Mlb 2017

[FUqer]

Sunday 4/9

-> Blue Jays -109
-> Yankees +113
-> Rangers -113
-> Mariners +115 (Best Bet)
------------------------

[FUqer]

Monday 4/10

--> Rays +131
--> Reds +130
------------------------
2-2 yesterday for +0.4

[FUqer]

Tuesday 4/11

--> Twins +125
--> Cardinals +125
------------------------
1-1 yesterday +0.3


SDQL Trends
White Sox 16-1 O/U
Giants 22-4 SU
Orioles 18-2 SU
Phillies 1-17 SU

[FUqer]

Wednesday 4/12

--> Pirates -1 -120
--> Marlins -119
--> Royals -111
------------------------
0-2 yesterday for -2.0

Home Favorites are 49-20 (71%) ROI = +17.4%
Home Teams overall are 71-44 (61.7%) ROI = +13.8%
O/U for the season is 52-55-8
Teams off a win are 47-53 ROI = -7.6%
Teams off a loss are 53-47 ROI = +3.9%
Teams off Home Win are 31-31 ROI = -4.0%
Teams off Home Loss are 22-16 ROI = +9.3%
Teams off Away Win are 16-22 ROI = -13.8%
Teams off Away Loss are 31-31 ROI = +0.3%

Teams off back to back losses are 22-17 ROI = +6.2%
(Blue Jays, White Sox, Braves, Cardinals, Phillies, Pirates, Orioles, Royals)

Teams off 3 losses in a row are 10-4 ROI = +24.7%
(Blue Jays, Braves, Cardinals)

Teams off back to back wins are 19-21 ROI = -5.2%
(Angels, Cubs, Nationals, Mets, Reds, Tigers, Yankees)

Teams off 3 wins in a row are 5-10 ROI = -34.5%
(None)
---------------------------------------------------

The Pirates are 21-0 SU in the last game of a series as a 140-plus favorite when they won by one run in their starters last start, as long as that starter went more than four innings in that start.
team = Pirates and LGS and line<=-135 and s:margin = 1 and s:SIP>4 and season >= 2013

The Dodgers are 0-13 SU as a dog off a road game in which they allowed six or fewer hits.
team = Dodgers and D and p:A and po:hits <= 6 and date >= 20140813
-----------------------
The Cardinals are 15-0 OU as a dog off a game as a dog in which they scored in fewer innings than their opponent.
team = Cardinals and D and p and p:SII < po:SII and date >= 20150711

The Phillies are 14-0 OU when their line is within 25 cents of pick-em off a home game when their opponents starter has a strike-per-ball ratio greater than 2 on the season
team = Phillies and -125 <= line <= 125 and p:H and o:STDSSPB>2 and date >= 20130408

The Giants are 11-0 OU as a home favorite after they loss and never led.
team = Giants and HF and p:BL = 0 and p:L and date >= 20160421
-----------------------
Other Notables

Blue Jays 1-15 Under

Dodgers 1-18 SU

Indians 17-2 SU

Nationals 35-5 SU

Padres 2-18 SU

[Nicolas25]

thanks, very useful

[FUqer]

thanks, very useful

yw, at least I can be somewhat useful when my picks haven't been so good

[FUqer]

Thursday 4/13

--> Twins +130
--> Yankees -125
--> Brewers -121
--> Royals -126

--> Anaheim Ducks (25-0 @ H vs Calgary)
------------------------
0-3 yesterday for -3.5
------------------------
951-564 ROI = +12.1%, applies to Yankees

The Brewers are 13-0 OU on the road when their line is within 20 cents of pick-em off a game as a dog when their opponents starter has a strike-per-ball ratio less than 1.6 on the season.
team = Brewers and A and -120 <= line <= 120 and p and o:STDSSPB < 1.6 and date >= 20130809

The Giants are 14-0 OU in the first game of a home series after scoring 6+ runs at home.
team = Giants and H and 6 <= p:runs and p:H and SG = 1 and date >= 20121024

