CK's Daily MLB Thread Leans for Wednesday 4/29/09

[cocknocker]

Hey Ck, also I see alot of value in the Dbacks today. I am a huge Cubs fan, but they suck against soft lefty's and especially Doug Davis. Also, Dempster is terrible against the Dbacks, 1-4 6.07 era in 10 starts, and he is not going to match what he did last year. The Cubs are bringing back a couple of injured starters in Derrek Lee and Milton Bradley so that could take a couple of games to get them going. The Dbacks are playing well right now too.

You know I was looking at that one too. And the more that I looked at it the more that I liked the Snakes. Dempster may get rocked. This is a well constructed pick that you have made with sound reasoning. I will play this one light right along with you. I can't let this opportunity for Crumbs to slide. I love even money wagers.

Snakes+100 (Light but right) Gracies' Pick

[moneyline]

I don't think the Pirates could score against Gallardo today if they started every inning with a runner on 2nd base ...

... and somebody needs to put Snell on a first name basis with the strike zone.

[Killer Chihuahua]

Something I ran across....I have been looking for a chart like this for some time

A gift from me to all of you. This gives you an idea on what is a fair number that you should lay if you are playing RL's

Run Line (-1.5) pricing chart

HOME FAV
-200 = -105
-190= +100
-180= +105
-170= +110
-160= +120
-150= +130
-140= +140
-130= +150
-120= +160
-110= +170

AWAY FAV
-200= -130
-190= -125
-180= -120
-170= -115
-160= -110
-150= +100
-140= +110
-130= +120
-120= +130
-110= +135

[ragiche]

Playing the palehose ML (5x).(W)

And as for my evening games as follows:

Cin RL (5x)

Tb RL (5x)

Tex RL (5x).

And these 4 teams in a parlay for $50 to win $602.

[cocknocker]

Looks like the Pirates and Brew Crew are having an old fashioned pitchers' duel. Top of the 4th inning and only 1 hit between both clubs. C'mon Buccos!

[moneyline]

It is the middle of the 4th and I'll tell you now, a complete game victory for Gallardo, AND a no-hitter. He will walk a couple of guys, screwing up el perfecto.

[cocknocker]

Damn, I reallly hate that Johnson came up with the bags juiced. I went to the refrigerator for another beer as soon as his name was announced

[moneyline]

Welcome to the National League. Any pitcher who wouldn't want to have one automatic out in the lineup every time around would be a fool. Johnson didn't come up with the bases juiced by accident. It was always one intentional walk away.

[moneyline]

Marlins looking done ... Johnson won't make it past 7, doesn't have his best stuff anyway. Mets pen versus Fish pen = victory for the Mets.

[laxdjock]

Hopefully Green won't pitch again in this series....he blew up in the last game.

[cocknocker]

moneyline, my good man,

Let's see....you've talked bad about the Pirates, and now the Marlins....I automatically assume that next it will be how awful the Pale Hose are. Then I look all over the board and there are offerings by a ton of people that are different than mine. Despite the fact that there are a lot of different plays to dissect, it appears that you have chosen only the sides that I have chosen.

I have noticed that you have made me a target of your comments more often than not. I have decided to take the high road, and ignore your negative comments. You shouldn't be so overt with your contempt for me. It is only too obvious at this point, though definitely misguided. I am not the enemmy that you seek. The only natural enemy that anyone in this world has is themselves. Resentment is the only specimen that I know of that eats it's own container.

[TheLemonDropKid]

moneyline, my good man,

Let's see....you've talked bad about the Pirates, and now the Marlins....I automatically assume that next it will be how awful the Pale Hose are. Then I look all over the board and there are offerings by a ton of people that are different than mine. Despite the fact that there are a lot of different plays to dissect, it appears that you have chosen only the sides that I have chosen.

I have noticed that you have made me a target of your comments more often than not. I have decided to take the high road, and ignore your negative comments. You shouldn't be so overt with your contempt for me. It is only too obvious at this point, though definitely misguided. I am not the enemmy that you seek. The only natural enemy that anyone in this world has is themselves. Resentment is the only specimen that I know of that eats it's own container.

I've seen him do this several times.....and then he winds up saying that he actually picked the same side as the person he is targeting because it's some superstition for him to lie about him having the other side.........or something.....I dunno....it seemed very strange the way he explained.

[laxdjock]

There are very few people I believe unless they have their picks posted before the game (unedited). I keep a spreadsheet to track my plays, though I wish it was a bit more user friendly, as it often freezes unless I narrow down the display options.

[jellobiafra]

Marlins looking done ... Johnson won't make it past 7, doesn't have his best stuff anyway. Mets pen versus Fish pen = victory for the Mets.

