" Dog of the Day"

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  • SilverTongueFox
    SBR MVP
    • 11-23-10
    • 2338

    #3571
    Originally posted by 2daBank
    why you like atl mr fox? i dont really see that one. teheran been awful. even tho he won his last start he has struck out a total of 2 batter his last 2 outings! atl cant hit and it even more pronounced against lhp, locke a scrub but not as bad as surface stats suggest. of the 2 i think just based off lineups they facing locke has a much better chance of success. pit playing way too good to be laying any number vs them with a shitbag team like the bravos imo.
    Locke is flat out awful. He's struggled to get through 5inn in something like 6 of L8 starts. With Gomes, Uribe, Johnson in middle lineup Braves got more options now vs lefties. Since start of Zona series & last nights game Braves seem to be seeing ball better right now. And with s pitcher like Locke I think that should continue for tonight's game.

    I know Tehran has been a big disappointment this year but I encourage you to check his home stats. He's been a different pitcher this year at the Ted. He's coming off a strong outing in SF I'm hoping we see some progression as well. Braves middle relief does scare hell out of me. I miss the days of O'Flaherty (7th), Venters (8th) and Kimbrel.

    Throughout baseball right now, with few exceptions, bullpens are a mess. Are there just not any good pitching prospects? The retread of $hitty pitchers has always bothered me but now just don't seem to be any good prospects. Somebody sign Amendola or Mo'Ne ad I'm tired of the Joe Blantons of the world although he is good for my bank account. lol

    I see Braves taking this on 5-3; 6-4 type game.
    Last edited by SilverTongueFox; 06-06-15, 07:02 AM.
    Comment
    • 2daBank
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 01-26-09
      • 88966

      #3572
      Originally posted by SilverTongueFox
      Locke is flat out awful. He's struggled to get through 5inn in something like 6 of L8 starts. With Gomes, Uribe, Johnson in middle lineup Braves got more options now vs lefties. Since start of Zona series & last nights game Braves seem to be seeing ball better right now. And with s pitcher like Locke I think that should continue for tonight's game.

      I know Tehran has been a big disappointment this year but I encourage you to check his home stats. He's been a different pitcher this year at the Ted. He's coming off a strong outing in SF I'm hoping we see some progression as well. Braves middle relief does scare hell out of me. I miss the days of O'Flaherty (7th), Venters (8th) and Kimbrel.

      Throughout baseball right now, with few exceptions, bullpens are a mess. Are there just not any good pitching prospects? The retread of $hitty pitchers has always bothered me but now just don't seem to be any good prospects. Somebody sign Amendola or Mo'Ne ad I'm tired of the Joe Blantons of the world although he is good for my bank account. lol

      I see Braves taking this on 5-3; 6-4 type game.
      i honestly have no interest in either side, was just curious what you saw. ive never been a teheran buyer but ill take your word for the home splits. honestly there just some teams i dont follow very closely and braves really high up on that list. when i referred to them not hitting lefties it had slipped my mind their lineup has undergone some changes of late.. far as locke goes i think you severely exaggerating how bad he is. not that ive watched much of either but just on numbers i dont really think you can make much of a case for him being any worse than teheran .. like i said i have no interest in this gm tho so i hope im wrong. gl buddy.
      Comment
      • red12sox
        SBR MVP
        • 11-28-14
        • 1034

        #3573
        Originally posted by red12sox
        12-12 +4.97
        Mets +115
        Comment
        • 2daBank
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 01-26-09
          • 88966

          #3574
          mother fukker. well guys pads were supposed to be my DOD, you already seen me posting bout it, i already played them, but i never officially posted them and the line just got smacked to where they not catching + anything now.. so i mean unless they bounce back to plus then i wont use them as my DOD but they are my dod if ya know what im saying, lol.
          Comment
          • 2daBank
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 01-26-09
            • 88966

            #3575
            Originally posted by 2daBank
            31-14 +25.61
            pads+101..ive made and lost plenty of bets on cashner this year, ive been on his wins, and not like ive been on all his losses but im sure im not in the positive, prob not real bad cause have won with couple nice prices i believe.. dude hard to cap, sometimes it like he strikes you out or you get a hit.. thing for me is in a bandbox like cincy plays in k/bb ratio becomes even more important and he certainly has that down. reds starter walks a lot of dudes which a good way to give up a crooked number in that place really fast. the pens a total mismatch so even if cashner just matches reds pitcher id be thrilled having pads plus money in a pen gm late and cashner had a lights out start in this park last year. if anyone gonna be in the pen early i think it be the reds..
            Comment
            • VegasPlayer
              SBR MVP
              • 07-27-09
              • 3676