Mets 4-23
team = Mets and D and p:A and p:SO > p:hits and date >= 20150512

Dodgers 1-13
team = Dodgers and D and p:A and po:hits <= 6 and date >= 20140813

[FUqer]

Home Teams

2017: 71-44 ROI = +13.8%
2016: 1303-1158 ROI = -2.7%
2015: 1335-1130 ROI = -0.6%
2014: 1306-1155 ROI = -2.6%
2013: 1329-1139 ROI = -2.4%
2012: 1313-1154 ROI = -2.9%
ALL: 17366-14761 ROI = -1.7%
_____________________________________
Home Favorites

2017: 49-20 ROI = +17.4%
2016: 928-652 ROI = -1.8%
2015: 969-671 ROI = +0.6%
2014: 946-704 ROI = -2.0%
2013: 969-684 ROI = -1.9%
2012: 950-677 ROI = -1.7%
ALL: 12462-8740 ROI = -1.6%
______________________________________
Home Underdogs

2017: 20-22 ROI = +6.5%
2016: 345-481 ROI = -6.1%
2015: 321-418 ROI = -5.0%
2014: 310-398 ROI = -4.9%
2013: 314-419 ROI = -5.3%
2012: 319-427 ROI = -6.0%
ALL: 4314-5429 ROI = -1.7%
______________________________________
Away Teams

2017: 56-74 ROI = -8.5%
2016: 1158-1303 ROI = -0.8%
2015: 1130-1335 ROI = -3.3%
2014: 1155-1306 ROI = -1.1%
2013: 1139-1329 ROI = -1.6%
2012: 1154-1313 ROI = -1.0%
ALL: 14761-17366 ROI = -2.5%
______________________________________
Away Favorites

2017: 22-20 ROI = -8.7%
2016: 481-344 ROI = +1.4%
2015: 418-321 ROI = +0.5%
2014: 398-309 ROI = +0.5%
2013: 418-314 ROI = +0.6%
2012: 426-319 ROI = +1.1%
ALL: 5427-4312 ROI = -2.2%
______________________________________
Away Underdogs

2017: 31-52 ROI = -10.0%
2016: 652-928 ROI = -2.0%
2015: 671-969 ROI = -5.4%
2014: 704-946 ROI = -1.8%
2013: 684-969 ROI = -2.2%
2012: 678-950 ROI = -2.5%
ALL: 8741-12462 ROI = -2.7%
______________________________________
Teams off a win

2017: 47-53 ROI = -7.6%
2016: 1271-1179 ROI = -0.4%
2015: 1267-1188 ROI = -0.2%
2014: 1223-1229 ROI = -2.9%
2013: 1256-1203 ROI = -2.8%
2012: 1272-1185 ROI = -0.7%
ALL: 16344-15619 ROI = -1.7%
______________________________________
Teams off at least back to back wins
(Astros, Athletics, Brewers, Yankees, Tigers, Mets, Reds )

2017: 23-24 ROI = -4.2%
2016: 661-602 ROI = -0.2%
2015: 683-579 ROI = +3.2%
2014: 599-620 ROI = -5.1%
2013: 637-614 ROI = -5.1%
2012: 659-610 ROI = -1.7%
ALL: 8413-7852 ROI = -1.9%
__________________________________
Teams off at least 3 wins in a row
(Yankees, Tigers, Mets, Reds, )

2017: 7-12 ROI = -27.7%
2016: 346-312 ROI = -0.8%
2015: 351-329 ROI = -2.0%
2014: 287-311 ROI = -7.2%
2013: 332-302 ROI = -3.9%
2012: 345-312 ROI = -1.4%
ALL: 4333-4040 ROI = -2.7%
___________________________________
Teams off a loss

2017: 61-54 ROI = +4.7%
2016: 1174-1266 ROI = -3.5%
2015: 1183-1262 ROI = -3.7%
2014: 1221-1217 ROI = -1.0%
2013: 1197-1250 ROI = -1.1%
2012: 1180-1267 ROI = -3.4%
ALL: 15556-16287 ROI = -2.5%
______________________________________
Teams off at least back to back losses
(Rays, Twins, Mariners, Blue Jays, Royals, Phillies, Pirates )

