MLB Tracking: 3 Separate Systems

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  • oZgoodZ33
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 02-28-12
    • 525

    #106
    RESULTS FOR 5/20

    S1: 0-0 for 0.00 units

    S2: 1-3 for -1.88 units

    S3: 0
    -0 for 0.00 units

    YTD RESULTS

    S1: 9-6 for +2.63 units

    S2: 42-47 for +3.57 units

    S3: 11-6 for +5.82 units
    Comment
    • oZgoodZ33
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 02-28-12
      • 525

      #107
      PLAYS FOR 5/21

      S1
      None

      S2
      Cubs +136
      Mets +104
      Brewers +117
      Diamondbacks +111
      Yankees +105
      Astros +115

      S3
      None
      Comment
      • UTB
        SBR Rookie
        • 03-20-13
        • 3

        #108
        Not sure there could have been worse luck tonight. Between blown leads (Cubs and Astros) and getting walked off (Yankees and DBacks)
        Comment
        • oZgoodZ33
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 02-28-12
          • 525

          #109
          RESULTS FOR 5/21

          S1: 0-0 for 0.00 units

          S2: 1-5 for -3.83 units

          S3: 0
          -0 for 0.00 units

          YTD RESULTS

          S1: 9-6 for +2.63 units

          S2: 43-52 for -0.26 units

          S3: 11-6 for +5.82 units
          Comment
          • oZgoodZ33
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 02-28-12
            • 525

            #110
            System 2 is reeling lately, 2-15 run last few days... yikes
            Comment
            • oZgoodZ33
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 02-28-12
              • 525

              #111
              PLAYS FOR 5/22

              S1
              None

              S2
              Diamondbacks +117
              Cubs +118
              Cardinals +101
              Rays +101
              Athletics +? (someone please update when line comes out)
              Red Sox +? (someone please update line later, would fit this system if they are dogs with Buchholz on the hill)

              S3
              Diamondbacks +117
              Red Sox +? (someone please update line later, would fit this system if they are dogs with Buchholz on the hill)
              Comment
              • alamo
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 02-21-09
                • 7131

                #112
                Athletics are 103/100 (I think thats +103 in US terms)

                Boston are favoured at 50/67
                Comment
                • Avala7ch3
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 06-04-12
                  • 257

                  #113
                  Cardinals has opened at -116, now is -115
                  Comment
                  • oZgoodZ33
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 02-28-12
                    • 525

                    #114
                    Anyone else see Cards at plus money this morning? I'm pretty sure they were +101 on 5dimes at the time of my post. Could've misread though...
                    Comment
                    • oZgoodZ33
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 02-28-12
                      • 525

                      #115
                      Athletics line will be +103.
                      Red Sox are NOT a play for either S2 or S3.
                      Cards/Brewers is up for debate. I think Brewers should be the play instead since the Cards dog line was not available for long.
                      Comment
                      • oZgoodZ33
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 02-28-12
                        • 525

                        #116
                        Sorry, meant Cards/Padres in relation to the above post
                        Comment
                        • oZgoodZ33
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 02-28-12
                          • 525

                          #117
                          Ok well I'm just gonna officially say NO PLAY on the Cards/Padres game
                          Comment
                          • oZgoodZ33
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 02-28-12
                            • 525

                            #118
                            RESULTS FOR 5/22

                            S1: 0-0 for 0.00 units

                            S2: 0-4 for -4.00 units

                            S3: 0
                            -1 for -1.00 units

                            YTD RESULTS

                            S1: 9-6 for +2.63 units

                            S2: 43-56 for -4.26 units

                            S3: 11-7 for +4.82 units
                            Comment
                            • oZgoodZ33
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 02-28-12
                              • 525

                              #119
                              PLAYS FOR 5/23

                              S1
                              None

                              S2
                              Orioles +115
                              Indians +130

                              S3
                              Indians +130
                              Comment
                              • alamo
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 02-21-09
                                • 7131

                                #120
                                Good luck tonight bud.
                                Comment
                                • oZgoodZ33
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 02-28-12
                                  • 525

                                  #121
                                  Thx buddy, rough stretch for S2 recently...
                                  Comment
                                  • oZgoodZ33
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 02-28-12
                                    • 525

                                    #122
                                    RESULTS FOR 5/23

                                    S1: 0-0 for 0.00 units

                                    S2: 1-1 for +0.30 units

                                    S3: 1
                                    -0 for +1.30 units

                                    YTD RESULTS

                                    S1: 9-6 for +2.63 units

                                    S2: 44-57 for -3.96 units

                                    S3: 12-7 for +6.12 units
                                    Comment
                                    • raindogs1
                                      SBR Rookie
                                      • 05-24-13
                                      • 3

                                      #123
                                      I wonder if changing the line from +150 to something like +130 would make any difference for S2. Or picking games where the underdog has a top 20 pitcher, rather than eliminating the favorite if they have a top 20 pitcher. Basically I think it seems like a good system, that could possibly improve with a few little tweaks.
                                      Comment
                                      • oZgoodZ33
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 02-28-12
                                        • 525

                                        #124
                                        Both good suggestions. Since this is my first time tracking these systems I'm going to let them ride out without tweaks for the rest of the season. Then I can analyze the plays and make changes if necessary for next season. Thanks for the feedback.
                                        Comment
                                        • raindogs1
                                          SBR Rookie
                                          • 05-24-13
                                          • 3

