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Washington (C) Under
Cleveland (C) under **** Watch out for Cleveland.
Not sure if there is any new Over and Under today or the Sweeps
Comment
Andy3568
SBR Wise Guy
01-17-10
615
#352
I don't think there are any new over-under series today, just the two "C" bets.
Anyone plan or ordering the Ex Term Inator MLB V 2? It supposedly turned an $800 bankroll into over $16,000 just last year.
Comment
jay5hizzle
SBR Hustler
06-25-13
77
#353
i'm cutting my losses with clev. I actually love the over in that game.
Comment
cambertos
SBR Sharp
06-16-12
329
#354
Originally posted by ok15533
Washington (C) Under
Cleveland (C) under **** Watch out for Cleveland.
Gotta hold firm here with Cleveland, We'll get it
Comment
allidoiswin89
SBR Wise Guy
03-22-11
915
#355
Originally posted by ok15533
Washington (C) Under
Cleveland (C) under **** Watch out for Cleveland.
Not sure if there is any new Over and Under today or the Sweeps
No new plays
Comment
cambertos
SBR Sharp
06-16-12
329
#356
Originally posted by allidoiswin89
Yes
After this CLV system i wont play this anymore.
Last year was poor, and this year looks to be no better.
Comment
allidoiswin89
SBR Wise Guy
03-22-11
915
#357
Originally posted by cambertos
After this CLV system i wont play this anymore.
Last year was poor, and this year looks to be no better.
C ya
Comment
cambertos
SBR Sharp
06-16-12
329
#358
Originally posted by allidoiswin89
C ya
Not so much, been playing JM's system with hagball & others for 4 years. Just dont want to be spreading funds around to much
Comment
hagball52
SBR MVP
09-22-10
3053
#359
MLB Sweep System
2015 Official season series record 5-0
(A) 3-2
(B) 1-1
(C) 1-0
(D) 0-0
Unofficial series 7-0
(A) 4-4
(B) 2-1
(C) 1-0
(D) 0-0
Official 05/07 Pittsburgh v Cincinnati M/L (C) WIN 05/11 Baltimore v TorontoM/L(A) WIN
*Unofficial* 05/08 Philadelphia v NY MetsR/L/M/L (A) WIN
05/09 Colorado v LA Dodgerscancelled (incomplete game and rainout, shortened series) 05/09 Pittsburgh v St LouisM/L (B) WIN
Next Plays
Tomorrow
Upcoming plays 05/14 Colorado @ LA Dodgers 05/18 Oakland @ Houston 05/22 Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota
Notes: Good to be back home. Had a blast in New York. Posted the completed series above. Had to cancel that Colorado series because of shortened game and series. When you play a run line on a game it has to go the distance to get the payout so for most of you who played it that way it was a push. If you played it money line then you had a small loss.
That series will continue tomorrow because technically the Rockies are still swept. However, the series will be unofficial because of the rpi so you can elect to play it, or not.
We picked up a few sweeps while I was away. Here they are:
05/14 COL @ LAD
06/23 ATL @ WAS
07/02 OAK v SEA
07/17 HOU v TEX
P.S. We have 1 possible sweep going today.
P.P.S. I have not tracked the under/over system or the Demo system while I was gone so it may take an extra day or so to get that all caught up but I will post it when I do. Want to thank everyone who pitched in while I was away. Don't have anymore travel plans at this point except for maybe an occasional overnighter.
The rules are in post #15 and the filters in post #28. Records for the past 3 years can be found in posts #17, #18 & #19. This season we will only be playing the official and unofficial plays according to the rpi rankings at ESPN.
Comment
hagball52
SBR MVP
09-22-10
3053
#360
2015Allidoiswin89's UNDER/OVER system
Official 05/13 CLE under (D)
05/13 WAS under (D)
I'll update this page tomorrow. Just wanted to get the plays out. Unfortunately this system is not doing very well. There are 2 more possible plays today.
Comment
hagball52
SBR MVP
09-22-10
3053
#361
There are no Demo plays at this point.