2017: 26-21 ROI = +5.2%
2016: 598-654 ROI = -2.6%
2015: 605-647 ROI = -2.9%
2014: 591-615 ROI = -1.5%
2013: 589-651 ROI = -1.9%
2012: 604-654 ROI = -2.2%
ALL: 7741-8393 ROI = -2.6%
_________________________________
Teams off at least 3 losses in a row
(Blue Jays, Royals, Phillies, Pirates)

2017: 12-5 ROI = +23.0%
2016: 315-332 ROI = +0.9%
2015: 299-340 ROI = -5.5%
2014: 304-305 ROI = +1.0%
2013: 306-339 ROI = +0.0%
2012: 310-337 ROI = -1.4%
ALL: 3893-4403 ROI = -3.4%
__________________________________
Teams off Home Win

2017: 33-38 ROI = -13.2%
2016: 689-608 ROI = -2.1%
2015: 709-619 ROI = -1.1%
2014: 682-620 ROI = -2.1%
2013: 687-636 ROI = -5.7%
2012: 697-611 ROI = -2.0%
ALL: 9238-8042 ROI = -1.8%
______________________________________
Teams off Home Loss

2017: 23-21 ROI = -2.4%
2016: 582-564 ROI = -3.6%
2015: 567-554 ROI = -3.9%
2014: 598-546 ROI = -1.5%
2013: 552-578 ROI = -6.6%
2012: 584-558 ROI = -2.8%
ALL: 7575-7045 ROI = -2.1%
______________________________________
Teams off Away Win

2017: 21-23 ROI = -1.2%
2016: 582-571 ROI = +1.9%
2015: 558-569 ROI = +1.1%
2014: 541-609 ROI = -4.0%
2013: 569-567 ROI = +1.1%
2012: 575-574 ROI = +1.0%
ALL: 7106-7577 ROI = -1.5%
______________________________________
Teams off Away Loss

2017: 38-33 ROI = +9.6%
2016: 592-702 ROI = -3.4%
2015: 616-708 ROI = -3.5%
2014: 623-671 ROI = -0.5%
2013: 645-672 ROI = +4.2%
2012: 596-709 ROI = -3.9%
ALL: 7981-9242 ROI = -2.8%

[FUqer]

Friday 4/14

--> Cardinals +133
--> Tigers +143
--> Red Sox -126

--> Pittsburgh Penguins
------------------------
5-0 yesterday
-----------------------
Pirates are 0-18 SU after a one run loss as a dog since 8/16/14.

The Reds are 15-0 SU as a 140+ home favorite vs a team that has won at least their last two games and it is not the first game of a series.

The Tigers are 14-0 SU in the first game of a series after playing as a home favorite when facing a divisional opponent with fewer wins.

The Mariners are 13-0 OU as a favorite by more than 135 after a game as a home dog in which they allowed 5-plus walks.

The Cardinals are 12-0 OU on the road off a game as a dog in which Kolten Wong was hitless in at least three at bats.

The Twins are 0-13 OU as a favorite after a game as a road dog in which they won by 5+ runs.
_______
Others

Dodgers 21-4 SU
Padres 1-17 SU
Royals 19-5 SU
Giants 11-1 O/U
________________________

[FUqer]

Saturday 4/15

--> Brewers -102
--> Padres -105
--> Rangers +160

--> Boston Bruins
--> Anaheim Ducks (26-0 SU @ H vs Calgary)

---------------------------------------------------

2-2 yesterday for a small profit. The Angels are in a real good spot today, being on a -3 losing streak plus being an away favorite, but their pitching match up is a huge turn off for me. I usually like to fade the Cardinals against Lefties but the Yankees and their +5 game streak doesn't have a good track record in this spot.

---------------------------------------------------

SDQL

The Diamondbacks are 0-18 SU as a 140-plus dog when seeking immediate revenge for a road loss in which they never led.

