CK's 2009 MLB Baseball Season Thread

[stingyrivers]

wow, this thread is interesting to me... i have a 1st inning scoreless thread and strategy im gonna start for opening day, but based on your intro, im wondering if it is on the same track as your strategy, either way, i like it and will be a loyal follower..... LETS DO THIS

[solobass]

i am on the red sox today, most of the tigers players from the WBC will not play until wednesday.

[TMajic]

Some pretty good information. Thanks CK for letting us in, and to all others that have also provided insight.

[cocknocker]

I have been expanding the pitcher -150 or more log today and I am almost finished. I have about 30-40 more to go and then i can move into the next phase of the research, which is field sizes and the correlation to the pitchers on a particular staff, and the totals that umpires usually produce.

[cocknocker]

Okay I am finished for the day updating the pitcher logs for -150/+150. I will ge tback to it early in the morning!

[Dexter]

watch out for the marlins

[Dexter]

Okay I am finished for the day updating the pitcher logs for -150/+150. I will ge tback to it early in the morning!

when you say..

Carlos Zambrano*** 0-7 as a favorite of -140 or more

does that mean zambrano is 0-7 as far as his wins/losses, or the cubs are 0-7 in those games where he was a fav of -140 or more?

[cocknocker]

I mean that when he has the heavy chalk the Cubs are 0-7

[MoneyintheBank09]

yea i was wondering the same stuff when you say they are 0-5 or something is that the team for the whole game or is that the first 5 innings and stuff sorry if that is a dumb question lol thanks for all the great stuff CK

[solobass]

booked tigers +105 they have all WBC players back in the lineup

[cocknocker]

It's the whole game MoneyintheBank09. Incidently I only take whole game lines when I see a line of -150 or more. Other than that, I play 5 innings only

[MoneyintheBank09]

so you take the dog in that game? you dont take any favs that are less then -150

[solobass]

gotta love spring training. first off, tigers WBC players still not in the lineup but wait there is hope. tigers stake
themselves to a 6-1 lead looking pretty good. then what do you know, rookie bullpen pitcher gives up 5 and the
game is tied.......

[TodaysAction]

Every season there are a few certain home ump's that are more favorable to overs/unders and happens, don't be afraid to lay to the wood on it.

[solobass]

and of course the tigers come back with 4 more runs. interesting note on espn gamecast, i am not sure if this is new or not. based on the score and God knows what else, they calculate the projected winner. right now in the top of the 7th with a 4 run lead they say detroit has a 94% chance of winning. anyone know if this is a new feature or not?

[TodaysAction]

CK,

Nice information you're posting. Will drop in now and then to see how things are going but can tell, you'll have a good season.

[TodaysAction]

and of course the tigers come back with 4 more runs. interesting note on espn gamecast, i am not sure if this is new or not. based on the score and God knows what else, they calculate the projected winner. right now in the top of the 7th with a 4 run lead they say detroit has a 94% chance of winning. anyone know if this is a new feature or not?

4 run lead in the 7th and they offer you a 94% chance of winning - wow they sure are brave/bright. but wait this is the tigers were talking about so anything's possible. to bad no o/u for the games yet.

[solobass]

Today I booked

Braves -115
braves trotting out Jurrgens and some other quality and the yanks are using 3 long men in competition

Tigers +110
trotting out edwin jackson and they will let him work today. perry scheduled to picch 2 innings also.

best of luck today!

[therber2]

Your sportsbook must offer proposition wagers that inlcude first inning props. One that also has live betting for televised baseball games is even better. One such book that has both is Betus. Greek.com also has the prop but not live wagering on baseball games that are not playoff games.

Ck, around here Betus has a horrible reputation. Is that where you are placing these wagers? Just wondering. Thanks; good luck on your season!

[MJT1212]

Today I booked

Braves -115
braves trotting out Jurrgens and some other quality and the yanks are using 3 long men in competition

Tigers +110
trotting out edwin jackson and they will let him work today. perry scheduled to picch 2 innings also.

best of luck today!

Tigers 2-11 on the road in ST so far, I'm steering clear of this one...

Ive got...

MIL (top pick)
LAA
SFO
WAS
STL

1 unit each...

[solobass]

Tigers 2-11 on the road in ST so far, I'm steering clear of this one...

Ive got...

MIL (top pick)
LAA
SFO
WAS
STL

1 unit each...

ha, go figure the tigers cash. strange game for sure. best thing about yesterday is even going 1-1 they were both dogs so net profit! best of luck today brother

[BiggDogg5n2]

[solobass]

Booked play

Braves -110

[solobass]

Looking @ Rangers against the Angels today, leaning Rangers. What drives me nuts is they are both -110. I want that dog ML on the Rangers....

[johnnymapalo]

Always play overs with Dontrelle Willis..

[cocknocker]

so you take the dog in that game? you dont take any favs that are less then -150

Dogs in games where the favorite is -150 or more. Those are the only type of games that I will wager on. I very rarely take a favorite because i like crumbs when i make a wager.

[cocknocker]

Ck, around here Betus has a horrible reputation. Is that where you are placing these wagers? Just wondering. Thanks; good luck on your season!

No I use Greek.com daily, but I use Betus when I do live wagering as Greek doesn't always offer that option.

[cocknocker]

The launching pads:

Rangers Park 1.229 home runs per game
Chase Field, Arizona 1.068
Coors Field, Colorado 1.299
Great America Ball Park, Cincinnatti 1.230
U.S. Celluar Field, Chicago 1.353
Oriole Park a Camden Yards 1.359
Comerica Park Detroit 1.188
Wrigley Field, Chicago 1.163
Minute Maid Park, Houston 1.155
Citizen's Bank Park 1.022
Turner Field Atlanta 1.014

[cnleaf]

CK, could you recommend some of the MLB sites that I can do research on the game since I am new to this world?

[MJT1212]

im on:

Nat's
Angels
Dodgers
Brewers

For today.

[Pick'nParlays]

we should build a list relievers as well

[cocknocker]

The Rally Killer Parks

Petco Park San Diego 0.743 home runs per game
Kauffman Stadium Kansas City 0.788 per
Progressive Field Cleveland 0.824
Dolphin Stadium, Florida 0.844
Fenway Park, Boston 0.850
Tropicana Field, Florida 0.850
Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles 0.857
PNC Park, Pittsburgh 0.869
Miller Park Wisconsin 0.893

Fork in the Road Stadiums

Hubert H. Humphrey Dome, Minnesota 0.896
Safeco Field Washington State 0.900
Busch Stadium, St. Louis 0.915
Rogers Centre, Toronto 0.926
Angel Stadium , California 0.933
National's Park, Washington D.C. 0.942
Yankee Stadium New York 0.982
McAfee Stadium, Oakland, 0.988
AT&T Park, San Francisco 0.992

[cocknocker]

we should build a list relievers as well

No way. They are all terrible, lol! What i find most interesting about relievers is that you never know how the manager will actually use them. This is why I usually take the 1st halves of games.

But on the real, if anyone wants to make that list it would be good for the board on the whole.

[cocknocker]

CK, could you recommend some of the MLB sites that I can do research on the game since I am new to this world?

i think that ESPN has one of the most comprehensive research sites on the internet. I also like CBS Sports as well for tracking individual players

[peeiempee]

Hey CK,

Pretty excited about this baseball thread. One question, any problems with payout of anything in general with betus? SBR gave them a C-.