110



      --> Giants/Reds Over 8.5 -108
      --> Marlins/Mets Over 8.5 -108 (No Action)
      --> Cardinals/Braves Over 8.5 -108
      --> Nationals/Phillies Under 8.5 -110
      --> Indians/Royals Under 8.5 -110
      --> White Sox/Orioles Under 8.5 -110
      --> Blue Jays/Rays Over 8 -104
      --> Tigers/Athletics Over 8.5 +100

      _________________________

      Yesterday

      MLB = 5-4-1 = +0.94
      ___________________________
      MLB Season

      ALL = 66-77 for -9.38
      S/U = 44-53 for -7.32
      O/U = 17-18 for -2.17
      R/L = 5-6 for +0.11
      ---------------
      Dogs = 23-24 for +4.18
      Favs = 21-29 for -11.50
      ----------------
      Over = 10-9 for +0.45
      Under = 7-9 for -2.62
      ----------------
      April = 42-55 for -12.69
      May = 24-22 for +3.31
      ___________________________

      ALL PICKS 5/7

      SU = Yesterday 5-6 for -1.12 (Total 91-85 for -0.44)
      OU = Yesterday 6-8 for -2.55 (Total 80-83 for -1.95)
      RL = Yesterday 3-1 for +2.38 (Total 8-8 for +0.08)
      TT = Yesterday 2-3 for -1.05 (Total 5-5 for -0.25)
      ----------------------------------

      SU

      White Sox +114
      Phillies +120
      Twins +161
      Tigers +100
      Giants -110
      Yankees +118
      D-Backs +108
      Mariners -128
      Indians -110
      Braves +108
      Pirates -110
      Marlins +101



      --------------

      OU

      Giants/Reds Over 8.5 -108
      Marlins/Mets Over 8.5 -108
      Cardinals/Braves Over 8.5 -108
      Nationals/Phillies Under 8.5 -110
      Indians/Royals Under 8.5 -110
      White Sox/Orioles Under 8.5 -110
      Tigers/Athletics Over 8.5 -125
      Astros/Angels Under 8.5 +100
      Blue Jays/Rays Over 8 -104
      Rangers/Mariners Over 8.5 -110
      D-Backs/Rockies Under 11.5 -110
      Brewers/Pirates Under 8.5 -120
      Yankees/Cubs Over 7.5 -115
      Dodgers/Padres Over 7 -120
      Red Sox/Twins Over 7.5 +110
      ---------------

      RL

      Angels -1 +125
      Dodgers -1 -109
      Rays -1 +100
      ---------------

      TT

      _________________________________
      Comment
      • FUqer
        SBR MVP
        • 01-22-15
        • 3968

        #143
        Monday Plays 5/8

        --> Indians +106
        --> Marlins +121
        --> Reds +138


        --> Indians/Blue Jays Under 8.5 -110
        --> Royals/Rays Under 8 -120

        _________________________
        Yesterday

        MLB = 5-9 = -4.20
        ___________________________
        MLB Season

        ALL = 71-86 for -13.58
        S/U = 45-59 for -12.30
        O/U = 21-21 for -1.39
        R/L = 5-6 for +0.11
        ---------------
        Dogs = 24-28 for +1.38
        Favs = 21-31 for -13.68
        ----------------
        Over = 12-11 for +0.33
        Under = 9-10 for -1.52
        ----------------
        April = 42-55 for -12.69
        May = 29-31 for -0.89
        ___________________________
        ALL PICKS 5/8

        SU = Yesterday 5-7 for -2.79 (Total 96-92 for -3.23)
        OU = Yesterday 9-4 for +4.78 (Total 80-83 for -2.83)
        RL = Yesterday 0-2 for -2.00 (Total 8-10 for -1.92)
        TT = Yesterday 0-0 for +0.00 (Total 5-5 for -0.25)
        ----------------------------------

        SU

        Indians +106
        Marlins +121
        Reds +138
        Rockies +120
        Angels +110
        Orioles -115
        Rangers -120
        Pirates +183
        Giants +150

