C-Batch Brackets NCAAB 2013 picks

[CGBatch]

Hey guys, I created a model for NCAA Basketball last year that I've backtested to hit about 55% and applies to about 6 games per day during non-conference (much more selective during conference play). It focuses primarily on totals, but a smaller quantity of sides will also be released. I intended to track it last year but got lazy. I'm hoping by making this thread it will keep me more organised and I'll actually make it through this season. So starting today I'll be posting my plays daily here, I can't guarantee a specific time as my work schedule varries, but my goal is by around 5pm at the latest. Because my model incorporates new information as earlier games finish, I reserve the right to change any play until about an hour before tip.

Right now I'm off to a 29-23 (55.8%) start on the season. This breaks down to 8-5 (61.5%) on sides and 21-18 (53.8%) on totals. Everything since Saturday night is documented if anyone really wants me to post results, but I'm hoping I'll also be able to keep up these results as proof.

Thanks everyone and here's to a good season!
I'll be back with todays plays in the afternoon.

[CGBatch]

15 November 2013:

727 GA Tech -2.0	at Georgia
735 Rice +18.5	at Texas A&M
744 California -20.5	vs Oakland
767 N Arizona +15.5	at USC
725 Under 157.0	Cornell at Louisville
737 Under 146.5	Columbia at Michigan St
739 Under 157.0	Nevada at San Fransco
741 Under 153.0	UC Davis at Utah
757 Over 148.0	Murray St at Old Dominion
767 Under 160.0	N Arizona at USC

[CGBatch]

15 November Results

Sides 3-1 (11-6 ytd)
Totals 3-3 (24-21 ytd)
Overall 6-4 (35-27 ytd)

16 November Plays:

551 Saint Louis -13.0	at S Illinois
535 Minnesota +1.0	at Richmond
525 Penn State -2.5	at U Penn

533 Under 158.0	Santa Clara at CS Fullerton
583 Over 149.5	Marist at Providence
593 Over 128.5	E Illinois at IL-Chicago

[CGBatch]

Added play:

589 Montana St +2.5

at UC Riverside

[CGBatch]

16 November Results:

Sides 2-2 (13-8 ytd)
Totals 2-1 (26-22 ytd)
Overall 4-3 (39-30 ytd)

17 November Plays:

771 Boston U +15.0	at Connecticut
775 Rob Morris +21.0	at Kentucky
722 Villanova -12.5	vs Towson

[Louisvillekid1]

Good Luck going forward

[CGBatch]

2 pm totals:

753 Over 154.0	Marshall at Morehead St
739 Over 135.0	James Mad vs San Jose St
736 Over 146.5	IPFW vs TN Tech

[CGBatch]

747 Under 157.5 Belmont at N Carolina

[CGBatch]

Plays for the rest of the day:

717 Under 131.0	S Carolina at Clemson
719 Under 148.0	Michigan at Iowa State
741 Over 134.0	WI-Milwkee at N Illinois
751 Under 137.5	W Illinois at Pacific
755 Under 149.0	Rider at Purdue

[CGBatch]

Sorry for the sloppy release(s) yesterday, I was traveling and with the games spread out I wanted to wait for lines to change.

17 November Results:

Sides 1-2 (14-10 ytd)
Totals 4-4 (32-27 ytd)
Overall 5-6 (46-37 ytd)

18 November Plays:

542 Tennessee -26.5	vs Citadel
555 Sac State +21.5	at UCLA
539 F Dickinson +36.5	at Arizona

539 Under 147.5	F Dickinson at Arizona
555 Under 150.5	Sac State at UCLA

[CGBatch]

Our first "bad" day of the season.

18 November Results:

Sides 0-3 (14-13 ytd)
Totals 1-1 (33-28 ytd)
Overall 1-4 (47-41 ytd)

19 November Plays:

717 TX-Arlington +27.0

at Kentucky

745 Under 150.5	Rhode Island at Arizona
747 Under 148.0	St Bonavent at Siena
737 Under 144.5	Georgia St vs Alabama
727 Over 149.5	Arizona St at UNLV
751 Under 151.5	Jksnville St at Auburn
753 Over 135.0	North Dakota at Wisconsin

[CGBatch]

Sorry I'm late today, but we go 6-0 on the totals yesterday with the only blemish coming on the side.

19 November Results:

Sides 0-1 (14-14 ytd)
Totals 6-0 (39-28 ytd)
Overall 6-1 (53-42 ytd)

20 November Plays:

531 Under 146.5	Texas State at S Methodist
541 Under 127.5	Cal Poly at Fresno St
529 Over 129.0	Northwestern at IL-Chicago
561 Under 125.0	American at Ohio State

[CGBatch]

Ladies and Gentlemen, we sweep again and are now 10-0 on our last 10 totals!

