MLB Totals Unders and runline System Test

[dejong77]

Maybe if i win Pirates-Cubs Under, i will play 3-4 runlines

Athletic -1,5
Angels -1,5
Tigers -1,5
White Sox -1,5

lucky the pirates-Cubs was canceled and will be played today. this would have gone 0-4.

Just wasn't my friday on unders eithers. Went 2-5-1. The 26,28 bet credits won past 2 days where given back again. Still 62,76 betcredit profit remaining.

Phillies-Nationals U 7,5 -105 Loss
Braves-Marlins U 7,5 -105 Loss
Mets-Reds U 7,5 -115 Loss
Royals-Yankees U 7,5 -115 Won
Astros-Athletics U 7,5 -115 Won
Blue Jays-Red Sox U 9,5 -105 Loss
Giants-Tigers U 8,5 +100 Loss

2-5 -3,28

Fck me. Every one of them goes over bar the yanks.

Weird thing is. The games you didn't play all went under.

Sometimes things just don't go your way. .

Could be a complete washout. Bar the Yankees , every other game close to over already.

lucky Astros kept it at 7. Maybe shame that the cubs game didn't finish. Maybe it would stayed under.

[dejong77]

I am not picking anything on the 2 1pm games. Also no pick for the Remainder of the pirates-Cubs game that resumes at 3pm et.

Will review the 4pm games later.

[dejong77]

Well good news is that i went 5-1 with the 12pm college football kickoff.

Lets see if we can start that way with the 4pm baseball games.

Unders:
Phillies-Nationals U8 108
Royals-Yankees U 7,5 -105
Astros-Athletics U 7,5 100

Runline
Pirates -1,5 100 (5 bet credits)
Athletics -1,5 100 (5 bet credits)


i liked Pirates-Cubs U7,5 and Mets-Reds U 7 too. but skipped them because they don't fit all the filters.

also royals +111 ML against yankees i like but not playing.

[dejong77]

Only adding one game Angels-Twins U 8,5 -105

[RollinDo]

Only adding one game Angels-Twins U 8,5 -105

Yeah. I had that one too, along with Yanks Under...that one got screwed because of Duffy only making 1 pitch and then the other pitcher replacing him who got slammed early.
0-3 on Unders, but 3-0 in No Score 1st Inning...I used to hate these 1st Inning bets but had to switch it up, seeing so many games start slow then the Over hitting.

[dejong77]

Both totals and runline was a split decision. overall lost 1 or 2 bet credits. Would have made a profit, if i would have bet the 2 other games i liked.

[dejong77]

The early games don't fit all criteria. Thats why i am playing them half with 5 betcredits.

runline:
1:05 Indians -1,5 100 (5 betcredits)

Unders
1:05 White Sox-Indians U8 -115 (5 bet credits)
1:05 Royals-Yankees U7,5 -110 (5 bet credits)
1:10 Braves-Marlins U 7 105 ( 5 bet credits)
1:10 Mets-Reds U7 -115 (5 bet credits)
1:35 Blue Jays-Red Sox U9 -125 ( 5 bet credits)
1:35 Orioles-Rays U 7,5 -125
2:10 Cardinals-Brewers U 7,5 100
2:20 Pirates-Cubs U 7,5 -105
Underdog:
1:35 Phillies + 136 (5 bet credits)

[dejong77]

adding:
Unders:
Mariners-Rangers U 8,5 -110
Padres-Rockies U 9,5 -115
Astros-Athletics U 7,5 -105
Giants-Tigers U 8,5 -115

Underdog
rockies +120 (5 bet credits)

runline
dodgers -1,5 100 (5 bet credits)

[dejong77]

A nice end of the sunday.

adding:
Unders:
Mariners-Rangers U 8,5 -110 W 0,91
Padres-Rockies U 9,5 -115 W 0,86
Astros-Athletics U 7,5 -105 W 0,95
Giants-Tigers U 8,5 -115 W 0,86

4-0 3,58

Underdog
rockies +120 (5 bet credits) W 0,60

1-0 0,60



runline
dodgers -1,5 100 (5 bet credits)

[dejong77]

The early games don't fit all criteria. Thats why i am playing them half with 5 betcredits.

runline:
1:05 Indians -1,5 100 (5 betcredits) W 0,50

Unders
1:05 White Sox-Indians U8 -115 (5 bet credits) W 0,43
1:05 Royals-Yankees U7,5 -110 (5 bet credits) W 0,45
1:10 Braves-Marlins U 7 105 ( 5 bet credits) W 0,52
1:10 Mets-Reds U7 -115 (5 bet credits) W 0,43
1:35 Blue Jays-Red Sox U9 -125 ( 5 bet credits) W 0,40
1:35 Orioles-Rays U 7,5 -125 L -1,00
2:10 Cardinals-Brewers U 7,5 100 L -1,00
2:20 Pirates-Cubs U 7,5 -105 L 1,00
Underdog:
1:35 Phillies + 136 (5 bet credits) L -0,50

The half bets went 5-0. And the normal ones went 0-3.

overall gained 34,30 betcredits on my sbr sportsbook. getting back the loss from friday. right now having 9,5 unit profit since i started.

