Top NBA Parlay Picks for Tuesday

Tuesday's NBA parlay picks offer bettors a ticket with odds of +312 and an option to increase that number to +459 with one extra pick.

With most eyes on Anthony Davis and the Los Angeles Lakers tonight, betting value abounds on other markets. We'll focus on a pair of away teams and one heavy home favorite for Tuesday's parlay.

Here are our top NBA parlay picks for Tuesday's schedule (odds via FanDuel Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Top NBA Parlay Picks

Dallas Mavericks +3 (-108) vs. Golden State Warriors ????Minnesota Timberwolves ML (-146) vs. Portland Trail Blazers ????New Orleans Pelicans vs. Philadelphia 76ers ML (-370) ????

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Top NBA Parlay Predictions

Mavericks +3 (-108)

Have you seen the Golden State Warriors lately? Without Draymond Green, Golden State has struggled defensively. The Dubs rank eighth in defensive efficiency over the last three games, which is still solid, but they rank first on the year. The Warriors have allowed 3.7 extra baskets per 100 possessions through that stretch.

That defensive underperformance has had consequences for their record. The Warriors are 6-7 without Green this year and they have beaten their opponents by four points or more just three times without him. They couldn't even top the Houston Rockets or the banged-up Utah Jazz by three-plus points last week.

Meanwhile, the Dallas Mavericks are surging. They rank first in defensive efficiency through that same three-game period by allowing just 100.1 baskets per 100 possessions. They have now gone 8-2 through their last 10 games.

I wouldn’t be surprised to see the Mavericks pull off the upset, but they should at least cover to kick off our NBA parlay picks, even if they come up short.

Timberwolves ML (-146)

We'll pick another hot team here in the Timberwolves. Minnesota has gone 7-3 through its last 10 outings and ranks third in offensive efficiency through the last three games. Although the Portland Trail Blazers have looked decent of late, this moneyline still offers surprising value.

Minnesota topped Portland earlier this year, and the Trail Blazers still had Damian Lillard for that game. The win came on Portland's home court, too, which is where these teams will face off again tonight.

That said, we're mainly targeting this line because Minnesota's available personnel is so much better than Portland's that the T-Wolves should win by a comfortable margin. My player win share model gives Minnesota a projected win probability of 72.7%, which is considerably better than this line's implied odds.

The model reaches that conclusion because of the excellent seasons D'Angelo Russell, Karl-Anthony Towns, and Jarred Vanderbilt have had. Meanwhile, Portland's C.J. McCollum has generally not lived up to expectations.

76ers ML (-370)

Philadelphia should easily win against the lowly New Orleans Pelicans tonight. The Pels just had to face the Indiana Pacers last night and New Orleans barely won despite the Pacers playing without Malcolm Brogdon, Domantas Sabonis, and Myles Turner.

Several Pelicans had to play big minutes. Devonte' Graham played 35, Herb Jones played 34, and Josh Hart played 36. New Orleans might get Brandon Ingram back tonight, but he could face a minutes restriction as he works back from a minor injury.

Meanwhile, the 76ers have been off since Sunday. The Pelicans have played four games at a rest disadvantage this year, and they have lost all four. I expect that streak to continue tonight.

If you feel like gassing this parlay up, consider throwing in Denver's moneyline against Detroit.

Combined Odds: Mavericks +3 (-108) + Timberwolves (-146) + 76ers (-370) = +312

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NBA parlay picks made 1/25/2022 at 10:17 a.m. ET