o/u 0.5 1st inning plays

[pairadux]

TT,

Who ya got today? My prompt is cle/min, but with the SP only hitting on 3 of the last 10 enthusiasms are tempered.

Also, digging your o/u thoughts using MA - starting to follow those theories.

[TechnicalTrader]

TT,

Who ya got today? My prompt is cle/min, but with the SP only hitting on 3 of the last 10 enthusiasms are tempered.

Also, digging your o/u thoughts using MA - starting to follow those theories.

Still not 100% confident due to the break. I think I will get back to a 100% risk around sometime next week. Here are today's picks:

Overs:
KC/DET (-119) 1%
BOS/NYY (+100) 2%
TEX/CHC (-135) 2%
LAD/ARZ (-125) 1%

Unders:
NYM/PHI (-119) 2%
TOR/OAK (-122) 1%
COL/ATL (-135) 1%

[TechnicalTrader]

TT,

Who ya got today? My prompt is cle/min, but with the SP only hitting on 3 of the last 10 enthusiasms are tempered.

Also, digging your o/u thoughts using MA - starting to follow those theories.

If I had to choose, I'd take the under on the CLE/MIN game. I am laying off of it though. Getting way too many contradicting signals...

[thekoreanmang]

[QUOTE=TechnicalTrader;26010404]Not going to bet today, but these these are the matchups I'd go with:

overs:
COL/ATL LOSS
MIA/STL LOSS
SF/SD WIN

unders:
HOU/SEA WIN
CLE/MIN LOSS

2-3 (no idea on units won/lost if bet)

Maybe a good idea to keep an unofficial tally and not include in official results.

[TechnicalTrader]

[QUOTE=thekoreanmang;26012548]

Not going to bet today, but these these are the matchups I'd go with:

overs:
COL/ATL LOSS
MIA/STL LOSS
SF/SD WIN

unders:
HOU/SEA WIN
CLE/MIN LOSS

2-3 (no idea on units won/lost if bet)

Maybe a good idea to keep an unofficial tally and not include in official results.

I already did the math, am going by BR% not units.

As for yesterday's plays. I layed off of all picks and will not include them. Today's picks are up. Going 1/2 to even 1/4 of my normal size. Just still not feeling good with the system right now. I think les is having similar issues. Teams need to build up momentum, teams streaks and momentum has somewhat been killed due to the break. It's only the top three to five guys who determine if a run is scored in the first and of course the SP. The number 6 through 9 batter have zero (6 guy maybe) but pretty much zero effect on what goes on in the first. if the first three or five guys are hot, your chances of scoring an over is high. You see where I'm going...

Everything will be back to normal within a few days.

[thekoreanmang]

[QUOTE=TechnicalTrader;26012590]

I already did the math, am going by BR% not units.

As for yesterday's plays. I layed off of all picks and will not include them. Today's picks are up. Going 1/2 to even 1/4 of my normal size. Just still not feeling good with the system right now. I think les is having similar issues. Teams need to build up momentum, teams streaks and momentum has somewhat been killed due to the break. It's only the top three to five guys who determine if a run is scored in the first and of course the SP. The number 6 through 9 batter have zero (6 guy maybe) but pretty much zero effect on what goes on in the first. if the first three or five guys are hot, your chances of scoring an over is high. You see where I'm going...

Everything will be back to normal within a few days.

True. Thanks for explaining even though you have shared your thoughts previously. I know it can be annoying to rehash the same things over. Always appreciate the "how" and "why". Good luck today.

[TechnicalTrader]

[QUOTE=thekoreanmang;26012722]

True. Thanks for explaining even though you have shared your thoughts previously. I know it can be annoying to rehash the same things over. Always appreciate the "how" and "why". Good luck today.

No problem at all. And also open for any type of feedback or feel free to correct me if you see anything.

[TechnicalTrader]

Update:

Overs:
KC/DET (-119) 1% LOSS
BOS/NYY (+100) 2% WIN
TEX/CHC (-135) 2% LOSS
LAD/ARZ (-125) 1% WIN

Unders:
NYM/PHI (-119) 2% WON
TOR/OAK (-122) 1% LOSS (Thanks to R.Hills blister and K.Davis' outstanding feet in the OF)
COL/ATL (-135) 1% WON

Really, really happy I didn't bet 4%.

[thekoreanmang]

Nice hits on the 2%. I got lucky and only played the ones that won. Needed it after losing my SF ML pick.

