o/u 0.5 1st inning plays

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  • TechnicalTrader
    SBR MVP
    • 05-09-16
    • 1434

    #141
    Adding MIL/STL, over.

    Didn'treallylikeit at first but after lep took it, I spent a good 15 minutes crunching some numbers and have decided to also take it.
    Comment
    • thekoreanmang
      SBR MVP
      • 03-17-14
      • 1422

      #142
      Nice. Too bad about DET/TB. Close one.

      1-2 so far today. Let's keep it going, TT.
      Comment
      • thekoreanmang
        SBR MVP
        • 03-17-14
        • 1422

        #143
        2-4

        all overs, risking 4% as usual:


        DET/TB Loss - LEP
        BAL/SEA Loss
        MIA/ATL Loss - LEP approved
        KC/PHI Win
        CIN/WAS Loss

        Adding MIL/STL, over. Win - LEP


        Last edited by thekoreanmang; 07-03-16, 09:21 PM.
        Comment
        • TechnicalTrader
          SBR MVP
          • 05-09-16
          • 1434

          #144
          That PIT/OAK game is tempting. I might take a 2% position on it.
          Comment
          • TechnicalTrader
            SBR MVP
            • 05-09-16
            • 1434

            #145
            Orioles pulling off a Tigers move? LMAO, runner on second, one out... nothing.

            This is awesome, just one of those days. Gotta love the entertainment.
            Comment
            • lep
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 04-30-11
              • 620

              #146
              I feel mia/atl score in the first as well
              Comment
              • TechnicalTrader
                SBR MVP
                • 05-09-16
                • 1434

                #147
                well, that sucked. LOL

                Here we go again, I'll update the numbers later. Too busy right now:

                Risking 4%

                TEX/BOS U
                SEA/HOU O
                PIT/STL U
                CIN/CHC O
                COL/SFG U
                MIA/NYM O

                I am also looking to use this system on in game action. If I have time to access the forum, I'll post my live in game bets. Was 3 for 4 yesterday with them.
                Last edited by TechnicalTrader; 07-04-16, 09:22 AM. Reason: messed up team names. Thanks jefffff
                Comment
                • jefff
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 10-14-09
                  • 351

                  #148
                  Mia plays NYM. Stl plays Pit. I assume that's what you meant?
                  Comment
                  • TechnicalTrader
                    SBR MVP
                    • 05-09-16
                    • 1434

                    #149
                    Originally posted by jefff
                    Mia plays NYM. Stl plays Pit. I assume that's what you meant?
                    Good eye, thanks. This is exactly what I mean, too much freakin work. No focus right now.
                    Comment
                    • TechnicalTrader
                      SBR MVP
                      • 05-09-16
                      • 1434

                      #150
                      Live in-game bet on MIL/WAS

                      above 0.5 R in the third.

                      +114
                      Comment
                      • TechnicalTrader
                        SBR MVP
                        • 05-09-16
                        • 1434

                        #151
                        4th, under
                        Comment
                        • TechnicalTrader
                          SBR MVP
                          • 05-09-16
                          • 1434

                          #152
                          5th, under.

                          1:1today
                          Comment
                          • TechnicalTrader
                            SBR MVP
                            • 05-09-16
                            • 1434

                            #153
                            1:2.
                            Comment
                            • TechnicalTrader
                              SBR MVP
                              • 05-09-16
                              • 1434

                              #154
                              In play bets are pretty much breakeven for the day. I'll open a new thread and explain the system there.

                              Bankroll at start: $700.00

                              Record: 31-23
                              Total Profit: 3.5%
                              Bankroll day 13: $724.52


                              Hit rate: 57.41%
                              Comment
                              • thekoreanmang
                                SBR MVP
                                • 03-17-14
                                • 1422

                                #155
                                Nice day today! 4-2!

