Mebaran's 2013 MLB Hangout

italianbandit · 06-08-13, 03:26 PM

Wait EX, I'm confused, I meant under TB/Balt 8.5. I was just lazy and put just TB. Sorry for the confusion.

italianbandit · 06-08-13, 04:56 PM

Oh, I get it now, you were betting under TB on your own, made a mistake, then saw my thread.

No coincidences · 06-08-13, 05:06 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

I think you'll be happier with your "accident." I think BAL wins this game.

Or not.

Of course Hellickson finally settles down and pitches well when I leave him alone.

No coincidences · 06-08-13, 06:10 PM

Incredible hit on that under guys. Wow.

EXhoosier10 · 06-08-13, 07:50 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Incredible hit on that under guys. Wow.

Nyy and tb both hit fading line movement. I'm doing this every day for at least 1/2u plays until this crap stops hitting.

Looks like helix and the pen threw a gem today; line moved to +105 right after I made my bet, so glad it hit. 4 base runners for Baltimore after the first is pretty ridiculous

italianbandit · 06-09-13, 11:58 AM

You guys are funny on the short term results of line movement, every season there are always periods where this occurs, it's impossible to isolate it. The best strategy is to data scrape, shop for good prices, buy, repeat. Sometimes you'll get bad beats, sometimes it will appear you are lucky, it comes out in the wash.
i sort of liked Cle, but not at the current price.

EXhoosier10 · 06-09-13, 12:12 PM

Sounds like the hard drive on my computer is failing.... Will try getting plays in for the 1pm games, but my guess is that this thing is finished

italianbandit · 06-09-13, 12:33 PM

Bummer, nice hit with Yanks BTW yesterday.

italianbandit · 06-10-13, 12:10 PM

Monday
Clev +134

EXhoosier10 · 06-10-13, 05:10 PM

Computer is still messed up and can't run anything, so i'm going to go pass on today. GL tonight everyone

italianbandit · 06-11-13, 10:25 AM

The Giants should have a tough road trip this week, the market still generally likes them and I think there will be some good spots to fade them including tonight. Sandoval should be going on DL.

Tuesday

Pitt -119

EXhoosier10 · 06-12-13, 07:59 AM

Originally posted by italianbandit

The Giants should have a tough road trip this week, the market still generally likes them and I think there will be some good spots to fade them including tonight. Sandoval should be going on DL.

Tuesday

Pitt -119

Nice hit here, IB. Computer still having issues; might be able to manually cap with all night games today, but again, we'll see. this is a huge pain in the @ss since my computer is < 1 year old

No coincidences · 06-12-13, 09:48 AM

Originally posted by EXhoosier10

Nice hit here, IB. Computer still having issues; might be able to manually cap with all night games today, but again, we'll see. this is a huge pain in the @ss since my computer is < 1 year old

Hope you get it figured out soon, Ex.

italianbandit · 06-12-13, 12:37 PM

Thanks Ex, just take it to a computer place, but I guess it's still under warranty. Well I didn't see anything yesterday to change my mind on the continued demise of the Giants. I was going to put a big wager last night on Pitt at -163 as I saw the correct line to be -180-185, but didn't as I have a bell that goes off on favorites over 160. Now I realize this line should be -190. A little frustrated I didn't pull the trigger.

Wed
Pitt FF -.5 -120

italianbandit · 06-12-13, 02:32 PM

Still seeing a little value at -180. Adding Pirates -1- roll your own

Wed
Pitt FF RL
Pirates -1

italianbandit · 06-13-13, 10:35 AM

So far the Giants decline is going as planned. I won't be fading them today, they hit the ball well yesterday and Cain is coming off a good start and should start to creep back toward his career numbers as his peripherals have been solid. I haven't had time to crunch many numbers*today, yet.

italianbandit · 06-13-13, 12:12 PM

I just put .5 unit on Mets +130 at home. Couldn't resist.

EXhoosier10 · 06-13-13, 01:13 PM

Votto can't hit shark and Cubs offense is below average, but Cubs 'pen sucks and reds are tired, so under questionable. Shark has some nasty numbers with Carlson behind the plate, 14/9 K/BB over 10 IP in '12 + '13, no real read on those.

Can't think of a play, here

StevenSuarez · 06-13-13, 01:14 PM

Originally posted by EXhoosier10

No play on the cubs game. Votto can't hit shark, but Cubs 'pen sucks and reds are tired, so under questionable. Shark has some nasty numbers with Carlson behind the plate, 14/9 K/BB over 10 IP in '12 + '13, no real read on those.

