RollinDo's Under Run Totals - 2014 Tracker

RollinDo · 03-31-14, 10:21 AM

Just to warn, I'm not putting $ on anything today...just tracking to see how I do for awhile.

RollinDo · 03-31-14, 03:14 PM

2-0-1 start to season.
Think I may play the SF-AZ Under tonight.

RollinDo · 04-02-14, 08:57 AM

3-2-1 after yesterday's AtL-Mil Under.
Today I may experiment with 1st INN prop of No Runs...yesterday not a good day for that (3-5), but opening day was $$.
With cooler temps today, hope it works out.

Games to consider:
Wash - NY
Col - Mia (no runs in 2 games)
StL - Cincy
KC-Detroit
Minn - Sox
LA - SD

Unders:
StL - Cincy (U 7.5)
Minny-Sox (U 8)
Wash - NY (1st 5 - U 3.5)

44 Mag · 04-02-14, 09:00 AM

You sound like a guy that doesn't want anybody to score any runs. LOL

RollinDo · 04-02-14, 09:21 AM

I sure don't!
Sounds like you know me too well Mag.

JonEJet · 04-02-14, 09:26 AM

I'll follow....shouldn't have stopped your hockey thread

RollinDo · 04-02-14, 09:54 AM

Yeah I know man. I just didn't have time to post regularly...plus, I tailed off a bit. Won both my mlb and nhl under last night.
I did well with mlb Unders last year, and just like nhl, wish I had played all games that I posted on sbr. I would imagine I hit a shade below 65% of all leans I have.

RollinDo · 04-02-14, 10:01 AM

Here are the plays:

IF bet: No runs (1st INN)
1) NY-Hou
2) StL - Cincy
3) KC-Det
--------
Straight play:
Minn - Chi (1st INN)
Col - Miami (1st INN)

Unders (will not actually make wager...just tracking)
Wash - NY Mets (U 3.5 1st 5)
StL - Cincy (U 7.5)

RollinDo · 04-02-14, 01:15 PM

I didn't get the Twins - Sox (1st INN) in time.
Had to take Under 8.
Hope it works in my favor.

RollinDo · 04-02-14, 01:34 PM

How does 5Dimes have the total but not the 1st inning prop for that game??? I looked for it 10 minutes before 1st pitch!

RollinDo · 04-02-14, 01:54 PM

Really pissed now.
Oh well...gotta move on.
Should be 2-0 though.

RollinDo · 04-04-14, 09:44 AM

Season record: 4-2-3

Today to consider:

Philly - Chi (No runs 1st)
Lee hardly ever gives up runs in 1st
Ny Yanks - Tor (No runs 1st)
Tanaka making mlb debut and Yanks not too familiar with McGowan
Cincy - Mets (Under 7)
StL - Pitt (Under 7.5)
Under in Pitt is almost auto - play

RollinDo · 04-04-14, 09:48 AM

Also like Detroit -1, LA Dodgers ML, and Houston +1

44 Mag · 04-04-14, 09:59 AM

Originally posted by RollinDo

Also like Detroit -1, LA Dodgers ML, and Houston +1

Hey pal, you tell me to take the Red Sox over 4.5, but you don't ???? Some financial advisor you are . LOL

RollinDo · 04-04-14, 10:14 AM

Like I said, no Overs for me. I will go 0-20 with Heat before I Play an Over...

RollinDo · 04-09-14, 09:10 AM

Haven't been doing well keeping my plays on this thread...will try harder...

Current 2014 Under record: 8-5-4

Today's leans:
Ny Mets - ATL (Under 7) *** POD
TB - KC (Under 8)
LA Angels - Seattle (Under 4.5 -1st 5)

robbeduagain · 04-09-14, 09:14 AM

Originally posted by RollinDo

Haven't been doing well keeping my plays on this thread...will try harder...

Current 2014 Under record: 8-5-4

Today's leans:
Ny Mets - ATL (Under 7) *** POD
TB - KC (Under 8)
LA Angels - Seattle (Under 4.5 -1st 5)

What parameters do use to come up with your plays? I kn ow Wheeler is good, but the over is 5-2 in his last 7 starts. Just curious, because you seem to do really well with under totals.

RollinDo · 04-09-14, 09:16 AM

Team picks:
StL (ML) Miller time
KC +1
Wash -1

RollinDo · 04-09-14, 09:23 AM

Originally posted by robbeduagain

What parameters do use to come up with your plays? I kn ow Wheeler is good, but the over is 5-2 in his last 7 starts. Just curious, because you seem to do really well with under totals.

