Czechia vs. Spain Prediction, Picks & Odds for Thursday's Nations League Match
I'm backing La Roja to extend their winning streak to 12 matches in my Czechia vs. Spain prediction for Thursday's Nations League match at epet Arena in Prague (2:45 p.m. ET, FOX Sports).
Spain are the gigantic -600 betting favorite despite having already qualified for the quarterfinals. I sourced a bet that garners the most value for a Spain victory while also featuring two other picks, including which player I like to score.
Czechia vs. Spain predictions & best bets
See our experts' soccer picks.
| Best bets | Best odds | Wager (units) |
|---|---|---|
| Spain & Under 4.5 goals | -145 via BetMGM | 2 units to profit 1.38 units |
| Under 3.5 goals | -132 via FanDuel | 1 unit to profit 0.76 units |
| Ferran Torres anytime goal | -125 via FanDuel | 0.5 units to profit 0.8 units |
Picks submitted: Wednesday, Nov. 10 at 5 p.m. ET
Total units bet: 3.5 | Maximum profit if all bets cash: 2.94 units
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Czechia vs. Spain best bet
Check out all of our soccer betting analysis and expert predictions this season.
Spain ML & Under 4.5 goals (-145)
While two of Spain's four Nation League matches had five goals, I'm going with the under in Thursday's match due to the circumstances.
Spain have already qualified for the quarterfinals, while Czechia cannot book a ticket to the final eight. Spain don't have two of their most potent offensive threats available, with Lamine Yamal and Mikel Oyarzabal missing out.
With a critical match against England forthcoming in which first place will be up for grabs, Spain won't want to take their foot off the gas. At the same time, they won't be at their most prolific.
They've won 11 consecutive competitive matches since being held 0-0 by Cabo Verde in the World Cup opener. Czechia, meanwhile, have lost five in a row and are winless in seven.
📡 SBR Edge
Czechia are at the bottom of the group with 0 points and lost the last two against Spain and England by a combined 6-1. However, they are usually way more competitive at home, losing 2-0 to England and 2-1 to Croatia.
Score prediction: Spain 2, Czechia 0
More Czechia vs. Spain expert picks
Under 3.5 goals (-132)
They've won 11 consecutive competitive matches since being held 0-0 by Cabo Verde in the World Cup opener. Czechia, meanwhile, have lost five in a row and are winless in seven.
Spain haven't kept a clean sheet in four tournament matches, and I expect that run to end in Prague. With two goals in four matches, Czechia's attack not only lacks a cutting edge, but they also struggle to create.
They have just 1.9 expected goals, the fewest of any team, and only three big chances, four less than Wales, which has the second-fewest. Spain will be keen on keeping things tight at the back, particularly on the road, and they won't have a couple of their most creative players available.
Ferran Torres anytime goal (-125)
Ferran Torres should get his chance up front with Oyarzabal set to miss out due to illness. The PSG creator hasn't featured for the national team since the opener against England, where he played 55 minutes before being withdrawn.
However, the 26-year-old scored the winner in the World Cup Final against Argentina, and he has been productive for PSG, netting three goals in four Champions League appearances and four in 10 in La Liga. With Spain creating the second-most big chances (19), Torres should get at least one golden opportunity.
Czechia vs. Spain key stats
| Czechia | Spain | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-0-4 | 4-0-0 |
| Home/Away Record | 0-0-2/0-0-2 | 2-0-0/2-0-0 |
| Recent form (all comps) | LLLLL | WWWWW |
| Goals for | 2 | 12 |
| Goals against | 10 | 5 |
| Goals for (xGF) | 1.9 | 8.2 |
| Goals against (xGA) | 7.5 | 3.7 |
| Average possession | 35.9% | 64.4% |
Czechia vs. Spain odds
Czechia (+1000) | Spain (-600) | Draw (-600)
Over 3.5 (+108) | Under 3.5 (-132)
Czechia vs. Spain projected lineups
Here are the projected lineups for Czechia vs. Spain; subject to change:
| Czechia (4-2-3-1) | Spain (4-2-3-1) |
|---|---|
| Kinsky (GK) | Simon (GK) |
| Coufal (D) | Porro (D) |
| Chaloupek (D) | Cubarsi (D) |
| Krejci (D) | Laporte (D) |
| Slama (D) | Cucurella (D) |
| Kral (M) | Pedri (M) |
| Soucek (M) | Ruiz (M) |
| Cerv (M) | N Williams (M) |
| Ambros (M) | Fermin (M) |
| Danek (M) | Baena (M) |
| Hlozek (F) | Torres (F) |
How to watch Czechia vs. Spain
- Date: Thursday, Nov. 12
- Kickoff: 2:45 p.m. ET
- Location: epet Arena (Prague)
- TV/Streaming: FOX Sports
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