New Baseball Power Rating System

[Formulawiz]

CIN may have dropped out but you did not mention LAA until AFTER the games with is not the right thing to do. A prime example why so many seems to play this wrong, getting different records etc..There is a thin line between Ignorance and Stupidity..

It seems like you are another one who does not bother to read previous posts. Everyone knows I use the closing lines from the majority of casinos found here on SBR the next morning, which is exactly the line 15 to 20 minutes prior to start of game 95% of the time. I dont make these lines up, they are there where everyone can see them. That is why you may see some games drop out or even come into play the next day when they are posted. Why is it that we always have a small hanful of people who just dont get it. You seem to be another one who wants to get spoon fed and that wont happen here, and by the way 99% of the people here understand the system and play the correct games. If you bothered to check you too would have seen LAA became a play.
Ill tell you as I have those others who complain and never have anything of value to add, GO SOMEWHERE ELSE if you can do better.

[ChileCheese]

I decided to look at this thread quickly, because your name has apparently come as on SBR for being a lying scumbag. It is right on your part that people can just ignore you and not bother with your thread if they don't like it. However, this does not change the fact people are catching you in your lies and you should just admit your own mistakes or stupidity and not insult others. Insulting others for your obvious deceitfulness makes you nothing more than douchebag and a probable cumslut.

[HoulihansTX]

8/1

S/A System
ATL (No Play >-175) (-120) L
Bos (No Play >-142) (-140) W
NYY (No Play >-173) (-130) L
CWS (No Play >-124) ( -150) No Play
KC (No Play >-175) (-140) W
FLA (No Play >-135) ( -140) No Play
SF (No Play >-102) (-110) No Play
Mets (No Play >-165)**(-170) No Play

** D. Hudson(ARI Pitcher) doesnt have 20 IP, but the Mets(Niese) pitcher does.

8/1 (2-2) -0.5units

[Formulawiz]

I decided to look at this thread quickly, because your name has apparently come as on SBR for being a lying scumbag. It is right on your part that people can just ignore you and not bother with your thread if they don't like it. However, this does not change the fact people are catching you in your lies and you should just admit your own mistakes or stupidity and not insult others. Insulting others for your obvious deceitfulness makes you nothing more than douchebag and a probable cumslut.

I dont mind if you come into our thread and make your comments and your stupid accusations. I ask you nicely not to curse and keep it civil. We have been running our thread in all sports for over 2 years now with success and people are making money. Ill tell you as I have others, if your not satisfied here then just leave, its as simple as that. It may seem to you I am insulting others, but I can assure you there is always this small handful of people who are too lazy to read and it gets frustrating to keep answering the same questions over and over again and think we will spoon feed them here. If you are gambling for yourself, you should be responsible to do your own homework.

[Tommy_de1st]

I just stumbled on this thread. Hope you guys cashed big time

[ShivaBowl]

Team Projected Runs for 8/2/2010
Update 08/03
BOS 1.8 N/P >-175
CIN 1.6 WIN
STL 1.5 LOSS
No TPR Plays, if lines -175 & over

TPR, since A.S. break, 23-18
COMP, since A.S. break, 9-3

Complimentary Selection for 8/2/2010 No PLAY >-175

Take NY Yankees W/Burnett over Toronto W/Morrow NO PLAY if > -175

[Formulawiz]

ML system went 1-3 yesterday

Todays ML play based on early lines
CIN

[HoulihansTX]

8/2

S/A System

Cincy ( No play >-175)
Cleveland ( No Play <+166)
Mets (No Play <+151)
Wash (No Play >-168) **
Padres (No Play >-120)


**Long Travel for Wash??

FYI: Padres will be my play of the day.

[ShivaBowl]

CINN -160

Cin the new Cubs? Number looks inflated to me, no thanks.
BOL

[HoulihansTX]

CINN -160 Cin the new Cubs? Number looks inflated to me, no thanks. BOL

Exactly what I was thinking.

I read an article that detailed how favorites do in baseball.

Home favorites win 63% of the time.
Road favorites win 55% of the time.

This line could be -250, and people would still bet it. The oddsmakers are just making a line that would get bet up by the public.

The ML system has not found success betting against the pirates.

[ShivaBowl]

TX; Yesterday was SD day at +130
FYI: Padres will be my play of the day. WHY?

You are dead on about Cinn.
They may win but at -160 or -170 game time, na.

[HoulihansTX]

I have learned that pitching is overrated in bases. The ML's that the books offer are completely based on the starting pitchers.

Padres have a better record, coach, bullpen, and lately better hitting. Padres score more on the road also. So dodgers -130 is a bullshit line IMO. Dodgers have lost 5 in a row also.

Nothing points to a dodgers win, unless someone thinks they are due.