        --------------

        OU

        Indians/Blue Jays Under 8.5 -110
        Nationals/Orioles Over 9 -105
        Cardinals/Marlins Over 8 +105
        Yankees/Reds Over 9 +105
        Royals/Rays Under 8 -120
        Giants/Mets Over 7.5 -105
        Cubs/Rockies Under 11 -115
        Angels/Athletics Under 8 -110
        Pirates/Dodgers Under 8 -110
        Rangers/Padres Over 7.5 -115

        ---------------

        RL

        Rays -1.5 +145

        ---------------

        TT

        _________________________________
        Comment
        • FUqer
          SBR MVP
          • 01-22-15
          • 3968

          #144
          Originally posted by FUqer
          Monday Plays 5/8

          --> Indians +106
          --> Marlins +121
          --> Reds +138
          --> Orioles -115

          --> Giants +150


          --> Indians/Blue Jays Under 8.5 -110
          --> Royals/Rays Under 8 -120

          _________________________
          Doing some betting on lines today with Giants, >30% Public and AD >+130. Will look at Pirates tonight also.
          Comment
          • FUqer
            SBR MVP
            • 01-22-15
            • 3968

            #145
            Well, I can't pick them worth shit so far, I've been a little better at picking all games, so for now, I'm going to decrease play % and increase plays, at least I will have plenty of action. Fade at will.

            -------------------------------------------------------------
            Tuesday Plays 5/9

            LOSS - »-Nationals -148
            WIN - »-Indians -162
            WIN - »-Rangers -136
            LOSS - »-Yankees -108
            LOSS - »-Athletics -1.5 +150
            WIN - »-Tigers -103
            WIN - »-Twins -101
            LOSS - »-Marlins -113
            LOSS - »-Giants +105
            WIN - »-Rockies +125 (#1)
            LOSS - »-Phillies +101
            WIN - »-Brewers +130
            LOSS - »-Braves +173
            LOSS - »-Pirates +172
            WIN - »-Royals +147

            WIN - »-Indians/Blue Jays Under 8 -110
            LOSS - »-Pirates/Dodgers Over 7.5 +105
            LOSS - »-Red Sox/Brewers Under 8.5 +105
            LOSS - »-Rangers/Padres Under 8.5 -110
            WIN - »-Mariners/Phillies Over 8 -110
            LOSS - »-Twins/White Sox Under 8.5 -105
            PUSH - »-Giants/Mets Under 7 -110
            LOSS - »-Tigers/D-Backs Under 8.5 -105
            WIN - »-Angels/Athletics Over 8.5 -110
            WIN - »-Yankees/Reds Under 9 -105
            WIN - »-Braves/Astros Over 8.5 -110
            WIN - »-Royals/Rays Over 8 -115
            WIN -»-Cardinals/Marlins Over 8 -115
            LOSS - »-Nationals/Orioles Under 8.5 +100
            WIN -»-Cubs/Rockies Under 11 -105 (#2)
            _________________________
            Yesterday

            MLB = 2-5 = -3.20
            ___________________________
            Season

            ALL = 73-91 for -16.78
            S/U = 46-63 for -15.30
            O/U = 22-22 for -1.59
            R/L = 5-6 for +0.11
            ---------------
            Dogs = 24-32 for -2.62
            Favs = 22-31 for -12.68
            ----------------
            Over = 12-11 for +0.33
            Under = 10-11 for -1.72
            ----------------
            April = 42-55 for -12.69
            May = 31-36 for -4.09
            ___________________________
            Comment
            • FUqer
              SBR MVP
              • 01-22-15
              • 3968

              #146
              Wednesday Plays 5/10

              »-Cardinals -112
              »-Athletics -122
              »-Phillies +102
              »-Red Sox +110
              »-Tigers +111
              »-Twins +118
              »-Blue Jays +143
              »-Braves +165
              »-Royals +183

              »-Mets -1 +105
              »-Dodgers RL +100
              »-Rangers RL +100
              »-Nationals RL +120
              »-Cubs RL +120

