Reason why I seem to break even in nhl and mlb is betting on teams to win. I hit about 40% on picking winners, while my Unders probably better than 60% overall.
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Under leans for Monday:
TB @ Baltimore (U 8)
2 strong pens and 2 starters with success vs opposing teams.
Chen has been shaky, but was solid at home last year.
Key guys for Orioles not good vs Archer, and he has pitched well so far, while O's bats have been cold.
SEA - TX (Under 9)
Two pitchers whom opposing bats haven't seen much. Elias has been solid thus far and faces a Texas offense struggling to score. They do hit lefties decent, but the stats are from 2 games in which they pounded the left - handed starter.
Bottom line is these teams haven't been scoring much and with cool temps tonight, looking for a 4-3 type game.Comment -
Be careful with the Texas under. Winds are blowing straight out and are expected stay that way with speeds up to 20 mph. good luck...Comment -
Thanks for that info man. I heard that in both games I mentioned, the wind is a factor that may be at a disadvantage for the Under.Comment -
Good shit seems like you found your strength and have been attacking. Love it.Comment -
Thanks bro. Will let you know if I really feel strongly about an Under...tonight just leans...a little hesitant with wind conditions, which is not a factor in nhl Unders.Comment -
Tonight: 2-0
Lucked out a bit with the Rays-O's...Archer didn't have it at all, but both pens were fabulous as usual!
YTD Under Plays: 16-8-5
Freakin can't pick a winning team though, as Brewers lose tonight. Think I've lost 4 straight picking winners.
Gotta make money somehow and guess I'm destined to be an Under guy.Comment -
Leans for Tuesday:
Unders
TB-BALT (U 8.5)...I'll take it again with these 2 great bullpens and a very good pitcher at home.
Oak-LA Angels (U 4 -1st 5) Straily looking tough so far and so is Richards.
Houston (Under 4 runs) Good luck vs Ace Ventura
Sides:
Marlins +1.5Comment -
Not sure if I'll play anything tonight, but will still give my Under leans later.Comment -
Great job on these unders! You definitely have found something here.Comment -
To be honest, I would probably have nothing in my BR if I just played winners.
I hit over 60% on Unders between hockey and baseball and maybe 40% if I'm lucky on picking teams.
Have had success with teasers in college hoops too.Comment -
GL to you todayComment -
My POD for y'all (probably not playing tonight...don't feel prompted to wager tonight.
Feel stronger about this one though than 2 Unders that hit (barely) last night.
Houston (Under 3.5 runs)
1st time Stros will face Ace Ventura, who had great command his last time out vs Rays. A little unsure about how his 1st road start will go, but he is capable of putting lots of zeros on the scoreboard. Astros pile up the K's and Ventura is supposedly a strikeout pitcher. If he gets in a jam, Royals pen could close the deal and limit Houston to 3 or less for the game.
KC 5 Astros 2Comment -
Lots of Under possibilities on Wednesday...will be working on a few.Comment -
Plus the wind is blowing in, I like it! Good luck, Rollin!Comment -
Passed on my play for you guys tonight.
But nonetheless, Under strikes again!
YTD Under plays: 17-8-5
Tomorrow's strong leans:
Pitt @ Cincy (Under 7) or Pitt (Under 3.5)
ATL @Philly (Under 7.5)
Cliff Lee vs Atlanta is almost a guaranteed Under...and then we've got Teheran on the other side who is solid.
SEA - TX (Under 7) been eyeing this one since Sunday. Throwing out any stats that reflect that these guys struggle vs the respective opponents...These guys are for real and are at the top of their game...not to mention both offenses are struggling a whole lot right now.
Sea (Under 3)...at this point I don't care what history Darvish has vs a team...He is one of the best there is and can shut down any team.
Oak-LA Angels (Under 8.5 or no score in 1st)
LA - SF (Over)...yes folks an Over! These starters will be done by 5th inning.Comment -
Great call last night. Thanks! I like the Pirate under play today.Comment -
Thanks man. Now I wish I had played it....just took a break last night...hoping to dish out a winner though. Glad you won!
Also saw your Blue Jays picks won! I forgot the other bet you made.Comment -
I'll ride this heater.
9-3 in last 12 Unders I posted.
