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Colts vs. Bengals NFL Player Props, Odds: Picks & Predictions

Mike Spector

Last Updated: December 10, 2023 12:05 PM EST • 3 min 15 sec read.

The Cincinnati Bengals host the Indianapolis Colts in Week 14 in a battle between teams coming off overtime victories, and we offer our best Colts vs. Bengals NFL player props based on the best NFL odds at our best sportsbooks.

The 7-5 Indianapolis Colts enter Sunday's game riding high with a four-game winning streak, fueled by their thrilling 31-28 overtime win against the Tennessee Titans in Week 13. This streak stands as their longest run of victories since 2018, coincidentally the year they last swept their AFC South rivals in the season series.

Similarly, the Cincinnati Bengals (6-6) secured a 34-31 overtime victory over the Jacksonville Jaguars, their first road win in primetime since 2012. Notably, they became the first team this season to defeat the top moneyline favorite of the week.  

In addition to our NFL Week 14 predictions and NFL Week 14 player props and best bets, here are our best Colts vs. Bengals NFL player props for Week 14 (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Colts vs. Bengals NFL player props: Week 14

Gardner Minshew Under 229.5 passing yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐

Gardner Minshew is coming off his third 300-yard passing game in the last seven weeks, but last week was his first game with over 251 yards among the previous five, and we are not getting too excited about it, given the opponent. The Tennessee Titans entered last week ranked in the bottom 10 in yards per attempt allowed and the bottom three in completion percentage over expected since Week 7. Minshew took advantage of that, as he had ranked 25th or worse in passer rating and yards per attempt over the previous seven games. 

Per Sharp Football Analysis, Cincinnati is averaging more than 51 fewer rushing yards per game than its opponent, the worst differential in the league, so we expect the Colts to lean on the running game more this week, especially in an outdoor game away from their dome.

bet365 is the only shop offering less than -115 odds to back the Under, and we are also getting the best number there, as FanDuel is slightly lower with an O/U of 226.5.

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Joe Mixon anytime touchdown scorer (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Joe Mixon is coming off a week where he scored 29.7 fantasy points, the most among all running backs. He has six touchdowns over the last six games after scoring just one touchdown through the first six. Mixon faces a Colts defense that ranks in the bottom three in success rate against the run and one that has allowed more rushing touchdowns than all but two teams.

Mixon also contributes in the passing game with five or more targets and five-plus receptions in three of the last five weeks. Considering his quarterback, Jake Browning, is coming off the first game in franchise history with 350 passing yards and an 85% completion percentage, Mixon gives bettors plenty of versatility by cashing this wager on the ground or through the air.

DraftKings and FanDuel are on the high end with anytime touchdown odds of -140, so using our bet365 bonus code, SBRBONUS, to get the -110 is an excellent value in comparison.

Ja’Marr Chase Over 65.5 receiving yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐

So far, there has not been a huge dropoff at quarterback from the injured Joe Burrow to Jake Browning. Browning has established a solid rapport with Chase through his first two starts, as Chase has 15 catches for 230 yards and a touchdown in that span. Chase is coming off his fourth game this season with 10-plus catches, and Browning was 11-for-12 for 149 yards and a touchdown when targeting Chase last week.

From the second quarter onward last week, Browning averaged 5.1 air yards, went 7-for-7 on throws of 10 or more air yards, and averaged 10.7 yards per attempt. Thus, his ability to consistently complete a deep ball raises Chase’s ceiling considerably, and Indianapolis ranks in the bottom eight of the league in pressure rate and plays man coverage at the lowest rate in the league, which means Chase should have time to find soft spots in zone coverage consistently.

Once again, bet365 is one of many of our best sports betting apps offering an O/U of 65.5 yards, but it is the only shop where one can back the Over at cheaper than -115 odds. FanDuel is the highest of all shops on Chase, with his O/U set at 70.5.

Colts vs. Bengals player props made Thursday at 6:27 a.m. ET.

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Written By:
Mike Spector
Mike started in the sports writing industry in July 2019, and gained a lot of followers in his first year after finishing with the No. 2 overall record in an annual NFL betting competition, which made picks against the spread, and from an Over/Under and moneyline perspective. Mike is an avid fan of the NFL, MLB, tennis, and all college sports. In his opinion, March Madness is the best sporting event there is, and he's especially euphoric starting with conference tournament time in college basketball. Mike's a big advocate of "fading the public" and making plays that are contrarian, constantly citing that "there are reasons why they have those big shiny buildings in Las Vegas." When making wagers, Mike always scours the best odds at all of the major sports betting sites, where he mostly sifts through DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and bet365. He's tried several others and is of the firm belief that bettors should not just stick to one sportsbook, as there is always likely better value to be had with the same wager. In addition, while Mike received his undergraduate degree from Villanova University, he has no issue betting against the Wildcats when it comes to college basketball wagering, and suggests other bettors should always put their “head” before their “hearts.”