New Baseball Power Rating System

Ayn · 08-21-09, 09:41 AM

Originally posted by Cranium

What are the filters for TPR?

Nothing over -175
Can't play a team less than .450
Anything else?

Thanks

I think there is a filter was Nats aswell as avoiding teams on streaks?

Formulawiz · 08-21-09, 11:04 AM

Todays plays are CLE, NYY and BAL.
W/L streaks are filters in addition to the other filters mentioned in previous post. I personally don't use teams at .450

peterpan19 · 08-21-09, 01:56 PM

3 plays today...dont like bal too much...but cle is ok and nyy too..

gl

EXhoosier10 · 08-21-09, 04:37 PM

Formula or Peter, do either of you have data from previous years of fastball?

Formulawiz · 08-22-09, 06:09 AM

nice win with TPR system going 2-1 and picking up 1.7 units.

Formulawiz · 08-22-09, 07:53 AM

Looks like BAL and NYY again.

peterpan19 · 08-22-09, 12:58 PM

True... NYY and BAL again...

Formulawiz · 08-23-09, 05:06 AM

My error NYY would not have been a play. Tazawa did not have over 20 innings pitched.

peterpan19 · 08-23-09, 05:40 AM

Originally posted by Formulawiz

My error NYY would not have been a play. Tazawa did not have over 20 innings pitched.

?...

Formulawiz · 08-23-09, 06:46 AM

Originally posted by peterpan19

?...

Tazawa for BOS did not pitch over 20 innings, so the NYY game should have been a pass.

peterpan19 · 08-23-09, 08:26 AM

min, nyy, florida today....
GL

ButtoMcFarty · 08-23-09, 02:54 PM

Records since AllStar Break
unfiltered:
FB30 - 206-165 - .555
BB30 - 66-46 - .589
FB99 - 205-167 - .551
PT60 - 159-101 - .612
PT45 - 168-113 - .598

PT60 Home Picks - 123-71 - .634
Both PT60/PT45 Home Picks - 110-62 - .640

peterpan19 · 08-24-09, 01:03 AM

2-1 day... not bad...+1unit
BMF its nice to have the record, but do you also keep track of the units ?
GL

peterpan19 · 08-24-09, 07:40 AM

last week the TPR system went 10-4 +6.6 units... overall we are at 45-27 +16 units (since July 22nd... so about 1 month now... I think the system is doing pretty good so far...)
interesting stat... if we only played the underdogs we would be 9-12 +.05 units only...

peterpan19 · 08-24-09, 07:47 AM

no plays today.... both SEA and SF are on 2L streaks...

GL

Formulawiz · 08-24-09, 12:36 PM

I was wondering if it is a good idea to play games using 0.8 or > for the TPR system. Has anyone tried it.

ButtoMcFarty · 08-24-09, 12:45 PM

I'm not tracking units. I know in the real world that is what matters...but I just don't have the time.
My aim is to paper play the rest of the season....and then start for real next June or so...I'm in no rush to lose my money.

I'm glad its just paper after yesterday.
Not a good day....although the FB and BB picks ended up at .500...

The home PT picks went 0-5 yesterday.
Ouch.

peterpan19 · 08-24-09, 05:31 PM

Originally posted by Formulawiz

I was wondering if it is a good idea to play games using 0.8 or > for the TPR system. Has anyone tried it.

I looked at it from time to time and 0.9 is pretty good too...wenr 3-0 2 nights ago... will keep an eye on it....

Formulawiz · 08-25-09, 05:33 AM

TPR went 1-1 yesterday 0 units.

peterpan19 · 08-25-09, 06:30 AM

Formula
We had no plays yesterday... Both sea and col were on a 2L streak

Formulawiz · 08-25-09, 07:29 AM

Originally posted by peterpan19

Formula
We had no plays yesterday... Both sea and col were on a 2L streak

Your correct my error

peterpan19 · 08-25-09, 09:19 AM

mil and hou today
GL

peterpan19 · 08-26-09, 03:18 AM

well 0-2 today...

peterpan19 · 08-26-09, 08:31 AM

bos and pit today...

GL

peterpan19 · 08-27-09, 05:00 AM

went 1-1 yesterday... nothing lost...
todays plays later on

Formulawiz · 08-27-09, 05:52 AM

nice day for PT 7-2

peterpan19 · 08-27-09, 09:50 AM

no plays today...

Formulawiz · 08-27-09, 10:27 AM

Originally posted by peterpan19

no plays today...

Peter I believe we have BOS and possibly LAA today if ML comes down.

peterpan19 · 08-27-09, 11:49 AM

no play on BOS...SP has not 20 IP...your rule...remember ?
and LAA line too high...dont think it will come down...

Formulawiz · 08-27-09, 02:10 PM

Originally posted by peterpan19

no play on BOS...SP has not 20 IP...your rule...remember ?
and LAA line too high...dont think it will come down...

Missed that

peterpan19 · 08-27-09, 03:16 PM

but considering that Danks is 0-3 with an 6+ ERA lifetime against BOS and that Tazawa pitched pretty well so far... hell I will make a small bet on Boston tonight...

peterpan19 · 08-28-09, 08:51 AM

todays play:
FLO

GL guys

Formulawiz · 08-28-09, 10:31 AM

Originally posted by peterpan19

todays play:
FLO

GL guys

What about TB, the TPR is at 0.9 ?

ButtoMcFarty · 08-28-09, 06:32 PM

Horrendous day for the PT picks yesterday

PT45 1-10
PT60 2-9

Overall since AllStar break with no filters:
FB30 229-188
BB30 76-56 (went 1-6 yesterday)
FB99 231-194
PT45 189-141
PT60 179-127
Home PT60 138-94
Home PT60+PT45 123-84

Nothing running above .6 win% at this point....a bit disappointing....
Lots of season left though so we'll see how it finishes up.

peterpan19 · 08-28-09, 10:02 PM

Originally posted by Formulawiz

What about TB, the TPR is at 0.9 ?

I will only list official plays... Meaning 1.0 or better... But you can still keep track of the .9 plays... Lets hope they do it for free next season again... I think the TPR system looks promising, but now with the lines out of control and everything its getting tougher I think.. But we will see..
GL