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  • keel44
    SBR MVP
    • 08-01-09
    • 3363

    #141
    June 1

    D-backs
    vs Reds (-131)
    Pirates @ Dodgers (+160)
    Red Sox
    vs Rays (-160)
    Rangers @ Nationals (-114)


    Overall: 118-114-4 (+4.82 units)
    Comment
    • keel44
      SBR MVP
      • 08-01-09
      • 3363

      #142
      I am now going to give an update on all of the trends I was trying to catch given the proper parameters I posted in post #67

      These finished trends have profited me around 4 units:
      Brewers (5-0)
      Fade D-backs (7-3)
      "Follow the last result" O/U of Nationals (5-1)
      "Follow the last result" O/U of Tigers (7-3)
      "Follow the last result" O/U of Yankees (5-1)
      "Follow the last result" O/U of A's (7-3)
      Rockies (6-3)
      Mariners (3-0)
      Marlins (4-0)
      Astros (4-0)
      Red Sox (4-0)

      11 profitable trends..... check my spreadsheet for specific dates



      These trends had a drawdown of around 4 units each
      Fade Angels (10-14)
      Giants (6-9)
      Marlins (1-4)
      White Sox (0-4)
      Royals (5-8)
      D-backs (8-11)
      Orioles (3-7)
      Indians (1-5)
      Fade Red Sox (8-12)
      Fade Blue Jays (0-3)
      Fade Brewers (4-6)
      Fade Rangers (2-5)
      Fade Rays (5-7)

      13 losing trends....check my spreadsheet for specific dates

      2 current trends
      Pirates (3-3)
      Fade Nationals (2-2)
      Comment
      • jay89
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 08-04-13
        • 671

        #143
        very nice analysis and post- analysis. keep up the work, these trends look nice
        Comment
        • keel44
          SBR MVP
          • 08-01-09
          • 3363

          #144
          How can I be up almost 5 units with 2 more losing trends?

          1. I say a losing trend has a "drawdown" of 4 units that does not necessarily mean -4 units
          2. I don't double up my bet when opposing trends face each other. The rare times that happened, I lost. But it gets recorded twice as a loss.
          3. I am 31-18 on games -120 to -180. Those are the games I risk more. Thankfully I have won those at a good percentage.

          I am grinding out profits all revolving around 1 unit bets. Never chasing. A unit size could be 4% of a bankroll.
          Comment
          • keel44
            SBR MVP
            • 08-01-09
            • 3363

            #145
            June 2

            Twins/Brewers Over 8.5 (-110)
            Pirates @ Padres (+104)
            Comment
            • keel44
              SBR MVP
              • 08-01-09
              • 3363

              #146
              June 2

              Twins/Brewers Over 8.5 (-110)
              Pirates @ Padres (+104)

              Overall: 119-115-4 (+4.76 units)
              Comment
              • keel44
                SBR MVP
                • 08-01-09
                • 3363

                #147
                June 3

                Phillies @ Nationals (+170)
                Mets @ Cubs (+107)
                D-backs @ Rockies (+147)
                Twins/Brewers Under 8 (+100)
                Pirates @ Padres (-120)
                Comment
                • keel44
                  SBR MVP
                  • 08-01-09
                  • 3363

                  #148
                  June 3

                  Phillies @ Nationals (+170)
                  Mets @ Cubs (+107)

                  D-backs @ Rockies (+147)
                  Twins/Brewers Under 8 (+100)
                  Pirates @ Padres (-120)

                  Overall: 121-118-4 (+4.26 units)
                  Comment
                  • keel44
                    SBR MVP
                    • 08-01-09
                    • 3363

                    #149
                    June 4

                    Pirates @ Padres (+100)
                    Phillies @ Nationals (+170)
                    Mets @ Cubs (+100)
                    D-backs
                    @ Rockies (+120)
                    Twins/Brewers Over 9 (-105)
                    Comment
                    • keel44
                      SBR MVP
                      • 08-01-09
                      • 3363

                      #150
                      June 4

                      Pirates @ Padres (+100)
                      Phillies @ Nationals (+170)
                      Mets @ Cubs (+100)

                      D-backs
                      @ Rockies (+120)
                      Twins/Brewers Over 9 (-105)


                      Overall: 123-121-4 (+3.46 units)
                      Comment
                      • keel44
                        SBR MVP
                        • 08-01-09
                        • 3363

