⚽ Bayern Munich vs. PSG Prediction, Picks & Odds for Wednesday's Champions League Match
The French side has a slight psychological edge heading into the second leg of their Champions League semifinal against Bayern Munich. But, just like the first leg, Tuesday will be anything but straightforward, as our Bayern Munich vs. PSG prediction anticipates another unforgettable Champions League night.
Bayern Munich have been installed as the -167 favorites while PSG will be underdogs at +300 when they visit the Allianz Arena (3 p.m. ET on Peacock+) in Munich, Germany. Along with expecting another high-scoring contest, we're backing Harry Kane to find the back of the net as part of our Champions League best bets.
⚽ Bayern Munich vs. PSG predictions
See our experts' soccer picks based on the latest Champions League odds:
| Predictions | Best odds | Bet size | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich | -167 via bet365 | 1 unit -> 0.6 units | ⭐⭐⭐ |
| Over 2.5 goals | -500 via bet365 | 2.5 units -> 0.5 units | ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Both teams to score | -400 via bet365 | 2.5 units -> 0.63 units | ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Harry Kane anytime goal | -180 via FanDuel | 1 unit -> 0.66 units | ⭐⭐⭐ |
Total wagered: 7 units | Max profit: 2.39 units
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💰 Bayern Munich vs. PSG best bet
Check out all of our soccer betting analysis and expert predictions this season.
Bayern Munich ML (-167)
PSG came out on top after an epic 5-4 battle in Paris last week, but Bayern Munich are a different team at the Allianz Arena. Bayern have yet to lose at home in the Champions League (6-0-0) and have only suffered one defeat in 23 games in Munich this season.
The fact that Bayern netted four goals away from home should also give Wednesday's hosts confidence that they can find a way through PSG's defense, especially with star right-back Achraf Hakimi out with an injury.
Hakimi's injury could result in a more levelled approach from PSG, while Bayern could be set to exploit his absence as the French side doesn't have another right-back capable of filling the void left by the Moroccan.
Score prediction: Bayern Munich 3, PSG 2 (Bayern progress on penalties)
🔥 Best Bayern Munich vs. PSG prop bet
Both teams to score (-400)
If the first leg is any indication, Wednesday's game could be another shootout. With Bayern forced to attack in an effort to overturn the 5-4 deficit and PSG's forwards playing with devastating rhythm, we're backing both teams to score in Munich.
PSG's Khvicha Kvaratskhelia is practically scoring at will these days after netting seven goals in the last six Champions League games, while Ousmane Dembele has rediscovered the form that helped him win the 2025 Ballon d'Or.
Bayern's attack is just as lethal, with Harry Kane leading the charge with 13 goals in the Champions League, while Michael Olise and Luis Diaz patrol the flanks.
🙌 Best Bayern Munich vs. PSG goal-scorer prediction
Harry Kane, Bayern Munich (-180)
It's going to be another busy night for Bayern Munich's top scorer, Harry Kane. Whether it's from open play or another penalty, we're backing Kane to find the back of the net Wednesday, extending his Champions League scoring streak to five games.
The England international will receive quality service from playmakers such as Jamal Musiala and Michael Olise against a PSG team that he's averaging more than two shots on target against over two games this season.
At 32, Kane isn't showing any signs of slowing down. Kane scored from the spot in the first leg to bring his Champions League tally to 13 goals, the most by an English player in the competition.
🚀 Bayern Munich vs. PSG same-game parlay
The process for picking our three-leg parlay leaned heavily on the assumption that the second leg will come close to mirroring the frantic nature of last week's game in Paris. Both teams scoring should eventually see the over top 2.5 goals, while we're expecting Kane to score again, as he's Bayern's main focal point in attack and the team's designated penalty taker. It's not the riskiest bet in the world, but it has a legitimate shot at being a winner.