Negative Nancy

[moneyline]

Get ready or you just might miss it ... Brewers, on a dinger, and the Mets, on a string a singles, will both take the lead in the next 15 minutes or so ... and that'll be that. It was a good ride, I know ...

And CK, if a person is his only natural enemy, does it stand to reason that a person is also only his only natural friend? Since we are getting Zen and all, in order to ignore the fact that both early picks today and done and done ...

(sorry, I got it wrong -- the Mets were the homer and the Brewers will be the string of singles ... whoops.)

[jellobiafra]

Get ready or you just might miss it ... Brewers, on a dinger, and the Mets, on a string a singles, will both take the lead in the next 15 minutes or so ... and that'll be that. It was a good ride, I know ...

And CK, if a person is his only natural enemy, does it stand to reason that a person is also only his only natural friend? Since we are getting Zen and all, in order to ignore the fact that both early picks today and done and done ...

Do you do birthday parties and weddings too?

[Vreston]

Something I ran across....I have been looking for a chart like this for some time

A gift from me to all of you. This gives you an idea on what is a fair number that you should lay if you are playing RL's

Run Line (-1.5) pricing chart

HOME FAV
-200 = -105
-190= +100
-180= +105
-170= +110
-160= +120
-150= +130
-140= +140
-130= +150
-120= +160
-110= +170

AWAY FAV
-200= -130
-190= -125
-180= -120
-170= -115
-160= -110
-150= +100
-140= +110
-130= +120
-120= +130
-110= +135

Can you explain this a bit for us Europeans?

[The_Kid]

I hope K-Rod comes in to blow this lead. He should throw another fastball down the pipe like last time.

[moneyline]

An error and a walk ... this is the best offensive threat the Bucs have put forward today.

(next batter should strike out on 3 pitches)

-- foul out ... just as fitting ...

[moneyline]

Uh-oh, Marlins pen is in the game ... good news for all Mets -1 1/2 backers ...

1st edit -- base hit for the Mets

[TheLemonDropKid]

I hope K-Rod comes in to blow this lead. He should throw another fastball down the pipe like last time.

Yeah.......my ass is still burning from that one....


Some of you are aware of my uncanny bad luck streaks.....well yesterday I was down to my last $10 on my book account and I parlayed Indians, Marlins, Yankess, and Dodgers.....$10 to win $118. I CAN NOT BELIEVE I HIT IT!!!!! I live to see another day....lol!

Today I tailed CK's Pale Sox pick, Jimbo's Cubs pick, and I will be tailing CK's Reds pick later and Jimbo's A's pick later. We shall see.

[laxdjock]

I hope K-Rod comes in to blow this lead. He should throw another fastball down the pipe like last time.

That has worried me since day one. It is straight as an arrow....and unless he has his other pitchers working, it may bite him.

[wangichu]

wow, i don't think gallardo appreciated your comments CK... 1 hit and 9 Ks through 7 and he just teed off to give him a 1-0 lead... still, that brewer bullpen may give you the W you paid for.

[BmoreBucco]

Cubs -118
Cubs -1.5 +135

Hate to fade the good analysis, but the Cubs will win this game. Davis, who I like, is the type of pitcher the Cubs righties will feast on today.

Of course, I had the over on the Bucs/Brew Crew hits/runs/errors

[ragiche]

Vreston,

Do you cap premiership football?If you do whom do you think will take the cup?

[moneyline]

0-2 ...

Pirates will not score today ... Marlins will not score again ... both games are over. I'm out.

[The_Kid]

Gallardo's 2nd HR this year. Maybe he's the next coming of Hampton or Zambrano at the plate...

[jellobiafra]

0-2 ...

Pirates will not score today ... Marlins will not score again ... both games are over. I'm out.

I'm sure you are just jizzing all over yourself, @sshole.

[Trixie]

Ragiche -- Man United will take the Premiership. That was a foregone conclusion months ago...

[rb4033]

man, I take sd x col over 10, but under is on.

[BmoreBucco]

0-2 ...

Pirates will not score today ... Marlins will not score again ... both games are over. I'm out.

I'm sorry, what was that?

[ragiche]

I was very busy then.I haven't seen that thread.Thanks Trixie.

[moneyline]

Bucco, game is over ... have you seen the Fish's pen lately? If they hold the Mets under 7, it will be a surprise.

[BmoreBucco]

Bucco, game is over ... have you seen the Fish's pen lately? If they hold the Mets under 7, it will be a surprise.

Oh, I'm sorry, I read your post as saying the Marlins wouldn't score again? I do need to order new contacts, my bad...

[WhatAboutMeBitch]

Moneyline must have a lot of money on the bucs and fish.