MLB - 2016 Playoff Plays

blap10 · 10-04-16, 06:54 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

TUESDAY, 10/4
Orioles / Blue Jays UNDER 8.5 -105 (5 Dimes)

WEDNESDAY, 10/5
Giants +101 (Heritage)

YTD: 442-451-23, +5.81

Regular Season: 442-451-23, +5.81
Playoffs: 0-0, 0.00

I love that Orioles/ Jays under 8.5 as well. I think that goes down the closer it gets to game time. BOL

LT Profits · 10-04-16, 07:15 AM

60%er Tuesday:

Toronto 62% (-163)

GotGreek · 10-04-16, 01:41 PM

im confused as to why you like the under, im on the over myself. I know 8.5 is high for playoff game, but both those pitchers have struggled, both teams have seen both these pitchers a lot and if you look up batters career numbers vs both pitchers they r very good. Couple all of those things with AL rules with DH, shaky bullpens, and a hitters park id go over.

LT Profits · 10-04-16, 01:59 PM

Originally posted by GotGreek

im confused as to why you like the under, im on the over myself. I know 8.5 is high for playoff game, but both those pitchers have struggled, both teams have seen both these pitchers a lot and if you look up batters career numbers vs both pitchers they r very good. Couple all of those things with AL rules with DH, shaky bullpens, and a hitters park id go over.

Do not be surprised to see two hot pitchers in Jimenez and Liriano at first hint of trouble, there was speculation that those would be the two starters. At very least, Liriano could serve as first man out of Toronto pen regardless, which would counteract the shittyness of the normal Jays pen. And the Baltimore pen is great on the back end.

Mase of Base · 10-04-16, 02:55 PM

Could be an anomaly but the ball seems to get out with the roof open at night which I believe it is tonight.

LT Profits · 10-04-16, 03:06 PM

Originally posted by Mase of Base

Could be an anomaly but the ball seems to get out with the roof open at night which I believe it is tonight.

Maybe during the summer but not as hot these days.

BadAngel · 10-04-16, 04:40 PM

Gl LT

mikefan1034 · 10-04-16, 05:29 PM

This flys over by the 5th inning. Whoever follows this klown must be living on the streets. There ain't no way people followed every one of your plays this year to only be up a measly 5 units so most likely everyone who tails u loses their ass

Brooklyn Dick · 10-04-16, 05:31 PM

Toronto up to -165 Pinny and -171 Cris.

leeloo · 10-04-16, 05:35 PM

Originally posted by mikefan1034

This flys over by the 5th inning. Whoever follows this klown must be living on the streets. There ain't no way people followed every one of your plays this year to only be up a measly 5 units so most likely everyone who tails u loses their ass

regardless of what happens tonight, you should show a little more respect for what he's done the past couple of years (that's how long I've been noticing). Take a look at the numbers he gets as he almost always beats the closing lines. Just my 2 cents.

dirtycash66 · 10-04-16, 10:53 PM

Good call on that under LT

Mase of Base · 10-05-16, 12:06 AM

Cheers LT changed my play from Os to this (line didn't feel right!), was a little worried when Trumbo snuck that one over the LF wall and the roof open idea was coming true before my eyes but it was easily the right play, some really solid pitching by all....................except Ubaldo!

LT Profits · 10-05-16, 07:10 AM

Originally posted by Mase of Base

Cheers LT changed my play from Os to this (line didn't feel right!), was a little worried when Trumbo snuck that one over the LF wall and the roof open idea was coming true before my eyes but it was easily the right play, some really solid pitching by all....................except Ubaldo!

Thanks.

No Playoff additions as of now, just the one play tonight and nothing yet for Thursday & Friday.