[EXhoosier10]

I dont mind if you come into our thread and make your comments and your stupid accusations. I ask you nicely not to curse and keep it civil. We have been running our thread in all sports for over 2 years now with success and people are making money.

How much are these systems up this year? How much are the BB and PT plays up? Why don't you ever list your results if you keep pushing these "great" systems

[ShivaBowl]

WOW take a look at the Cinn line down to -138 I think it has to hold >-150 to be a M/L Play?
Keep your eye on ARZ M/L Play if >-130
Try to stay away from teams traveling long distances in their first game

[Izatnice]

Since i am a paying customer of Sportrends, i took the liberty of emailing Sam. I explained to him that this thread while getting exposure to his products is causing grave damage to his system and potential clients.

I explained that a magnanimous jerk is causing more damage than good to his products and that in the long term most customers will be turned off instead of wanting to purchase because of the confusion, and animosity caused by Formula Whiz. I went on to explain that it takes less time to post the changes on the line ( if any) than it does to argue with the folks who are mis-understanding.

I also pointed out that under no circumstances does WHiz accept when he is wrong and blatantly tells people to get out of his thread if we do not like the way he runs things. I explained that Whiz attitude against people is a direct reflection on Sportrend products and should be discerned before moving forward. He sent me his phone number and scheduled a time to call. I will respond in the next 48 hours with an update.

[HoulihansTX]

WOw Itzanice. Bringing the heavy lumber.

[ShivaBowl]

[Formulawiz]

Since i am a paying customer of Sportrends, i took the liberty of emailing Sam. I explained to him that this thread while getting exposure to his products is causing grave damage to his system and potential clients.

I explained that a magnanimous jerk is causing more damage than good to his products and that in the long term most customers will be turned off instead of wanting to purchase because of the confusion, and animosity caused by Formula Whiz. I went on to explain that it takes less time to post the changes on the line ( if any) than it does to argue with the folks who are mis-understanding.

I also pointed out that under no circumstances does WHiz accept when he is wrong and blatantly tells people to get out of his thread if we do not like the way he runs things. I explained that Whiz attitude against people is a direct reflection on Sportrend products and should be discerned before moving forward. He sent me his phone number and scheduled a time to call. I will respond in the next 48 hours with an update.

Do you really think sportrends cares about your silly complaining and would even spend a minute talking to you about our forum being a direct reflection on them and causing damage to their products. You must live in LA LA land. To the contrary they have been in business for over 20 years and dont need your help or mine. I am sure they get 1000's of compliments for the work they have done in providing free handicapping systems to everyone. Big deal your their customer. I have been their customer for over 15 years.
Good luck

[SolidDala]

It seems like you are another one who does not bother to read previous posts. Everyone knows I use the closing lines from the majority of casinos found here on SBR the next morning, which is exactly the line 15 to 20 minutes prior to start of game 95% of the time. I dont make these lines up, they are there where everyone can see them. That is why you may see some games drop out or even come into play the next day when they are posted. Why is it that we always have a small hanful of people who just dont get it. You seem to be another one who wants to get spoon fed and that wont happen here, and by the way 99% of the people here understand the system and play the correct games. If you bothered to check you too would have seen LAA became a play.
Ill tell you as I have those others who complain and never have anything of value to add, GO SOMEWHERE ELSE if you can do better.

It was simple an observations nothing more nothing less. Usually people mention plays before gametime or potential plays if a scenario occurs play otherwise do not, did not see anything about it!

You seem to have a bad attitude maybe from a lot of questions in the past I do not know nor do I care after this comment to a first poster in the thread. Usually people welcome inputs with respect and dignity even if its just a short referens to a # post! Probably why its only a handful in here.

I don't use the systems not my thing! So do not assume I play the system and wants a silver spoon. I do my own research FYI only way to make it! Left this thread alone in the past and only commented after hearing things, witch seems to be true... made a misstake by commenting to a ignorant prick, wont happen again

cheers

[Formulawiz]

It was simple an observations nothing more nothing less. Usually people mention plays before gametime or potential plays if a scenario occurs play otherwise do not, did not see anything about it!

You seem to have a bad attitude maybe from a lot of questions in the past I do not know nor do I care after this comment to a first poster in the thread. Usually people welcome inputs with respect and dignity even if its just a short referens to a # post! Probably why its only a handful in here.

I don't use the systems not my thing! So do not assume I play the system and wants a silver spoon. I do my own research FYI only way to make it! Left this thread alone in the past and only commented after hearing things, witch seems to be true... made a misstake by commenting to a ignorant prick, wont happen again

cheers

Its very simple, if your not happy with this thread find a different one. If this offends you, then I am sorry. No one wants to hear this bickering back and forth. All it does is clutter up this thread with useless nonsense and takes away from our goal to make money. If you have something of value to add that would improve these systems with some new filters or whatever, we would be more then happy to hear your comments.

