MLB Sweep System 2016

[Brundle99]

Hi Guys hope things are going well!. Could someone tell me if flat betting would work with these sweep systems?. I used to use a labby before and trying to be conservatively with only a $100 bankroll to start so I'm wondering which would be more suitable.

Thanks!

[JLaw]

Rockies should've been official. Their RPI was actually higher than Pirates before yesterday's game.

[thegoal60]

Hi Guys hope things are going well!. Could someone tell me if flat betting would work with these sweep systems?. I used to use a labby before and trying to be conservatively with only a $100 bankroll to start so I'm wondering which would be more suitable.

Thanks!

If you are playing with 100 try starting with $5 units, this way if you lose the entire series which you can see from the records is rare but does happen you would only be losing around $35 total. ( Game A to win 5 - loss, Game B to win 10.50 - loss, Game C to win 16.50 - loss totaling $32 for the series). This way if all hell broke lose you could still survive 2 series losses in a row.
I would only play the Official plays as well, I learned my lesson at the start of the season when the Tigers lost and then the Twins lost. I now only focus on the official plays and maybe an unofficial if its close on the RPI or the trends set up.

[Sweatin da Bet]

Rockies should've been official. Their RPI was actually higher than Pirates before yesterday's game.

Read post 67 like it says. It is UNOFFICIAL

[thekoreanmang]

Read post 67 like it says. It is UNOFFICIAL

It's unofficial because that game was what was to have been the 4th game of a 4-game series played maybe a month or two ago. That game was played this week instead and thus, it is considered unofficial because it's not played consecutively with the other 3 games of the series. Hope this helps.

[Sweatin da Bet]

MLB Sweep System
2016 Official season series record 8-1
(A) 6-3
(B) 1-2
(C) 1-1
(D) 0-0

Unofficial series 5-2
(A) 2-8
(B) 2-6
(C) 2-2
(D) 0-0
Pending C Bet Twins vs Orioles 7/28 from 5/09 series

PLAYS
OFFICIAL


UNOFFICIAL
5/21 Houston Astros Vs. Texas Rangers LOSE 2-1
28 Houston Astros .473 6 Texas Rangers .517


UPCOMING PLAYS
5/23 Minnesota Twins Vs. Kansas City Royals
5/23 Oakland A's Vs. Seattle Mariners
5/23 San Diego Padres Vs. San Francisco Giants
5/26 St. Louis Cardinals Vs. Washington Nationals
5/27 Miami Marlins Vs. Atlanta Braves


MLB RPI http://espn.go.com/mlb/stats/rpi

RULES MLB Sweep System 2015 POST 15
PREVIOUS RESULTS MLB Sweep System 2015 POST 17-19

[spankmythighs]

Just a heads up. This system has never lost back to back official losses.

[spankmythighs]

Just a heads up. This system has never lost back to back official losses.

So if a loss occurs, recoup on next official series.

[thekoreanmang]

So if a loss occurs, recoup on next official series.

AWesome to know. Thanks!

[JMbettor05]

The unofficial bets haven't been this bad for a long time!

[chickndinner]

The unofficial bets haven't been this bad for a long time!

This entire system has been an epic fail the entire season so far. 3 losses already. Damn!

[JLaw]

Read post 67 like it says. It is UNOFFICIAL

Ok gotcha. Thanks!

[thekoreanmang]

This entire system has been an epic fail the entire season so far. 3 losses already. Damn!

I just don't think one can follow blindly. I think one has to weigh the filtered factors a bit more heavily. Such as the RPI margin between both teams. There's a reason why the system rules filter out any plays where the difference is greater than 0.015 RPI points between the two teams. TEX had a greater than 0.015 RPI margin than HOU during this whole series (even though they were considered the underdogs the entire series which is a discussion for another thread) and so even though TEX swept HOU last time they played I don't know if it's a smart bet to overcome the next time out when they are much weaker RPI-wise than the sweeping team.

I'm new to this system so maybe I'm missing something and maybe you are supposed to tail everything include the unofficial plays but as is evidence thus far this season it does not seem this is the prudent way to play things.

Any thoughts appreciated.