The Phillies were 0-14 SU as a 130-plus dog after they had six or fewer hits and it is not a series opener.

_______
Others

Cardinals 15-1 Over
Cardinals 12-1 Over

[Louisvillekid1]

nice thread

[FUqer]

nice thread

Thank You!

[FUqer]

Streak = +3

2016: 175-138 ROI = +5.9%
2015: 171-159 ROI = -0.5%
2014: 146-166 ROI = -8.8%
ALL: 2097-1961 ROI = -1.5%

Streak = -3

2016: 150-169 ROI = -4.6%
2015: 143-160 ROI = -5.5%
2014: 147-160 ROI = -3.5%
ALL: 1901-2047 ROI = -2.6%

Streak = -2

2016: 283-322 ROI = -6.2%
2015: 306-307 ROI = -0.1%
2014: 287-297 ROI = -3.9%
ALL: 3848-3990 ROI = -1.7%
___________________________________

Streak -3, Below .500, Underdog

2017: 4-2 ROI = +60.8% (6-0 RL)
2016: 49-73 ROI = -6.3%
2015: 54-74 ROI = -2.7%
ALL: 648-952 ROI = -4.1%
____________________________
Streak -2, Below .500, Underdog

2017: 4-9 ROI = -21.2%
2016: 81-124 ROI = -4.9%
2015: 94-127 ROI = -1.8%
ALL: 1122-1596 ROI = -2.1%
____________________________
Streak +3, Favorites

2017: 3-5 ROI = -36.1% (0-8 RL)
2016: 106-73 ROI = -0.1%
2015: 105-75 ROI = +0.0%
ALL: 1307-943 ROI = -1.7%
____________________________
2017

Loss by 9 or more = 1-1 ROI = +16.4%
Loss by 8 or more = 2-2 ROI = -5.7%
Loss by 7 or more = 3-5 ROI = -24.1%
Loss by 6 or more = 5-5 ROI = -2.2%
Loss by 5 or more = 8-8 ROI = +2.3%
Loss by 4 or more = 13-11 ROI = +8.5%
Loss by 3 or more = 19-17 ROI = +1.7%
Loss by 2 or more = 27-22 ROI = +7.7%
Loss by 1 or more = 39-32 ROI = +8.6%

Loss by 9 = 1-1 ROI = -25.4%
Loss by 8 = 1-3 ROI = -49.1%
Loss by 7 = 2-0 ROI = +71.9%
Loss by 6 = 3-3 ROI = +10.1%
Loss by 5 = 5-3 ROI = +22.1%
Loss by 4 = 6-6 ROI = -10.0%
Loss by 3 = 8-5 ROI = +26.5%
Loss by 2 = 12-10 ROI = +10.7%
Loss by 1 = 14-15 ROI = -6.9%

2016

Loss by 9 or more = 39-46 ROI = -3.3%
Loss by 8 or more = 58-73 ROI = -7.5%
Loss by 7 or more = 86-114 ROI = -12.2%
Loss by 6 or more = 142-178 ROI = -9.6%
Loss by 5 or more = 208-250 ROI = -7.0%
Loss by 4 or more = 297-364 ROI = -8.1%
Loss by 3 or more = 438-502 ROI = -5.4%
Loss by 2 or more = 602-701 ROI = -6.7%
Loss by 1 or more = 840-909 ROI = -3.3%

Loss by 9 = 19-27 ROI = -15.3%
Loss by 8 = 28-41 ROI = -20.4%
Loss by 7 = 56-64 ROI = -5.3%
Loss by 6 = 66-72 ROI = -0.8%
Loss by 5 = 89-114 ROI = -10.6%
Loss by 4 = 141-138 ROI = +0.9%
Loss by 3 = 164-199 ROI = -9.9%
Loss by 2 = 238-208 ROI = +6.6%
Loss by 1 = 334-357 ROI = -4.0%
----------------------------

[FUqer]

Sunday 4/16

--> Blue Jays -107
--> Brewers -109
--> Royals +103
--> Athletics -106
--> Rockies +123
--> Twins -127
--> Rangers -110

--> Pittsburgh Penguins
--> Edmonton Oilers
___________________________
Terrible night in MLB, split in NHL. Big day today. Happy Easter!
___________________________
SDQL

The Athletics are 13-0 OU as a favorite in the last game of a series after a home loss in which they scored first.

