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Nuggets vs. Clippers Player Prop Prediction, Odds: Top Picks for Zubac, Jokic, Porter

Zachary Hanshew

Last Updated: April 4, 2024 7:20 PM EDT • 3 min 16 sec read.

The Los Angeles Clippers welcome the Denver Nuggets to Crypto.com Arena as they battle for Western Conference playoff positioning, and we offer our Nuggets vs. Clippers NBA player props based on the best NBA odds.

The Denver Nuggets and Los Angeles Clippers have played each other three times so far this season, with the Nuggets winning twice. The last meeting was on Dec. 6, 2023, which the Clippers won, thanks mainly to Paul George’s 25 points and James Harden’s 11 assists. 

Nikola Jokic has played in two of the three meetings. He recorded a triple-double in December and was one assist from a triple-double in their November game. 

Here are our best Nuggets vs. Clippers player prop predictions and NBA picks (odds via our best NBA betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Nuggets vs. Clippers player props

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Nuggets vs. Clippers prediction

Ivica Zubac Under 9.5 rebounds (+110 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐

Zubac has pulled down 9, 14, and 13 rebounds in three games against the Nuggets this season. While those are solid numbers, it is shocking that his over is listed at -135 or -140 at our best sports betting sites. This implies a 57-58% chance of Zubac hitting the over.

The Nuggets allow the fourth-fewest rebounds per game, and Zubac is averaging just 9.1 rebounds per game. This makes this game much more of a coin flip than the odds imply.

The good news is because the price for the Over is so steep, the price for this Under is great. Our best sports betting apps offer +105 or +110 for the Under, so get in before this total goes up to 10. And if you do, make sure you shop around and get the best price available 

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Nikola Jokic Over 8.5 assists (-120 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Jokic has dished out nine and 10 assists in his two games against the Clippers this season. As the NBA’s third-leading assist man, he generally produces those numbers. However, in March, he managed just 8.1 assists per game and had nine games with eight or fewer helpers.

But Jokic is still averaging 9.0 assists per game. The Clippers are average at preventing assists, allowing the 12th-fewest in the NBA. Without a clear mismatch, the advantage goes to Jokic who has already put up good numbers in relatively low-scoring games.

The odds for this prop vary from sportsbook to sportsbook. Some sportsbooks have the price listed as high as -132. That’s too expensive against the Clippers’ defense, but it also signals that some oddsmakers are much more confident in Jokic than others tonight.

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Michael Porter Jr. Over 2.5 three-pointers made (-120 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐

In three games against the Clippers, Porter has only made more than two three-pointers once. But there are a few reasons to be optimistic about his prop tonight. First, Porter has knocked down three threes in back-to-back games. He’s averaging 2.8 makes per game this season. He’s made at least two three-pointers in 16 of his last 18 games, so his floor is also good for this prop. 

Second, despite making only two three-pointers in two games against the Clippers this season, he’s attempted 15 shots in those games. As a 40.4% shooter, if he shoots seven or eight tonight, averages say he will hit this over.

The price for this prop is between -120 and -127 at every major sportsbook. There is unlikely to be much movement for this line before tip-off, so don’t wait and expect to get this any better than the -120 line offered at FanDuel.

Nuggets vs. Clippers player props made Thursday at 9:50 a.m. ET.

Nuggets vs. Clippers game info & odds

  • When: Thursday, April 4
  • Tip-off: 10 p.m. ET
  • Where: crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, Calif.
  • How to watch: TNT
  • Favorite: Nuggets -4 (odds via DraftKings)

Here are our best NBA betting sites:

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Written By:
Zachary Hanshew
Zak Hanshew has been covering the NFL and NBA since 2018, writing about fantasy sports, daily fantasy sports, and sports betting. He joined Sportsbook Review for the 2022-23 NBA season and looks forward to his third NBA campaign. Zak has had bylines for over half a dozen publications, most notably Yahoo and NBA.com. As a sports writer, Zak has been recognized for his attention to detail and insight into NBA betting trends. Zak is an avid NBA bettor who loves a prop bet, particularly a favorable combo prop. Of particular interest in the betting space are long shots such as first-basket scorer, but nothing beats a triple-double prop. He loves to target plus-money props with educated and well-researched analysis to back up his picks. Zak holds a Bachelor’s and a Master’s degree from West Virginia University and roots avidly for his Mountaineers.