Comment
bravoman81
SBR High Roller
05-12-15
103
#362
Originally posted by hagball52
2015Allidoiswin89's UNDER/OVER system
Official 05/13 CLE under (D)
05/13 WAS under (D)
I'll update this page tomorrow. Just wanted to get the plays out. Unfortunately this system is not doing very well. There are 2 more possible plays today.
Anyone playing these two? Clev has a terrible error on a potential double play last night that could have kept the game from going over.
Comment
imotiv8
SBR Wise Guy
12-28-09
914
#363
Originally posted by bravoman81
Anyone playing these two? Clev has a terrible error on a potential double play last night that could have kept the game from going over.
I've been playing the system for a very very small amount. But even as low as i've been wagering if these lose today, i'll stop
Comment
takethepnts
SBR Wise Guy
10-18-13
596
#364
Originally posted by bravoman81
Anyone playing these two? Clev has a terrible error on a potential double play last night that could have kept the game from going over.
I dont get scared off too often , But this Cleveland UNDER which has now lost a series of 4 games and flipped into another FULL series of 4 is a little much . Flipping a coin on this series would have produced better profits , as im certain OVER would have come up a few times LOL. ALL Jokes aside , MLB Is the SPORT of streaks . MORE times then not when a team has WON 3-4 / LOST 3-4 contests in a row , YOU DONT go against the grain ...YOU RIDE the wave . MLB more then any other sport is about streaks ... Recognize the streaky Over / Unders - Win / Loss streaks and go with them ...Def, use them to filter out which series plays to bet also ... Like they say , when your chasing a team who's won 10 straight from the 3rd win . You can ONLY LOSE ONCE . But when you catch the streak early , SUCH as OVER on the past 8 Cleveland games , you can walk with a handsome profit off 4-6 wins . Good luck to everyone either way .
Comment
cambertos
SBR Sharp
06-16-12
329
#365
Originally posted by imotiv8
I've been playing the system for a very very small amount. But even as low as i've been wagering if these lose today, i'll stop
yeah agreed. Where/how long was this system backtested for?
Comment
allidoiswin89
SBR Wise Guy
03-22-11
915
#366
Originally posted by cambertos
yeah agreed. Where/how long was this system backtested for?
This will be the 3rd year of posting so 8 years with a 5 year backtest... but I thought you were done with the system so not sure why you ask
Comment
takethepnts
SBR Wise Guy
10-18-13
596
#367
YEP. Being a chicken shit cost me . I backed the Washington under and laid off the Cleve. under ... always the way. Now that the system has purged itself so to speak .. Maybe now is the best time to actually begin hitting harder. If backtesting shows 3-4 series losses per year , we've already moved two outta the way :-)
Comment
hagball52
SBR MVP
09-22-10
3053
#368
Originally posted by takethepnts
YEP. Being a chicken shit cost me . I backed the Washington under and laid off the Cleve. under ... always the way. Now that the system has purged itself so to speak .. Maybe now is the best time to actually begin hitting harder. If backtesting shows 3-4 series losses per year , we've already moved two outta the way :-)
Right now this system is totally unpredictable. A week or so ago I told my wife let's just bet the A and D bets. I probably won't have this page completely updated until the weekend but I will get the unit amounts posted and we'll try to do a little analysis on this system and see if we can't find a way to make a little money without so much risk. I never play 4 game chases all the way through. Too much risk. But these systems provide us with very powerful bets at times. While I was away I didn't bet at all so I wagered on these 2 D bets today and split. I'll look at Washington tomorrow and decide then. This is way to volatile to follow it by the rule but I do believe it can be tweaked and profited from. More later.
Comment
takethepnts
SBR Wise Guy
10-18-13
596
#369
Originally posted by hagball52
Right now this system is totally unpredictable. A week or so ago I told my wife let's just bet the A and D bets. I probably won't have this page completely updated until the weekend but I will get the unit amounts posted and we'll try to do a little analysis on this system and see if we can't find a way to make a little money without so much risk. I never play 4 game chases all the way through. Too much risk. But these systems provide us with very powerful bets at times. While I was away I didn't bet at all so I wagered on these 2 D bets today and split. I'll look at Washington tomorrow and decide then. This is way to volatile to follow it by the rule but I do believe it can be tweaked and profited from. More later.
