Ohio vs. Miami (Ohio) Prediction: Week 11 Odds, Picks & Best Bet (Nov. 10)
Ohio looks to remain the only unbeaten team in MAC play when it kicks off the third of three league games against Miami (OH) on Tuesday night. My Ohio vs. Miami (OH) prediction expects the RedHawks to knock the Bobcats from the ranks of the unbeatens, even though the line has jumped the fence to where Miami (OH) is now a home underdog.
Kickoff from Yager Stadium in Oxford, Ohio, is set for 8 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Ohio is a 1.5-point betting favorite.
Ohio vs. Miami (Ohio) picks & predictions
See all of our experts' college football picks for Week 11 based on the latest college football odds.
| Pick | Odds | Bet size |
|---|---|---|
| Miami (OH) moneyline | -102 via FanDuel | 1 unit to profit 0.98 units |
| Under 48.5 | -110 via BetMGM | 1 unit to profit 0.91 units |
Picks submitted: Nov. 9 at 9:05 a.m. ET. Odds subject to change.
Total wagered: 2 units | Profit if all picks win: 1.89 units
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Ohio vs. Miami (Ohio) prediction & best bet
Check out all of our college football predictions for more analysis across this week's slate.
Miami (OH) moneyline (-102 via FanDuel)
Miami (OH) flipped from a 1.5-point favorite to a 1.5-point underdog, likely in part because of last week’s collapse against Buffalo. But I walked away from last week’s MACtion more concerned about Ohio and its difficulties against Akron, the only winless team in conference play.
Ohio’s defense faced a season-high 79 plays and the Bobcats logged a season-worst minus-33 differential of plays run. That led to the Zips possessing the ball for more than 11 minutes more than the Bobcats.
Meanwhile, Miami (OH) would likely be feeling a lot better about itself this week if it didn’t blow a 15-point fourth-quarter lead with 12 minutes to go against Buffalo. The RedHawks didn’t dominate from a statistical standpoint, as they were outgained by 109 yards, but won the turnover battle by two and likely would have eked out a victory if not for being penalized 13 times.
With Senior Night festivities serving as the backdrop for what should be an emotional night at Yager Stadium, I’ll back a RedHawks team that is used to playing in tight games (six of their last seven games have been decided by four or fewer points).
📡 SBR Edge: Miami's late season turnarounds
Miami (OH) is 3-1 in its last four games, which follows the trend of strong finishes from the RedHawks over the last three seasons. In 2025, they won seven of their final 11 games after an 0-3 start. That followed a 2024 and 2023 season where they went 8-1 and 8-2, respectively, down the stretch.
Miami's advantages in the trenches
Miami (OH) prides itself on being the more physical team in the trenches. The RedHawks have four players on the offensive line that have started a combined 82 games for the team, and have logged 124 combined starts in total. That unit upfront just paved the way for the team’s first 100-yard rusher (D’Shawntae Jones) since Nov. 19 of last season.
The Redhawks’ defensive line and overall run defense is where the unit really makes its hay. Miami (OH) ranks 16th nationally in allowing 97.6 rushing yards per game, and has finished in the top-50 every year since 2022. Its run defense should make Ohio one-dimensional after limiting Bowling Green, UMass, Akron, Central Michigan, and Buffalo to a combined 373 yards on 142 carries (2.6 yards per carry) over the last five weeks.
Play to: -110, would play the point spread at Miami (OH) +3 or higher
Score prediction: Miami (OH) 24, Ohio 21
Live Ohio vs. Miami (Ohio) odds
See the latest odds movement and more on our Ohio vs. Miami (Ohio) matchup page.
Ohio vs. Miami (Ohio) opening odds
- Moneyline: Ohio -102 | Miami (Ohio) -115
- Spread: Ohio +1.5 (-108) | Miami (Ohio) -1.5 (-110)
- Over/Under: Over 48.5 (-105) | Under 48.5 (-112)
Ohio vs. Miami (Ohio) weather
There is a low temperature of 39 degrees overnight in Oxford on Tuesday night, with just a 5% chance of precipitation and winds light at 8 mph W.
Latest Ohio vs. Miami (Ohio) injuries
Ohio:
- Riley Neer, Wide Receiver- Questionable
Miami (Ohio):
- David McComb, QB - Out
How to watch Ohio vs. Miami (Ohio): Week 11
- Date: Tuesday, Nov. 10
- Kickoff: 8 p.m. ET
- Location: Yager Stadium (Oxford, Ohio)
- TV/Streaming: ESPN2
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