MLB Totals Unders and runline System Test

[dejong77]

its that i kinda stopped with runlines. But else i would have problably played a's -1,5. But problably not as it wouldn't even have been at even money. look at that moneyline -285.

Well maybe the game settles in. Wouldn't be the first game to go scoreless aftera big inning early.

[alamo]

Looks like a good day

[RollinDo]

A real shame that Weaver was scratched.
Was all over the Under in that as my top play.
Not gonna bet an Under on a pitcher I've never heard of who had a lifetime ERA of 11.00 vs Seattle.

[dejong77]

Looks like a good day

Talk about a good day. Yessss 4-1. almost perfect. sbr sportsbook at 1165 now.

[dejong77]

A real shame that Weaver was scratched.
Was all over the Under in that as my top play.
Not gonna bet an Under on a pitcher I've never heard of who had a lifetime ERA of 11.00 vs Seattle.

Shame that i missed that. Hit the under but bet was a push offcourse.

[dejong77]

Lets see what we gonna play today. System got 8 normal plays and taking 3 half plays.

19:05 Brewers-Pirates U 7,5 +102
19:05 Nationals-Marlins U 7,5 (SBR sportsbook still at 7. at that line its a no play for me but my real money book moved up to 7,5) Trends take the game over but still think it might go under.
19:35 Mets-Braves U 6,5 -110
20:10 Diamondbacks-Rockies U 10,5 -110
20:15 Reds-Cardinals U 7,5 -110
22:10 Giants-Padres U 6,5 +104
20:10 Indians-Twins U 8 +102
22:05 Rangers-Angels U 8,5 -110

half play:
19:05 Red Sox-Orioles U 8 -115
19:10 White Sox-Rays U 7 -120
20:10 Tigers-Royals U 7,5 -110

[RollinDo]

Those look pretty good for tonight.
Just keep in mind it's Friday...The bats usually come alive.
Seems there are always some good pitching match-ups on Friday night though.

I am going to play:

SF - SD (U 7) -139
AtL-Ny Mets (U 6.5) -115
Sea-Hou (U 8) +105

No Score 1st in Wash - Mia (-140)

BoSox TT (U 3.5) -125

[dejong77]

A little late today but will start with

13:05 Dodgers-Cubs U 10,5 -110

Other 1pm start i will skip.

[dejong77]

Looking at my SBR sportsbook despite taking on a lot of action yesterday. Made a profit of about a unit. Stands at 1176 now.

[dejong77]

looked at the 4pm starts.

taking action on only 1 of the 3 games.

16:05 Blue Jays-Yankees U 8 -110

[dejong77]

think i can grade that first one as a lose. allready 6 runs and we aren't even past the 3rd yet.

[RollinDo]

Like the Blue Jays Under

[dejong77]

19:05 Brewers-Pirates U 7,5 -110
19:10 Nationals-Marlins (half play) U 6,5 +110
19:10 Mets-Braves U 7 -115 (half play)
20:40 Giants-Padres U 6 -105
19:05 Red Sox-Orioles U 8 -115 (half play)
19:10 White Sox-Rays U 7,5 -115
19:10 Mariners-Astros 7,5 100
19:10 Rangers-Angels U 7,5 -110 (half play)

[dejong77]

13:05 Blue Jays-Yankees U 7,5 -125

[dejong77]

13:35 Mets-Braves U 6,5 +102
13:35 Brewers-Pirates U 8 +102 (half play)
13:35 Red Sox-Orioles U 8,5 -115

[dejong77]

13:40 White Sox-Rays U 7,5 -110 (half play)

[dejong77]

14:10 Indians-Twins U 7,5 +100
14:10 Mariners-Astros U 7,5 -110
14:10 Tigers-Royals U 8 -110
15:35 Rangers-Angels U 8,5 -120

[dejong77]

16:10 Diamondbacks-Rockies U 10,5 -115
16:05 Phillies-Athletics U 7,5 -115
16:05 Giants-Padres U 7 -115 (half play)

[vinnie]

It seems like you have about 10 to 12 Under plays every single day...do you expect making money doing this???

[dejong77]

It seems like you have about 10 to 12 Under plays every single day...do you expect making money doing this???