              »-Braves/Astros Over 9 +100
              »-Pirates/Dodgers Over 7.5 +100
              »-Tigers/D-Backs Over 10 -105
              »-Royals/Rays Over 8 -105
              »-Cardinals/Marlins Over 8.5 -115
              »-Mariners/Phillies Over 9 -115
              »-Red Sox/Brewers Over 9 -120
              »-Giants/Mets Under 8 +105
              »-Twins/White Sox Under 8 +100
              »-Padres/Rangers Under 8 -105
              »-Indians/Blue Jays Under 8 -115
              »-Angels/Athletics Under 8 -115

              »-Nationals TT O4 +115
              »-Cubs TT O6 +105
              _________________________

              Yesterday

              MLB = 15-14 = +1.13
              ___________________________
              MLB Season

              ALL = 88-105 for -15.65
              S/U = 53-70 for -14.97
              O/U = 30-28 for +0.21
              R/L = 5-7 for -0.89
              ---------------
              Dogs = 27-36 for -2.60
              Favs = 26-34 for -12.37
              ----------------
              Over = 17-12 for +4.33
              Under = 13-16 for -3.92
              ----------------
              April = 42-55 for -12.69
              May = 46-50 for -2.96
              ___________________________
              Comment
              • FUqer
                SBR MVP
                • 01-22-15
                • 3968

                #147
                Thursday Plays 5/11

                »-Brewers +121
                »-Royals +104
                »-Astros +113
                »-Orioles -100
                »-Mariners +122
                »-Rangers -133
                »-White Sox -115
                »-Rockies -109
                »-Pirates +123
                »-Tigers +110
                »-Giants -120

                »-Red Sox/Brewers Under 9 -105
                »-Royals/Rays Under 7 +107
                »-Astros/Yankees Over 7.5 -105
                »-Orioles/Nationals Over 8.5 -105
                »-Padres/Rangers Over 9.5 -110
                »-Mariners/Blue Jays Over 9 +105
                »-Twins/White Sox Under 8.5 -105
                »-Dodgers/Rockies Under 10.5 -105
                »-Pirates/D-Backs Under 8.5 -110
                »-Tigers/Angels Under 7 +105
                »-Reds/Giants Over 8 -115
                _________________________
                Yesterday

                MLB = 11-15 = -3.62
                ___________________________
                MLB Season

                ALL = 99-120 for -19.27
                S/U = 56-75 for -16.54
                O/U = 37-34 for +1.16
                R/L = 6-11 for -3.89
                ---------------
                Dogs = 28-41 for -6.17
                Favs = 28-34 for -10.37
                ----------------
                Over = 22-16 for +5.38
                Under = 15-18 for -4.07
                ----------------
                April = 42-55 for -12.69
                May = 57-65 for -6.58
                ___________________________
                Comment
                • LT Profits
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 10-27-06
                  • 90963

                  #148
                  Brewers have a Triple-A lineup today, which is why Boston skyrocketed.
                  Comment
                  • FUqer
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-22-15
                    • 3968

                    #149
                    Originally posted by LT Profits
                    Brewers have a Triple-A lineup today, which is why Boston skyrocketed.
                    Thanks for the info. That's a problem when betting early. I would consider backing out of it, but I'm not risking a lot right now, just trying to find my strengths. Rodriguez looks good to get his 12th str8 Under on the Road though.

                    I know you play early, how do you usually deal with major lineup changes after a play?
                    Comment
                    • LT Profits
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 10-27-06
                      • 90963

                      #150
                      Originally posted by FUqer
                      Thanks for the info. That's a problem when betting early. I would consider backing out of it, but I'm not risking a lot right now, just trying to find my strengths. Rodriguez looks good to get his 12th str8 Under on the Road though.

