Saturday’s Top Expert NBA Picks: KAT To Continue Hot Shooting

Sportsbook Review

Last Updated: November 13, 2021 8:43 AM EST • 3 min 5 sec read. Twitter link Google News Link

MINNEAPOLIS, MN - NOVEMBER 3: Karl-Anthony Towns #32 of the Minnesota Timberwolves celebrates after dunking the ball against the LA Clippers in the third quarter of the game at Target Center on November 3, 2021 in Minneapolis, Minnesota. The Clippers defeated the Timberwolves 126-115. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this Photograph, user is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. David Berding/Getty Images/AFP (Photo by David Berding / GETTY IMAGES NORTH AMERICA / Getty Images via AFP)

Check out our expert's top NBA picks for the best against the spread, Over/Under, and prop picks for Saturday's slate of games.

Nick Bondi: Washington Wizards -4.5 (-115); Karl-Anthony Towns Over 2.5 threes (-115)Junior Browne: Philadelphia 76ers +3.5 (-115); Memphis Grizzlies/New Orleans Pelicans Under 221.5 (-110)Ian Wharton: Toronto Raptors -8.5/Under 202.5 (+260); Donovan Mitchell Under 26.5 points (-105)

(All odds via DraftKings Sportsbook).

Top Expert Spread, O/U NBA Picks

Wizards -4.5 (-115)

The Washington Wizards will be without Bradley Beal tonight, but that shouldn't matter against a lowly Orlando Magic team. The Magic are 28th in points per game and 27th in offensive rating and sit 26th in defensive rating as well. The Wizards are also getting Montrezl Harrell back which should help them control the boards and get some second-chance points.

Washington is 7-3-1 ATS this season, while Orlando is just 4-8. The Wizards should take care of business tonight. - Bondi

Sixers +3.5 (-115)

The Philadelphia 76ers have been struggling lately with several members of their roster unavailable due to health issues. Although they've lost three in a row, it's not as bad as it seems. In their last loss to Toronto, they covered the first half spread comfortably but ended up losing a close game. They were down one with 24 seconds left before Fred Van Vleet iced the game with a clutch three.

In the game before that, they went into the fourth quarter with a 91-93 lead before falling to the Bucks after their offense went cold with 16 points. The good news is that their second-leading scorer, Tobias Harris, returned to the lineup. With a day off in between games, we should expect Harris to look better tonight against the Indiana Pacers. This is the first game home after a west coast road trip which is always a tough spot in the NBA. The Sixers are a better team than the Pacers and you're getting points here. - Browne

Raptors -8.5/Under 202.5 (+260)

The Detroit Pistons were again walloped on Friday night, this time to the Cleveland Cavaliers. The Cavs lack of size was a massive issue as they were able to get whatever they wanted all game. Now on a back-to-back against Toronto, Detroit is at risk of being blown out again.

An exact replication of what happened Friday night isn't unlikely. The Pistons will struggle to score against the fourth-best defense, and the Raptors won't need to push the scoring above triple digits. - Wharton

Top Expert O/U, Prop NBA Picks

Karl-Anthony Towns Over 2.5 threes (-115)

One of the best shooting big men in the game, Towns is shooting 47.4 percent from deep on the season and is averaging seven attempts from three per game heading into their contest against the Los Angeles Clippers tonight. This bet has hit in all but one of Minnesota's games this season, and Towns went three for eight and three for five in two games against the Clippers earlier this month. KAT has the combination of shooting talent and volume that makes this a solid bet. - Bondi

Grizzlies/Pelicans Under 221.5 (-110)

This is a really big number for two teams that are terrible offensively. While they both rank in the bottom half defensively as well, a closer look at both rosters reveals players that are simply struggling to make shots. The Grizzlies only have one win in their last three games because nobody on the team can score consistently outside of Ja Morant and Jaren Jackson Jr. During this recent four-game stretch, the pair is averaging 41.8 points on 44 percent shooting. The other three starters are only giving them 22.3 points on 37 percent shooting.

New Orleans has similar problems on offense especially with their best player, All-Star Brandon Ingram, sidelined with a hip injury. He is listed as day-to-day but has missed the last seven games. When you look back at both teams' performances on the season, the Pelicans have scored more than 110 points only three times in 13 games. As for the Grizzlies, they've managed the feat four times on the season, and three of those were in their first three games. On top of that, both teams are playing the second game of a back-to-back. All signs point to this game going under the total. - Browne

Donovan Mitchell Under 26.5 points (-105)

This prop bet is with the caveat that Jimmy Butler must play in order to play the under on Mitchell's 26.5 point line. Miami has an elite defensive team as usual thanks to their tenacity and unique length across their lineup. While Mitchell has been excellent outside of deep shooting, he'd have to score above his average to hit this prop.

While it's not a stretch, these games tend to be lower-scoring than one that would require Mitchell to go for 27 or more points. If Butler plays, I think Mitchell has a low-efficiency output and fails to clear this point total. - Wharton