Nationals 30-3 SU
Phillies 1-18 SU
Phillies 1-14 SU
Yankees 14-1 SU
Athletics 1-12 SU

Twins 16-1 OVER
Giants 12-1 OVER

[Scrivero]

Love your SDQL stuff man. I will be stopping by every now and then.

[FUqer]

Monday 4/17

--> Angels +143
--> Marlins +131

--> Washington Capitals
--> Anaheim Ducks
_________________________
Yesterday
MLB = 3-3 = -18
NHL = 2-0 = +220
ALL = 5-3 = +202
------------------------
SDQL

The Rangers are 0-14 SU as a road dog after a game in which they had a higher team-left-on-base than their opponent.
team = Rangers and AD and po:TLOB < p:TLOB and date >= 20160702The Dodgers are 16-0 SU in franchise history as a 120+ favorite off a home game in which Corey Seager was hitless in at least three at bats.team = Dodgers and line<=-120 and p:H and Corey Seager:at bats>=3 and Corey Seager:hits = 0

The Cardinals are 0-13 RL as a home favorite off a loss as a dog in which they held the lead.
team = Cardinals and HF and p:LD and p:BL > 0 and date >= 20110502

The Yankees are 18-0 SU since April 30th 2012, as a Home Favorite of -140 or more in the first game of a series after scoring more than 6 run in hier last game.
team = Yankees and line<=-140 and HF and p:runs>=6 and FGS and date >= 20120430
---------------------------
The Dodgers are 34-4 SU as a 135+ favorite when seeking immediate revenge for a loss in which they had 6 or fewer hits.
team = Dodgers and line<=-135 and p:hits <= 6 and p:L and SG > 1 and date >= 20140720

The White Sox are 19-2 OU as a dog after a win in which they left 18+ men on base.
team = White Sox and D and p:LOB>=18 and p:W and date >= 20150622

The Mariners are 13-1 OU as a favorite by more than 135 after a game as a home dog in which they allowed 5-plus walks.
team = Mariners and line<-135 and p:HD and 5 <= po:walks and date >= 20090519
________________________

[trobin31]

Starter=AJ Griffin and D and s:SF and s:SHA<6

SU: 13-0
RL: 13-0

[FUqer]

Starter=AJ Griffin and D and s:SF and s:SHA<6

SU: 13-0
RL: 13-0

Thanks, more reason for me not to plat the A's.

[FUqer]

Tuesday 4/18
--> Rangers -124
--> Indians -115
_________________________
Yesterday
MLB = 0-2 = -200
NHL = 1-1 = -25
ALL = 1-3 = -225
______________

[FUqer]

Tuesday 4/18

--> Rangers -124
--> Indians -115

--> Cardinals -1 +110

--> San Jose Sharks
_________________________

Yesterday
MLB = 0-2 = -200
NHL = 1-1 = -25
ALL = 1-3 = -225
______________

Didn't Make The Cut

Tigers +107
Phillies +156
Braves +174
Marlins -102
Phillies/Mets Over 7.5
Oilers/Sharks Under 5

_____________________________
SDQL

The Red Sox are 0-16 OU as a dog after a one-run win at home and the total is 10 or less.
team = Red Sox and D and p:margin = 1 and p:H and total<=10 and date >= 20081001



The Dodgers are 0-13 RL as a home 140-plus favorite off a game as a favorite in which they allowed 5-plus walks.
team = Dodgers and H and line <= -140 and p:F and 5 <= po:walks and date >= 20140425



The White Sox are 19-0 RL as a 160+ dog after allowing 6+ runs.
team=White Sox and line>=160 and 6<=po:runs and date>=20130709