                      I know you play early, how do you usually deal with major lineup changes after a play?
                      I just let play ride, can't get too worked up about it when I have such heavy volume. BTW, Boston line has dropped back down a bit.
                      Comment
                      • FUqer
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-22-15
                        • 3968

                        #151
                        Friday Plays 5/12

                        »-White Sox -127 (1-6)
                        »-Cardinals -129 (5-2)
                        »-Blue Jays -125 (3-2)
                        »-Rangers -119 (3-6)
                        »-Braves +120 (0-3)
                        »-Twins +128 (3-3)
                        »-Pirates +129 (0-3)
                        »-Phillies +168 (2-3)
                        »-Royals -105 (4-6)


                        »-Cubs/Cardinals Over 8.5 +100 (22-18)
                        »-Reds/Giants Under 7 +113 (18-20)
                        »-Tigers/Angels Under 8 +105 (18-20)
                        »-Padres/White Sox Under 8 -105 (18-20)
                        »-Orioles/Royals Under 8 +100 (18-20)

                        _________________________
                        Yesterday

                        MLB = 6-9 = -3.26
                        ___________________________

                        MLB Season

                        ALL = 105-129 for -22.53
                        S/U = 59-80 for -18.62
                        O/U = 40-38 for -0.02
                        R/L = 6-11 for -3.89
                        ---------------
                        Dogs = 31-44 for -5.90
                        Favs = 28-36 for -12.72
                        ----------------
                        Over = 22-18 for +3.18
                        Under = 18-20 for -3.05
                        ----------------
                        April = 42-55 for -12.69
                        May = 63-74 for -9.84
                        ___________________________

                        I had a quite a few plays canceled yesterday, obviously the Nationals game was ppd., and the had changes in Rockies and Rangers, which canceled, I would of went 2-2 anyway. I'm backing off from playing every game, we all knew it wasn't smart, but I was ready to try anything. There is just some games I have no clue either way, it was fun while it lasted.

                        The record in () after the team is my record with that team so far this season.
                        Comment
                        • FUqer
                          SBR MVP
                          • 01-22-15
                          • 3968

                          #152
                          Saturday Plays 5/13

                          »-Rockies +108 (4-2)
                          »-Orioles -105 (3-0)

                          »-Cubs/Cardinals Under 7.5 -110 (21-21)
                          »-Tigers/Angels Over 8.5 -105 (22-19)
                          _________________________
                          Yesterday = 8-5 = +3.05
                          _________________________
                          Season

                          ALL = 113-134 for -19.48
                          S/U = 64-83 for -16.70
                          O/U = 43-40 for +1.11
                          R/L = 6-11 for -3.89
                          ---------------
                          Dogs = 33-45 for -5.42
                          Favs = 31-38 for -12.28
                          ----------------
                          Over = 22-19 for +2.18
                          Under = 21-21 for -0.92
                          ----------------
                          April = 42-55 for -12.69
                          May = 71-79 for -6.79
                          ___________________________

                          The Pirates are in the same spot as the Braves was yesterday, but D-Backs aren't as cold as Marlins were, so I'm not sure yet. If the Rangers are dogs, then I may play Athletics, based on ROI similar to the Braves example and fading/playing certain streaks.
                          Comment
                          • FUqer
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-22-15
                            • 3968

                            #153
                            Lets see how this tracks today.

                            Cubs/Cardinals Under 7.5 (6.39)
                            Tigers/Angels Over 8.5 (9.78)
                            Phillies/Nationals Over 8.5 (9.78)
                            Padres/White Sox Over 9 (10.00)
                            Orioles/Royals Over 8.5 (9.27)
                            Mets/Brewers Over 9 (9.74)
                            Rays/Red Sox Under 7.5 (7.18)
                            Dodgers/Rockies Under 10.5 (10.20)
                            Braves/Marlins Under 8.5 (8.21)
                            Athletics/Rangers Over 10 (10.16)

                            ___________________________________

                            And this is what I got for lines, pretty new model though with some major discrepancies in a couple games.

                            (Update: Found out where I made an error, not so off now.)

                            Rockies -122
                            Orioles -107
                            Athletics -102
                            Cubs -118
                            Angels -133
                            Marlins -122
                            Brewers -139
                            White Sox -117
                            Nationals -147
                            Red Sox -232
                            Comment
                            • FUqer
                              SBR MVP
                              • 01-22-15
                              • 3968

                              #154
                              Additions

                              Originally posted by FUqer
                              Saturday Plays 5/13

                              »-Rockies +108 (4-2)
                              »-Orioles -105 (3-0)
                              »-Cubs +111 (1-1)
                              »-Twins +143 (4-3)
                              »-Braves +114 (1-3)
                              »-Brewers -113 (4-2)