                                          #125
                                          No problem, man. Keep up the good work!
                                          Comment
                                          • oZgoodZ33
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 02-28-12
                                            • 525

                                            #126
                                            PLAYS FOR 5/24

                                            S1
                                            Phillies/Nationals under 6.5 +100

                                            S2
                                            Padres +120
                                            Rockies +139
                                            Indians +102
                                            Astros +148
                                            Blue Jays +104
                                            Yankees +100

                                            S3
                                            Indians +102
                                            Phillies +155
                                            Comment
                                            • dogman
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 11-28-05
                                              • 513

                                              #127
                                              Pitt could be a play for system 3 if goes to a dog. I'll keep an eye on them today.
                                              Comment
                                              • oZgoodZ33
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 02-28-12
                                                • 525

                                                #128
                                                Yep they've been hovering around -102 to -107 all morning so we'll see. Thx as always dogman
                                                Comment
                                                • oZgoodZ33
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 02-28-12
                                                  • 525

                                                  #129
                                                  RESULTS FOR 5/24

                                                  S1: 0-1 for -1.00 units

                                                  S2: 2-4 for -1.61 units

                                                  S3: 0
                                                  -2 for -2.00 units

                                                  YTD RESULTS

                                                  S1: 9-7 for +1.63 units

                                                  S2: 46-61 for -5.57 units

                                                  S3: 12-9 for +4.12 units
                                                  Comment
                                                  • oZgoodZ33
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 02-28-12
                                                    • 525

                                                    #130
                                                    PLAYS FOR 5/25

                                                    S1
                                                    Cubs/Reds under 7.5 -109
                                                    Rangers/Mariners under 6.5 -110

                                                    S2
                                                    Rockies +119
                                                    Pirates +113
                                                    Phillies +144
                                                    Orioles +134
                                                    Angels +118

                                                    S3
                                                    Rangers +110
                                                    Comment
                                                    • alamo
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 02-21-09
                                                      • 7131

                                                      #131
                                                      Great night buddy
                                                      Comment
                                                      • oZgoodZ33
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 02-28-12
                                                        • 525

                                                        #132
                                                        RESULTS FOR 5/24

                                                        S1: 1-1 for -0.10 units

                                                        S2: 4-1 for +4.09 units

                                                        S3: 1
                                                        -0 for +1.10 units

                                                        YTD RESULTS

                                                        S1: 10-8 for +1.53 units

                                                        S2: 50-62 for -1.48 units

                                                        S3: 13-9 for +5.22 units
                                                        Comment
                                                        • oZgoodZ33
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 02-28-12
                                                          • 525

                                                          #133
                                                          Above should say "RESULTS FOR 5/25"

                                                          Still can't edit...mods?...
                                                          Comment
                                                          • oZgoodZ33
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 02-28-12
                                                            • 525

                                                            #134
                                                            PLAYS FOR 5/26

                                                            S1
                                                            Cardinals/Dodgers under 6.5 -125

                                                            S2
                                                            Pirates +108
                                                            Indians +125

                                                            S3
                                                            Cardinals +128
                                                            Comment
                                                            • oZgoodZ33
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 02-28-12
                                                              • 525

                                                              #135
                                                              RESULTS FOR 5/26

                                                              S1: 0-1 for -1.25 units

                                                              S2: 1-1 for +0.08 units

                                                              S3: 1
                                                              -0 for +1.28 units

                                                              YTD RESULTS

                                                              S1: 10-9 for +0.28 units

                                                              S2: 51-63 for -1.40 units

                                                              S3: 14-9 for +6.50 units
                                                              Comment
                                                              • oZgoodZ33
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 02-28-12
                                                                • 525

                                                                #136
                                                                PLAYS FOR 5/27

                                                                S1
                                                                Cardinals/Royals under 7 +110
                                                                Cubs/White Sox under 7.5 -120

                                                                S2
                                                                Twins +122
                                                                Rangers +108 (game 1)
                                                                Padres +110
                                                                Blue Jays +101
                                                                Mets +105

                                                                S3
                                                                None
                                                                Comment
                                                                • raindogs1
                                                                  SBR Rookie
                                                                  • 05-24-13
                                                                  • 3

                                                                  #137
                                                                  Aren't the Pirates and Phillies both plays for S3 today?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • oZgoodZ33
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 02-28-12
                                                                    • 525

                                                                    #138
                                                                    Originally posted by raindogs1
                                                                    Aren't the Pirates and Phillies both plays for S3 today?
                                                                    No, neither Liriano or Cloyd are in the Top20.

                                                                    You are looking at the lists with pitchers who have less than 49 innings pitched to date.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Avala7ch3
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 06-04-12
                                                                      • 257

                                                                      #139
                                                                      All these systems are not doing well and that was expected. I guess a lot of people have tried them and obviously none of them get succeed and they gave up. My suggestion is to do it in different way - this month is nearly over, so do analyse every breakdown, make some adjustments and check them next month. Hopefully in the end of the season you will have much better working systems. BOL
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • oZgoodZ33
                                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                                        • 02-28-12
                                                                        • 525

                                                                        #140
                                                                        As stated previously, I'm going to let these ride for the entirety of the MLB season. I would like to see how these systems fare for a whole season for myself before going back and making adjustments. Larger sample size. Also, S3 is doing just fine and S2 is a bit of a roller coaster ride but all in all they still show a profit so...
                                                                        Comment
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