[HoulihansTX]

8/2

S/A System

Cincy ( No play >-175)
Cleveland ( No Play <+166)
Mets (No Play <+151)
Wash (No Play >-168) **
Padres (No Play >-120)


**Long Travel for Wash??

FYI: Padres will be my play of the day.

[Tommy_de1st]

Its very simple, if your not happy with this thread find a different one. If this offends you, then I am sorry. No one wants to hear this bickering back and forth. All it does is clutter up this thread with useless nonsense and takes away from our goal to make money. If you have something of value to add that would improve these systems with some new filters or whatever, we would be more then happy to hear your comments.

Couldn't agree more

[HoulihansTX]

8/2
S/A System

Cincy ( No play >-175) (-140) W
Cleveland ( No Play <+166) (+180) W
Mets (No Play <+151) (+130) No Play
Wash (No Play >-168) (+116) W **
Padres (No Play >-120) (+120) W

**Long Travel for Wash??

FYI: Padres will be my play of the day.

8/2 (4-0) +4.66units

That Padres call was easy.

[ShivaBowl]

HoulihansTX S/A + SDP =>>> $$$

M/L System has cooled off, but its not losing money just holding steady,
Also, the M/L/S has done this in the past, just before breaking out to the up side>
TPR is holding its own.
S/A seems to be coming in.
ALL in ALL not to shabby.
BOL.

Wiz, you must have your reasons why your not posting the math, along with the M/L System Plays,
as we do with TPR and the S/A System?
I just think that if you did post it.... <->
It may end or help stop some of the back and forth, you get in too with people, about the same subject
over and over again, EX; what were the plays and what dropped out and so-forth.
Or you can post the plays the next day, along the the math formulas, that's fine too.

Just trying to help.
BOL

[Tommy_de1st]

Shiva, What's TPR and S/A?

[Formulawiz]

No plays yesterday, CIN dropped out.

ML plays later

[ShivaBowl]

Shiva, What's TPR and S/A?

http://www.sportrends.com/team_sabermetrics.htm

http://www.sportrends.com/team_baseball_matchup.htm

BOL

[ShivaBowl]

Team Projected Runs for 8/3/2010

TEX 1.9
BOS 1.8
CIN 1.6
STL 1.4 N/P HOU W/6

No TPR Plays If Lines -175 & Over

Complimentary Selection from sportrends.com 8/3/2010

Take Oakland W/Mazzaro over Kansas City W/Davies NO PLAY if < -150 or > -175

[Tommy_de1st]

Thanks for clearing this up

[HoulihansTX]

8/3

S/A System

LAA (No Play >-112)**
Cincy (No Play >-175)
Cleveland (No Play <+173)
Wash (No Play >-138)
Oak (No Play >-139)
Tex (No Play >-151)
San Diego (No Play >-175)

** Bell has 21.1(IP), but all are coming out of the Bullpen with the exception of one start against Tex. He only lasted 3(IP), and was lit up for 4 runs. Proceed with caution.

San Diego again today.

[ShivaBowl]

San Diego again today.
Come on its time to get off that horse. We are going to need Bells A game tonight.
I still cant get over, that they were +130 at home sun.
OK SD again, GL

FYI; I have changed my user name with SBR 3 times.
I have been around a long time.
No Cubs again today

[Formulawiz]

Thanks for clearing this up

Here is the ML system

http://www.sportrends.com/team_ml.htm

[Formulawiz]

Todays ML plays based on early lines

CIN no play < -150
TB no play < -150
OAK no Play < -150
TEX no Play < -140
of course no play if any game > -175

Ill do this for a few days until people can get familiar with it.

[EXhoosier10]

No plays yesterday, CIN dropped out.

ML plays later

Why weren't NYM a play? Atl projected at -165, closed around -138 to -140. Atl was on L2 streak and Nym L1. Hudson v. Johan have enough IP. what line were you using that made this not a play?

[ShivaBowl]

Todays ML plays based on early lines CIN no play < -150 TB no play < -150 OAK no Play < -150 TEX no Play < -140 of course no play if any game > -175 Ill do this for a few days until people can get familiar with it.

I will hold on to the Proj M/L lines from sportrends for the next few days, or until you are done and then re post the plays with a summary, about the M/L System.

So that in the feature, when ??? come up, we can refer people back to are post.
This will help people, to understand what we are doing here.

Wiz, of course you can do this, I'm just trying to save you the extra work.

FYI: GO TO http://www.sportrends.com/team_ml.htm and print out the M/L sheet daily.

Thanks