Caitlin Clark Player Props & Prediction: Iowa Star Could Struggle in Final Four
Caitlin Clark leads the Iowa Hawkeyes into a Final Four clash on Friday against the UConn Huskies, as we offer our best Caitlin Clark player props based on the top women's Final Four odds.
Through the first four rounds of the NCAA Tournament, Caitlin Clark has put on a show for the No. 1 seed Iowa Hawkeyes (33-4). She'll try to stay hot on Friday against the No. 3 seed UConn Huskies (33-5) in the second game of the women's Final Four, which tips off at 9:30 p.m. ET (ESPN) from Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse in Cleveland, Ohio.
In her last game, Clark dropped 41 points and 12 assists in Iowa's thrilling victory over LSU in the Elite Eight. Despite this, the Hawkeyes are still playing second fiddle in the latest women's March Madness odds behind favorite South Carolina, and Clark could be staring down the final game of her collegiate career if UConn's defense has its say.
Along with our UConn vs. Iowa prediction and NC State vs. South Carolina prediction, here are our best Caitlin Clark player props (odds via our best March Madness betting sites; Pick confidence is based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Caitlin Clark player props for UConn vs. Iowa
Caitlin Clark Under 33.5 points ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: -105 via DraftKings
Look, it takes some courage to bet the Under on a Clark scoring prop, especially under the bright lights of the Final Four. But this market is getting out of hand.
Even with Clark's scoring heroics taking center stage in this tournament, she's still surpassed this total just once in her last four games and three times over the previous 11 tries. In fact, she's cleared this mark just 15 times in 37 contests all season, many of which came against vastly inferior competition.
Now Clark is tasked with continuing her torrid run against a UConn team that ranks sixth in defensive rating (79.6) and just held USC star JuJu Watkins under 30 points in the Elite Eight. I have my doubts about the Huskies' ability to fully limit Clark for 40 minutes, but this number feels far too high to ignore.
This prop total is dealing as high as 34.5 at Caesars, though the Under at that number is -120. I'd rather risk the extra point here with the best odds on the market at -105 via DraftKings. But go with the higher number if you're looking for extra security.
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Caitlin Clark Under 5.5 threes ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: +116 via FanDuel
I'm not here to be a buzzkill, but the market has driven these totals to unbelievable heights. I simply can't believe we're catching +116 odds at FanDuel to bet the Under on such a high total.
Yes, Clark might be the best 3-point shooter in the history of women's basketball. Even so, she's hit more than five threes once in her last seven games. That came in the Elite Eight, when she drilled nine triples in a shooting display that left primary defender Hailey Van Lith - who stands all of 5-7 - shrugging her shoulders in disbelief.
UConn doesn't trot out one elite perimeter stopper, but it features enough size out there to deter Clark from attempting 20 shots from deep as she did on Monday. I'd be shocked if Geno Auriemma doesn't cook up a plan to keep Clark from singlehandedly winning this game from beyond the arc.
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Caitlin Clark Over 10.5 assists ⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: +100 via bet365
This is the brilliance of Clark's game. Even if she isn't hitting nine threes or scoring 30-plus points, Clark is one of the best playmakers in all of college basketball.
The Iowa star has finished with at least 10 assists in five of her last six games, clearing this mark in four. She's dished out a combined 27 assists over her last two contests. That came even as she was slicing up Colorado and LSU to the tune of 70 points combined.
If the Huskies try to chase Clark off the line and force her into the lane - as I suspect they will - that frees her up for drive-and-kick opportunities to the Hawkeyes' unheralded supporting cast, which is full of capable shooters. This number is a touch higher than I'd like, but it's well worth a wager at +100 odds.
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UConn (3) vs. Iowa (1) game info
- When: Friday, April 5
- Tip-off: 9:30 p.m. ET
- Where: Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse
- How to watch: ESPN
- Favorite: Iowa -2.5 (-115 via BetMGM)
UConn vs. Iowa odds
| Teams | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iowa | -150 | -2.5 (-115) | Over: 162.5 |
| UConn | +125 | +2.5 (-105) | Under: 162.5 |
Caitlin Clark player props made Thursday at 2 p.m. ET.
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