Warriors vs. Spurs Prediction: NBA Picks & Odds (Nov. 13)
Golden State will be without Stephen Curry for at least two weeks, including tonight in San Antonio, as I provide my Warriors vs. Spurs prediction for Friday's NBA Cup action.
Tipoff is at 9:30 p.m. ET from the Frost Bank Center in San Antonio (Prime Video). The Spurs are lined as an 11.5-point home betting favorite, but my best bet targets the total instead.
Warriors vs. Spurs picks & odds
See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds.
| Pick | Odds | Bet size (units) |
|---|---|---|
| Over 218.5 | -108 via DraftKings | 1 unit to profit 0.93 units |
| Victor Wembanyama Over 39.5 points + rebounds | -113 via bet365 | 0.5 units to profit 0.44 units |
| Draymond Green Over 6.5 assists | +118 via FanDuel | 0.5 units to profit 0.59 units |
Picks submitted: Nov. 13 at 9 a.m. ET. Odds subject to change.
Total wagered: 2 units | Profit if all picks win: 1.96 units
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Warriors vs. Spurs best bet
Over 218.5 (-108 via DraftKings)
No Stephen Curry in this matchup has significantly dropped the total from the opening line of 234.5 points. That big of a drop-off creates a great value play on the Over.
Going back five seasons, Warriors games have featured an average of 224.2 points without Curry in the lineup. That's from a 103-game sample and includes a 240 combined points in the Warriors vs. Spurs contest that Curry missed last season. On top of that, only one Spurs home game all year has finished below this total.
This being an NBA Cup game, scoring differential matters for the group stage standings. I wouldn't expect either team to empty their bench until very late, which further boosts the scoring potential in this matchup. With the total hanging somewhere between 218.5 and 220.5 among the best sports betting sites, I grabbed the -108 odds on DraftKings' 218.5 line.
Play to: 220.5 (-105)
Score prediction: Spurs 117, Warriors 106
Warriors vs. Spurs player props
Victor Wembanyama Over 39.5 points + rebounds (-113 via bet365)
The Spurs' backcourt is uncertain heading into tonight, with De'Aaron Fox questionable, so I'm focusing on San Antonio's superstar center instead.
Now is the perfect time to back the red-hot Victor Wembanyama, who's averaging career highs in both points and rebounds. The NBA MVP odds co-favorite is averaging 41.8 points + rebounds at home this season and has hit the Over on this combo prop total in six of his last eight games.
The Warriors lack size inside, making this a prime matchup for Wemby to exploit. I searched for the best line and odds on this player prop, with bet365 offering both.
Play to: 41.5 (-104)
Draymond Green Over 6.5 assists (+118 via FanDuel)
Draymond Green remains an offensive hub for the Warriors and will be relied upon to free up Golden State's young scorers in Curry's absence. Green has exceeded this assists total in three of the Warriors' four road contests, and his career assist averages are comparable with or without Curry, his longtime running mate.
Green would be unwise to try to score on Wembyama in the paint tonight, meaning he has to be a pass-first player against the Spurs. I bet on FanDuel's 6.5 assists line for market-best +118 betting odds.
Play to: 5.5 (-120), pass at 7.5.
Live Warriors vs. Spurs odds
See the latest odds movement and more on our Warriors vs. Spurs page.
Latest Warriors vs. Spurs injuries
How to watch Warriors vs. Spurs
- Date: Friday, Nov. 13
- Tipoff: 9:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Frost Bank Center (San Antonio)
- Streaming: Prime Video
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