First off congratz on your sons grad Hag. All the best in regards to his future .
Thanks for taking a look into it. Your effort as well as ALLIDO On the O/U is much appreciated . We;re all here to eek out some profits .
You have a point on the 4 game chase BUT , IN comparison , the average odds on the O/U are in the range of (guessing) 1.9 average on a 4 game chase where as the ABC Morrison sweep likely averages odds in the neighbourhood of 1.62 (at best) due to all the high juice +1.5 dogs or ML Faves . When you base it on a risked units per series , Its not as crazy a gap as one may think between the C and D because of the odds themselves. Dont get me wrong , the overall record has alot to do with which system is more dependable year over year - but risk wise I believe these are very similar. Looking forward to your data sir and thanks again :-)
Comment
cambertos
SBR Sharp
06-16-12
329
#370
Originally posted by allidoiswin89
This will be the 3rd year of posting so 8 years with a 5 year backtest... but I thought you were done with the system so not sure why you ask
Whats with the attitude? Pull your head in.
The three losses this week, didnt just lose by a run, they were smashed. Hence why Im done. I might chip in and play C and D bets from time to time.
Comment
allidoiswin89
SBR Wise Guy
03-22-11
915
#371
Originally posted by hagball52
Right now this system is totally unpredictable. A week or so ago I told my wife let's just bet the A and D bets. I probably won't have this page completely updated until the weekend but I will get the unit amounts posted and we'll try to do a little analysis on this system and see if we can't find a way to make a little money without so much risk. I never play 4 game chases all the way through. Too much risk. But these systems provide us with very powerful bets at times. While I was away I didn't bet at all so I wagered on these 2 D bets today and split. I'll look at Washington tomorrow and decide then. This is way to volatile to follow it by the rule but I do believe it can be tweaked and profited from. More later.
Difference between this chase system and most others you follow is no moneyline plays. -110 juice on average makes the chase way more reasonable.
I understand its two losses early but I dont get what the panic is. Ive seen plenty of systems that lose one or two early and go on a run.
I'm not worried in the least bit. Glad to have you back hag.
And if u can tweak it into another version then by all means. Nothings ever perfect the first time around. Ive been creating this nhl over under system for a year now...a lot of setbacks thus far and lucky if I have enough time to get 1 team tested per week for only a single year
Comment
hagball52
SBR MVP
09-22-10
3053
#372
Originally posted by takethepnts
First off congratz on your sons grad Hag. All the best in regards to his future .
Thanks for taking a look into it. Your effort as well as ALLIDO On the O/U is much appreciated . We;re all here to eek out some profits .
You have a point on the 4 game chase BUT , IN comparison , the average odds on the O/U are in the range of (guessing) 1.9 average on a 4 game chase where as the ABC Morrison sweep likely averages odds in the neighbourhood of 1.62 (at best) due to all the high juice +1.5 dogs or ML Faves . When you base it on a risked units per series , Its not as crazy a gap as one may think between the C and D because of the odds themselves. Dont get me wrong , the overall record has alot to do with which system is more dependable year over year - but risk wise I believe these are very similar. Looking forward to your data sir and thanks again :-)
Thanks
Originally posted by allidoiswin89
Difference between this chase system and most others you follow is no moneyline plays. -110 juice on average makes the chase way more reasonable.
I understand its two losses early but I dont get what the panic is. Ive seen plenty of systems that lose one or two early and go on a run.
I'm not worried in the least bit. Glad to have you back hag.
And if u can tweak it into another version then by all means. Nothings ever perfect the first time around. Ive been creating this nhl over under system for a year now...a lot of setbacks thus far and lucky if I have enough time to get 1 team tested per week for only a single year
You guys are right about the odds especially as compared to JM's system with the high juice and run line plays. I've been looking at systems for awhile now and just looking for ways to effectively profit from them but with a little less risk. That probably means less plays and smaller profit but if you can find enough systems where you can use the more powerful plays within that system then you might have enough plays through the course of a season to make it worthwhile. With the under/over system we just didn't have enough data to make any determinations and that's kind of why I took it on so we could develop some numbers to work with. Personally I don't have enough faith in this system to just blindly follow it and bet it but I think it has promise and I have been picking and choosing as I go. We'll just have to see how it shakes out a little farther down the road.