19 November Results:

Sides 0-0 (14-14 ytd)
Totals 4-0 (43-28 ytd)
Overall 4-0 (57-42 ytd)

20 November Plays:

I forgot there was early basketball today and unfortunately our first total is a loss on the already underway UAB-UNM game (only lost cause it went to OT). The Michigan game is also already underway and even thought they already started they are system plays so I want them to count in the record.

753 S Dakota St +7.0

at Texas Tech

711 Over 133.5	NC-Wilmgton at W Kentucky
727 Under 154.0	UAB vs New Mexico
721 Under 138.5	Lg Beach St vs Michigan
739 Over 147.0	W Carolina at Kent State

[CGBatch]

Not a good day yesterday, let's get back on track today.

21 November Results:

Sides 0-1 (14-15 ytd)
Totals 0-4 (43-32 ytd)
Overall 0-5 (57-47 ytd)

22 November Plays (Sides for now, totals to follow later):

593 Siena -2.5	at Cornell
574 Wright State -15.5	vs Houston Bap
526 Villanova -18.0	vs Delaware
605 Chattanooga +14.5	at Nevada
621 Chicago St +21.5	at Illinois

[CGBatch]

599 Under 146.0 Monmouth at St Johns

[CGBatch]

22 November Results:

Sides 2-3 (16-18 ytd)
Totals 1-0 (44-32 ytd)
Overall 3-3 (60-50 ytd)

23 November Plays (Sorry I'm late again and some plays already started):

723 Wm & Mary +9.0	at Rutgers
797 Furman +9.5	at Col Charlestn
746 Louisville -26.5	vs Fairfield
764 S Mississippi -19.0	vs Houston Bap
752 Loyola Mymt -11.5	vs Marist
733 CS Fullerton -2.5	at San Jose St
765 Wright State +2.5	at S Alabama

731 Under 160.0	Tulsa at Creighton
733 Over 148.5	CS Fullerton at San Jose St
725 Under 143.0	Butler at Ball State
761 Under 151.0	Oakland vs LA Lafayette
727 Under 127.0	Princeton at Rice
759 Over 133.0	St Fran (NY) at Coastal Car
785 Under 156.0	Oklahoma vs Michigan St
737 Under 145.5	TX-Arlington at E Michigan
748 Over 135.0	Hofstra vs Hartford

[CGBatch]

23 November Results:

Sides 1-6 (17-24 ytd)
Totals 5-4 (49-36 ytd)
Overall 6-10 (66-60 ytd)

24 November Plays

567 Siena +17.5	at Purdue
526 Michigan -10.0	vs Charlotte
548 Toledo -12.0	vs Fla Atlantic
538 Belmont -14.0	vs Hofstra

534 Over 123.0	Richmond vs Fairfield
553 Over 150.5	UC Davis at Portland St
525 Under 152.5	Charlotte vs Michigan
571 Under 151.5	N Dakota St at North Dakota

[CGBatch]

24&25 November Results:

Sides 3-2 (20-26 ytd)
Totals 2-5 (51-41 ytd)
Overall 5-7 (71-67 ytd)

26 November Plays:

575 Middle Tenn -2.5

at Murray St

561 Under 159.0

Texas vs DePaul

[CGBatch]

Only a few releases the fast few days and they haven't gone great. Let's hope for better today.

26-28 November Results:

Sides 1-0 (21-26 ytd)
Totals 1-3 (52-44 ytd)
Overall 2-3 (73-70 ytd)

29 November Plays:

634 Michigan -21.5	vs Coppin State
619 App State +11.5	at Georgia

590 Over 130.0	Alabama vs Drexel
535 Under 138.5	Florida St at Florida
555 Under 151.0	Villanova vs Kansas

[CGBatch]

29 November Results:

Sides 1-1 (22-27 ytd)
Totals 3-0 (56-44 ytd)
Overall 4-1 (78-71 ytd)

30 November Plays:

809 UC Irvine -9.5	at Sac State
785 Rice +12.5	at Santa Clara

788 Under 146.0	Rider vs N Dakota St
747 Under 145.0	Villanova vs Iowa
785 Under 149.0	Rice at Santa Clara
771 Under 128.0	Missouri St vs Virginia
769 Under 138.0	Texas A&M vs S Methodist

[CGBatch]

Adding

801 Over 123.5

E Illinois at W Kentucky

[CGBatch]

30 November Results:

Sides 2-0 (24-27 ytd)
Totals 2-4 (58-48 ytd)
Overall 4-4 (82-75 ytd)

1 December Plays:

551 Miami (FL) +8.5

vs Arizona St

532 Under 135.5	Wash State vs St Josephs
519 Under 146.5	Cornell at Notre Dame
521 Under 130.0	Loyola-Chi at Miss State

[CGBatch]