[thekoreanmang]

So just expounding on what I just said in post #188, the upcoming plays for tomorrow are (the first team listed in each matchup is the supposed team we are supposed to bet on):

UPCOMING PLAYS
5/23 Minnesota Twins Vs. Kansas City Royals
5/23 Oakland A's Vs. Seattle Mariners
5/23 San Diego Padres Vs. San Francisco Giants

Even though the Twins, A's and Padres were all swept by their opponents last time out, I don't think any of these plays will be considered official because they all fall outside the 0.015 RPI filter. I mean, I guess it's common sense too because each of these teams are all really weak. The Twins are dead last in RPI (.434), the A's are 21st (.492) and the Padres are 23rd (.490). The RPI margin for each is 0.065, 0.024 and 0.022, respectively.

Honestly, if I still wanted to bet these series, I would fade the Twins even though they are playing at home.

The A's and Mariners are actually an interesting series because the A's are 11-11 on the road while the Mariners are only 8-10 at home (18-7 away which is crazy). This may be enough to overcome the 0.009 RPI points that is leaving the A's ineligible to be considered an official play.

A similar situation exists in the Padres series where they are 9-11 away and the Giants are only 12-11 home (14-8 away - for those curious).

Anyway, hope this helps people. I just want to help people make sense of this all because it may not be intuitive and because people are probably lazy and don't want to read the rules or think about why the rules exist. I'm still trying to figure it out, too, so any thoughts are appreciated.

TLDR: Don't bet any of these teams. They fall outside of the filter rules. If you must bet, bet the Royals.

EDIT: I went back and looked at past results and it looks like the unofficial plays did really well.

2014 Official season series record 25-0 (V1)
(A) 18-7
(B) 4-3
(C) 3-0
(D) 0-0
V2 plays 1-3
V3 system 7-1
Unofficial series 59-1
(A) 37-23
(B) 15-8
(C) 7-1
(D) 0-1

2013 Official season series record 27-1 (V1)
(A) 20-8
(B) 5-3
(C) 2-1
(D) 0-0
V2 plays 2-3
V3 system 7-2
Unofficial series 66-3
(A) 38-31
(B) 14-17
(C) 14-3
(D) 0-1
V2 plays 9-8

2012 Official season series record 27-2 (v1)
(A) 15-14
(B) 5-9
(C) 5-4
(D) 2-0
V2 plays 3-7
V3 system 15-4
Unofficial series 85-7
(A) 56-36
(B) 22-14
(C) 7-7
(D) 0-1
V2 plays 10-10
V2 plays 5-7

This still doesn't make me want to bet the Twins at all and I think I will still fade them but it does make me feel more comfortable about betting on the Moneyballers and the Fathers especially where their RPIs are not that far outside the 0.015 threshold and where their away records aren't too bad and finally where the opposing team's home records aren't that great.

[Sweatin da Bet]

This entire system has been an epic fail the entire season so far. 3 losses already. Damn!

Then DON'T follow it. Not every system is for everyone. This system has been positive in the previous years so some people will follow it. No one is asking you or telling you to follow it.

[Sweatin da Bet]

MLB Sweep System
2016 Official season series record 8-1
(A) 6-3
(B) 1-2
(C) 1-1
(D) 0-0

Unofficial series 5-3
(A) 2-8
(B) 2-6
(C) 2-3
(D) 0-0
Pending C Bet Twins vs Orioles 7/28 from 5/09 series

PLAYS
OFFICIAL

UNOFFICIAL
5/22 Houston Astros Vs. Texas Rangers LOSE 9-2

5/23 Minnesota Twins Vs. Kansas City Royals
30 Minnesota Twins .434 18 Kansas City Royals .499

5/23 Oakland A's Vs. Seattle Mariners
21 Oakland Athletics .492 7 Seattle Mariners .516

5/23 San Diego Padres Vs. San Francisco Giants
23 San Diego Padres .490 10 San Francisco Giants .512

UPCOMING PLAYS
5/26 St. Louis Cardinals Vs. Washington Nationals
5/27 Miami Marlins Vs. Atlanta Braves


MLB RPI http://espn.go.com/mlb/stats/rpi

RULES MLB Sweep System 2015 POST 15
PREVIOUS RESULTS MLB Sweep System 2015 POST 17-19

[Sweatin da Bet]

We pick up 2 more sweeps


Texas Rangers swept Houston Astros 5/20 - 5/22 NEXT 6/06

New York Mets swept Milwaukee Brewers 5/20 - 5/22 NEXT 6/09

[Reeseta]

Can we post a ROI or how many the system makes because in a chase that is more important than the record.

Wallco layout is pretty easy I changed it for the sweep system. the units are off as I havent found the true lines yet but will today.