                              »-Cubs/Cardinals Under 7.5 -110 (21-21)
                              »-Tigers/Angels Over 8.5 -105 (22-19)
                              _________________________
                              Can't resist price on Cubs now even though they are missing some guys, I'm hoping Lester's success vs Cardinals and Cardinals weakness vs lefties continues. Twins less than 30% public backing, at least +130 dog. Marlins 1-13 L14 vs Righties. Mets now without Familla. Rangers moved to favorites, so no play on A's. Still don't trust the Pirates.
                              Comment
                              • FUqer
                                SBR MVP
                                • 01-22-15
                                • 3968

                                #155
                                Added Phillies

                                Saturday Plays 5/13

                                »-Rockies +108 (4-2)
                                »-Orioles -105 (3-0)
                                »-Cubs +111 (1-1)
                                »-
                                Twins +143 (4-3)
                                »-
                                Braves +114 (1-3)
                                »-
                                Brewers -113 (4-2)
                                »-Phillies +160 (2-3)


                                »-
                                Cubs/Cardinals Under 7.5 -110 (21-21)
                                »-
                                Tigers/Angels Over 8.5 -105 (22-19)

                                __________________________________

                                Another <30% and >+130. I had this game yesterday, but it got canceled. Rangers are back as dogs also.
                                Comment
                                • FUqer
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-22-15
                                  • 3968

                                  #156
                                  Sunday Plays 5/14

                                  »-Astros +149 (1-2) GM #1
                                  »-Yankees -117 (2-2) GM #2
                                  »-Phillies +155 (2-4) GM #1
                                  »-Rays +163 (0-1)
                                  »-Mariners +130 (0-5)
                                  »-Athletics +118 (2-1)
                                  »-Braves +123 (2-3)
                                  »-Brewers +135 (5-2)

                                  »-Athletics/Rangers Under 9.5 -105 (9.43)
                                  »-Padres/White Sox Under 9 -105 (7.80)
                                  »-Phillies/Nationals Over 8.5 +100 GM #1 (8.52)
                                  »-Astros/Yankees Under 8.5 +100 GM #1 (8.22)
                                  »-Astros/Yankees Under 8 +100 GM #2 (7.70)
                                  ------------------------------
                                  Yesterday

                                  MLB = 3-6 = -2.63
                                  ___________________________
                                  MLB Season

                                  ALL = 116-140 for -22.11
                                  S/U = 67-87 for -17.18
                                  O/U = 43-42 for -1.04
                                  R/L = 6-11 for -3.89
                                  ---------------
                                  Dogs = 35-48 for -5.85
                                  Favs = 32-39 for -12.33
                                  ----------------
                                  Over = 22-20 for +1.13
                                  Under = 21-22 for -2.02
                                  ----------------
                                  April = 42-55 for -12.69
                                  May = 74-85 for -9.42
                                  ___________________________
                                  I'm a little late getting things out this morning, had a late night. I'll update my record and DOD shortly. I basically just tailed LT's O'U picks if I agreed with them. I know I got a lot of dogs today, but I have good reason for all of them.
                                  Comment
                                  • Roscoe_Word
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 02-28-12
                                    • 3999

                                    #157
                                    Comment
                                    • FUqer
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 01-22-15
                                      • 3968

                                      #158
                                      Monday Plays 5/15

                                      »-Braves +125 (2-4)
                                      »-Brewers +106 (6-2)
                                      »-Indians -150 (2-2)


                                      »-Astros/Marlins Under 9 -115 (7.71)
                                      _________________________
                                      Comment
                                      • FUqer
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 01-22-15
                                        • 3968

                                        #159
                                        Originally posted by FUqer
                                        Monday Plays 5/15

                                        »-Braves +125 (2-4)
                                        »-Brewers +106 (6-2)
                                        »-Indians -150 (2-2)


                                        »-Astros/Marlins Under 9 -115 (7.71)
                                        »-Brewers/Padres Over 8 +105 (8.31) + SDQL
                                        »-Mets/D-Backs Over 9.5 -105 (9.68) + SDQL

