🏀 Timberwolves vs. Spurs Player Props Today: NBA Playoffs Best Bets & Picks for Game 5
Last Updated: May 12, 2026 3:24 PM EDT β’ 3 minute read X Social Google News Link
📡 SBR Edge: Buy Reid, Sell Wembanyama
My Timberwolves vs. Spurs player props for Game 5 today feature Naz Reid Over 1.5 three-pointers made (-126). He went over this line in each of the first three games in this series. My second NBA best bet is Victor Wembanyama Under 27.5 points (-118), as he has scored 27 or fewer points in six of his last seven games.
π Best Timberwolves vs. Spurs player props: NBA Playoffs Game 5
See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds for the playoffs.
| π° Pick | π‘ Best odds | βοΈ Bet size | π§ Why I'm making this bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Naz Reid Over 1.5 three-pointers made | -126 via DraftKings | 1.26u -> 1u | Made 2+ 3PT in first 3 games of this series |
| Victor Wembanyama Under 27.5 points | -118 via DraftKings | 1.18u -> 1u | Has scored 27 or fewer points in 6 of his last 7 games |
Total wagered: 2.44 units | Max profit: 2 units
π° Best Timberwolves vs. Spurs prop bet
Follow all of our NBA analysis and expert predictions this season.
Naz Reid Over 1.5 three-pointers made (-126)
The first thing I did when handicapping this game was ignore Game 4. Why? Because Wembanyamaβs ejection changed the entire dynamic, and he likely wonβt be ejected again today. Reid made two or more 3-pointers in each of the first three games in this series, including a 4-of-8 performance from deep in Game 3.
He shot 50% or higher from beyond the arc in each game, so three open looks today might be enough to cash this. DraftKings has Reid Over 1.5 three-pointers made at -126, but this bet is good up to -150 on the best sports betting sites.
🏀 More Timberwolves vs. Spurs predictions
Our LJ Blut breaks down why he likes the Timberwolves to cover the spread in his NBA play of the day.
π₯ More Timberwolves vs. Spurs prop picks
The Spurs have the second-shortest odds to win the NBA Finals.
Victor Wembanyama Under 27.5 points (-118)
I know player-prop markets are technically efficient - if you beat the closing line, you'll likely be profitable over a large sample - but Wembanyamaβs points prop has been too high this entire postseason. He's scored 27 or fewer in six of his last seven outings and has attempted 18 or more shots just twice in the playoffs.
For reference, Anthony Edwards - who is lined at 25.5 points - has attempted 22 or more field goals in back-to-back games. Wembanyama Under 27.5 is -118 at DraftKings, but I'd play this up to -140 on the best sports betting apps.
π Timberwolves vs. Spurs same-game parlay
Fox attempted 19 shots in Game 3 (which is the most recent useful data point we have, since Game 4 was mostly noise). If he can maintain that pace, he will likely score 20 points, and the Timberwolves keeping the game close would only give him more opportunities to score late in the fourth quarter. bet365 lists this SGP at +420, while FanDuel is offering only +333.
💵 Timberwolves vs. Spurs SGP picks
- De'Aaron Fox 20+ points
- Timberwolves +10
Best odds: +420 via bet365 (0.48u -> 2u)
π΅ My betting record for NBA picks
All NBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since Feb. 10.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 181-193-4 | -4.62 units β | -1.2% β |
| Player props | 157-133-4 | -6.76 units β | -2% β |
| Parlays | 20-55 | +3.03 units β | 13.6% β |
| Spreads | 2-3 | -0.8 units β | -13.1% β |
| Totals | 2-2 | -0.09 units β | -4.1% β |
My betting record in the NBA postseason
Tracked since April 14.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 73-66 | +12.72 units β | 11.9% β |
| Player props | 58-34 | +12.77 units β | 14.2% β |
| Parlays | 12-27 | +2.34 units β | 21.8% β |
| Spreads | 1-3 | -2.3 units β | -52.5% β |
| Totals | 2-2 | -0.09 units β | -4.1% β |
π‘ How I'm betting Timberwolves vs. Spurs: NBA Playoffs Game 5 strategy
This matchup is unique in the sense that, while you want to base your predictions on the other games in this series, Game 4 was so odd that I don't think it should count at all toward projections. Wembanyama being ejected in the first half completely changed the dynamic of the game, from how both teams operated on both ends of the floor, and that situation likely won't present itself again tonight. The best thing to do when handicapping Game 5 is to analyze Games 1 through 3 and ignore the noise that was Game 4.
π Timberwolves vs. Spurs injuries: Game 5
πΊ How to watch Timberwolves vs. Spurs: West semifinals - Game 5
- Date: Tuesday, May 12
- Tipoff: 8 p.m. ET
- Location: Frost Bank Center (San Antonio)
- TV: NBC
- Streaming: Peacock
- Spread: Spurs -9.5
- Moneyline: Timberwolves +320 | Spurs -375
- Total: 218.5
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