              #3576
              Salazar in CLE looks overpriced at -145. Number looks like it's based on W-L only. See what the line adjusts to when the books open.
              Comment
              • 2daBank
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 01-26-09
                • 88966

                #3577
                Originally posted by VegasPlayer
                Salazar in CLE looks overpriced at -145. Number looks like it's based on W-L only. See what the line adjusts to when the books open.
                salazar is a way better pitcher than ubaldo by damn near every measurement i know of (i could have overlooked a few). -145 maybe a little steep, i dunno i actually made slightly higher percentage for the win. not like i aint wrong plenty tho, lol.
                Comment
                • LT Profits
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 10-27-06
                  • 90963

                  #3578
                  No underdog for me yet Saturday.

                  18-32, -7.47
                  Comment
                  • trobin31
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 01-09-14
                    • 9853

                    #3579
                    I'd just as soon play the run lines on Price, Felix and Bummy, and then fade Kershaw.

                    Danks is the gasiest of the gas cans and hes a lefty for tigers to break out of slumpage.

                    Felix coming off a bad start has allowed like 13 earned runs in 70inngs which is fuk'n insane.

                    Bumgarder is prolly most of a wildcard but if Lincecum can hold em to 3-4 runs I like my chances
                    Comment
                    • pacocn
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 07-05-10
                      • 12934

                      #3580
                      6/6 Cards +183
                      Ytd 22-28 down .27 units
                      Comment
                      • 2daBank
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 01-26-09
                        • 88966

                        #3581
                        Originally posted by pacocn
                        6/6 Cards +183
                        Ytd 22-28 down .27 units
                        anyone not taking a stab on this one crazy, especially if ya been doing the right thing and already up this series really hope you cash this one bro (even if line screams lad, not like they always right!).
                        Comment
                        • LT Profits
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 10-27-06
                          • 90963

                          #3582
                          I am not as anxious to fade Kershaw right now as everyone seems to be, he has 17 strikeouts vs. one walk while allowing two runs last two starts, he is on his way back to vintage form soon. I don't really care much about the Cardinals owning him in the past, he hasn't faced them this year yet and Cards have not been great vs. lefties lately. Jaime has looked good too, my only MLB play so far today is Under 6.5 -115 here. I know just about everyone else besides Heritage has Under 6 at +odds, which would actually qualify as a play in this thread, but I think that half-run could be very important here and is worth the -115 IMO.
                          Comment
                          • boss_of_um
                            SBR MVP
                            • 08-18-11
                            • 1092

                            #3583
                            Originally posted by boss_of_um
                            6/05 Pick: Det +140

                            DOD Record: 5-5 +1.27
                            6/06 Pick: Balt +138

                            DOD Record: 5-6 +.27
                            Comment
                            • Buckandadime
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 04-21-15
                              • 8847

                              #3584
                              6/6
                              Cincinnati -1.5+200

                              YTD
                              8-11
                              (-2.12)
                              Comment
                              • VegasPlayer
                                SBR MVP
                                • 07-27-09
                                • 3676

                                #3585
                                Originally posted by VegasPlayer
                                Cash It 21-13 +12.86
                                6/6 BAL +135 Jimenez/Salazar

                                Also think there is a good chance at least one of the big chalks goes down today. Just not sure which one.
                                Comment
                                • 2daBank
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 01-26-09
                                  • 88966

                                  #3586
                                  Originally posted by LT Profits
                                  I am not as anxious to fade Kershaw right now as everyone seems to be, he has 17 strikeouts vs. one walk while allowing two runs last two starts, he is on his way back to vintage form soon. I don't really care much about the Cardinals owning him in the past, he hasn't faced them this year yet and Cards have not been great vs. lefties lately. Jaime has looked good too, my only MLB play so far today is Under 6.5 -115 here. I know just about everyone else besides Heritage has Under 6 at +odds, which would actually qualify as a play in this thread, but I think that half-run could be very important here and is worth the -115 IMO.
                                  not sure why cards owning this dude when he in top form wouldnt matter to you? seems to me they have for whatever reason always picked the ball up out of his hand pretty well,. cards have been struggling with lefties every time they have faced and beat him. they havnt been a good lhp hitting team for a very long time, usually part of the reason you get a good price on them vs kershaw.. that said in all honesty i think that kershaw has probably had this gm circled for some time and would expect him to throw a very good gm. i just dont think odds accurately represent cards chances even if he pitches great cause doyers not hitting and jamie been very good. i trust cards ability to work this guy and find a way to plate 2-3 runs far more times than he totally shuts them down. it basically comes down to what you always say, i dont think lad wins this gm as often as odds suggest. they prob do win, but not more than round 60% imo.. under makes a ton of sense as well. gl
                                  Comment
                                  • mitch51
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 05-15-12
                                    • 4587

