Nuggets vs. Rockets Prediction: NBA Picks & Odds for Monday, Nov. 9

My Nuggets vs. Rockets prediction targets the much healthier team in this matchup.
Houston Rockets forward Kevin Durant (7) looks up as we break down our Nuggets vs. Rockets prediction.
Pictured: Houston Rockets forward Kevin Durant (7) looks up as we break down our Nuggets vs. Rockets prediction. Photo by Troy Taormina / Imagn Images.
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Denver's injury report is a disaster, so my Nuggets vs. Rockets prediction is laying the points with what appears to be the healthier team.

My NBA picks back the Rockets as an 8.5-point betting favorite, with tipoff at Toyota Center in Houston scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET. The total is set at 219.5 (juiced to the Over).


Nuggets vs. Rockets picks & odds

See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds.

Pick Odds Bet size (units)
Rockets -8.5 -110 via Hard Rock Bet 1.65 units to profit 1.5 units
Kevin Durant Under 20.5 points -108 via DraftKings 1.08 units to profit 1 unit

Picks submitted: Nov. 9 at 11:12 a.m. ET. Odds subject to change.

Total wagered: 2.73 units | Profit if all picks win: 2.5 units

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Nuggets vs. Rockets best bet

Rockets -8.5 (-110 via Hard Rock Bet)

It's tough to like the Nuggets in this spot, with Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, and other key players listed as questionable on the injury report. The six Nuggets players who attempt the most field goals per game are all questionable, and if none of them play, Denver's offense would be led by Spencer Jones, Trevon Brazile, and Marvin Bagley III, who all average fewer than 14 points per game.

The Rockets, meanwhile, are coming off two tough losses against the Suns and Timberwolves, and I expect them to be motivated to win by margin, even if all of the Nuggets' starters sit.

Play to: -9.5 (-108)

Score prediction: Rockets 115, Nuggets 105


Best Nuggets vs. Rockets player prop

Kevin Durant Under 20.5 points (-108 via DraftKings)

If the Nuggets rest several starters, then the possibility of the Rockets routing Denver will increase significantly. Durant is 38 years old, and his workload will need to be managed this season for Houston to make a deep playoff run, so I'm not expecting him to play in the fourth quarter if the Rockets build a comfortable lead.

In Houston's two wins by 20 or more points this season, Durant has scored 18 and 14 points, playing 31 and 27 minutes in those games, respectively. Even if the Nuggets play some starters and this game is close, Durant has a median scoring output of 17.5 points over his last four games.

Play to: Under 20.5 (-116) or Under 19.5 (+110)


Live Nuggets vs. Rockets odds

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Latest Nuggets vs. Rockets injuries


How to watch Nuggets vs. Rockets

  • Date: Monday, Nov. 9
  • Tipoff: 8:30 p.m. ET
  • Location: Toyota Center (Houston)
  • TV/Streaming: NBA League Pass