---------------------------

The Dodgers are 16-1 SU in franchise history as a 120+ favorite off a home game in which Corey Seager was hitless in at least three at bats.
team = Dodgers and line<=-120 and p:H and Corey Seager:at bats>=3 and Corey Seager:hits = 0

The Rangers are 16-2 SU since May 11th 2013 as an Away Favorite vs a team with a losing streak of at least -2 and it's not the first game of a series.
team = Rangers and AF and o:streak<=-2 and SG >1and date >= 20130511

The Pirates are 1-18 SU since August 16th 2014 after a one run loss as a dog.
team = Pirates and p and p:margin = -1 and date >= 20140816

The Giants are 1-15 RL & 3-13 SU in the first game of a series after a one-run loss at home.
team = Giants and p:margin = -1 and p:H and SG = 1 and date >= 20110722

The Braves are 2-22 RL in a home series opener after a home game in which they hit at least one home run.
team=Braves and H and p:HR>0 and p:H and SG=1 and date>=20130729

________________________

[FUqer]

Tuesday 4/18

--> Rangers -124
--> Indians -115

--> Cardinals -1 +110

--> Angels +133

--> San Jose Sharks
_________________________

Added Angels for spot related to their -6 streak.

[FUqer]

Wednesday 4/19
--> Mets -122
------------------------
Yesterday

MLB = 2-1 = +109
NHL = 1-0 = +100
ALL = 3-1 = +209
--------------------------

Vince Velasquez 1-10 ROI -81.7% since July 19th 2016.
starter = Vince Velasquez and date >= 20160719

63-31 ROI +11.4%
streak = -4 and HF and o:streak = 1 and SG = 2

36-15 ROI +14.8%
streak = -4 and HF and o:streak = 1 and SG = 2 and DIV

[FUqer]

Wednesday 4/19

--> Mets -122
------------------------
Yesterday

MLB = 2-1 = +109
NHL = 1-0 = +100
ALL = 3-1 = +209
--------------------------

Vince Velasquez 1-10 ROI -81.7% since July 19th 2016.
starter = Vince Velasquez and date >= 20160719

63-31 ROI +11.4%
streak = -4 and HF and o:streak = 1 and SG = 2

36-15 ROI +14.8%
streak = -4 and HF and o:streak = 1 and SG = 2 and DIV

SDQL

The Marlins are 0-18 SU as a 135-plus dog when their opponent is seeking immediate revenge for a loss in which they never led.
team = Marlins and SG > 1 and line>=135 and po:BL = 0 and p:W and date >= 20140626

The Cubs are 0-11 OU in the last game of a home series off a game in which their opponent scored at least the first four runs of the game and their starter allowed at least four runs.
team = Cubs and LGS and H and po:SF>=4 and p:SRA>3 and date >= 20130600

The Yankees are 0-11 RL as a favorite off a game as a favorite in which they did not hit a home run and it is not a series opener.
team = Yankees and SG > 1 and F and p:F and p:HR = 0 and date >= 20150929

The White Sox are 18-0 RL as a road dog after they hit multiple home runs and it is not a series opener.
team = White Sox and SG > 1 and A and D and p:HR > 1 and date >= 20150604


---------------------------

The Phillies are 1-19 SU since May 02, 2016 off a game as a dog in which they allowed 6 or fewer hits.
team = Phillies and p and po:hits <= 6 and date >= 20160502

The Pirates are 1-19 SU off a one-run loss as a dog.
team = Pirates and p and p:margin = -1 and date >= 20140816

The Athletics are 1-17 RL as a home favorite after a win in which they scored in at most two separate innings.
team=Athletics and HF and p:SII<=2 and p:W and date>=20140820

[Scrivero]

SDQL

The Marlins are 0-18 SU as a 135-plus dog when their opponent is seeking immediate revenge for a loss in which they never led.
team = Marlins and SG > 1 and line>=135 and po:BL = 0 and p:W and date >= 20140626

The Cubs are 0-11 OU in the last game of a home series off a game in which their opponent scored at least the first four runs of the game and their starter allowed at least four runs.
team = Cubs and LGS and H and po:SF>=4 and p:SRA>3 and date >= 20130600