💵 Bayern Munich vs. PSG SGP picks
- Over 2.5 goals (-500)
- Both teams to score (-400)
- Harry Kane anytime goal (-180)
Best odds: +133 via bet365 (2.5 units -> 3.3 units)
⚖️ How I'm handicapping Bayern Munich vs. PSG
Defense will be an afterthought when the action kicks off in Munich. With Bayern needing to win by two goals to advance, the hosts will be on the front foot right from the start. It's why we're anticipating another game packed with goals.
But it won't just be the hosts pushing forward, as we expect PSG to be aggressive and exploit spaces left by Bayern's attempts to score. If the game is as open as the first leg, then the edge goes to PSG.
Bayern's ability to contain Khvicha Kvaratskhelia and Ousmane Dembele will be crucial. The Georgian star proved difficult for Dayot Upamencano to defend, while Dembele could've killed the tie if he didn't squander multiple high-probability scoring chances outside of the two that he scored.
Bayern Munich vs. PSG key stats
| Bayern Munich | PSG | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 42 | 43 |
| Goals against | 19 | 21 |
| Shots on target | 100 | 106 |
| xG | 36.04 | 30.72 |
📊 Bayern Munich vs. PSG odds
The odds for Bayern Munich to win have drifted since the opening odds, from -150 to -167, suggesting that there's scepticism about their ability to contain PSG. Meanwhile, PSG's odds have gone down from +320 to +300 in an indication that bettors are confident that PSG can win outright or secure a draw to move onto the final.
🆚 Bayern Munich vs. PSG projected lineups
Here are Wednesday's projected lineups for Bayern Munich vs. PSG; lineups subject to change:
| Bayern Munich | PSG |
|---|---|
| Neuer | Safonov |
| Stanisic | Zaire-Emery |
| Upamecano | Marquinhos |
| Tah | Pacho |
| Davies | Mendes |
| Kimmich | Vitinha |
| Pavlovic | Neves |
| Olise | Ruiz |
| Musiala | Doue |
| Diaz | Kvaratshkelia |
| Kane | Dembele |
📈 Bayern Munich vs. PSG betting trends
| Bayern Munich | Statistic | PSG |
|---|---|---|
| 11-0-2 | Season record | 10-3-2 |
| 9-0-8 | H2H record | 8-0-9 |
| L-W-W-W-D | Last 5 games | W-W-W-L-D |
| Tied 3-3 vs. Heidenheim | Previous result | Tied 2-2 vs. Lorient |
| PSG have lost more away games against Bayern (5) than against any other opponent in the Champions League. | Key stat | PSG (43) and Bayern (42) are close to matching the Champions League record (45) for goals scored in a season. |
With PSG's Achraf Hakimi ruled out, right-back responsibilities could fall to Warren Zaïre-Emery. PSG coach Luis Enrique could make further adjustments to account for Hakimi's absence, with Fabian Ruiz likely starting in order to strengthen PSG's midfield.
Vitinha might be deployed in a deeper role in order to cut off the passing lanes that helped Bayern score four goals last week.
Meanwhile, Vincent Kompany is set to have almost a full squad available after the return of teenage star Lennart Karl to training. However, Serge Gnabry and Raphael Guerreiro remain sidelined.
🌤️ Bayern Munich vs. PSG weather
There will be a high of 46 in the evening with light rain during the game. Rainy conditions are expected to result in the pitch being slippery, leading to both teams playing cautiously to avoid costly mistakes. The slippery surface means that there's a higher risk of teams making errors.
📺 How to watch Bayern Munich vs. PSG
- Date: Wednesday, May 6
- Kickoff: 3 p.m. ET
- Location: Allianz Arena (Munich, Germany)
- TV: Peacock+
❓ Bayern Munich vs. PSG FAQ
Who is favored to win Bayern Munich vs. PSG?
Bayern Munich are a -167 betting favorite against PSG on Wednesday.
Who is the best Bayern Munich vs. PSG bet?
The best bets for Bayern Munich vs. PSG include Harry Kane to score (-180).
Where to watch Bayern Munich vs. PSG in the US and Canada?
You can watch Bayern Munich vs. PSG on Paramount+ in the United States, or stream the game on DAZN in Canada.
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