[TechnicalTrader]

Barely made 1.5% yesterday.

Bankroll at start: $700.00
Record: 60-37
Total Profit: 77.85%
Bankroll day 26: $1264.37

Hit rate: 61.86%

[FlyinAir]

Looking forward to Monday

[TechnicalTrader]

As of now, I have four overs and two unders. I'll go 3% and 1.5% tonight. Just need to set tiers and then I should have them.

Looking to go 4 for 6.

[TechnicalTrader]

Here we go:

overs:
MIA/PHI +110 (1.5%)
NYM/CHC +120 (1.5%)
SD/STL +100 (3%)
CLE/KC +110 (3%)

unders:
HOU/OAK -120 (3%)
TEX/LAA -125 (3%)

[TechnicalTrader]

3 for 3, break even yesterday, loss $0.63.

Sorry yesterdays' Total Profit was incorrect. I'll be on vacation, not sure if I'll be able to get picks up.

Bankroll at start: $700.00
Record: 63-40
Total Profit: 80.54%
Bankroll day 27: $1263.74

Hit rate: 61.17%

[Can U Tank It]

3 for 3, break even yesterday, loss $0.63.

Sorry yesterdays' Total Profit was incorrect. I'll be on vacation, not sure if I'll be able to get picks up.

Bankroll at start: $700.00
Record: 63-40
Total Profit: 80.54%
Bankroll day 27: $1263.74

Hit rate: 61.17%

enjoy!

[TheChamp1]

I'd say no score in first inning of today's Cubs/Mets game is pretty safe lol. Arietta/Syndergaard

[TechnicalTrader]

Don't have all of my sheets with me here, but that sf/bos game is lookinh like a great under. Im on it, 4%. +130

[jlani93]

Don't have all of my sheets with me here, but that sf/bos game is lookinh like a great under. Im on it, 4%. +130

Thanks TT! GL.

Was just thinking of doing a small bet for SF/BOS -0.5 myself. Called a few yesterday but didn't bet them. Try one today, it loses. Lol. 😕

Hope you're enjoying your vacation. 🙂

[jlani93]

Made a random (& very last minute) decision to bet the OVER .5 TOR/ARI today. 

[TechnicalTrader]

Thanks TT! GL.

Was just thinking of doing a small bet for SF/BOS -0.5 myself. Called a few yesterday but didn't bet them. Try one today, it loses. Lol. 😕

Hope you're enjoying your vacation. 🙂

Sardinia is amazing. Todays bets:

All overs

BAL NYY
SD STL
MIL PIT

4% each

[pairadux]

TT,

I was right there with you on that mil/pit play. Now I'm at the point where I look at my indicators and search for matches. When we agree on one, I'm feeling better about it.

Friday I'm eyeballing either sd/wash or min/bos.

Looking forward to your thoughts.

[TechnicalTrader]

TT,

I was right there with you on that mil/pit play. Now I'm at the point where I look at my indicators and search for matches. When we agree on one, I'm feeling better about it.

Friday I'm eyeballing either sd/wash or min/bos.

Looking forward to your thoughts.

i'm honestly not liking any of the matchups today and really don't have the time to do any sort of deeper research in to individual numbers or team stats. Will most likely lay low today but if one would force me to make two picks, they would be:

overs.
LAD/STL (max 2%)
SD/WAS (max 2%)

Getting very close to having doubled my money. It looks like it won't happen within one month but I have learned a lot over the last 4.5 weeks and am hoping to be more accurate with my upcoming bets. I'll be honest, crunching numbers while being on a beautiful island is not an easy task, but I'll do my best do get you guys some more picks.

I also have a few new ideas regarding new prop bets and should have a system finalized and backtested within the next three weeks. What I love the most about prop bets is, it gives small time bettors like myself a chance to rape the books due to their lack of research in to the exotic lines. Eventually it will become difficult to make major cash with one or even two systems due strictly to market liquidity but small time bettors can make some nice pocket change on the side with these types of bets.

Record: 66-41
Total Profit: 97.13%
Bankroll day 30: $1379.45

Hit rate: 61.68%

[thekoreanmang]

Very nice, TT.

Is your goal to stop and cash out at some point or are you going to the end of the season? Speaking of which, do you think props are subject to volatility that typically affects the more traditional MLB bets?

[TechnicalTrader]

Very nice, TT.