                                    #3587
                                    Originally posted by 2daBank
                                    31-14 +25.61

                                    there might be "nicer" threads that are more tolerant of retarded fuks, if you rather read that garbage i know just the place for ya. here all we do is win. looks like another good night for the board overall!
                                    LMAO, you are such a stupid dick! Very entertaining!
                                    Comment
                                    • larry040681
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 10-05-10
                                      • 2813

                                      #3588
                                      Originally posted by larry040681

                                      18-17 +7.94
                                      18-17 +7.94

                                      dod: baltimore +130
                                      Comment
                                      • LT Profits
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 10-27-06
                                        • 90963

                                        #3589
                                        Originally posted by 2daBank
                                        not sure why cards owning this dude when he in top form wouldnt matter to you? seems to me they have for whatever reason always picked the ball up out of his hand pretty well,. cards have been struggling with lefties every time they have faced and beat him. they havnt been a good lhp hitting team for a very long time, usually part of the reason you get a good price on them vs kershaw.. that said in all honesty i think that kershaw has probably had this gm circled for some time and would expect him to throw a very good gm. i just dont think odds accurately represent cards chances even if he pitches great cause doyers not hitting and jamie been very good. i trust cards ability to work this guy and find a way to plate 2-3 runs far more times than he totally shuts them down. it basically comes down to what you always say, i dont think lad wins this gm as often as odds suggest. they prob do win, but not more than round 60% imo.. under makes a ton of sense as well. gl
                                        I put MUCH more relevance on current season, let's see if Kershaw puts those Cardinal gremlins to rest tonight. Plus there is no plausible explanation as to WHY the Cardinals have owned him in the past given their numbers vs. southpaws, which you have already alluded to, so when stuff like that happens, it is easier for me to dismiss it as variance.
                                        Comment
                                        • 2daBank
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 01-26-09
                                          • 88966

                                          #3590
                                          Originally posted by LT Profits
                                          I put MUCH more relevance on current season, let's see if Kershaw puts those Cardinal gremlins to rest tonight. Plus there is no plausible explanation as to WHY the Cardinals have owned him in the past given their numbers vs. southpaws, which you have already alluded to, so when stuff like that happens, it is easier for me to dismiss it as variance.
                                          right on, that more than reasonable and like ive said i actually do think he pitches really well tonight. there no way he hasnt had this gm circled for a long time.
                                          Comment
                                          • survive
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 01-08-11
                                            • 2388

                                            #3591
                                            Originally posted by mitch51
                                            LMAO, you are such a stupid dick! Very entertaining!
                                            Stupid? I think his record in here says otherwise...
                                            Comment
                                            • incognitoh
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 02-26-14
                                              • 353

                                              #3592
                                              Originally posted by incognitoh
                                              ytd: 24-22 +7.09
                                              6/7: Texas +150

                                              YTD: 24-22 +7.09
                                              Comment
                                              • 2daBank
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 01-26-09
                                                • 88966

                                                #3593
                                                Originally posted by incognitoh
                                                6/7: Texas +150

                                                YTD: 24-22 +7.09
                                                i think they def being a little undervalued here again today. i dont like as much as yesterday but i did take a half unit of profit from yesterdays gm and put it on them today..
                                                Comment
                                                • 2buckluck
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 04-10-15
                                                  • 608

                                                  #3594
                                                  Originally posted by 2buckluck
                                                  Record 19-13 (+11.30 U)
                                                  6/5: Detroit +115 , BOL to all and happy Friday !
                                                  Record 19-14 (+10.30 U)
                                                  6/6: Texas +150, BOL to all!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • 2buckluck
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 04-10-15
                                                    • 608

                                                    #3595
                                                    Originally posted by incognitoh
                                                    6/7: Texas +150

                                                    YTD: 24-22 +7.09
                                                    I've got plays on Balt, mets, Texas, st Lou haha, I was deciding my DOD and saw right after your post, BOL to us both haha!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • ithinkiamgood
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 10-30-13
                                                      • 2211

                                                      #3596
                                                      0-1 -1.00

                                                      Texas FF +139
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Hudini
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 05-25-15
                                                        • 224

                                                        #3597
                                                        STL +174 respresent cca 35% chances to win
                                                        LAD -189 respresent cca 65% chances to win.