The Yankees are 0-11 RL as a favorite off a game as a favorite in which they did not hit a home run and it is not a series opener.
team = Yankees and SG > 1 and F and p:F and p:HR = 0 and date >= 20150929

The White Sox are 18-0 RL as a road dog after they hit multiple home runs and it is not a series opener.
team = White Sox and SG > 1 and A and D and p:HR > 1 and date >= 20150604


---------------------------

The Phillies are 1-19 SU since May 02, 2016 off a game as a dog in which they allowed 6 or fewer hits.
team = Phillies and p and po:hits <= 6 and date >= 20160502

The Pirates are 1-19 SU off a one-run loss as a dog.
team = Pirates and p and p:margin = -1 and date >= 20140816

The Athletics are 1-17 RL as a home favorite after a win in which they scored in at most two separate innings.
team=Athletics and HF and p:SII<=2 and p:W and date>=20140820

Sounds great but just to see if I got this right. The plays for today would be:

1. Seattle SU (fade the Marlins)
2. Milwaukee-Cubs Under
3. White Sox RL +1,5 (fade the Yankees)
4. Mets SU (fade the Phillies)
5. St Louis SU (fade the Pirates)
6. Texas RL +1,5 (fade the Athletics)

Did I get it right? Could one also play e.g. Texas as SU or with reverse RL of -1,5? E.g. the Athletics are 3-15 SU and 7-11 RL (-1,5). SU has a better ROI than just RL (+1,5) and -1,5 has ROI that is pretty equal to +1,5. What do you think and what do you think about just choosing the best ROI option each time?
In any case, awesome awesome finds, I have no idea how you come up with those combos to SDQL query

[FUqer]

Sounds great but just to see if I got this right. The plays for today would be:

1. Seattle SU (fade the Marlins)
2. Milwaukee-Cubs Under
3. White Sox RL +1,5 (fade the Yankees)
4. Mets SU (fade the Phillies)
5. St Louis SU (fade the Pirates)
6. Texas RL +1,5 (fade the Athletics)

Did I get it right? Could one also play e.g. Texas as SU or with reverse RL of -1,5? E.g. the Athletics are 3-15 SU and 7-11 RL (-1,5). SU has a better ROI than just RL (+1,5) and -1,5 has ROI that is pretty equal to +1,5. What do you think and what do you think about just choosing the best ROI option each time?
In any case, awesome awesome finds, I have no idea how you come up with those combos to SDQL query

Yep, that looks right.

A's lost by 2 or more 75% of the time in that spot, so a reverse RL of Texas -1.5 might be ok, but of course Texas SU will be safer. It all depends on how risky your feeling and what price is better for you. Personally, I wouldn't do a reverse RL of -1.5 over a SU, unless I was extra confident it was going to be a blowout, not just a win. I'm not playing Texas because the A's bat .306 vs Perez and they screwed my perfect night last night.

[Scrivero]

Yep, that looks right.

A's lost by 2 or more 75% of the time in that spot, so a reverse RL of Texas -1.5 might be ok, but of course Texas SU will be safer. It all depends on how risky your feeling and what price is better for you. Personally, I wouldn't do a reverse RL of -1.5 over a SU, unless I was extra confident it was going to be a blowout, not just a win. I'm not playing Texas because the A's bat .306 vs Perez and they screwed my perfect night last night.

Thanks for the reply and for the insight!

[FUqer]

Thanks for the reply and for the insight!

Your welcome, GL!

[FUqer]

Wednesday 4/19
--> Mets -122

--> Washington Capitals
--> Boston Bruins
--> Minnesota Wild
--> Anaheim Ducks


--------------------------

Added NHL Plays for the night, opening it up a bit tonight, 8-2 in playoffs +6.71. NHL is my best sport, I didn't run a NHL thread this year, that is why I still post my plays in here. I'm going to double check MLB and see if I'm going to pull the trigger on the Padres, White Sox, Angels, or Twins. GL ALL!