Its still a test. So at this time its more about gathering data at this moment. And because i am in the plus i am taking chances on more games. and more games is also good als relevent sample size.

For example the half plays are based on some filters being left out but would normally not be in the sample size. Also taking on more plays in my normal plays.

In the offseason am going to review the data and see

[dejong77]

Not a very good day on sunday. lost 3,5 units. Saturday there was a minimal loss of 0,1 unit. overall sbr sportsbook stands at 1138. Going into the last week with 13 units profit left.

[dejong77]

lines aren't really in my favour today.

White Sox-Tigers U 9 -105

[dejong77]

The solo play last night won adding 0,8 unit.

Playing the following plays.

19:10 Pirates-Braves U 6,5 -115
19:10 Brewers-Reds U 6,5 -125
19:10 Phillies-Marlins U 6,5 -110
20:10 Cardinals-Cubs U 7,5 -110
22:10 Rockies-Padres U 6,5 -115
19:10 Rays-Red Sox U 7,5 -110
22:05 Angels-Athletics U 7,5
20:10 Diamondbacks-Twins U 8 +100

[dejong77]

Was a good night last night. 30 bet credits profit. sbr sportsbook stands at 1174.

Unfortunatly i missed the 3 1pm games where i did like 2 games. But one is over allready so would be 1-1.

one afternoon game left. And playing the Under.
15:35 Angels-Athletics U 7,5 -105

[dejong77]

evening games
19:10 Brewers-Reds U 7,5
20:05 Astros-Rangers U 8,5

[alamo]

Solid on the two evening games

[dejong77]

0,6 unit profit yesterday.

i was planning to start the day with brewers-reds U 7,5. But because of a meeting at my work missed this one. Good that i missed it. just going over.

starting with:
16:10 Phillies-Marlins U 7,5

[dejong77]

rest of the games:
19:05 Yankees-Orioles U 7,5
19:10 Rays-Red Sox U 8,5
22:10 Padres-Giants U 6,5

[RollinDo]

This just wasn't meant to be an Under day.
Unless No more runs scored in SF, I'll go 0-5 for 1st time in a couple months.

[dejong77]

This just wasn't meant to be an Under day.
Unless No more runs scored in SF, I'll go 0-5 for 1st time in a couple months.

wow. i did have loosing days during this test. but 0-4 thats new for this system. But i guess thats the risk in the last week of regular season.

but okay still 1143 left at sbr sportsbook. Taking 6 plays tonight.

19:05 Braves-Phillies U 7,5 -115
21:40 Cardinals-Diamondbacks U 8 +100
22:15 Padres-Giants U 6,5 -105
19:05 Rays-Indians U 6,5 -105
19:10 Yankees-Red Sox U 8,5 -120
19:10 Astros-Mets U 7,5 +110

[RollinDo]

Got Braves - Phils (U 8) as my main Under.
Threw a little on Under 8 in Toronto.
May go Under in Arizona too.

[dejong77]

Got Braves - Phils (U 8) as my main Under.
Threw a little on Under 8 in Toronto.
May go Under in Arizona too.

1-1 and if you did dbacks 1-2

If i got the scores right in my head then went 4-2 for about +1,5 unit. erases some of the 4 unit loss from yesterday. 4-6 in 2 days looks better then 0-4 in one day.

[dejong77]

lol my real money book is higher then expected because i made the wrong bet. Wanted to do Cards-Dbacks U8 +100. but i clicked on Royals-white sox U8 +100

[RollinDo]

1-1 and if you did dbacks 1-2

If i got the scores right in my head then went 4-2 for about +1,5 unit. erases some of the 4 unit loss from yesterday. 4-6 in 2 days looks better then 0-4 in one day.

Yeah.
Just not getting Unders right in last month...frustrating after hitting 60% over 3 months...about 35% last 4 weeks.
You are still going strong.
Keep it up!

Sat. I like...
Yanks - BoSox (U 7.5)
Pirates - Reds (U 7)
A's - Rangers (U 6.5)
D'backs TT (U 3.5)

[dejong77]

starting with
pirates-Reds U 6,5
Yankees-red sox U 7,5