Portugal vs. USA Predictions & Women's World Cup Odds: Americans Target Last 16
The USA needs only a draw against Portugal to secure a spot in the Round of 16 of the Women's World Cup as we look at our best Portugal vs. USA prediction based on the Women's World Cup odds from our best World Cup betting sites.
The USA will conclude their group stage of the Women's World Cup against tournament debutants Portugal. Ominously for the Portuguese, the Americans have won all 11 World Cup matches they've played against debutants. The United States have recently dominated Portugal, securing victories in four consecutive matches dating back to November 2018. During that span, the USA side has outscored them 9-0.
Lindsey Horan has contributed to a goal in five of her six career starts at the FIFA Women's World Cup (4 goals, 1 assist), including in each of her last four starts in the competition. Can she fire the USA into the knockout stages? Check out our Women's World Cup odds.
Here is our best Portugal vs. USA prediction for the Women's World Cup (odds via our best sports betting apps; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Portugal vs. USA prediction
USA -1.5 (-125 via BetMGM, Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
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The USA have won their final group stage game at seven of the previous eight FIFA Women’s World Cup tournaments, with the only exception being a 1-2 defeat to Sweden in 2011, but even then they still finished runners up.
The Americans currently have a superior goal difference to the Dutch, although that could change with the Netherlands facing Vietnam at the same time on Tuesday. U.S. head coach Vlatko Andonovski may need to call on his bench more against Portugal to keep things fresh and boost his side’s scoring potential.
The United States have scored in 12 straight games in all competitions. They’ve won five and drawn one in their last six outings. They scored 11 and conceded two in that period, netting first in five of the six.
In their last six matches in all competitions, Portugal have won two, drawn two, and lost two. They scored six and conceded four in that period, scoring first in three of the six contests. The Portuguese were winless at last year’s Women’s Euros, conceding on average more than three goals a game during the group stage.
The U.S. will be too strong for this team. We need them to win by two goals, which is more than achievable for a dominant side that will be focused on locking in their place in the next round. Goals could be a factor in determining whether they earn the higher seeding. Don’t be surprised if they turn it on and advance in style.
Portugal vs. USA best odds
BetMGM, Caesars (-125)
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | PointsBet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| USA -1.5 | USA -1 | USA -1.5 | USA -1.5 | USA -1.5 |
| -130 | -130 | -125 | -125 | -130 |
The USA are -425 favorites in this match. They are unbeaten in their last 19 Women's World Cup matches, the longest run without a defeat in the history of the competition.
Portugal are relative novices in tournament football, having only appeared in two European championships (2017, 2022) before this edition of the World Cup. A match with the No. 1 team in the world, a side in need of getting a positive result, may be a step too far for the Europeans.
The books believe the USA will get the goals they need to keep their place atop Group E. FanDuel doesn’t have the spread at 1.5, which is the line our other books set. Their alternative spread is -2, with the U.S. priced at +240. For that we’d need them to win by three goals.
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The best bet is to take the smaller odds on the play that gives us a realistic chance of winning. The USWNT is too strong for Portugal. We’re entering the business end of the competition. Prices are pretty evenly matched across the board. We’ll take the best value at -125 via BetMGM and Caesars. Caesars has been consistent at -125 for this play, while others have had movement.
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Portugal vs. USA game info
- Date: Tuesday, Aug. 1, 3 a.m. ET
- TV: FOX
- Location: Eden Park, Auckland, New Zealand
- Weather: 54 degrees, 6% chance of precipitation, 9 mph winds
Portugal-USA pick made 7/31/2023 at 3:45 a.m. ET.
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