Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy Prediction, Picks & Odds: Tsarukyan's Wrestling Will Take Over
My Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy prediction in this UFC 331 betting preview backs Arman to win the five-round lightweight co-main event at Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles. Tsarukyan is a -350 favorite at FanDuel, with the main card beginning at 9 p.m. ET on Paramount+.
Ruffy has stopped Rafael Fiziev and Michael Chandler in back-to-back fights and owns 13 knockouts in 14 wins. His lone UFC loss came when Benoit Saint Denis repeatedly grounded him and found a second-round submission. Tsarukyan brings an even stronger wrestling base, which should keep Ruffy from settling in.
🩸 Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy predictions: UFC 331
See all of our UFC picks for this weekend's fights.
| Market | Pick | Odds | Bet size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pick to win | Tsarukyan to win | -350 via FanDuel | 2 units to win 0.57 |
| Method of victory | Tsarukyan by submission | +230 bet365 | 1.5 units to win 3.45 |
| Best bet | Under 2.5 rounds | -112 via FanDuel | 2.25 units to win 2.01 |
Total wagered: 5.75 units | Max profit: 6.03 units
💰 Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy best bet: Under 2.5 rounds (-112)
The Under 2.5 rounds gives us both sides of the matchup. Five of Ruffy's six UFC fights have finished before the 2.5-round mark, with four knockout wins and one submission loss.
Tsarukyan can recreate the wrestling problem Saint Denis exposed, while the Under also covers the chance Ruffy scores an early knockout. Arman submitted Dan Hooker in Round 2 after 6:02 of control. At -112, I prefer that flexibility to -150 on Tsarukyan by KO or submission.
🆚 Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy fight preview
Check our best UFC betting sites for the latest odds for this fight.
Ruffy is the cleaner knockout threat, boasting nine first-round finishes. He has stopped Fiziev and Chandler in consecutive fights, so Tsarukyan cannot linger at range. Ruffy also owns a three-inch reach edge and lands 4.19 significant strikes per minute at 58% accuracy.
Tsarukyan's wrestling should decide the matchup. He averages 3.26 takedowns per 15 minutes and submitted Hooker with an arm triangle after 6:02 of control. Saint Denis exposed the Brazilian, taking Ruffy down three times before a second-round submission. I trust Arman to force those exchanges earlier and more consistently.
Prediction: Arman Tsarukyan to win (-350 via FanDuel)
📊 Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy odds
Odds via FanDuel; subject to change.
| Arman Tsarukyan | Mauricio Ruffy | |
|---|---|---|
| -350 | Win outright | +255 |
| +220 | Win by KO/TKO/DQ | +390 |
| +230 | Win by submission | +3000 |
| +360 | Win by decision | +1300 |
| Over: -112 | Over/Under 2.5 rounds | Under: -112 |
⚖️ Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy tale of the tape
| Arman Tsarukyan | Mauricio Ruffy | |
|---|---|---|
| 29 | Age | 30 |
| 5'7" | Height | 5'11" |
| 155 lbs | Weight | 155 lbs |
| 72.5 in | Reach | 75 in |
| 23-3 | Record | 14-2 |
| 9 | Wins by KO | 13 |
| 6 | Wins by submission | 0 |
📺 How to watch Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy: UFC 331
- Date: Saturday, Sept 19
- Time: 9 p.m. ET (main card)
- Location: Crypto.com Arena (Los Angeles)
- TV: Paramount+
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