                                Risking 4%


                                TEX/BOS U LOSS
                                SEA/HOU O WIN
                                PIT/STL U WIN
                                CIN/CHC O WIN
                                COL/SFG U WIN
                                MIA/NYM O LOSS
                                Comment
                                • TechnicalTrader
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 05-09-16
                                  • 1434

                                  #156
                                  Here we go:

                                  Risking 3.5% each

                                  ATL/PHI O +100
                                  PIT/STL O +105
                                  SD/ARZ O -120
                                  COL/SF O +130
                                  OAK/MIN U +105
                                  NYY/CWS U -125
                                  Comment
                                  • thekoreanmang
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 03-17-14
                                    • 1422

                                    #157
                                    Originally posted by TechnicalTrader
                                    Here we go:

                                    Risking 3.5% each

                                    ATL/PHI O +100
                                    PIT/STL O +105
                                    SD/ARZ O -120
                                    COL/SF O +130
                                    OAK/MIN U +105
                                    NYY/CWS U -125
                                    Nice!

                                    Why the reduction in risk?
                                    Comment
                                    • TechnicalTrader
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 05-09-16
                                      • 1434

                                      #158
                                      Originally posted by thekoreanmang
                                      Nice!

                                      Why the reduction in risk?
                                      Other than the SD/ARZ game, I'm not getting very strong signals.
                                      Comment
                                      • FlyinAir
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 07-14-14
                                        • 1612

                                        #159
                                        Bol
                                        Comment
                                        • TechnicalTrader
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 05-09-16
                                          • 1434

                                          #160
                                          Had a decent 4 and 2 day, I'll get Wednesday's bets up around 10AM EST.

                                          Bankroll at start: $700.00
                                          Record: 35-25
                                          Total Profit: 11.1%
                                          Bankroll day 14: $778.27

                                          Hit rate: 58.3%


                                          I'd love to see that hit rate get back up to 60%...

                                          Btw, the new in-game system I'm working on is doing crazy. Koreanmang, check your inbox regarding the new system!
                                          Comment
                                          • TechnicalTrader
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 05-09-16
                                            • 1434

                                            #161
                                            Here we go, back up to 4% per bet:

                                            CIN/CHC O (pendning)
                                            MIL/WAS O -108
                                            TEX/BOS O -128
                                            LAA/TB O -108
                                            PIT/STL O -109

                                            Let's do this!


                                            See post below
                                            Last edited by TechnicalTrader; 07-06-16, 09:46 AM.
                                            Comment
                                            • TechnicalTrader
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 05-09-16
                                              • 1434

                                              #162
                                              Here we go, back up to 4% per bet:

                                              CLE/DET U -115 (risking only 3%)
                                              CIN/CHC O (pendning)
                                              MIL/WAS O -108
                                              TEX/BOS O -128
                                              LAA/TB O -108
                                              PIT/STL O -109



                                              Added CLE/DET, but not risking as much and scratched CIN/CHC because of juice
                                              Comment
                                              • FlyinAir
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 07-14-14
                                                • 1612

                                                #163
                                                Comment
                                                • TechnicalTrader
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 05-09-16
                                                  • 1434

                                                  #164
                                                  Originally posted by TechnicalTrader
                                                  Here we go, back up to 4% per bet:

                                                  CLE/DET U -115 (risking only 3%)
                                                  CIN/CHC O (pendning)
                                                  MIL/WAS O -108
                                                  TEX/BOS O -128
                                                  LAA/TB O -108
                                                  PIT/STL O -109



                                                  Added CLE/DET, but not risking as much and scratched CIN/CHC because of juice
                                                  Looks like the CIN/CHC bet would've worked out. Also happy I took the CLE/DET game. 1 down, 5 to go.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • thekoreanmang
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 03-17-14
                                                    • 1422

                                                    #165
                                                    I took the No-CLE/DET pick. I took it after seeing that there was no score in the 1st of the earlier CLE-DET games this series. I know that's not the only variable to look for but gave me the extra nudge. Nice job.