[dejong77]

Unders:
Pirates-Phillies U 8,5 -105
Astros-Mariners U 6,5 -105
Cubs-Blue Jays U 8,5 -115
Cardinals-Reds U 8 -115 (5 bet credits)
Rockies-Mets U7 -115 (5 bet credits)
Orioles-Red Sox -115 (5 bet credits)
Underdog:
Rockies +138 (5 bet credits)

[alamo]

Solid day

[dejong77]

Yesterday was a good day again.

System went 2-1 for 0,8 unit profit

The plays i wasn't sure about went 3-0 for an additional 1,26 unit profit

underdog didn't cover. Lost 0,5 unit there.

total profit for the day was 17,85 bet credits. Moving the balance to 1.113 bet credits. So 11 units profit so far.





Pirates-Phillies U 8,5 -105 L -1
Astros-Mariners U 6,5 -105 W 0,95
Cubs-Blue Jays U 8,5 -115 W 0,85
Cardinals-Reds U 8 -115 (5 bet credits) W 0,42
Rockies-Mets U7 -115 (5 bet credits) W 0,42
Orioles-Red Sox -115 (5 bet credits) W 0,42
Underdog:
Rockies +138 (5 bet credits) L 0,50

[dejong77]

09/09

unfortunatly there are a few games i like today but the lines are to low for the system. Only 2 games fit the system right now:

Royals-Tigers U 7,5 -105
Angels-Rangers U 9,5 -115

Underdog:
Red Sox +125

There are a few half plays i am looking at but i hope the lines move up a half run.
Cardinals-Reds U7 +100
Rockies-Mets U7 -105
Rays-Yankees U7 +100
Orioles-Red Sox -102
Astros-Mariners U7 -115
Cubs-Jays U8 -110

[dejong77]

adding Twins-Indians U 8,5 -110 to the card

[alamo]

What are you playing on "Orioles-Red Sox -102" ?

[dejong77]

Adding Athletics-White Sox U 8,5 -110

system plays:
Royals-Tigers U 7,5 -105
Angels-Rangers U 9,5 -115
Twins-Indians U 8,5 -110
Athletics-White Sox U 8,5 -110

Half plays (use 5 bet credits)
Cardinals-Reds U7 +100
Rockies-Mets U7 -105
Rays-Yankees U7 +100
Orioles-Red Sox U9 -102
Astros-Mariners U7 -115
Cubs-Jays U8 -110

Underdog:
Red Sox +125

[dejong77]

What are you playing on "Orioles-Red Sox -102" ?

5 bet credits. half normal bet size. Check the line. Took it U9 -115 at the Greek. 8,5 should be at even odds.

[dejong77]

Looking at the sportsbook made a small profit yesterday. Any profit i am happy with.

1:35 Orioles-Red Sox is the early afternoon game today. doing 2 half plays on this game.
Under
U 8,5 -115 (5 bet credits)
underdog
Red Sox +125 (5 bet credits)

Will update yesterday with results later and analyse the rest of todays games

[dejong77]

results 09-09-2014
system plays:
Royals-Tigers U 7,5 -105 (6) W 0,95
Angels-Rangers U 9,5 -115 (12) L -1
Twins-Indians U 8,5 -110 (7) 0,91
Athletics-White Sox U 8,5 -110 (13) -1

2-2 -0,14 unit
Half plays (use 5 bet credits)
Cardinals-Reds U7 +100 (14) L -1
Rockies-Mets U7 -105 (2) W 0,95
Rays-Yankees U7 +100 (7) P 0
Orioles-Red Sox U9 -102 (5) W 0,98
Astros-Mariners U7 -115 (3) W 0,86
Cubs-Jays U8 -110 (11) L -1

3-2-1 + 0,39 unit
Underdog:
Red Sox +125 - 0,50

overall it was a loss of 3 bet credits. But i am 7 bet credits in the plus because i forgot to bet the athletics-White Sox games.