                        #151
                        June 5

                        Mets @ Cubs (+102)
                        Phillies @ Nationals (+170)
                        D-backs @ Rockies (+118)
                        Twins/Brewers Over 9 (-110)
                        Comment
                        • keel44
                          SBR MVP
                          • 08-01-09
                          • 3363

                          #152
                          June 5

                          Mets @ Cubs (+102)
                          Phillies @ Nationals (+170)

                          D-backs @ Rockies (+118)
                          Twins/Brewers Over 9 (-110)


                          Overall: 125-123-4 (+3.64 units)
                          Comment
                          • keel44
                            SBR MVP
                            • 08-01-09
                            • 3363

                            #153
                            June 6

                            Pirates vs Brewers (+105)
                            Mets
                            @ Giants (+137)
                            White Sox @ Angels (+175)
                            Blue Jays vs Cardinals (-128)
                            Twins/Astros Over 7.5 (-110)
                            Comment
                            • keel44
                              SBR MVP
                              • 08-01-09
                              • 3363

                              #154
                              June 6

                              Pirates vs Brewers (+105)
                              Mets
                              @ Giants (+137)
                              White Sox @ Angels (+175)

                              Blue Jays vs Cardinals (-128)
                              Twins/Astros Over 7.5 (-110)


                              Overall: 128-125-4 (+4.69 units)
                              Comment
                              • keel44
                                SBR MVP
                                • 08-01-09
                                • 3363

                                #155
                                June 7

                                Pirates vs Brewers (-116)
                                Nationals @ Padres (+128)
                                Twins/Astros Over 8.5 (-125)
                                White Sox @ Angels (-110)
                                Blue Jays vs Cardinals (-155)
                                Last edited by keel44; 06-07-14, 10:47 AM.
                                Comment
                                • keel44
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 08-01-09
                                  • 3363

                                  #156
                                  June 7

                                  Pirates vs Brewers (-116)
                                  Nationals @ Padres (+128)
                                  Twins/Astros Over 8.5 (-125)
                                  White Sox @ Angels (-110)
                                  Blue Jays vs Cardinals (-155)


                                  Overall: (128-130-4) (-1.37 units)
                                  Comment
                                  • keel44
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 08-01-09
                                    • 3363

                                    #157
                                    June 8

                                    Pirates vs Brewers (+105)
                                    Nationals @ Padres (-130)
                                    Twins/Astros Under 8 (+100)
                                    White Sox @ Angels (+150)
                                    Blue Jays vs Cardinals (-150)
                                    Comment
                                    • keel44
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 08-01-09
                                      • 3363

                                      #158
                                      June 8

                                      Pirates vs Brewers (+105)
                                      Nationals @ Padres (-130)
                                      Twins/Astros Under 8 (+100)
                                      White Sox @ Angels (+150)
                                      Blue Jays vs Cardinals (-150)


                                      Overall: 129-134-4 (-4.87 units)
                                      Comment
                                      • keel44
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 08-01-09
                                        • 3363

                                        #159
                                        June 9

                                        Pirates vs Cubs (-150)
                                        Nationals @ Giants (-120)
                                        Twins/Blue Jays Over 9.5 (+100)
                                        White Sox
                                        vs Tigers (+114)
                                        Comment
                                        • keel44
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 08-01-09
                                          • 3363

                                          #160
                                          June 9

                                          Pirates vs Cubs (-150)
                                          Nationals @ Giants (-120)

                                          Twins/Blue Jays Over 9.5 (+100)

                                          White Sox
                                          vs Tigers (+114)


                                          Overall: 132-135-4 (-2.73 units)
                                          Comment
                                          • keel44
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 08-01-09
                                            • 3363

                                            #161
                                            June 10

                                            Pirates vs Cubs (-160)
                                            Nationals @ Giants (+123)
                                            Twins/Blue Jays Over 9.5 (-125)
                                            White Sox vs Tigers (+135)
                                            Rays vs Cardinals (+127)
                                            Comment
                                            • keel44
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 08-01-09
                                              • 3363

                                              #162
                                              June 10

                                              Pirates vs Cubs (-160)
                                              Nationals @ Giants (+123)
                                              Twins/Blue Jays Under 9.5 (-105)

                                              White Sox vs Tigers (+135)
                                              Rays vs Cardinals (+127)

                                              Overall: 134-137-4 (-3.10 units)
                                              Comment
                                              • keel44
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 08-01-09
                                                • 3363

                                                #163
                                                I couldn't get to a computer the last 2 days so I'll just post after the fact, but the plays have been set before hand. I play the same games as the day before, so there should be no problem.