Comment
hagball52
SBR MVP
09-22-10
3053
#373
MLB Sweep System
2015 Official season series record 5-0 (A) 3-2
(B) 1-1
(C) 1-0
(D) 0-0
Unofficial series 7-0
(A) 4-4
(B) 2-1
(C) 1-0
(D) 0-0
Next Plays *Unofficial* 05/14 Colorado (.462) @ LA Dodgers (.526) +1.5 R/L (A) 4 gm. set
Upcoming plays 05/18 Oakland @ Houston 05/22 Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota 06/08 Milwaukee @ Pittsburgh 06/08 Arizona @ LA Dodgers
Notes: We have 1 possible sweep going today.
The rules are in post #15 and the filters in post #28. Records for the past 3 years can be found in posts #17, #18 & #19. This season we will only be playing the official and unofficial plays according to the rpi rankings at ESPN.
Comment
hagball52
SBR MVP
09-22-10
3053
#374
2015Allidoiswin89's UNDER/OVER system
Official 05/13 CLE under (D) WIN
05/13 WAS under (D) LOSS
05/14 WAS under (A)
05/15 ARI under (A) This one goes tomorrow I probably won't get this page updated until Sunday. I've gotta go back and look up all the odds on the series losses to figure the correct unit amounts.
P.S. I've been tracking the Demo plays and there's nothing pending.
Comment
bravoman81
SBR High Roller
05-12-15
103
#375
Originally posted by hagball52
2015Allidoiswin89's UNDER/OVER system
Official 05/13 CLE under (D) WIN
05/13 WAS under (D) LOSS
05/14 WAS under (A)
05/14 ARI under (A) I probably won't get this page updated until Sunday. I've gotta go back and look up all the odds on the series losses to figure the correct unit amounts.
P.S. I've been tracking the Demo plays and there's nothing pending.
Ari is playing tomorrow 5/15. Thanks for tracking!
Comment
hagball52
SBR MVP
09-22-10
3053
#376
Originally posted by bravoman81
Ari is playing tomorrow 5/15. Thanks for tracking!
Thanks. Fixed. Still trying to get back into my routine after that trip.
Comment
ok15533
SBR High Roller
12-14-09
220
#377
We should pay attention to the statistics; Current stats has hitters doing way better than pitchers. There are more consecutive over than under, that is why we have had more under plays since season started and only one over. That may play a roll in filters. Just saying.
Comment
allidoiswin89
SBR Wise Guy
03-22-11
915
#378
Originally posted by ok15533
We should pay attention to the statistics; Current stats has hitters doing way better than pitchers. There are more consecutive over than under, that is why we have had more under plays since season started and only one over. That may play a roll in filters. Just saying.
Agreed with the trend of runs...maybe there is HGH in the air
With such a long season the hope is this trend will regress to the mean
Comment
hagball52
SBR MVP
09-22-10
3053
#379
Originally posted by allidoiswin89
Agreed with the trend of runs...maybe there is HGH in the air
With such a long season the hope is this trend will regress to the mean
Generally it does. It's a long season with ebbs and flows.
Comment
hagball52
SBR MVP
09-22-10
3053
#380
MLB Sweep System
2015 Official season series record 5-0 (A) 3-2
(B) 1-1
(C) 1-0
(D) 0-0
Unofficial series 8-0
(A) 5-4
(B) 2-1
(C) 1-0
(D) 0-0
Upcoming plays 05/18 Oakland @ Houston 05/22 Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota 06/08 Milwaukee @ Pittsburgh 06/08 Arizona @ LA Dodgers
Notes: Nice win with the Rockies.
The rules are in post #15 and the filters in post #28. Records for the past 3 years can be found in posts #17, #18 & #19. This season we will only be playing the official and unofficial plays according to the rpi rankings at ESPN.