Gm 1: Pitt @ Cincy (U 7)
Cool day in Cincy. Reds struggle vs lefties. Cueto super at home...Liriano should hold Reds bats at bay and their pen can do the rest.
Gm 2: Wash Nats (Under 3)
Fernandez at home. Nuff said...well, if you need more, he has held Nats scoreless in 13 innings he's faced them. He will look to bounce back after a rough going in Philly. Only way to lose is if Jose gives up more than 3.
Gm 3: Seattle (Under 3)
My man Yu is on the bump...same deal here. He has looked sharp so far and vs a struggling M's offense, they may put up only 1.
SEA - TX (Under 7)
Well, Darvish's opposing pitcher is not too shabby himself. I think Texas is the team that has his number...I just think King Felix can overcome this and make it a pitcher's duel.
Maybe a 4-1 Rangers victory?
Gm 4: A's at Angels (Under 4.5 - 1st 5)
2 decent lefties going vs 2 teams that are not good hitting lefties. I just don't trust the Angels pen...maybe not even Athletics' pen after a long night last night.Comment -
Those are all sound plays. Thanks!Comment -
CuetttttttoComment -
Yeah buddy!
Hope Reds van hold on so we can both cash on this 1st game!
I will give you my strongest play of the night...and it's that SEA - TX game.
I usually do well if I stick to my guns.
I feel that Seattle (Under 3) is what I'm going with, along with the Under 7.
I just don't see how M's get 3+ runs against Darvy. And of they do, then oh well.
I didn't play the Under 3 last time with Yu and he blanked the Astros...not going to miss another chance at that....and I just think it will be a great pitcher's duel...maybe a 3-2 game, in which case worst I do is a 1-0-1...has potential for disaster too.
If I had a lot of $$$ in my BR, I'd also play the A's - Angels (Under 4.5 - 1st 5) and take my chances with my 1st Over for the mlb season LA - SF (Over 8).
We'll see how the night progresses.Comment -
Another hit with Pitt-Cincy.
YTD Under record: 18-8-5
Going for Seattle (Under 3)...probably also SEA - TX (Under 7)Comment -
Great job roll. Keep it goingComment -
Man, this game tonight in Texas has me all twisted up.
I certainly don't want to bet all my winnings from last 3 Under hits On this. I just want to make 1 solid play. My gut is telling me Seattle (Under 3). I want to play Under 7 for the game too, but if I lose both, then I'll just about break even on my last 3 winnings. Probably worst that can happen is Seattle scores 4 vs Yu and that probably results in a push with the Under 7 anyways.
Gonna mull it over some more...Comment -
Just 1 play tonight...
Seattle (Under 3)
Maybe putting too much into King Felix and pitching poorly in Texas, but the numbers speak.
Meanwhile Darvish I will back and banking on him to at worst give up 3 tonight to an offense that is hitting .213 vs righties.Comment -
Woulda coulda kinda night.
Looks like I would have been 4-1 had I played everything I was leaning today.
Nonetheless...2-0 today and still streakin'
YTD Under record: 19-8-5
See ya tomorrow gents!Comment -
I like the under in the tigers/Indians, white sox/Red Sox, and brewers/pirates games tomorrow. Let me know what you think broComment -
The first 2 are the ones I've had my eye on. Yes sir! I like Detroit ML at 1st glance too after a loss at home with Verlander...hopefully he's not as shaky as last year during reg. season. Brewers play Pirates? If in Pittsburgh, I have been waiting to play an Under for them at home...Comment -
Also like the Under 5 (-125) in Minn - Colorado nhl game at 1st glance.Comment -
I would have lost the A's- Angels Under 4.5 last night. Glad I didn't make that an official play, nor did I go with the Over 8 in the Giants game...hope nobody tailed and waited for the official 2 plays I posted.Comment -
I definitely like the Sox-Sox Under...saw it didn't hit last night and had all the makings of an Under throughout...tough break.
19-8-5 in Under plays heading into Thursday. Let's keep it going!
I am exhausted though so not sure if I'll have much time to go over these today...maybe doesn't need much analysis though.Comment -
Yankees vs rays tomorrow with sabathia vs price. Price has owned yanks while sabathianhas a losing record vs raysComment