I don't even look at that much to be honest.
I see 2 really strong starting pitchers, 2 struggling offenses.
Then I dig deeper to find pitchers' history facing the opposing team...and since the hitter's are not that familiar with the pitchers, that usually helps the Under. For the Rays - KC game, the series has seem low - scoring games, and I expect that trend to continue, though just a lean.
For last game, Richards has been tough so far and the starter for M's will be a new face to Angels...and they don't hit lefties that well...last night for example.
Angels pen is shaky, so 1st 5 is better option. Check out Leetreaper ' s thread...that dude knows his stuff. You may want to ask him too, as he has been capping for 10 years and me just 13 months.

RollinDo · 04-09-14, 09:29 AM

Also look at how pitchers who have been around for a few seasons have done in the current month...Also check out mlb.com to see how teams' bullpens were last year and in early going this year...Innings 7-9.

As far as I know, the best bullpens are:
KC
TB
TOR
CLEV
ATL
MIL
PITT
LA Dodgers

robbeduagain · 04-09-14, 09:46 AM

Thanks for the info. Didn't know about the bullpen breakdowns. I need to start including that in my handicapping. I've just kinda gone off my own memory, which isn't so good.

RollinDo · 04-09-14, 10:49 AM

Passing on the KC - TB Under, but still like the other 2.

Probably just tracking plays today, but not betting. Usually my over - confidence after consecutive winning days in a row gets me in trouble.

RollinDo · 04-10-14, 09:12 AM

Yesterday: 1-0-1

YTD Unders record: 9-5-5

Today's leans: Mil - Philly (Under 4 - 1st 5) OR
No runs - 1st inning (-140 odds I imagine)

Nhl: Col- Van (Under 5.5) -125

JonEJet · 04-10-14, 09:14 AM

Originally posted by RollinDo

Nhl: Col- Van (Under 5.5) -125

Now we're talking

RollinDo · 04-10-14, 09:24 AM

Dude. I was in a little rut in nhl Unders and then my attention was turned to college hoops.
I lost 5 of 6 Unders and then won my last 2.
On season 37-23.
Hoping to close to 65% season record with win tonight.

farmhouse1 · 04-10-14, 10:29 AM

That's an interesting total. The phillies/brewers game with lee. & Estrada pitching

RollinDo · 04-10-14, 10:43 AM

Originally posted by farmhouse1

That's an interesting total. The phillies/brewers game with lee. & Estrada pitching

What do you mean by interesting?
I bumped it up to 4 runs for a little cushion.
Brewers have not done as well vs lefties and Phillies have a .247 BA vs. righties. Estrada looked great in 1st start and Cliff Lee is Cliff Lee.

RollinDo · 04-10-14, 03:46 PM

Plays for tonight are:

1) Mil - Philly (Under 4 - 1st 5)
.5 units to win .4 units
2) ATL - NY Mets (Hit 8 runs)
.5 units to win .75 units
3) Parlay: ATL (+1.5) / Colorado Avs +1
1 unit to win 1.05 units

If ATL hits, will likely play Under 5.5 in Avs game.

RollinDo · 04-10-14, 10:29 PM

Pathetic...looking back at my leans before much research, would have gone 2-0...really need to stick to my bread & butter.
If Avs game stays Under, will finish nhl at 38-23...but I only played about 3/4 of what I posted.
Next season, will try to reap more from these.

MLB Under record: 10-6-5

JonEJet · 04-10-14, 10:40 PM

NHL looking good

RollinDo · 04-10-14, 11:11 PM

What do you mean nhl looking good. My record?

RollinDo · 04-10-14, 11:57 PM

Thank the Good Lord that Avs-Couver game went just over 5.5!
Was gonna play that after the Braves messed up my 2-team parlay...still can't believe they couldn't score even 1 run that I needed after 4th inning against the Mets. Woulda been a nice profit today had they come within 1 run.

RollinDo · 04-12-14, 12:54 AM

Sorry. ..my Under plays were on a different thread on Friday. ..went 2-1
Winners: TB-Cincy (Under 7) 2-0 final
Hou-TX (Under 4.5 1st 5) 0-0 after 5

Loss: Miami - Philly (Under 3.5 1st 5) 3-2 after 5

YTD record: 12-7-5

Leans for Sat.:
TB-Cincy (Under 7.5)
CLE - CHI (Under 4 - 1st 5)
Bos-NY (Under 8.5)
Hou-TX (Under 5 -1st 5)
Pitt (Under 4 runs)

RollinDo · 04-12-14, 09:17 PM

I only played 3 today from last post...sorry I couldn't update to tell what I was going with.
Having 2 young sons makes it tough to take as much time with sports betting on weekends.
1) BoSox - NY Yanks (Under 8.5) Loss
2) TB-Cincy (Under 8) Win
3) Pirates (Under 3.5 runs) Win

2-1 on Unders on the day
YTD total: 14-8-5