Can't think of a play, here

Ditto. Staying so far away from this game -- keep thinking the Cubs are the right side and they keep burying me.

GL today.

EXhoosier10 · 06-13-13, 01:36 PM

leans
KC@TB u7.5. Hopefully we see that thing get bought back a tad

Anybody have any insight as to why KC is such a dog with Santana on the mound? ERA's say the line should be opposite

EXhoosier10 · 06-13-13, 06:16 PM

not pulling the trigger on the TB game.

EXhoosier10 · 06-13-13, 07:45 PM

I'll update YTD tomorrow.
6/14
KC +170 ~ 1u

italianbandit · 06-13-13, 10:51 PM

Nice to see you back EX. Take a look at the Mets/ Cubs under. Me likey mucho. Perhaps under FF. multiunits.

italianbandit · 06-13-13, 10:57 PM

Friday
Det -130-- 1.5 units
Under 7.5 Mets/Cubs +100---1.5 units-- I would wait till tomorrow on this as over may get hit. But I have a busy day and have been getting screwed by waiting the next day all week.

EXhoosier10 · 06-14-13, 09:56 AM

Originally posted by italianbandit

Friday
Det -130-- 1.5 units
Under 7.5 Mets/Cubs +100---1.5 units-- I would wait till tomorrow on this as over may get hit. But I have a busy day and have been getting screwed by waiting the next day all week.

I don't think I see a single over ump on the card today, so at least you have that going for you. i like both of these plays and will look into later tonight

italianbandit · 06-14-13, 06:14 PM

Originally posted by italianbandit

Friday
Det -130-- 1.5 units
Under 7.5 Mets/Cubs +100---1.5 units-- I would wait till tomorrow on this as over may get hit. But I have a busy day and have been getting screwed by waiting the next day all week.

Adding
.5 unit - Cards - 133
.5 unit - under White Sox 7.5 -110 (Bank influenced)

italianbandit · 06-14-13, 06:57 PM

Originally posted by italianbandit

Adding
.5 unit - Cards - 133
.5 unit - under White Sox 7.5 -110 (Bank influenced)

Adding

Det FF -.5 +100 -- .5 units

italianbandit · 06-14-13, 11:12 PM

Nice hit EX, I trailed and it put me in the black tonight. Cheers.

Sat

Braves RL +120 1.5 units.

italianbandit · 06-15-13, 11:40 AM

Originally posted by italianbandit

Nice hit EX, I trailed and it put me in the black tonight. Cheers.

Sat

Braves RL +120 1.5 units.

adding Rockies RL + 125 1.5 units

Good luck all.

2daBank · 06-15-13, 11:41 AM

Originally posted by italianbandit

adding Rockies RL 1.5 units

Good luck all.

pretty sure i like this one..

EXhoosier10 · 06-15-13, 12:10 PM

Early game
Meta -119 1.5u

Barney/ransom 1/2 for the cubs? Have to be kidding me

EXhoosier10 · 06-17-13, 07:17 AM

through 6/3
YTD: 105-100-11 +6.385u

6/4: 1-1 +0.25
6/6: 1-0 +1
6/8: 1-0 +0.75
6/14: 1-0 +1.7
6/15: 0-1 -1.785
YTD: 109-102-11 +8.3u

EXhoosier10 · 06-17-13, 03:57 PM

Doing it again. Gee has been on a roll over his L3 wiht a 26-3 K/bb rate v STL, Wash, and NYY and giving up 3 ER in 21 IP. Hudson is good and Braves are better hitters, but this shouldn't be -200, more like -160.

6/17
Nym +185 ~ .7u
Nym FF ~ .7u
Nym +1.5 ~ .7u

EXhoosier10 · 06-17-13, 05:47 PM

That's going to do it for the early games. Going to take a nap before teh Hoosiers & blackhawks game then might look at Miami and LAA

EXhoosier10 · 06-18-13, 09:10 AM

Originally posted by EXhoosier10

Doing it again. Gee has been on a roll over his L3 wiht a 26-3 K/bb rate v STL, Wash, and NYY and giving up 3 ER in 21 IP. Hudson is good and Braves are better hitters, but this shouldn't be -200, more like -160.

6/17
Nym +185 ~ .7u
Nym FF ~ .7u
Nym +1.5 ~ .7u

6/17: 1-1-1 EVEN
YTD: 110-103-12 +8.3u