Comment
hagball52
SBR MVP
09-22-10
3053
#381
Here's where we are today.
2015 MLB Sweep System Upcoming Plays
04/13 MIA @ ATL win (A) U r/l (won m/l 04/14 (B) level)
04/23 CHW v KAN cancelled (rain) (A) bet loss -1.5 units
04/24 CLE @ DET win (A) U r/l/m/l
04/24 SFO @ COL win (B) O 04/25 r/l/m/l
04/27 MIN v DET win (A) U r/l (won m/l 04/28 (B) level)
04/27 MIA v NYM win (B) U 04/28 m/l
04/27 TAM @ NYY win (C) U 04/29 r/l/m/l
04/27 LAD v SFO win (A) O m/l
05/04 WAS v MIA win (A) O m/l
05/05 PIT v CIN win (A) O 05/05 m/l
05/08 PHI v NYM win (A) U r/l/m/l
05/08 COL v LAD cancelled (inc. game and rain)
05/08 PIT v STL win (B) U 05/09 m/l
05/11 BAL v TOR win (A) O m/l
05/14 COL @ LAD win (A) U r/l/m/l
05/18 OAK @ HOU
05/22 CHW v MIN
06/08 MIL @ PIT
06/08 ARI @ LAD
06/12 ATL @ NYM
06/12 SEA @ HOU
06/19 MIL @ COL
06/22 TOR @ TAM
06/23 ATL @ WAS
06/30 NYM v CHC
07/02 OAK v SEA
07/10 BOS v NYY
07/17 COL @ SDG
07/17 HOU v TEX
07/27 CIN @ STL
08/07 TEX @ SEA
08/13 LAA @ KAN
08/17 ARI @ PIT
Comment
hagball52
SBR MVP
09-22-10
3053
#382
2015Allidoiswin89's UNDER/OVER system
Official season series record: 7-2 Units w/l -25.95 (05/08 CLE -16.55, 05/13 WAS -16.40)
Unofficial season series record: 21-0 Units w/l +22.20
Last Play(s) results:
Official 05/14 WAS under (A) LOSS (+100)
Official Plays
(A) 5-5
(B) 1-3
(C) 0-3
(D) 1-2
Unofficial Plays
(A) 13-9
(B) 4-5
(C) 2-3
(D) 3-0
Next Play(s): Official 05/15 WAS under (B) 05/15 ARI under (A)
NOTES: We have 3 possible plays going today. This should be where we are at with this system. Those 2 early (D) bet losses don't bode well for the season but hopefully it will go on a bit of a streak.
***** Juice will be posted on the following day based on closing line. The KEY number to follow is the total. Covers.com will be used for closing lines.
Rules of the system can be found on post #14. However, the official season will end July 31 and not August 31.
Disclaimer Notice: Play at your own risk.
Comment
rkelly110
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
10-05-09
39410
#383
Shit, now I have to do a B bet on LAD. Doing a reverse Tony on the unofficial bets.
Comment
bravoman81
SBR High Roller
05-12-15
103
#384
sweat this nats undahhhh
Comment
hagball52
SBR MVP
09-22-10
3053
#385
2015Allidoiswin89's UNDER/OVER system
Official season series record: 8-2 Units w/l -24.95 (05/08 CLE -16.55, 05/13 WAS -16.40)
Unofficial season series record: 21-0 Units w/l +22.20
Last Play(s) results: Official 05/15 WAS under (B) LOSS (-120) 05/15 ARI under (A) WIN (-113)
Official Plays
(A) 6-5
(B) 1-4
(C) 0-3
(D) 1-2
Unofficial Plays
(A) 13-9
(B) 4-5
(C) 2-3
(D) 3-0
Next Play(s): Official 05/16 WAS under (C) 05/16 BOS over (A)
NOTES: We have 5 possible plays going today.
***** Juice will be posted on the following day based on closing line. The KEY number to follow is the total. Covers.com will be used for closing lines.
Rules of the system can be found on post #14. However, the official season will end July 31 and not August 31.