NBA Best Bets & Expert Picks Today: Basketball Predictions for Thursday, Nov. 12
It was a bad night in the Association for me Wednesday, but I'm looking to bounce back with my NBA best bets today.
I'm now up just 4.12 units with a 3.3% ROI on the season, but I'm attacking two games where I believe the lines are mispriced. I feature a best bet on the side in Raptors vs. 76ers, which tips off at 7 p.m. ET, followed by two bets in Hornets vs. Suns, with tipoff set for 9 p.m. ET.
NBA best bets: Player props & ATS picks today (Nov. 12)
See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds.
| Matchup | Pick | Units |
|---|---|---|
| Raptors vs. 76ers | 76ers -8.5 (-110 via BetMGM) | 1.65 units to profit 1.5 units |
| Hornets vs. Suns | Suns -6.5 (-105 via Caesars) | 1.05 units to profit 1 unit |
| Moussa Diabate Over 8.5 rebounds (-115 via BetMGM) | 1.15 units to profit 1 unit |
Picks submitted: Nov. 12 at 11:13 a.m. ET. Odds subject to change.
Total wagered: 3.85 units | Max profit: 3.5 units
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Best NBA bet today
Raptors vs. 76ers prediction: 76ers -8.5 (-110)
Joel Embiid and LeBron James are both questionable for the 76ers, but they both went through shootaround Thursday morning, so I think it's likely that they play tonight. The 76ers have yet to lose back-to-back games this season and are facing a Raptors team that has been disappointing lately.
Since beating the Bucks in Milwaukee, the Raptors rank 28th in the NBA with a 104.3 offensive rating. With no injury report submitted as of the time of publication, they will likely continue to struggle on offense unless Scottie Barnes (groin) returns.
Play to: -9.5 (-108)
⏰️ Set your alarm: Raptors vs. 76ers
- Tip: 7 p.m. ET
- Venue: Xfinity Mobile Arena
- How to watch: NBA League Pass
More NBA picks & player props for Thursday
Follow all of our NBA analysis and expert predictions this season.
Hornets vs. Suns: Suns -6.5 (-105)
The Suns' 4-6 straight-up record, which has them sitting in 11th place in the Western Conference, is misleading. Phoenix has played the toughest strength of schedule this season, per Power Rankings Guru.
Nine of the Suns' first 10 games were against teams that made the postseason in 2025-26, including six games against the Spurs, Rockets, Trail Blazers, and Warriors, who all rank in the top five in the West in offensive rating. When the Suns had an opportunity to play a rebuilding team, they beat the Clippers by 23 points Tuesday.
The short-handed Hornets will be a nice break in the Suns' tough schedule.
Play to: -6.5 (-113)
Moussa Diabate Over 8.5 rebounds (-115)
After a slow start to the season, Hornets big Moussa Diabate has recorded nine or more rebounds in four of his last six games, and he has a great matchup today to cash another Over.
While the Suns should win by a margin, Phoenix ranks last in the NBA with a 45.7% rebounding percentage. Mark Williams is still out for the Suns, so their starting center is Oso Ighodaro, who averages just 5.4 rebounds per game despite standing 6-foot-11.
With so many key players out for the Hornets tonight, I expect a lot of missed shots, along with more opportunities for Diabate to grab rebounds.
Play to: Over 8.5 (-124) or Over 9.5 (+127)
⏰️ Set your alarm: Hornets vs. Suns
- Tip: 9 p.m. ET
- Venue: Mortgage Matchup Center
- How to watch: NBA League Pass
My betting record for NBA picks
All NBA picks have been tracked since Oct. 20.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 52-43-1 | +4.12 units | 3.3% |
| Moneyline | 1-0 | +2 units | 102% |
| Player prop | 27-21-1 | +4.94 units | 9.7% |
| Spread | 21-20 | -3.7 units | -5.4% |
| Total | 3-2 | +0.88 units | 20.3% |
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