                                                    Thinking about the rest.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • TechnicalTrader
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 05-09-16
                                                      • 1434

                                                      #166
                                                      Originally posted by thekoreanmang
                                                      I took the No-CLE/DET pick. I took it after seeing that there was no score in the 1st of the earlier CLE-DET games this series. I know that's not the only variable to look for but gave me the extra nudge. Nice job.

                                                      Thinking about the rest.
                                                      The main reason why I took that bet is because both starters have extremely low 1st inning ERA's. I almost never use that variable, but it just stuck out and was yelling "Take me, PLEEEEEAAAASE".

                                                      And that is the reason is why I didn't want to risk the standard 4%.

                                                      Dude, please checkyour inbox, Isent you a PM!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • jlani93
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 05-06-16
                                                        • 107

                                                        #167
                                                        Originally posted by TechnicalTrader
                                                        Looks like the CIN/CHC bet would've worked out. Also happy I took the CLE/DET game. 1 down, 5 to go.
                                                        Thanks for the picks today, Tech. I tailed with TEX/BOS and parlayed MIL/WAS with CIN/CHC.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • TechnicalTrader
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 05-09-16
                                                          • 1434

                                                          #168
                                                          Bankroll at start: $700.00
                                                          Record: 39-26
                                                          Total Profit: 23.6%
                                                          Bankroll day 15: $865.38

                                                          Hit rate: 60%
                                                          Comment
                                                          • TechnicalTrader
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 05-09-16
                                                            • 1434

                                                            #169
                                                            Looking at three games today, one is looking like a strong above and the other two are weak. i'll get them up later and possibly add two which are also showing semi-strong signals.

                                                            Let's do this!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • TechnicalTrader
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 05-09-16
                                                              • 1434

                                                              #170
                                                              LAA/TB U (+111) risking 4%
                                                              OAK/HOU U (-122) risking 4%
                                                              TEX/MIN O (-147 risking 4%
                                                              PHI/COL O (-193) risking 3% (terrible line...)
                                                              Comment
                                                              • thekoreanmang
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 03-17-14
                                                                • 1422

                                                                #171
                                                                Originally posted by TechnicalTrader
                                                                LAA/TB U (+111) risking 4%
                                                                OAK/HOU U (-122) risking 4%
                                                                TEX/MIN O (-147 risking 4%
                                                                PHI/COL O (-193) risking 3% (terrible line...)
                                                                Damn. Lep going against your LAA/TB U play.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • TechnicalTrader
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 05-09-16
                                                                  • 1434

                                                                  #172
                                                                  Originally posted by thekoreanmang
                                                                  Damn. Lep going against your LAA/TB U play.
                                                                  This will be interesting. I actually like the LAA/TB bet the best.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • TechnicalTrader
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 05-09-16
                                                                    • 1434

                                                                    #173
                                                                    What I like most about the matchup is; both starting pitchers 1st innning ERA's are average to slightly high, but the combination of both of them pitching so well in the first inning, over their last few matchups along with a few very interesting team stats had me all over this line.

                                                                    I actually think the under is overpriced and the over is a slight rip off. That's just me and my analysis...

                                                                    If Trout doesn't go yard and Forsythe doesn't hit a double to lead off, I think I'll be fine. We will see, time will tell.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • thekoreanmang
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 03-17-14
                                                                      • 1422

                                                                      #174
                                                                      Wow. Great call. I bought out and then added what I would've won on lep's pick. Good job convincing me. I went back and looked at the last 3 games for both starting pitchers to see how they fared in the 1st inns. Blank jobs all around.

                                                                      Do you mind sharing, when you have time, what team stats struck out to you as interesting in this matchup?
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • MoMoney2
                                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                                        • 12-28-15
                                                                        • 162

                                                                        #175
                                                                        Excellent work, I tailed for the first time today Quick question, where do you find 1st inning ERA and other info for 1st inning stats. I looked on baseball reference and teamrankings sites but couldn't seem to find 1st inning ERA info.

                                                                        Thanks for any info you could pass on, keep up the great work!
                                                                        Comment
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