MLB - 2016 Playoff Plays

LT Profits · 10-07-16, 11:24 AM

Originally posted by BaseballChaser

What does model have Giants Cubs at?

Cubs 59% (-144). Value was there all along on Cueto, but I resisted earlier when I saw line rising. Felt better when line dropped at Pinny while still leaving room to be +EV, especially with the +165 at 5 Dimes still available.

stackz125 · 10-07-16, 01:17 PM

Thought about Red Sox?

LT Profits · 10-07-16, 01:40 PM

Originally posted by stackz125

Thought about Red Sox?

Too close. I get Boston 51% (-104)

eddycash · 10-07-16, 01:52 PM

Adjust the model by adding public money, texas is another example my firend

LT Profits · 10-07-16, 05:18 PM

1 MLB 5-Inning Addition

FRIDAY, 10/7
Rangers -122 (Heritage)
Giants +165 (5 Dimes)
Giants +140 (5 innings) (Bookmaker)
Giants / Cubs OVER 6.5 -115 (Heritage)

jt88 · 10-07-16, 09:47 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

FRIDAY, 10/7
Rangers -122 (Heritage)

Giants +165 (5 Dimes)
Giants +140 (5 innings) (Bookmaker)
Giants / Cubs OVER 6.5 -115 (Heritage)

Every time I follow your plays it's a loss unbelievable !

LT Profits · 10-08-16, 06:38 AM

No Saturday Plays as of yet.

YTD: 445-455-24, +4.77

Regular Season: 442-451-23, +5.81
Playoffs: 3-4-1, -1.04

LT Profits · 10-08-16, 11:03 AM

1 MLB Play Saturday

SATURDAY, 10/8
Dodgers -115 (Bookmaker)

YTD: 445-455-24, +4.77

Regular Season: 442-451-23, +5.81
Playoffs: 3-4-1, -1.04

Brooklyn Dick · 10-08-16, 02:38 PM

Dodgers game postponed to tomorrow 1:08 PM

LT Profits · 10-08-16, 03:58 PM

Originally posted by Brooklyn Dick

Dodgers game postponed to tomorrow 1:08 PM

Yep, looks like no MLB plays today for the first time all year.

Brooklyn Dick · 10-08-16, 05:34 PM

What does the model say on the Cubs game please?

LT Profits · 10-08-16, 08:21 PM

Originally posted by Brooklyn Dick

What does the model say on the Cubs game please?

Sorry I missed this but there was nothing going on. Cubs 64% (-177).

Also sorry I didn't post the 60%er, too much going on today and I just forgot.

LT Profits · 10-09-16, 07:19 AM

1 MLB Play Sunday

SUNDAY, 10/9
Indians / Red Sox UNDER 9.5 +100 (5 Dimes)

YTD: 445-455-24, +4.77

Regular Season: 442-451-23, +5.81
Playoffs: 3-4-1, -1.04

LT Profits · 10-09-16, 07:32 AM

1 MLB Addition

SUNDAY, 10/9
Dodgers -114 (Heritage)
Indians / Red Sox UNDER 9.5 +100 (5 Dimes)

44 Mag · 10-09-16, 07:32 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

SUNDAY, 10/9
Indians / Red Sox UNDER 9.5 +100 (5 Dimes)

YTD: 445-455-24, +4.77

Regular Season: 442-451-23, +5.81
Playoffs: 3-4-1, -1.04

They might as well call this game now & reschedule. It is pouring rain here as I type, 8:31 AM EDT, and the forecast calls for rain all day into the early hours of Monday.

You heard it here first folks. LOL.

LT Profits · 10-09-16, 10:20 AM

60%er Sunday:

Toronto 63% (-170)

44 Mag · 10-09-16, 01:36 PM

Originally posted by 44 Mag

They might as well call this game now & reschedule. It is pouring rain here as I type, 8:31 AM EDT, and the forecast calls for rain all day into the early hours of Monday.

You heard it here first folks. LOL.

Done.

LT Profits · 10-10-16, 06:57 AM

3 MLB Plays Monday

MONDAY, 10/10
Nationals +136 (Heritage)
Nationals / Dodgers UNDER 7.5 -105 (Heritage)
Indians / Red Sox UNDER 9.5 -105 (Heritage)

YTD: 445-456-24, +3.63

Regular Season: 442-451-23, +5.81
Playoffs: 3-5-1, -2.18

LT Profits · 10-11-16, 12:12 PM

1 MLB Play Tuesday

TUESDAY, 10/11
Giants +114 (5 Dimes)

YTD: 447-457-24, +4.94

Regular Season: 442-451-23, +5.81
Playoffs: 5-6-1, -0.87

Nateboogy · 10-11-16, 03:21 PM

Thoughts on o7 even money in dodgers?

LT Profits · 10-11-16, 03:26 PM

Originally posted by Nateboogy

Thoughts on o7 even money in dodgers?

Pass. I get 6.4, but that assumes a Kershaw at full strength, which we may not see.

lonegambler · 10-11-16, 03:41 PM

u and lang on giants u sure u still like them

LT Profits · 10-11-16, 03:45 PM

Originally posted by lonegambler

u and lang on giants u sure u still like them

Couldn't care less who anyone else is on. I have this game dead even at 50% (+100) each way, so I think +114 is +EV.

RavensFan2k3 · 10-11-16, 10:57 PM

So much for that I guess

POOLSIDE · 10-12-16, 05:25 PM

Indians plus money on the series price seems excellent. Thoughts?

Time is Money · 10-12-16, 05:36 PM

Originally posted by POOLSIDE

Indians plus money on the series price seems excellent. Thoughts?

Home field is nice but without their #1 and #2 starters is rough. Pitched great against Boston for the sweep but Jays bats have been raking.

eddycash · 10-12-16, 05:46 PM

I hope we match up tomorrow with the same pick LT

LT Profits · 10-13-16, 08:45 AM

1 MLB Play Thursday

THURSDAY, 10/13
Dodgers / Nationals UNDER 7 +105 (Heritage)

YTD: 447-458-24, +3.94

Regular Season: 442-451-23, +5.81
Playoffs: 5-7-1, -1.87

eddycash · 10-13-16, 08:46 AM

Too tough to choose a side today?

LT Profits · 10-13-16, 09:10 AM

Originally posted by eddycash

Too tough to choose a side today?

Lean LA but not enough...for now!

Thrilla · 10-13-16, 04:13 PM

pilebuck13 · 10-13-16, 04:40 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Lean LA but not enough...for now!

Surprised u passed on dodgers as high as +143

LT Profits · 10-14-16, 06:45 AM

MLB Play Friday

FRIDAY, 10/14
Blue Jays / Indians OVER 7.5 -105 (Heritage)

YTD: 447-458-25, +3.94

Regular Season: 442-451-23, +5.81
Playoffs: 5-7-2, -1.87

44 Mag · 10-14-16, 06:49 AM

Good Morning. I haven't checked in with you for a few days. Surprised you are not on Kluber tonight. He has served me well This season. Any thoughts???

LT Profits · 10-14-16, 07:08 AM

Originally posted by 44 Mag

Good Morning. I haven't checked in with you for a few days. Surprised you are not on Kluber tonight. He has served me well This season. Any thoughts???

I DO like Indians but do not want to lay more than -130. Model has Cleveland 59% (-144)