[dejong77]

Not a very good start of the day losing 10 bet credits. Playing on 4 games tonight

Cardinals-Reds U 8 -110
Royals-Tigers U 8,5 -105
Angels-Rangers U 9,5 -115
Athletic-White Sox U 8,5 -105

Also have 3 games that i put half money on:
Cubs-Jays U 8 -110
Rays-Yankees U7,5 -115
Rockies-Mets U7

[dejong77]

Will update yesterday with results later.

The day starts with 2 games i expect to go under.
12:35 Cardinals-Reds U7
12:05 Twins-Indians G1 U7

Both i play half with 5 betcredits

[dejong77]

A good day yesterday depite the 0-2 start in the afternoon. The 4 regular plays went 4-0 and the half plays went 1-2. actually 1-4 with the two picks on the orioles-Red Sox game. SBR sportsbook went up 12,89 bet credits. Stands at 1133 now.

Cardinals-Reds U 8 -110 (6) W 0,91
Royals-Tigers U 8,5 -105 (3) W 0,95
Angels-Rangers U 9,5 -115 (9) W 0,86
Athletic-White Sox U 8,5 -105 (3) 0,95

4-0 + 3,67 unit

Also have 3 games that i put half money on:
Cubs-Jays U 8 -110 (12) L - 0,50
Rays-Yankees U7,5 -115 (13) L -0,50
Rockies-Mets U7 -115 (2) W 0,43

2-1 - 0,57

3,67
-1,00
-0,57
------
2,10 unit profit

[dejong77]

12:35 Cardinals-Reds U7 W 0,38
12:05 Twins-Indians G1 U7 L -0,50

started the day with 1-1 - 0,15

Going with U8 on G2 Twins-Indians starting at 5 bet credits

[vinnie]

one hell of a UNDER system u got there Dejong...very nice...

[alamo]

What are the evening plays dude ?

[dejong77]

one hell of a UNDER system u got there Dejong...very nice...

Thanks. Now i am only wondering if i am lucky that its end of season.

[dejong77]

What are the evening plays dude ?

I am going for action on all 3 7pm starts. one normal play and 2 half plays.

Pirates-Phillies U 7,5 -115 (10 bet credits)
Nationals-Mets U 7 -115 (5 bet credits)
Rays-Yankees U7 -105 (5 bet credits)

i will look at the 8pm starts when i get home.

But i think i add Red Sox-Royals as normal play. Marlins-Brewers looks like a pass. Angels-Rangers is a maybe.

[dejong77]

Due to a problem at work i just got home. So didn't have time to review the 8pm games. I wont count them in todays results.

Just on paper would have been:
Red Sox-Royals U 7,5 (10 bet credits) (6)
Angels-Rangers U9 (5 betcredits) (6)

Still under de total at 2/3 of the game.

the 7pm games phillies-Mets was a winner but both half plays where losers. So going -0,14 credits there. But because went 2-1 in the afternoon with 0,86 profit. Day will overall finish in the plus again.

[dejong77]

Both 8pm games finished ovrt the total. Would have been a losing day.

Going with a small play (5 betcredits) on the afternoon game.

Yankees--Orioles U8

[RollinDo]

Nice call on early game! I didn't like it, but nice job.
I thought McCarthy would get hit decently hard with below avg away numbers and O's getting day off yesterday...looked like a 5-3 kinda score to me.
The 3 Unders I'm going with tonight are in SF, Arizona, and Seattle.
No Score 1st in Texas

[dejong77]

SF looks like a good pick but i find it to close to call at 6,5. Will pass on that one.
Arizona is a strong pick. But some filters point the other way. Will play this half.
Same story for seattle.

[dejong77]

Unders:
Reds-Brewers U8 -105
Yankees-Orioles G2 U 8,5 -105
Astros-Angels U 8,5 +100

additional half plays:
Nationals-Mets U7 -120
Padres-Diamondbacks U8 -105
Athletics-Mariners U7 -115

[dejong77]

I should just stop picking a game with the angels going under. The full plays went 2-1 last night. So should made about 0,80 unit profit there. The half plays went 1-1-1 for as loss off 0,07. SBR Sportsbook stands at 1147 right now. So up 14 units.

Unders:
Reds-Brewers U8 -105 (5) W
Yankees-Orioles G2 U 8,5 -105 (5) W
Astros-Angels U 8,5 +100 (14) L

additional half plays:
Nationals-Mets U7 -120 (7) P
Padres-Diamondbacks U8 -105 (11) L
Athletics-Mariners U7 -115 (6) W

[RollinDo]

Anything for today man?
I have SF and Baltimore games going Under.
Also like Under in Seattle and perhaps in AZ.