                                        _________________________
                                        Added two more totals.
                                        Comment
                                        • FUqer
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 01-22-15
                                          • 3968

                                          #160
                                          Tuesday's Line Projections

                                          WAS -131 at PIT +121 (Total = 7.88)
                                          CHC -154 vs CIN +144 (Total = 7.14)
                                          ARI -203 vs NYM +193 (Total = 7.80)
                                          MIL -109 at SD -101 (Total = 8.87)
                                          LAD -113 at SF +103 (Total = 8.26)
                                          CLE -137 vs TB +127 (Total = 6.02)
                                          BAL -117 at DET +107 (Total = 8.17)
                                          NYY +100 at KC -110 (Total = 6.94)
                                          CHW -102 at LAA -112 (Total = 8.16)
                                          OAK +110 at SEA -120 (Total = 9.85)
                                          TOR -168 vs ATL +158 (Total = 7.00)
                                          HOU -127 at MIA +117 (Total = 6.55)
                                          PHI +117 at TEX -127 (Total = 7.89)
                                          COL +110 at MIN -120 (Total = 9.10)
                                          BOS +100 at STL -110 (Total = 7.92)
                                          Comment
                                          • FUqer
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 01-22-15
                                            • 3968

                                            #161
                                            Tuesday Plays 5/16

                                            »-Yankees -110 (2-3)
                                            »-Twins -110 (5-3)
                                            »-Red Sox +105 (0-4)

                                            »-Yankees/Royals Under 9.5 -110 (6.94)
                                            »-Red Sox/Cardinals Under 8.5 -117 (7.92)
                                            »-Athletics/Mariners Over 8 -107 (9.85)
                                            _________________________
                                            Yesterday = 4-1-1 = +3.30
                                            ___________________________
                                            Comment
                                            • FUqer
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-22-15
                                              • 3968

                                              #162
                                              Wednesday's Projections

                                              CHC -181 (64.4%) Total = (7.52)
                                              CLE -160 (61.5%) Total = (8.65)
                                              LAD -159 (61.4%) Total = (5.49)
                                              HOU -150 (60.0%) Total = (9.73)
                                              MIN -144 (59.1%) Total = (8.98)
                                              LAA -143 (58.8%) Total = (7.69)
                                              TEX -141 (58.5%) Total = (9.96)
                                              DET -131 (56.7%) Total = (8.80)
                                              ARI -130 (56.5%) Total = (10.25)
                                              NYY -126 (55.7%) Total = (8.42)
                                              SD -124 (55.3%) Total = (10.28)
                                              ATL -121 (54.7%) Total = (10.22)
                                              SEA -114 (53.2%) Total = (10.96)
                                              BOS -107 (51.6%) Total = (6.95)
                                              Comment
                                              • FUqer
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 01-22-15
                                                • 3968

                                                #163
                                                Originally posted by FUqer
                                                Tuesday Plays 5/16

                                                »-Yankees -110 (2-3)
                                                »-Twins -110 (5-3)
                                                »-Red Sox +105 (0-4)
                                                »-Brewers +114 (6-3)


                                                »-Yankees/Royals Under 9.5 -110 (6.94)
                                                »-Red Sox/Cardinals Under 8.5 -117 (7.92)
                                                »-Athletics/Mariners Over 8 -107 (9.85)
                                                _________________________
                                                Yesterday = 4-1-1 = +3.30
                                                ___________________________
                                                Added Brewers.
                                                Comment
                                                • shopbar picks
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 12-08-10
                                                  • 2157

                                                  #164
                                                  Nice day ty
                                                  Comment
                                                  • FUqer
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 01-22-15
                                                    • 3968

                                                    #165
                                                    Wednesday Plays 5/17

                                                    »-Mets +112 (3-2)

                                                    »-Yankees/Royals Under 9 -110 (8.42)
                                                    »-White Sox/Angels Under 7.5 -105 (7.69) SDQL
                                                    »-Athletics/Mariners Over 8.5 -105 (10.96)
                                                    »-Brewers/Padres Over 7.5 +100 (10.28)
                                                    _________________________
                                                    Yesterday = 5-2 = +2.92
                                                    ___________________________
                                                    Comment
                                                    • FUqer
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 01-22-15
                                                      • 3968

