Noche UFC Prelims Best Bets: Three Markets to Target in Arizona
The UFC heads to Desert Diamond Arena in Glendale, Ariz., on Saturday, with a deep preliminary card supporting Jean Silva vs. Jose Delgado. My Noche UFC prelim best bets and predictions find the best angles to break it all down.
Below are my picks and the latest odds for my favorite three prelim matchups: Ignacio Bahamondes vs. Muslim Salikhov, Yousri Belgaroui vs. Djorden Santos, and Rafa Garcia vs. Rongzhu.
💰 Noche UFC best bets
See all of our UFC picks for this weekend's fights. Odds subject to change.
| Best bet | Odds |
|---|---|
| Bahamondes vs. Salikhov Under 1.5 rounds | -105 via bet365 |
| Belgaroui by KO/TKO vs. Santos + Over 1.5 rounds | +275 via bet365 |
| Garcia to win by decision vs. Rongzhu | +310 via bet365 |
🚀 My best Noche UFC pick: Fighter Bahamondes vs. Salikhov Under 1.5 rounds (-105)
Bahamondes deserves to be the favorite, but -550 asks bettors to pay a premium for his youth, length and higher striking output. Salikhov only needs to win 20% of the time to break even at +400, and that feels low for a decorated striker with 15 career knockout wins. In a vacuum, betting him is defensible value.
Salikhov still carries real danger at 41. He knocked out Song Kenan and Carlos Leal in the first round before Uros Medic stopped him early in his last appearance. Bahamondes also enters after consecutive decision losses to Rafael Fiziev and Tofiq Musayev, so laying such a large price is difficult to justify.
The cleaner wager is a small Salikhov moneyline sprinkle, while Under 1.5 rounds gives us action on both fighters' finishing upside. Salikhov's last three fights have all ended in Round 1, and Bahamondes owns 11 knockout wins with nine first-round finishes.
🔥 More Noche UFC predictions
Check out our best UFC betting sites for the latest odds for this weekend's fights.
Belgaroui by KO/TKO vs. Santos + Over 1.5 rounds (+275)
While Belgaroui is the most trustworthy favorite of the three fights, his -850 moneyline leaves almost no betting value. The former GLORY title challenger has carried his elite kickboxing into MMA and owns eight knockout wins through nine professional victories.
The timing of those finishes makes the parlay market much more attractive. Belgaroui stopped Taiga Iwasaki, Azamat Bekoev, and Mansur Abdul-Malik in Round 3 in his last three wins. Santos has never lost by KO/TKO and averages nearly a full 15 minutes per UFC fight, giving him a track record of surviving deep into bouts.
Santos' durability sets up a script where this fight goes beyond 7:30 before Belgaroui's accuracy and volume take over. The regular KO/TKO price is playable at -160, but Belgaroui by KO/TKO plus Over 1.5 rounds at +275 is the more appealing way to attack the matchup.
Garcia to win by decision vs. Rongzhu (+310)
Rongzhu has looked much sharper during his current three-fight winning streak, including a 70-second stoppage of Victor Martinez in May. He deserves to be favored, though -170 is a little rich against a durable opponent who can turn the fight into a grind.
Garcia has also won three straight and seven of his last nine. He pressures consistently, mixes takedowns into his boxing and owns 77% takedown defense. Garcia's versatility gives him more ways to steal rounds if Rongzhu cannot fight at his preferred pace.
The +140 moneyline is enough to back Garcia outright, but the decision prop offers the better payout. Nine of Garcia's 19 career wins have come on the scorecards, including victories over Vinc Pichel and Alexander Hernandez during his current streak. Garcia by decision at +310 is the value angle.
📝 Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado fight card
- Jean Silva vs. Jose Miguel Delgado, featherweight
- Brandon Moreno vs. Joseph Morales, flyweight
- Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki, featherweight
- Manon Fiorot vs. Alex Grasso, women's flyweight
- Waldo Cortes Acosta vs. Curtis Blaydes, heavyweight
- David Martinez vs. Dan Ige, bantamweight
- Tim Elliott vs. Edgar Chairez, catch weight
- Ignacio Bahamondes vs. Muslim Salikhov, welterweight
- Yousri Belgaroui vs. Djorden Santos, middleweight
- Drakkar Klose vs. Tommy Gantt, lightweight
- Rafa Garcia vs. Rongzhu, lightweight
- Sean King vs. Jessie Rosas, featherweight
- JJ Aldrich vs. Regina Tarin, women's flyweight
📺 How to watch Noche UFC prelims
- Date: Saturday, Sept. 12
- Time: 2 p.m. ET (prelims), 5 p.m. ET (main card)
- Location: Desert Diamond Arena (Glendale, Ariz.)
- TV: Paramount+
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