Is your goal to stop and cash out at some point or are you going to the end of the season? Speaking of which, do you think props are subject to volatility that typically affects the more traditional MLB bets?

No, trying to ride this out until the last week of the season. As for your second question; yes, I do.

[TechnicalTrader]

I ended up taking yesterday's two bets at a reduced stake.

Here are today's bets:

3%
CIN/ARZ
SDWAS
TB/OAK

[Pimp178]

I ended up taking yesterday's two bets at a reduced stake.

Here are today's bets:

3%
CIN/ARZ
SDWAS
TB/OAK

Over Or Under Bro ?

[TechnicalTrader]

Overs, my bad

[Pimp178]

Overs, my bad

Thanks man, Really Like the plays man they help me even out My L's.

[TechnicalTrader]

Thanks man, Really Like the plays man they help me even out My L's.

Np, adding PHI/PIT over

[jlani93]

Np, adding PHI/PIT over

Thanks for posting TT. I missed PHI/PIT today. Hoping we get the other 3 games though. Have a couple losses yesterday I am hoping to recover from. lol

GL to all of us!

[TechnicalTrader]

Thanks for posting TT. I missed PHI/PIT today. Hoping we get the other 3 games though. Have a couple losses yesterday I am hoping to recover from. lol

GL to all of us!

This is actually a very powerful statement and it comfirms a thought / strategy Ive been thinking about the last few days here... Where do i lose money, where do you lose money? Ive noticed that most of my losses come when I blindly follow/trail a system or bettor. This might and it probably has nothing to do with the system or bettor its usually me.

Just like trading fx, stocks, futures or in an other market, you are almost always better off when you trade/bet YOUR system. Feeling, breathing, knowing your system is key. When I trade fx, I always trade naked charts i might add one or max two indicators which are alway a moving average or something similar. Feeling the market and knowing your system is key.

So what the hell does that have to do with your statement??? Try to focus on one system, Im done betting anything else. I want the first inning o/u bet to be mine!

My biggest issue right now is finding books which will offer liquidity. The books I use offer a max bet of about $150-$250 on the first inning o/u.

I'll keep on posting picks but you guys should really look in to creating your own system. The rewards can be huge!

Id love to wish you all luck, I just simply do not believe in it.

Cheers, TT

PS, ill have the picks up later.

[TanBanana]

So what the hell does that have to do with your statement??? Try to focus on one system, Im done betting anything else. I want the first inning o/u bet to be mine!

I'll keep on posting picks but you guys should really look in to creating your own system. The rewards can be huge!

Call me shallow, call me a blind follower, call me whatever you want to... But hitting 62.2% of plays using mine or anyone's system is completely awesome! Would you be able to get your % up a little over time? Maybe.. But the way you've doubled your bankroll with posted picks (in as short of a time period) is quite impressive.

Regardless, thank you for the time you've invested and thank you for the plays.

TB

[TechnicalTrader]

Call me shallow, call me a blind follower, call me whatever you want to... But hitting 62.2% of plays using mine or anyone's system is completely awesome! Would you be able to get your % up a little over time? Maybe.. But the way you've doubled your bankroll with posted picks (in as short of a time period) is quite impressive.

Regardless, thank you for the time you've invested and thank you for the plays.

TB

Thanks, i have three more coming, maybe four. I still need to crunch some numbers and doing that from a handheld is not an easy task. See ya in a few hours.

[pairadux]

TT and TB,

Good philosophical discussion we've got here.

I'm with TT in that developing a system gives you the confidence in your picks. You know the reasons why you're making each decision and you can make adjustments to your system as you have successes and failures. Blind following with understanding the methodology is like getting your news from Facebook - who knows what the real source is. Hence why I can't stand those threads that are "Tony's winning awesomeness! Followed by posts that just say SF -110 with no explanations as to why.

To that point, I've created my own version of the 1st Inning O/U, and sometimes I'm on the fence for a game or two, so when I see it on TT's daily picks, I'll jump on the pick because his methodology and my methodology are coming to the same conclusion. I treat it like a validation measure on a stock chart. For example none of the games are shouting at me today with my triggers, but one is close. So if TT matches, based on the measures he uses, it may just put me over the edge for that play.

Let's all keep working together and finding every little edge we can, and I echo TB - Thank You TT for your time. I hope you're loving Italy.

[Roscoe_Word]

Big Sunday Card, T Trader. Many Winners....Jerry D