Wisconsin vs. Michigan State Prediction, Odds & Score Picks: Big Ten Semifinal Best Bets
Wisconsin (25-8) and Michigan State (27-5) will battle for a spot in tomorrow's Big Ten title game. Tipoff is slated for 1 p.m. ET (CBS) today from Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis.
Michigan State is a 3.5-point favorite at our best sports betting sites after winning the regular-season meeting between these two teams with a 71-62 victory on March 2. However, projections favor Wisconsin’s chances of covering the spread in the rematch.
Read on for our Wisconsin vs. Michigan State prediction, odds, and expert picks for this Big Ten semifinal showdown.
💰 Wisconsin vs. Michigan State predictions, expert picks & best bets: Big Ten semifinal
Here are my best Wisconsin vs. Michigan State predictions, expert picks, and best bets today for the Big Ten semifinal with my pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale. Be sure to check out the rest of our college basketball picks along with our guide on how to bet on college basketball.
- Against the spread pick: Wisconsin +3.5 (-110 via bet365) vs. Michigan State ⭐⭐⭐
- My best player prop bet: John Blackwell Over 1.5 3-pointers (-115 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Exact score prediction: Wisconsin 75, Michigan State 73 (+16000 via DraftKings)
👉 Check out our latest March Madness projections with our SBR Bracketology ahead of the NCAA Tournament!
🏀 Wisconsin vs. Michigan State ATS prediction & best player prop bet pick
Here's why I'm betting on Wisconsin to cover the spread (+3.5) while targeting John Blackwell Over 1.5 3-pointers (-115) as my best player prop bet pick for today:
✅ Wisconsin to cover the spread (+3.5) ⭐⭐⭐
Because it’s March, the market is interested in backing Tom Izzo’s Spartans - that’s why the line climbed two points overnight.
However, Izzo’s reputation can create valuable fade spots. He might be 22-19-1 against the spread in the Big Ten tournament, but he’s actually 14-14-1 (-3.6% ROI) as a favorite in this event.
Projections show value on the Badgers, and I’m happy to take this line at +3 or better.
- KenPom’s score prediction: Michigan State 74, Wisconsin 73
- Bart Torvik’s score prediction: Wisconsin 73, Michigan State 72
📊 Best odds: -110 via bet365 (bet $10 to win $9.09)
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🔥 John Blackwell Over 1.5 3-pointers ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Wisconsin guard John Blackwell hit four 3-pointers on eight attempts in Friday’s 86-70 win over UCLA. He’s now connected on multiple 3-pointers in three of his past four games, averaging 7.25 attempts over that span.
Blackwell got off six attempts against Michigan State two weeks ago but missed all of them. If he gets that volume again, his odds of hitting two triples should be better than -115.
📊 Best odds: -115 via DraftKings (bet $10 to win $8.70)
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🎯 Expert Wisconsin vs. Michigan State score prediction & AI projections
🔮 Expert score prediction: Wisconsin 75, Michigan State 73
🤖 AI score prediction: Michigan State 74, Wisconsin 70
🔮 Expert score prediction: Wisconsin 75, Michigan State 73
The Spartans haven’t lost since Feb. 11, rattling off eight wins in a row. However, things tend to get chaotic in March, and I like Wisconsin’s chances of getting revenge in this one.
📊 Best odds: +16000 via DraftKings (bet $10 to win $1,600)
🤖 AI score prediction: Michigan State 74, Wisconsin 70
(Score prediction and analysis via ChatGPT - a large language model from OpenAI. While ChatGPT is not specifically designed for predicting sporting events, it can spot trends or insights that bettors might overlook.)
🖥️ AI predictions for Wisconsin vs. Michigan State
The projected final score for the Big Ten semifinal is Wisconsin 74, Michigan State 70.
- Win probability: Wisconsin 42% | Michigan State 58%
- Projected total points: 144
- Key takeaways:
- Michigan State's elite defense, ranked 5th by KenPom, will be tested against Wisconsin’s high-powered offense, which averages over 80 points per game.
- Michigan State’s freshman Jase Richardson has been on fire, scoring 17 points in their last game, with 15 coming in the second half.
- Wisconsin’s John Tonje led his team with 26 points and a perfect 6-for-6 from three in their quarterfinal game, meaning MSU’s perimeter defense must be at its best.
🤔 Betting takeaway: ChatGPT's AI score prediction leans toward Michigan State covering the spread (-3.5) and a total of Under 145.5 points.
📊 Live Wisconsin vs. Michigan State odds & latest betting splits
Here are the latest odds for Wisconsin vs. Michigan State, which update live in real time. You can also check out our NEW college basketball player prop odds tool for the latest college basketball odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your region.
🔢 Wisconsin vs. Michigan State opening odds
Here's a look at the opening odds for Wisconsin vs. Michigan State, according to DraftKings.
- Spread: Wisconsin +1.5 (-108) | Michigan State -1.5 (-112)
- Moneyline: Wisconsin +110 | Michigan State -130
- Over/Under: Over 144.5 (-112) | Under 144.5 (-108)
🏆 Who will win Wisconsin vs. Michigan State?
As of 10 a.m. ET, Michigan State is favored by 3.5 points to beat Wisconsin with moneyline odds of -170 at BetMGM, which suggests a 62.96% win probability for the Spartans. We're predicting a 75-73 win for Wisconsin as our final score projection.
So far, 76% of bettors have wagered against the spread on Michigan State -3.5, while 62% of bettors expect the game to finish Over the projected total of 145.5 points.
📺 How to watch Wisconsin vs. Michigan State today
📅 Date: Saturday, March 15
🕗 Time: 1 p.m. ET
📍 Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse (Indianapolis)
📺 TV: CBS
💻 Streaming: Paramount+
❓ Wisconsin vs. Michigan State FAQs
Who's favored to win the Big Ten Conference tournament?
Michigan State is favored to win the Big Ten conference tournament.
Who is favored to win Wisconsin vs. Michigan State?
The Spartans are -170 to beat Wisconsin, for an implied probability of 62.96%.
What are the betting odds for Wisconsin vs. Michigan State?
The latest spread is Wisconsin +3.5 (-115) | Michigan -3.5 (-105), with a total of 145.5 points (-110).
What will be the final score of Wisconsin vs. Michigan State?
We're predicting a final score of Wisconsin 75, Michigan State 73, entering today’s matchup at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.
What time is Wisconsin vs. Michigan State tonight?
Tipoff for Wisconsin vs. Michigan State is today at 1 p.m. ET.
⛹️ Best college basketball betting sites
Looking to bet on college basketball tonight? Here are our best March Madness betting sites as determined by our expert team at Sportsbook Review, along with our best March Madness betting promos ahead of the NCAA Tournament.
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