                                                      #166
                                                      Originally posted by FUqer
                                                      Wednesday Plays 5/17

                                                      »-Mets +112 (3-2)

                                                      »-Yankees/Royals Under 9 -110 (8.42)
                                                      »-White Sox/Angels Under 7.5 -105 (7.69) SDQL
                                                      »-Athletics/Mariners Over 8.5 -105 (10.96)
                                                      »-Brewers/Padres Over 7.5 +100 (10.28)
                                                      _________________________
                                                      Yesterday = 5-2 = +2.92
                                                      ___________________________

                                                      »-Braves -112 (3-4)
                                                      »-Pirates -1 +108
                                                      »-Twins -1 +103
                                                      »-Cubs -1.5 +105
                                                      ----------------------------------

                                                      Going with the Mets today as team on 6 game losing streaks as Road Dogs are +5.1% ROI and +35.6% ROI since 2015 and it's an angle that has been working for me. Harvey has had a week to refocus and has had success vs the D-Backs while Corbin has not been as good vs the Mets.

                                                      The other games I'm going with some value plays but I don't do many high favorites so I'm going -1 or -1.5, as I have Cubs and Pirates winning by more than 1.5 and Twins are very close. Wednesdays are also the 2nd best day for Home teams at +2.8% ROI, compared to yesterday's angle of fading home teams on Tuesday with a -10.4 ROI%.

                                                      I'm hoping the Braves stay hot and the wind blowing in should help Folty keep them in the ball park.

                                                      Gerrit Cole has finally started to look like himself the last few games and it appears the Nationals are starting a gas can, so Pirates may actually be able to get some runs.

                                                      Hopefully German Marquez last start was a fluke and he goes back to sucking, which would give the Twins a big advantage with Santana going.

                                                      The wind is crazy again in Chicago and I don't think it will be a one run game.

                                                      I'm again going with the Under in a game in Kansas City where a Lefty is pitching, doesn't help the wind is blowing out at 22 mph though.

                                                      I'm going against my model prediction in the White Sox/Angels game because one of the SDQL trends on my other thread. (287-196 +12.9% ROI)

                                                      The other two total plays are based on my model numbers and past performances.
                                                      ------------------------------------------------

                                                      I may play the White Sox later tonight, I been wanting to all series, I know they are hurt, but the price just doesn't seem to match, I'm glad I held off so far, but tonight may be the night.

                                                      I like the Under in the Red Sox/Cardinals game until I seen the weather.

                                                      The Rangers are in a bad spot on a 7 game win streak as a Home Favorite, -6.2% ROI and -18.0% ROI since 2015, but I should of played the Phillies last night, the value is gone.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • 2daBank
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 01-26-09
                                                        • 88966

                                                        #167
                                                        Assuming it the wind that bothering you for under in stl? If so I don't blame you it is really really windy here today. That 20 mph it shows doesn't even do it justice, I'm assuming the 20mph is what it doing constantly and gusting much harder than that at times!!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • FUqer
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 01-22-15
                                                          • 3968

                                                          #168
                                                          Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                          Assuming it the wind that bothering you for under in stl? If so I don't blame you it is really really windy here today. That 20 mph it shows doesn't even do it justice, I'm assuming the 20mph is what it doing constantly and gusting much harder than that at times!!
                                                          yea, windy as hell here too, and I wish I would of checked the Kansas City weather beforehand also.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • 2daBank
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 01-26-09
                                                            • 88966

                                                            #169
                                                            Originally posted by FUqer
                                                            yea, windy as hell here too, and I wish I would of checked the Kansas City weather beforehand also.
                                                            Like cards now that they plus money as I think the wind blowing out hard a big advantage here with leake's ground ball inducing style vs porcello who has morphed into a fly ball pitcher since his transformation. Big disadvantage today for the fly ball pitcher!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • 2daBank
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 01-26-09
                                                              • 88966