2016 Sweep series
2015-16 System to Date: 8-1A(fin. series)
SystemlProfit/Loss: +5 unitsA(fin. series)
Current Open Series: 0 (0)



2016 Official season series record 8-1
(A) 6-3
(B) 1-2
(C) 1-1
(D) 0-0
Losses - Tigers (-3 u)

2016 Sweep series Unofficial
2015-16 System to Date: 5-3A(fin. series)
SystemlProfit/Loss:-4 unitsA(fin. series)
Current Open Series: 0 (0)


2016 Unofficial season series record 5-3
(A) 6-3
(B) 1-2
(C) 1-1
(D) 0-0
Losses - Min (-3 u), Min (-3), Houston (-3)

Official Plays:

None

Unofficial Plays:

5/23 Minnesota Twins Vs. Kansas City Royals
30 Minnesota Twins .434 18 Kansas City Royals .499

5/23 Oakland A's Vs. Seattle Mariners
21 Oakland Athletics .492 7 Seattle Mariners .516

5/23 San Diego Padres Vs. San Francisco Giants
23 San Diego Padres .490 10 San Francisco Giants .512

[thegoal60]

So I know the Padres are unofficial but I have kinda tweeked the rpi filter to 0.025 not 0.015 (just for shits and giggles) and was looking at the game, now I was cautious due to the length of game they played last night and going up against queto. I jump on my book and the RL was +1.5 -106 and the O/U was 6.5 with juice going to the U so I thought for a few and said what the hell I'll go for it! I noticed earlier that the RL was -152 ish in some places so I thought the market had adjusted to the game going 17 last night and travel today, even knowing this I was going to chance it with the price being right. Wouldnt you know when I went to confirm my wager the damn thing popped up error and jumped the line up to -135!!!!!!!! just my luck lol

[Sweatin da Bet]

All upcoming series

St. Louis Cardinals	Vs.	Washington Nationals	5/26
Miami Marlins	Vs.	Atlanta Braves	5/27
Washington Nationals	Vs.	Philadelphia Phillies	5/30
Houston Astros	Vs.	Texas Rangers	6/06
Milwaukee Brewers	Vs.	New York Mets	6/09
Arizona Diamondbacks	Vs.	Miami Marlins	6/10
Los Angeles Angels	Vs.	Minnesota Twins	6/13
Washington Nationals	Vs.	Chicago Cubs	6/13
Texas Rangers	Vs.	Oakland A's	6/13
Tampa Bay Rays	Vs.	Seattle Mariners	6/14
Oakland A's	Vs.	Los Angeles Angels	6/17
Toronto Blue Jays	Vs.	Chicago White Sox	6/24
Detroit Tigers	Vs.	Cleveland Indians	6/24
Minnesota Twins	Vs.	Chicago White Sox	6/28
Arizona Diamondbacks	Vs.	San Francisco Giants	7/01
Los Angeles Angels	Vs.	Tampa Bay Rays	7/04
Minnesota Twins	Vs.	Detroit Tigers	7/18
Kansas City Royals	Vs.	Los Angeles Angels	7/25
New York Mets	Vs.	Colorado Rockies	7/28
Atlanta Braves	Vs.	St. Louis Cardinals	8/05
Seattle Mariners	Vs.	Los Angeles Angels	8/05
Toronto Blue Jays	Vs.	Tampa Bay Rays	8/08
Atlanta Braves	Vs.	Washington Nationals	8/12
Detroit Tigers	Vs.	Texas Rangers	8/12
Atlanta Braves	Vs.	Arizona Diamondbacks	8/22
Oakland A's	Vs.	Boston Red Sox	9/02
Cincinnati Reds	Vs.	NY Mets	9/05
Los Angeles Dodgers	Vs.	Miami Marlins	9/09

[liqidzen]

RK

TEAM

RPI

W

L

PCT

SOS

PWR

RS

RA

EXPW-L

EXPWP

28	Cincinnati Reds	.479	15	30	.333	.528	0	176	264	14-31	.308
29	Minnesota Twins	.430	11	33	.250	.490	0	156	236	13-31	.304
30	Atlanta Braves	.463	12	31	.279	.524	0	137	208	13-30	.303

Oh dear I hope nobody is seriously considering chasing minnesota again. They have already lost the sweep twice! Fade these shithouse teams every night and you will win 69.07% of the time hahah

[Sweatin da Bet]

MLB Sweep System
2016 Official season series record 8-1
(A) 6-3
(B) 1-2
(C) 1-1
(D) 0-0