                                                        If God pitching for LAD, STL is value play in this moment, Dodgers bats are cold in last couple of games. No matter if LAD wins, in 10 this type of games I would still be in plus betting on this type of dogs.

                                                        If Kershaw lose 3 out of 10 games vs team like Cards in this moment and I'm in plus

                                                        SRY for bad English
                                                        Last edited by Hudini; 06-06-15, 11:18 AM.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Winning oasis
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 06-14-11
                                                          • 1241

                                                          #3598
                                                          Originally posted by Hudini
                                                          STL +174 respresent cca 35% chances to win
                                                          LAD -189 respresent cca 65% chances to win.

                                                          If God pitching for LAD, STL is value play in this moment, Dodgers bats are cold in last couple of games. No matter if LAD wins, in 10 this type of games I would still be in plus betting on this type of dogs.

                                                          If Kershaw lose 3 out of 10 games vs team like Cards in this moment and I'm in plus

                                                          SRY for bad English
                                                          YOU have better grammar than half the posters but this isn't an English class. GL
                                                          Comment
                                                          • R.P. McMurphy
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 06-15-12
                                                            • 9654

                                                            #3599
                                                            Twinks 1h -.5 @+105 for 2 units dod....Also on a couple tt overs 2 units each Kc 4 -115 , Zona over 4 -125.....near the ceiling for juice I will lay but fatolo should get raked and raped in the desert tonight lol.

                                                            Ytd 9-8 @ +6.41 units bol everyone!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • 2daBank
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 01-26-09
                                                              • 88966

                                                              #3600
                                                              i dont understand what you guys see in balty but i been wrong before. i hate juice and im on tribe ff-.5 and gm ml..
                                                              Comment
                                                              • leetreaper
                                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                • 10-23-10
                                                                • 34841

                                                                #3601
                                                                Laa -1.5 +146
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Yazworm91
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 03-01-13
                                                                  • 2397

                                                                  #3602
                                                                  Originally posted by Yazworm91
                                                                  7-10 -1.05

                                                                  6/5

                                                                  Atlanta +110


                                                                  i like Baltimore and San Diego tomorrow as well. I think Tillman bounces back from his last outing.

                                                                  7-11 -2.05

                                                                  6/6


                                                                  Atlanta -.5 ff +130
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • SilverTongueFox
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 11-23-10
                                                                    • 2338

                                                                    #3603
                                                                    Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                                    i dont understand what you guys see in balty but i been wrong before. i hate juice and im on tribe ff-.5 and gm ml..
                                                                    I got Tribe in a ML parlay with Felix.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • incognitoh
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 02-26-14
                                                                      • 353

                                                                      #3604
                                                                      Originally posted by Hudini
                                                                      STL +174 respresent cca 35% chances to win
                                                                      LAD -189 respresent cca 65% chances to win.

                                                                      If God pitching for LAD, STL is value play in this moment, Dodgers bats are cold in last couple of games. No matter if LAD wins, in 10 this type of games I would still be in plus betting on this type of dogs.

                                                                      If Kershaw lose 3 out of 10 games vs team like Cards in this moment and I'm in plus

                                                                      SRY for bad English
                                                                      Actually, you would need to win 4 to be at plus money, not 3. 4 Wins would give you 6.96 Units Won vs. 6 Units Lost while 3 wins would give you 5.2 Units Won and 7 Units Lost.

                                                                      I computed the odds at 63.5% vs. the 65% you mention above; however, this is something I have not done before so maybe I am missing something.

                                                                      BOL with whatever you decide.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Hudini
                                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                                        • 05-25-15
                                                                        • 224

                                                                        #3605
                                                                        My mistake, you need 4 to win not 3 and you are right (again) 63,5. I didnt take 1,5% that bookie takes. I still think that Kershaw can lose 4 of 10 vs team like Cards in this moment, specially with this bullpen ERA
                                                                        Comment
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