                                                June 11

                                                Twins/Blue Jays Under 9 (-110)
                                                White Sox vs Tigers (+140)

                                                Rays vs Cardinals (+108)
                                                Nationals @ Giants (+115)
                                                Pirates vs Cubs (-130)

                                                Overall: 138-137-5 (+1.53 units)
                                                Comment
                                                • keel44
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 08-01-09
                                                  • 3363

                                                  #164
                                                  June 12

                                                  Pirates vs Cubs (-118)
                                                  White Sox
                                                  vs Tigers (-114)
                                                  Comment
                                                  • keel44
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 08-01-09
                                                    • 3363

                                                    #165
                                                    June 12

                                                    Pirates vs Cubs (-118)
                                                    White Sox
                                                    vs Tigers (-114)

                                                    Overall: 139-138-5 (+1.39 units)
                                                    Comment
                                                    • keel44
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 08-01-09
                                                      • 3363

                                                      #166
                                                      June 13

                                                      Nationals @ Cardinals (-108)
                                                      Twins/Tigers Under 9 (-110)
                                                      White Sox
                                                      vs Royals (-130)
                                                      Pirates @ Marlins (+113)
                                                      Comment
                                                      • JohnnyBeisbol
                                                        SBR Rookie
                                                        • 06-13-14
                                                        • 2

                                                        #167
                                                        Originally posted by keel44
                                                        June 10

                                                        Pirates vs Cubs (-160)
                                                        Nationals @ Giants (+123)
                                                        Twins/Blue Jays Under 9.5 (-105)

                                                        White Sox vs Tigers (+135)
                                                        Rays vs Cardinals (+127)

                                                        Overall: 134-137-4 (-3.10 units)
                                                        You posted Twins/Blue Jays Over 9.5 (-125).......
                                                        Comment
                                                        • keel44
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 08-01-09
                                                          • 3363

                                                          #168
                                                          Yes that was a typo. I am following the last result of Over/Under. The game before went Under. I typed it wrong but I bet it correctly.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • keel44
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 08-01-09
                                                            • 3363

                                                            #169
                                                            June 13

                                                            Nationals @ Cardinals (-108)
                                                            Twins/Tigers Under 9 (-110)
                                                            White Sox
                                                            vs Royals (-130)
                                                            Pirates @ Marlins (+113)

                                                            Overall: 141-140-5 (+1.14 units)
                                                            Comment
                                                            • keel44
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 08-01-09
                                                              • 3363

                                                              #170
                                                              June 14

                                                              White Sox vs Royals (+111)
                                                              Nationals @ Cardinals (-130)
                                                              Twins/Tigers Under 8 (+100)
                                                              Pirates @ Marlins (-122)
                                                              Comment
                                                              • keel44
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 08-01-09
                                                                • 3363

                                                                #171
                                                                June 14

                                                                White Sox vs Royals (+111)
                                                                Nationals @ Cardinals (-130)
                                                                Twins/Tigers Under 8 (+100)

                                                                Pirates @ Marlins (-122)

                                                                Overall: 142-143-5 (-1.16 units)
                                                                Comment
                                                                • keel44
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 08-01-09
                                                                  • 3363

                                                                  #172
                                                                  June 15

                                                                  Twins/Tigers Over 9 (-110)
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • keel44
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 08-01-09
                                                                    • 3363

                                                                    #173
                                                                    June 15

                                                                    Twins/Tigers Over 9 (-110)

                                                                    142-144-5 (-2.26 units)
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • keel44
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 08-01-09
                                                                      • 3363

                                                                      #174
                                                                      changing my style up a bit

                                                                      June 16


                                                                      Brewers @ D-backs (+105)
                                                                      Royals @ Tigers (+132)
                                                                      Orioles @ Rays (+108)
                                                                      Mariners vs Padres (+109)
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • keel44
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 08-01-09
                                                                        • 3363

                                                                        #175
                                                                        June 16

                                                                        Brewers @ D-backs (+105)
                                                                        Royals @ Tigers (+132)

                                                                        Orioles @ Rays (+108)
                                                                        Mariners vs Padres (+109)

                                                                        Overall: 145-145-5 (+0.2 unit)
                                                                        Comment
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