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Broncos vs. Chargers NFL Player Props, Odds: Picks & Predictions

Mike Spector

Last Updated: December 10, 2023 2:54 PM EST • 3 min 28 sec read.

Keenan Allen of the Los Angeles Chargers celebrates as we share our best Broncos vs. Chargers player props.
Keenan Allen of the Los Angeles Chargers celebrates after scoring a touchdown during the first quarter against the Dallas Cowboys. Photo by Kevork Djansezian/Getty Images via AFP.

The Los Angeles Chargers host the Denver Broncos in a Week 14 battle between AFC West rivals looking to make a late playoff push, and we offer our best Broncos vs. Chargers NFL player props for Week 14 based on the best NFL odds.

The Denver Broncos (6-6) faced a setback in Week 13 as their five-game winning streak ended with a 22-17 loss to the Houston Texans. QB Russell Wilson struggled, in particular, throwing three interceptions for just the second time since joining the Broncos in 2020 and only the seventh time in his 12-year career.

In a historic low-scoring game, the Los Angeles Chargers clinched a 6-0 win against the New England Patriots in Week 13, marking their lowest point total for a victory in franchise history. This crucial win halted a three-game losing streak for the Chargers, providing a much-needed boost as they now target their fourth straight home victory against division rival Denver.

In addition to our NFL Week 14 predictions and NFL Week 14 player props and best bets, here are our best Broncos vs. Chargers NFL player props (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Broncos vs. Chargers NFL player props: Week 14

Justin Herbert Under 257.5 passing yards (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Herbert has seven games with 20 or more fantasy points, third-most among quarterbacks this season. However, he is coming off an eight-point performance in Week 13 that ranked him outside the top 20. Herbert has been trending downward before that, with fewer than 5.0 yards per pass attempt in two of the last five games, after doing that twice in 57 prior starts. 

Against the Broncos blitz in Week 13, Texans quarterback C.J. Stroud completed just 55% of his pass attempts for 57 yards. Against the blitz since Week 9, Herbert has completed 58% of his passes, which ranks 21st among quarterbacks. We were tempted to take the Under on Herbert’s passing touchdowns, considering Denver has allowed seven passing touchdowns in the last eight games after allowing 13 over the first four. 

However, we find better value with the Under for his passing yards, despite the steeper -114 price, as FanDuel’s total is slightly higher than the O/U of 256.5 found at our other best sports betting apps.

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Keenan Allen Under 84.5 receiving yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐

Allen has been a monster this season, as his 102 receptions put him within range of Michael Thomas’ NFL record of 149 catches in a single season. His 1,175 receiving yards rank third in the league, and weekly volume is not an issue, as he has 71 more catches than the Chargers’ next leading player (Austin Ekeler) and 76 more than the next receiver (Quentin Johnston).

Thus, expect the Broncos to use shutdown cornerback Patrick Surtain a lot in shadow coverage against Allen. In Surtain’s career, Herbert has thrown his way 17 times, and Surtain has allowed seven receptions for 59 yards with six combined pass breakups and interceptions.

Denver’s defense has done an excellent job of making adjustments recently, even mid-game, as it limited Stroud to just 120 passing yards over the final three quarters after surrendering 154 yards through the air over the opening 15 minutes. 

In addition, Allen is coming off a five-catch, 58-yard performance against New England - both of which were his third-worst marks this season - so the quad injury that had him questionable to suit up last week may be hampering him.

We are only making this a three-star play as Allen will likely be used a lot in the slot, where he should not draw coverage from Surtain often. Our go-to shop is bet365, the only one of our best sports betting sites charging less than -114 odds to back the Under.

Wil Lutz Over 6.5 kicking points (+105 via DraftKings, bet365) ⭐⭐⭐

Lutz has made 25 of his 27 field goal attempts (92.6%) this season for the Broncos, so we know he can be counted on delivering three points on most attempts. He has six or more kicking points in five of the previous six games, and because of the Broncos' perpetual red-zone issues, he has a great chance to score at least six points again this week.

Per Sharp Football Analysis, the Broncos have scored a touchdown on less than half (48.6%) of their red-zone possessions, which ranks 24th in the league. However, we expect Denver to move the ball successfully, as Los Angeles ranks in the bottom six of the league in yards per drive allowed (32.3).

DraftKings had Lutz’s O/U set at 5.5 earlier in the week (-140 to back the Over), but we are still firing away at this slightly higher total as a three-star play as we are enticed by the plus-money odds.

Broncos vs. Chargers player props made 12/7/2023 at 6:31 a.m. ET

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Written By:
Mike Spector
I have been in the sports writing industry for over three years, working for sites like BettingPros/FantasyPros, Oddschecker, and Sportsbook Review. In my first year writing for BettingPros, I finished with the #2 overall record in their annual NFL betting competition, which made picks against the spread, and from an over/under and moneyline perspective. I am an avid fan of the NFL, MLB, and all college sports. In my opinion, March Madness is the best sporting event there is, and I am especially euphoric starting with conference tournament time in college basketball. I am a big advocate of "fading the public" and making plays that are contrarian, constantly citing that "there are reasons why they have those big shiny buildings in Las Vegas." Follow me on Twitter for my best bets and commentary to go along with the wagers.