Unofficial series 8-3
(A) 4-9
(B) 2-6
(C) 2-3
(D) 0-0
Pending C Bet Twins vs Orioles 7/28 from 5/09 series

PLAYS
OFFICIAL

UNOFFICIAL
5/23 Minnesota Twins Vs. Kansas City Royals LOSE 10-4
30 Minnesota Twins .434 18 Kansas City Royals .499
5/24 Minnesota Twins (.430) Vs. Kansas City Royals (.498)

5/23 Oakland A's Vs. Seattle Mariners WIN 5-0
21 Oakland Athletics .492 7 Seattle Mariners .516

5/23 San Diego Padres Vs. San Francisco Giants LOSE 1-0 WIN RL
23 San Diego Padres .490 10 San Francisco Giants .512


UPCOMING PLAYS
5/26 St. Louis Cardinals Vs. Washington Nationals
5/27 Miami Marlins Vs. Atlanta Braves


MLB RPI http://espn.go.com/mlb/stats/rpi

RULES MLB Sweep System 2015 POST 15
PREVIOUS RESULTS MLB Sweep System 2015 POST 17-19

[thekoreanmang]

Just an update on this:

Fading the Twins was the right choice as the Royals won. I bet the Royals again tonight.

Following the system and going with the Padres RL and OAK RL or ML was the right choice. Too bad I was cheap and went only on the ML on the Padres and lost that one.

So just expounding on what I just said in post #188, the upcoming plays for tomorrow are (the first team listed in each matchup is the supposed team we are supposed to bet on):

UPCOMING PLAYS
5/23 Minnesota Twins Vs. Kansas City Royals
5/23 Oakland A's Vs. Seattle Mariners
5/23 San Diego Padres Vs. San Francisco Giants

Even though the Twins, A's and Padres were all swept by their opponents last time out, I don't think any of these plays will be considered official because they all fall outside the 0.015 RPI filter. I mean, I guess it's common sense too because each of these teams are all really weak. The Twins are dead last in RPI (.434), the A's are 21st (.492) and the Padres are 23rd (.490). The RPI margin for each is 0.065, 0.024 and 0.022, respectively.

Honestly, if I still wanted to bet these series, I would fade the Twins even though they are playing at home.

The A's and Mariners are actually an interesting series because the A's are 11-11 on the road while the Mariners are only 8-10 at home (18-7 away which is crazy). This may be enough to overcome the 0.009 RPI points that is leaving the A's ineligible to be considered an official play.

A similar situation exists in the Padres series where they are 9-11 away and the Giants are only 12-11 home (14-8 away - for those curious).

Anyway, hope this helps people. I just want to help people make sense of this all because it may not be intuitive and because people are probably lazy and don't want to read the rules or think about why the rules exist. I'm still trying to figure it out, too, so any thoughts are appreciated.

TLDR: Don't bet any of these teams. They fall outside of the filter rules. If you must bet, bet the Royals.

EDIT: I went back and looked at past results and it looks like the unofficial plays did really well.

2014 Official season series record 25-0 (V1)
(A) 18-7
(B) 4-3
(C) 3-0
(D) 0-0
V2 plays 1-3
V3 system 7-1
Unofficial series 59-1
(A) 37-23
(B) 15-8
(C) 7-1
(D) 0-1

2013 Official season series record 27-1 (V1)
(A) 20-8
(B) 5-3
(C) 2-1
(D) 0-0
V2 plays 2-3
V3 system 7-2
Unofficial series 66-3
(A) 38-31
(B) 14-17
(C) 14-3
(D) 0-1
V2 plays 9-8

2012 Official season series record 27-2 (v1)
(A) 15-14
(B) 5-9
(C) 5-4
(D) 2-0
V2 plays 3-7
V3 system 15-4
Unofficial series 85-7
(A) 56-36
(B) 22-14
(C) 7-7
(D) 0-1
V2 plays 10-10
V2 plays 5-7

This still doesn't make me want to bet the Twins at all and I think I will still fade them but it does make me feel more comfortable about betting on the Moneyballers and the Fathers especially where their RPIs are not that far outside the 0.015 threshold and where their away records aren't too bad and finally where the opposing team's home records aren't that great.