Adding

556 Over 129.5	Marquette vs San Diego St
545 Under 154.5	North Dakota vs Pacific
534 Under 143.5	Butler vs LSU

[CGBatch]

1 December Results:

Sides 1-0 (25-27 ytd)
Totals 2-4 (60-52 ytd)
Overall 3-4 (85-79 ytd)

2 December Plays:

715 W Kentucky -1.5

at Bowling Grn

[CGBatch]

2 December Results:

Sides 0-1 (25-28 ytd)
Totals 0-0 (60-52 ytd)
Overall 0-1 (85-80 ytd)

3 December Plays (I'm sorry I need to get these out earlier in the future):

547 IPFW -1.5	at Miami (OH)
531 Texas Tech +17.5	at Arizona

547 Over 133.5	IPFW at Miami (OH)
523 Over 127.5	Illinois at GA Tech
517 Over 146.5	U Mass at E Michigan
545 Under 153.0	UCSB at UCLA
535 Under 150.5	Michigan at Duke

[CGBatch]

3 December Results:

Sides 0-2 (25-30 ytd)
Totals 3-2 (63-54 ytd)
Overall 3-4 (88-84 ytd)

4 December Plays

761 Davidson +8.0	at Charlotte
767 TN Martin +7.5	at Samford

733 Over 132.0	Harvard at Northeastrn
749 Under 151.5	N Carolina at Michigan St
727 Over 135.5	S Florida at Geo Mason
717 Under 146.0	Valparaiso at Ball State

[CGBatch]

4 December Results:

Sides 2-0 (27-30 ytd)
Totals 3-1 (66-55 ytd)
Overall 5-1 (93-85 ytd)

5 December Plays

533 High Point +18.5

at Georgetown

519 Over 131.5

San Diego St at San Diego

[CGBatch]

5 December Results:

Sides 0-1 (27-31 ytd)
Totals 0-1 (66-56 ytd)
Overall 0-2 (93-87 ytd)

6 December Plays

827 Under 142.0

California at UCSB

[CGBatch]

6 December Results:

Sides 0-0 (27-31 ytd)
Totals 1-0 (67-56 ytd)
Overall 1-0 (94-87 ytd)

7 December Plays

595 Alabama -1.0	at S Florida
541 Miami (OH) +9.5	at Evansville
524 Louisville -21.0	vs LA Lafayette
530 St Johns -12.0	vs Fordham
545 Bowling Grn +15.5	at Xavier

605 Under 157.0

Austin Peay at Samford

[CGBatch]

adding

617 Hawaii -7.0

at N Arizona

[CGBatch]

7 December Results:

Sides 4-2 (31-33 ytd)
Totals 1-0 (69-56 ytd)
Overall 5-2 (100-89 ytd)

8 December Plays

845 Jksnville St +21.5	at Florida St
829 Boston Col +1.0	at USC

821 Over 149.5	Washington at San Diego St
811 Over 131.5	VA Tech at Miami (FL)

[CGBatch]

8 December Results:

Sides 0-2 (32-34 ytd)
Totals 0-2 (69-58 ytd)
Overall 0-4 (101-92 ytd)

9 December Plays:

721 Over 146.5

F Dickinson at Iowa

[CGBatch]

9 December Results:

Sides 0-0 (32-34 ytd)
Totals 1-0 (70-58 ytd)
Overall 1-0 (102-92 ytd)

10 December Plays:

519 WI-Grn Bay -2.5	at E Michigan
521 Evansville +10.0	at Xavier

517 Under 135.5	Kansas at Florida
537 Over 129.5	South Dakota at Kansas St

[CGBatch]

10 December Results:

Sides 1-1 (33-35 ytd)
Totals 1-1 (71-59 ytd)
Overall 2-2 (104-94 ytd)

11 December Plays (Sorry something came up and I missed getting my bets in on time, but here's what my model selected):

721 Under 136.0	Princeton at Rutgers
743 Under 145.0	N Mex State at Arizona
741 Under 139.0	Bryant at Ohio State
725 Under 148.0	N Dakota St at Notre Dame

[CGBatch]

11 December Results (Passed last two days):

Sides 0-0 (33-35 ytd)
Totals 3-1 (74-60 ytd)
Overall 3-1 (107-95 ytd)

14 December Plays:

533 Fla Atlantic +18.0

at Maryland

613 Under 136.0	N Dakota St at Ohio State
529 Under 137.5	Princeton at Penn State
603 Over 123.0	Furman at Clemson
575 Under 152.5	UC Davis at Stanford
553 Under 146.0	Kentucky at N Carolina
597 Under 153.5	Belmont at S Dakota St
523 Under 134.0	W Kentucky at Louisville
573 Under 135.5	Texas State at Texas