[Scrivero]

Added NHL Plays for the night, opening it up a bit tonight, 8-2 in playoffs +6.71. NHL is my best sport, I didn't run a NHL thread this year, that is why I still post my plays in here. I'm going to double check MLB and see if I'm going to pull the trigger on the Padres, White Sox, Angels, or Twins. GL ALL!

I played all the MLB ones and Im gonna just go on a limb and tail your NHL picks too. Thanks!

[FUqer]

MLB Wednesday 4/19


--> Mets -122
--> Reds -102
--> Nationals -121
--> Red Sox -110

--------------------------

I couldn't pull the trigger on the big dogs today, pitching match-ups are too unfavorable, IMO.

[kilopro]

Man I thought I posted something on here and now it's gone. Thanks Fuqer for the good info. Your name looks familiar from other forums possibly but I could be wrong. I've dabbled with the SDQL for several years and still trying to find the winning formulas!

[FUqer]

Man I thought I posted something on here and now it's gone. Thanks Fuqer for the good info. Your name looks familiar from other forums possibly but I could be wrong. I've dabbled with the SDQL for several years and still trying to find the winning formulas!

That's funny cuz I saw your post about WF one second and it was gone the next. Yes, that's me from WF. IT might of got deleted for mentioned another site. You're welcome and thanks for the post.

[FUqer]

Thursday 4/20

--> Angels +155
--> Royals -110
--> Nationals/Braves Over 7.5

--> Nashville Predators
--> Blackhawks/Predators Under 5
--> San Jose Sharks
_________________________

Yesterday

MLB = 2-2 = -12
NHL = 3-1 = +140
______________________
SDQL

The Cardinals are 0-14 SU+RL as a road favorite after a home win in which they had fewer team-left-on-base than their opponent.
team = Cardinals and AF and p:HW and p:TLOB < po:TLOB and date >= 20110912

The Nationals are 12-0 OU as a road 140-plus favorite off a road game in which Ryan Zimmerman hit a home run.
team = Nationals and A and line<=-140 and p:A and Ryan Zimmerman:home runs > 0 and date >= 20100613

The Braves are 13-0 OU at home after they allowed 12-plus hits.
team = Braves and H and 12 <= po:hits and date >= 20160612

The Braves are 14-0 OU off a loss as a dog in which they held the lead.
team = Braves and p and p:BL > 0 and p:L and date >= 20160803

The Braves and Nationals are 14-1 O/U last 15 meetings.
team=Braves and o:team=Nationals and date>=20160414

---------------------------

The Mets are 20-2 SU as a favorite in the last game of a series after a one-run win.
team = Mets and F and p:margin = 1 and LGS and date >= 20110901

The Nationals are 31-3 SU since May 7th, 2014 as a favorite in the last game of a series when they came back from a deficit to win in their starters last start.
team = Nationals and F and s:W and so:BL > 0 and LGS and date >= 20140507

The Nationals are 35-6 SU since July 4th, 2013 as a 140+ favorite in the last game of a series after a game in which they hit more home runs than their opponent.
team = Nationals and line<=-140 and p:HR > po:HR and LGS and date >= 20130704

The Braves are 1-12 SU since Aug 05, 2015 in not the first game of a series after a game as a home dog in which they lost by 5+ runs
team = Braves and p:HD and p:margin <= -5 and SG > 1 and date >= 20150805

The Royals are 20-5 SU since July 5th, 2015 when Danny Duffy is a favorite at home.
starter = Danny Duffy and F and date>= 20150705

The Royals are 23-7 SU when Danny Duffy won his last 2 starts.
starter = Danny Duffy and s:W and ss:W
________________________

[Scrivero]

Thanks! I played everything again I will keep doing it until it gives me a losing day (or two).

[Scrivero]

And when I mean everything I mean all your NHL picks and all the SDQL plays, but none of the other MLB picks, such as Angels tonight. Havent followed your other MLB picks, but like you said, NHL is your best skill, and I just love the SDQL stuff you have so theres the reasoning. I hope you continue winning man.