RollinDo's Under Run Totals - 2014 Tracker

[RollinDo]

I see some really nice Team Unders for tonight...

D'backs (Under 3) at Pads vs Cashner
Blue Jays (Under 3.5) at Pirates vs Cole

Considering Under 8 in LA @ Miami
LA traveling after double - header vs Koehler who's been very good, especially at home. Beckett returning to original team where he won Series with Marlins. He has been solid so far too.

[RollinDo]

Leans for sides:

SF +1.5 (locked in at -165)

Parlay:
Seattle ML (-185)
Rockies +1.5 (-220)

[RollinDo]

Locked in...

If win...
1) D'backs (Under 3)
2) LA-Miami (Under 8.5)...Some people are saying they expect a lot of runs here, but I'm thinking around 7.
LA is likely wiped after long day yesterday and traveling overnight. 2 pitchers who have been steady in every outting.

[RollinDo]

No plays since Friday...trying to recover from those 7 late runs in LA-Miami game that would have been an easy 2-0.
Instead lost a tiny bit on that IF bet.

Today's leans:
D'backs (Under 3.5)
LA - Wash (Under 7)
KC - SD (Under 6.5)

These are not strong, but just leans as of now.
Garza can be shaky, and taking an Under with Greinke is a risk because they don't need a DH.

Sides: Milwaukee -1...I am 0-3 picking Brewers this year but 2-0 with games involving Unders with them.
Tigers -1.5 (never played RL before...I hesitate here because Detroit just off of a big series with KC and now have to get up for a game vs Astros on a Monday)

[RollinDo]

Part of gambling is betting that a player will break out of a funk and return to what he's capable of doing.
So I believe Garza is due for a solid start vs D'backs, who still struggle to score 3 runs in a game. Garza has had success vs AZ, and he comes up big usually when he feels he hasn't contributed for the team, and he is a team player. The Brewers need to build another string of wins and it starts with Garza tonight.
D'backs (Under 3.5)

Then there's another pitcher who has been as consistent as they come and thrives on the road (except at a couple parks).
Zack Greinke has yielded an ERA of around 1.60 in 3 starts away from home and has success vs Nats in career. I am going with Nats (Under 3) if price is -125 or better.

Finally, my strongest play for tonight is Under 6.5 runs for KC-SD.
Stultz is a solid pitcher at home and faces a Royals team who is near bottom vs lefties in runs per game and BA.
Both pitchers are unfamiliar to opposing teams. I don't expect either team to put up more than 3 runs.
Add to that both pens are solid. Padres just don't score a lot at home and games have hit the Under often so far this year.

[RollinDo]

Decided to just go with Nats (Under 3) and KC-SD (Under 6.5)

[RollinDo]

Well, a late 2 - run home run by Nats ruins the Nats Under.
0-2 last night.

Tonight I've got:

SEA - Oak (Under 7.5)
AZ - Mil (Under 7.5)
Cincy-Bos (No runs - 1st)

[RollinDo]

Current Unders Record:
31-28-6

Let's get back on track today!

D'backs (Under 3.5) -105
Great value tonight. Zim has been fantastic on the road and AZ struggles to produce runs at home.
Wash also sports best bullpen ERA.

Parlay: Montreal Habs +1 (reg.) / Orioles - Tigers (Under 10)
(+135 odds)

Angels - Jays (No runs-1st) -110
Both hurlers have given up 2 ER over a combined 14 innings (1st INN only). I expect a duel through first five innings or so.

Sides: SF Giants ML and Seattle -1

[RollinDo]

Thought I'd bump this back up a bit.
I had been ice cold, but win 3 of last 4 Unders though did not post so that people would not bet during my cold streak.

Current Under Record: 32-30-6

Tonight's Unders:
POD: Oakland - Cleveland (Under 7.5)
LA Dodgers - Arizona (Under 8.5)
Toronto Jays (Under 3.5)

Sides: Rockies ML, Giants ML

[farmhouse1]

Hey buddy, I was also really liking the under in the athletics/Indians game with grey and Mcallister on the mounds. Might play the under first five innings or no score 1st inning for that game. GL

[alamo]

That play of the day lasted 1inns

[RollinDo]

It was pathetic, yes.
I should stick to pitchers I know about. Know a lot about Sonny, but only heard about McCallister a few weeks ago.
The other Under (Dodgers - D'backs) I didn't play because another poster who was on fire posted Over as his POD.
Sometimes you gotta listen to your gut more.
Glad Darvish came through for me yet again.