                                                              #170
                                                              Originally posted by FUqer
                                                              yea, windy as hell here too, and I wish I would of checked the Kansas City weather beforehand also.
                                                              Even with the wind I think you on right side with under in kc. Seems like another game where wind gives one team distinct advantage as Pineda has the sick k rate and also keeps ball on the ground while generally playing in kc helps Vargas who more a fly ball pitcher. I'm practically allergic to juice but Yankees are tempting. I will say what Vargas has done to reinvent himself this year incredibly impressive.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • FUqer
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 01-22-15
                                                                • 3968

                                                                #171
                                                                Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                                Even with the wind I think you on right side with under in kc. Seems like another game where wind gives one team distinct advantage as Pineda has the sick k rate and also keeps ball on the ground while generally playing in kc helps Vargas who more a fly ball pitcher. I'm practically allergic to juice but Yankees are tempting. I will say what Vargas has done to reinvent himself this year incredibly impressive.
                                                                I do like the Under when a Lefty is pitching in KC and two are going tomorrow. I had 3 teams winning by more than 1.5 tonight, Yankees, Pirates and Cubs. Yanks 6-2 vs Lefties this season. I think Vargas and KC being a Lefty ballpark and the price getting away from me is why I didn't play it.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • FUqer
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 01-22-15
                                                                  • 3968

                                                                  #172
                                                                  Thursday Projections

                                                                  WAS -125 (55.6%) Total = (8.36)
                                                                  CHC -194 (66.0%) Total = (10.39)
                                                                  MIL -102 (50.5%) Total = (8.71)
                                                                  MIA +147 (40.5%) Total = (8.09)
                                                                  BAL -106 (51.6%) Total = (9.42)
                                                                  KC -105 (51.4%) Total = (7.78)
                                                                  OAK -103 (50.9%) Total = (9.76)
                                                                  CHW +137 (42.1%) Total = (9.59)
                                                                  COL -103 (50.7%) Total = (8.26)
                                                                  ATL -105 (51.2%) Total = (8.06)
                                                                  TEX -137 (57.8%) Total = (10.26)
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • FUqer
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 01-22-15
                                                                    • 3968

                                                                    #173
                                                                    Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                                    Like cards now that they plus money as I think the wind blowing out hard a big advantage here with leake's ground ball inducing style vs porcello who has morphed into a fly ball pitcher since his transformation. Big disadvantage today for the fly ball pitcher!
                                                                    Cardinals do good in the 2nd game of a series, better on the road, but good at Home after losing the 1st one since 2015. When I was more of a rookie my first two seasons in 2015 and 2016, I would play on that a lot alone. They helped me win over +20 units in 2015, beginner's luck, I guess.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • 2daBank
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 01-26-09
                                                                      • 88966

                                                                      #174
                                                                      Originally posted by FUqer
                                                                      I do like the Under when a Lefty is pitching in KC and two are going tomorrow. I had 3 teams winning by more than 1.5 tonight, Yankees, Pirates and Cubs. Yanks 6-2 vs Lefties this season. I think Vargas and KC being a Lefty ballpark and the price getting away from me is why I didn't play it.
                                                                      Yea that line has shot way up.. hate when I'm slipping like that and don't get to the card night before for at least my 1st go thru
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • FUqer
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 01-22-15
                                                                        • 3968

                                                                        #175
                                                                        Originally posted by FUqer
                                                                        Thursday Projections

                                                                        WAS -125 (55.6%) Total = (8.36)
                                                                        CHC -194 (66.0%) Total = (10.39)
                                                                        MIL -111 (52.6%) Total = (9.07)
                                                                        MIA +147 (40.5%) Total = (8.09)
                                                                        BAL -106 (51.6%) Total = (9.42)
                                                                        KC -105 (51.4%) Total = (7.78)
                                                                        OAK -103 (50.9%) Total = (9.76)
                                                                        CHW +137 (42.1%) Total = (9.59)
                                                                        COL -103 (50.7%) Total = (8.26)
                                                                        ATL -105 (51.2%) Total = (8.06)
                                                                        TEX -137 (57.8%) Total = (10.26)
                                                                        Pitching change for Padres from Cahill to Cosart, changed predicted line from MIL -102 to -111 and total from 8.71 to 9.07.
                                                                        Comment
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