[Sweatin da Bet]

MLB Sweep System
2016 Official season series record 8-1
(A) 6-3
(B) 1-2
(C) 1-1
(D) 0-0

Unofficial series 8-3
(A) 4-9
(B) 2-7
(C) 2-3
(D) 0-0
Pending C Bet Twins vs Orioles 7/28 from 5/09 series

PLAYS
OFFICIAL

UNOFFICIAL
5/23 Minnesota Twins Vs. Kansas City Royals LOSE 10-4
30 Minnesota Twins .434 18 Kansas City Royals .499
5/24 Minnesota Twins (.430) Vs. Kansas City Royals (.498) LOSE 7-4
5/25 Minnesota Twins (.430) Vs. Kansas City Royals (.500)


UPCOMING PLAYS
5/26 St. Louis Cardinals Vs. Washington Nationals
5/27 Miami Marlins Vs. Atlanta Braves


MLB RPI http://espn.go.com/mlb/stats/rpi

RULES MLB Sweep System 2015 POST 15
PREVIOUS RESULTS MLB Sweep System 2015 POST 17-19

[reege9582]

So Cardinals nationals is a unofficial play.. Cardinals .499 - Nationals .530 ... Kinda tough not to play but may not be smart to play ???

[Sweatin da Bet]

So Cardinals nationals is a unofficial play.. Cardinals .499 - Nationals .530 ... Kinda tough not to play but may not be smart to play ???

Yes this will be an UNOFFICIAL play.

RANK TEAM RPI
2 Washington Nationals .530
19 St. Louis Cardinals .499

[chuckpicks298]

I'm kind of confused is there anyone that has a little time to pm me and explain this system please

[spankmythighs]

When playing the unofficial side, steer clear of top 3 teams and bottom 3 teams.

[spankmythighs]

FYI- Just checked the last few years and there has never been an Official back to back loss or Unofficial back to back loss. So after a series loss play next series to recoup and then this system has ZERO losses in 4 years.

[Sweatin da Bet]

I'm kind of confused is there anyone that has a little time to pm me and explain this system please

READ and RE-READ the rules in the link. You will have a much better understanding rather than someone explaining them to you.

RULES MLB Sweep System 2015 POST 15

PREVIOUS RESULTS MLB Sweep System 2015 POST 17-19

[Sweatin da Bet]

MLB Sweep System
2016 Official season series record 8-1
(A) 6-3
(B) 1-2
(C) 1-1
(D) 0-0

Unofficial series 8-3
(A) 4-9
(B) 2-7
(C) 3-3
(D) 0-0
Pending C Bet Twins vs Orioles 7/28 from 5/09 series

PLAYS
OFFICIAL

UNOFFICIAL
5/23 Minnesota Twins Vs. Kansas City Royals LOSE 10-4
30 Minnesota Twins .434 18 Kansas City Royals .499
5/24 Minnesota Twins (.430) Vs. Kansas City Royals (.498) LOSE 7-4
5/25 Minnesota Twins (.430) Vs. Kansas City Royals (.500) WIN 7-5

UPCOMING PLAYS
5/26 St. Louis Cardinals Vs. Washington Nationals UNOFFICIAL
5/27 Miami Marlins Vs. Atlanta Braves


MLB RPI http://espn.go.com/mlb/stats/rpi

RULES MLB Sweep System 2015 POST 15
PREVIOUS RESULTS MLB Sweep System 2015 POST 17-19

[thekoreanmang]

READ and RE-READ the rules in the link. You will have a much better understanding rather than someone explaining them to you.

RULES MLB Sweep System 2015 POST 15

PREVIOUS RESULTS MLB Sweep System 2015 POST 17-19

You're too kind.

You should just not respond to lazy posts like that. Like in every post you put up it has the rules link in the post. It doesn't get any easier. Just read. And even then he probably won't read it because he's too lazy and just wants someone to explain it to him.

I just get riled up when people are like that. It's kind of surprisingly Republican of me to feel like this actually.

[thekoreanmang]

FYI- Just checked the last few years and there has never been an Official back to back loss or Unofficial back to back loss. So after a series loss play next series to recoup and then this system has ZERO losses in 4 years.

Didn't we already suffer back to back unofficial losses this season already with the Twins? It might've been the Twins twice or the Twins and Tigers back to back.

[thekoreanmang]

When playing the unofficial side, steer clear of top 3 teams and bottom 3 teams.

This is news to me. The rules that have been made available in this thread don't include this part I guess. Where can one read the rules for the unofficial picks?

[Sweatin da Bet]

This is news to me. The rules that have been made available in this thread don't include this part I guess. Where can one read the rules for the unofficial picks?

The only rules I know of are the ones that I have the link to. If there are other rules out there I do not know of them. If there are and you know of them PLEASE post a link to them in here.