LT Profits · 10-06-16, 06:52 AM

2 MLB Plays Thursday

THURSDAY, 10/6
Blue Jays +132 (Heritage)
Red Sox -1.5 +120 (5 Dimes)

YTD: 444-451-23, +7.82

Regular Season: 442-451-23, +5.81
Playoffs: 2-0, +2.01

LT Profits · 10-06-16, 07:37 AM

60%er Thursday:

Boston 61% (-156)

LT Profits · 10-06-16, 07:38 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

60%er Thursday:

Boston 61% (-156)

May as well give the other one since I already bet it:

Texas 54% (-117)

juicername · 10-06-16, 07:44 AM

Thanks LT, nothing of interest regarding the totals? Feels like Boston/Cleveland has a good chance of flying over the total.

44 Mag · 10-06-16, 07:54 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

THURSDAY, 10/6
Blue Jays +132 (Heritage)
Red Sox -1.5 +120 (5 Dimes)

YTD: 444-451-23, +7.82

Regular Season: 442-451-23, +5.81
Playoffs: 2-0, +2.01

Don't see that very often from the Big Guy!!! GL.

LT Profits · 10-06-16, 09:14 AM

Originally posted by 44 Mag

Don't see that very often from the Big Guy!!! GL.

Note that I have Bosox at 61% (-156). So the ML actually has value here, but I never lay more than -130 so I went for the RL value instead.

LT Profits · 10-06-16, 09:16 AM

Originally posted by juicername

Thanks LT, nothing of interest regarding the totals? Feels like Boston/Cleveland has a good chance of flying over the total.

Both seem pretty spot on to me, I have Cleveland at 8.6 and Texas at 9.4.

eddycash · 10-06-16, 06:24 PM

LT are you worried about boston yet?

LT Profits · 10-06-16, 06:32 PM

Originally posted by eddycash

LT are you worried about boston yet?

Yes but the deed is already done.

Sharps are all over Indians and they are 3-0 so far.

44 Mag · 10-06-16, 06:51 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Yes but the deed is already done.

Sharps are all over Indians and they are 3-0 so far.

Nice hit on Toronto !!!!

eddycash · 10-06-16, 09:02 PM

Wish you would add the public money info into your system bro

LT Profits · 10-07-16, 06:48 AM

2 MLB Plays Friday

FRIDAY, 10/7
Rangers -122 (Heritage)
Giants / Cubs OVER 6.5 -115 (Heritage)

YTD: 445-452-23, +8.14

Regular Season: 442-451-23, +5.81
Playoffs: 3-1, +2.33

44 Mag · 10-07-16, 07:24 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

FRIDAY, 10/7
Rangers -122 (Heritage)
Giants / Cubs OVER 6.5 -115 (Heritage)

YTD: 445-452-23, +8.14

Regular Season: 442-451-23, +5.81
Playoffs: 3-1, +2.33

I liked it better when you did a separate thread daily, easier to follow. I hate these threads with 200 pages. LOL.

eddycash · 10-07-16, 08:44 AM

Thoughts on Texas?

LT Profits · 10-07-16, 09:05 AM

Originally posted by eddycash

Thoughts on Texas?

I give Darvish nice pitching edge despite Happ's record this year, model has Texas 59% (-144)

trillz · 10-07-16, 10:37 AM

How bout the total in the first game LT?

mkracier · 10-07-16, 10:48 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

FRIDAY, 10/7
Rangers -122 (Heritage)
Giants / Cubs OVER 6.5 -115 (Heritage)

YTD: 445-452-23, +8.14

Regular Season: 442-451-23, +5.81
Playoffs: 3-1, +2.33

Surprised to to see you on the Rangers here. Look for Toronto to take this game. The bats have come alive

LT Profits · 10-07-16, 11:02 AM

Originally posted by trillz

How bout the total in the first game LT?

I get 8.9, interesting that it has dropped from 9 to 8, seemingly giving the Over potential value. I am passing though.

LT Profits · 10-07-16, 11:03 AM

1 MLB Addition

FRIDAY, 10/7
Rangers -122 (Heritage)
Giants +165 (5 Dimes)
Giants / Cubs OVER 6.5 -115 (Heritage)

jeffchitown · 10-07-16, 11:07 AM

nice to see you did the over 6.5 for cubs that was the only play I made this morning.

BaseballChaser · 10-07-16, 11:10 AM

What does model have Giants Cubs at?